Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on overseas growth and technology sectors, emphasizing the importance of identifying companies capable of navigating overseas cycles and accelerating domestic technology development [2][12]. Core Insights - The report highlights the impact of changes in the US interest rate stance on market sentiment, particularly affecting high-valuation sectors linked to overseas economies. It underscores the significance of finding resilient companies in overseas markets and the opportunity for domestic technology supply chain development [2][12]. - The report expresses optimism for the overseas and AI new materials sectors, citing the recent listing of "Le Shushi," a leading fast-moving consumer goods company in East and West Africa, as a notable addition to the overseas sector [2][12]. - In the traditional building materials and construction sectors, the focus has shifted to low-valuation or less-followed segments, with dividend policies becoming a key consideration. Companies are adapting to industry challenges by reducing capital expenditures and increasing dividends [3][13]. Summary by Sections Weekly Market Performance - The building materials index decreased by 6.46% during the week, with specific declines in glass manufacturing (-9.93%), fiberglass (-11.18%), and cement manufacturing (-6.06%) [17]. Price Changes in Building Materials - National cement prices slightly decreased by 0.4% week-on-week, with regional variations in price movements. Southern regions showed a slight increase in demand, while northern regions faced a decline due to weather conditions [26]. - The average price of float glass was reported at 1168.37 RMB/ton, reflecting a decrease of 2.26% week-on-week, with inventory levels increasing [38][52]. Sector Analysis - In the cement sector, the average price was 351 RMB/ton, down 78 RMB/ton year-on-year, with an average shipment rate of 45.7% [14]. - The fiberglass market showed stability in pricing, with the average price for 2400tex direct yarn at 3531.75 RMB/ton, a slight increase of 0.2% week-on-week [57]. - The report notes that the demand for construction materials remains weak, particularly in the completion phase, while retail segments show stable growth [16].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the construction materials industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [3][51]. Core Insights - The construction materials sector has shown resilience with a 1.50% increase last week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.6 percentage points. Year-to-date, the sector has risen 17.3%, slightly underperforming the CSI 300 index by approximately 0.4 percentage points [6][14]. - Infrastructure investment in the first ten months of 2025 has decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, but there is optimism regarding the acceleration of strategic key projects, particularly in cement, explosives, pipes, and waterproof materials [6][26]. - The report highlights a shift towards consumption upgrades, which is expected to enhance the competitive landscape in the consumer building materials segment, leading to increased market share for leading companies [6][26]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The construction materials sector has experienced a 1.50% increase last week, with cement, glass, and renovation materials showing varied performance [6][14]. - Cement prices have seen a slight increase, with the national average price at 358 RMB/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.1 RMB/ton [20][30]. Infrastructure Investment - National fixed asset investment reached 408914 billion RMB in the first ten months of 2025, down 1.7% year-on-year, with infrastructure investment showing a minor decline of 0.1% [6][24]. - Key sectors such as pipeline transportation, water transportation, and railway transportation have shown growth rates of 13.8%, 9.4%, and 3.0% respectively, indicating relative strength in these areas [6][24]. Cement Market Dynamics - The national cement shipment rate was approximately 46% as of November 14, 2025, with a week-on-week increase of 0.3 percentage points [20][30]. - The report notes that the overall demand for cement is expected to stabilize, with prices likely to experience fluctuations as companies aim to enhance profitability [31][30]. Glass and Fiberglass Market - The average price of float glass has decreased to 1195 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week decline of 2 RMB/ton, while inventory levels have also decreased [39][40]. - Fiberglass prices remained stable, with the average price of non-alkali fiberglass yarn in East China at 3475 RMB/ton [43][44]. Cost Trends - The report indicates that most raw material prices have decreased year-on-year, which is expected to positively impact corporate profitability in the second half of 2025 [45][47].

