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长海股份(300196):玻纤量增价跌、化工量减价升,Q4业绩同比显著修复
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-04-19 13:13
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][7]. Core Views - The company is expected to see slight revenue growth in 2024, with a significant improvement in Q4 performance. The annual revenue is projected to reach 2.662 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.10%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 274.78 million yuan, a decrease of 7.20% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company has shown resilience in its glass fiber and chemical segments, with glass fiber revenue increasing by 3.2% to 1.969 billion yuan, driven by increased production capacity. However, the average selling price per ton decreased by 6% year-on-year [2][3]. - The overall gross margin for the year is reported at 22.72%, a decline of 1.79 percentage points year-on-year, with Q4 gross margin at 21.05% [3]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q4, the company achieved a revenue of 759 million yuan and a net profit of 72 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 22.66% and 786.99% respectively [1]. - The company’s operating cash flow for the year was 448 million yuan, a decrease of 272 million yuan year-on-year, with a cash collection ratio of 68.97% [3]. - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 7.120 billion yuan in 2024, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 35.07% [3][19]. Future Earnings Forecast - The report projects the net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 and 2026 to be 420.25 million yuan and 572.76 million yuan respectively, reflecting a growth rate of 52.94% and 36.29% [4][19]. - The company is expected to maintain a steady growth trajectory, with revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 at 3.106 billion yuan and 4.126 billion yuan respectively, indicating growth rates of 16.68% and 32.86% [6][19].
山东玻纤:Q4利润扭亏为盈,看好25年价格修复+产能释放带来业绩弹性-20250410
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-04-10 02:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][8] Core Views - The company achieved a net profit of 2.006 billion yuan in 2024, with a significant turnaround in Q4, where it reported a net profit of 12 million yuan, indicating a recovery trend [1][2] - The glass fiber business experienced a decline in both volume and price, with revenues dropping to 1.55 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.2% year-on-year, while the thermal power business showed strong growth with an 18.65% increase in revenue [2][3] - The company is expected to benefit from price recovery and capacity release in 2025, with a projected net profit of 80 million yuan for 2025 and 130 million yuan for 2026 [5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 2.00586 billion yuan, down 8.89% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 8.11%, a decrease of 2.33 percentage points [4][7] - The company’s operating cash flow was 162 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 38.5 million yuan year-on-year, but the cash collection ratio improved to 77% [4][19] - The company’s total assets reached 7.138 billion yuan in 2024, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 63.18%, an increase of 5.13 percentage points from the previous year [4][19]
山东玻纤(605006):Q4利润扭亏为盈,看好25年价格修复+产能释放带来业绩弹性
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-04-10 01:42
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][8]. Core Views - The company achieved a net profit of 2.006 billion yuan in 2024, with a significant recovery in Q4, where it turned a profit of 12 million yuan [1]. - The glass fiber business experienced a decline in both volume and price, with revenues of 1.55 billion yuan, down 14.2% year-on-year, and sales volume decreased by 8% to 443,000 tons [2]. - The thermal power business showed strong growth, with revenues of 436 million yuan, up 18.65%, and electricity sales increased by 156% to 317 million kWh [3]. - The overall gross margin for the company was 8.11%, a decrease of 2.33 percentage points year-on-year, while Q4 gross margin improved to 13.19% [4]. Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a total revenue of 2.00586 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 8.89% compared to the previous year [7]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 was -989.3 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 193.92% [7]. - The company’s operating cash flow was 162 million yuan, down 3.85 million yuan year-on-year, with a cash collection ratio of 77% [4][7]. - The company’s asset-liability ratio stood at 63.18%, an increase of 5.13 percentage points year-on-year [4][9].