Summary of Conference Call on Glass Fiber and Electronic Fabric Industry Industry Overview - The glass fiber industry is experiencing a significant structural differentiation in demand for 2025, with ordinary products facing oversupply and weak terminal demand [2][3] - The rough sand market is described as "ice and fire," with poor operating conditions for ordinary winding direct sand and downstream glass fiber reinforced plastic manufacturers [1][2] Key Points Market Demand and Supply - Demand for small number products (300, 200, and 135 winding direct sand) remains stable until the end of November, but a significant decline is expected in December [3] - Domestic demand is shifting towards exports to countries like the UAE and Brazil due to shorter payment cycles [5] - The overall production and sales of manufacturers have been maintained at around 90%, but social inventory has increased from September to October, leading to cautious purchasing behavior from downstream clients [3][14] Price Trends - Prices for small and large rough sand have increased from 3,050 CNY/ton to 3,250-3,300 CNY/ton since September, with the lowest purchase price for traders and deep processing factories around 3,250 CNY/ton [6][1] - The price increase in September was supported by low price recovery and some inventory buildup, while October saw a rebound in demand for small number products, supporting large number product prices [8][12] - A new round of price increases by large manufacturers at the end of October aims to boost market confidence, although actual implementation remains uncertain [12][14] Production Adjustments - Large processing enterprises are operating at full capacity with a high export ratio (60%-70%), while small manufacturers are struggling with order differentiation [7][11] - Small manufacturers are adjusting their production structure to focus on small number products due to market demand, with some shifting to fine sand and low dielectric ultra-fine sand [11] Future Outlook - The forecast for 2026 indicates a potential narrowing of domestic thermoplastic demand due to subsidy cancellations and policy changes, while wind power demand is expected to maintain growth but with reduced volume [19][22] - Export volume is projected to increase from 2 million tons in 2025 to 2.04 million tons in 2026, while imports are expected to decrease from 110,000 tons to 100,000 tons due to increased domestic high-end product capacity [20][19] Electronic Fabric Market - Electronic fabric prices have seen a general increase, with specific products rising by 300 to 500 CNY, driven by tightening supply conditions [17] - Future price adjustments for electronic fabric are expected to be gradual, with potential increases before the end of the year [18] Trade Barriers and Market Adaptation - Trade barriers have caused some orders to experience delays, prompting manufacturers to explore new markets and channels to mitigate risks [28][29] - The industry is cautiously optimistic about demand recovery in 2026, with emerging markets like the Middle East, South America, and Southeast Asia expected to become significant growth points [29] Conclusion The glass fiber and electronic fabric industries are navigating a complex landscape characterized by fluctuating demand, price adjustments, and strategic shifts in production. The outlook for 2026 remains cautious, with potential challenges from trade barriers and changing market dynamics.

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of the Western Land-Sea New Corridor, with Chongqing as a key node, facilitating global access through various transportation methods. The cargo volume and value from January to October reached 272,300 TEUs and 48.962 billion yuan, respectively, marking increases of 33% and 27% year-on-year. The network has expanded to 581 ports across 127 countries and regions, covering over 1,300 product types [1][11] - In the construction materials sector, four key points are identified for addressing the downturn: low market share and high growth potential, discovering new demands for existing products, developing second business lines, and fostering innovation to create high-barrier business models. The report highlights that the difficulty of these points increases, particularly in innovation [2][12] - The report identifies several companies as potential investment opportunities, including Keda Manufacturing, Huaxin Cement, and China National Building Material, among others, focusing on both domestic and overseas markets [13] Summary by Sections Weekly Discussion - The report discusses the Western Land-Sea New Corridor and its significance in enhancing trade and logistics, with a focus on the expected completion by 2025 and the ongoing construction of the Pinglu Canal [1][11] Cyclical Linkage - Cement prices averaged 352 yuan/ton, down 74 yuan/year-on-year, with a national average shipment rate of 46.2%. Glass prices were reported at 1,195.35 yuan/ton, with a slight decrease. The report also covers trends in concrete, fiberglass, aluminum, and steel, indicating a mixed outlook for these materials [3][14] Market Performance - The construction materials index showed a performance of -0.97%, with specific segments like glass manufacturing and fiberglass experiencing declines, while consumer building materials and pipe materials saw positive growth [17][18] Price Changes in Construction Materials - Cement prices showed a slight increase of 0.3% week-on-week, with regional variations. The report notes a general upward trend in prices due to seasonal demand and efforts to enhance profitability [20][23] - The floating glass market is described as stable but weak, with prices slightly declining. The report indicates that inventory levels are increasing, and market sentiment is cautious [32][47]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 133.4 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1%, while net profit attributable to shareholders improved significantly to 2.96 billion from a loss of 0.68 billion in the same period last year [1] Cement Sector - Tianshan shares experienced a slight reduction in losses in Q3 2025, with a sales volume of 144.1 million tons, down 12.8% year-on-year, indicating a greater decline than the industry average [2] - The company's Q3 revenue was 18.96 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 12.9%, while net profit was -0.26 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.6% [2] Engineering Sector - China National Materials International's Q3 2025 performance remained stable year-on-year, with a revenue of 32.998 billion, a 3.99% increase, and a net profit of 2.074 billion, a 0.68% increase [3] - The Q3 revenue was 11.322 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.48%, while net profit decreased by 1.18% to 0.653 billion [3] New Materials Sector - China National Materials Technology reported a net profit of 0.48 billion in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 235% [3] - The main business faced challenges due to credit impairment losses in blade business and a temporary decline in fiberglass prices, although prices began to rise in September [3] Gypsum Board Sector - BNBM's gypsum board business faced short-term pressure, with a revenue decline of 2.25% year-on-year for the first three quarters, and a Q3 revenue drop of 6.20% [4] - The company expects revenue growth in waterproof and paint businesses due to its state-owned enterprise background and resource advantages [4] - Q3 net profit was 0.657 billion, a year-on-year decline of 29.47% [4]

Core Viewpoint - The construction materials industry is showing signs of recovery as the impact of real estate and macro debt on the sector has diminished, with some companies finding growth opportunities through overseas expansion, market penetration, renovation projects, and technological materials [1]. Group 1: Cement Sector - The cement sector's profitability is primarily driven by overseas operations, particularly in regions like Africa, where companies such as Huaxin Cement are performing well [1]. - Domestic demand and prices have weakened compared to Q2, but the decline in demand growth rate and absolute gross profit per ton suggest that 2024 may represent a bottoming out for the industry [1]. - The focus on limiting overproduction remains crucial for improving supply-demand dynamics, and shareholder returns are expected to improve due to industry equity incentives [1]. Group 2: Consumer Building Materials - There is a noticeable divergence in revenue growth rates among different sub-sectors and companies within the consumer building materials industry, driven by the concentrated impact of real estate and local debt on demand [2]. - Companies are exploring new revenue paths through overseas expansion, market penetration, and renovation projects, with price recovery and structural upgrades in the paint and waterproofing sectors leading the way [2]. - Cost optimization through personnel and expense management continues to enhance profitability, while policy catalysts for consumer building materials still have room for growth [2]. Group 3: Glass and Fiberglass - The fiberglass sector is experiencing dual differentiation in production and sales, with larger companies maintaining significantly better performance amid price wars among smaller firms [3]. - The profitability in the fiberglass sector is driven by structural demand in wind power yarn and electronic cloth, with expectations for price recovery in coarse yarn by Q4 2025 [3]. - The glass sector is facing a stalemate in supply and demand, with prices nearing a bottom; however, the photovoltaic glass segment is seeing a turnaround as leading companies quickly return to profitability due to industry self-discipline in production cuts [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8][9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 133.4 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1%, while the attributable net profit was 2.96 billion, showing significant improvement compared to a loss of 0.68 billion in the same period last year. The estimated attributable net profit for Q3 2025 is 1.6 billion, up 20% from 1.33 billion in the same period last year [2][4]. Segment Summaries 1. **Cement Segment**: The company experienced a slight reduction in losses in Q3 2025. The national cement production for the first three quarters of 2025 was 1.259 billion tons, down 5.2% year-on-year. The company’s sales of cement and clinker were 144.1 million tons, a decrease of 12.8% year-on-year, indicating a more significant decline than the industry average. The single-quarter revenue for Q3 2025 was 18.96 billion, down 12.9% year-on-year, with a net profit of -0.26 billion, an increase of 22.6% year-on-year [5][6]. 2. **Engineering Segment**: The engineering business showed stable growth, with a total revenue of 32.998 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, up 3.99% year-on-year. The Q3 2025 single-quarter revenue was 11.322 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.48%, while the net profit was 0.653 billion, down 1.18% year-on-year [6]. 3. **New Materials Segment**: The new materials segment reported a net profit of 0.48 billion in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 235%. The main business saw some marginal changes, with a decrease in prices for fiberglass yarn. However, there was an improvement in the AI electronic cloth business due to increased demand and better yield rates, resulting in a net profit margin of approximately 5.7%, up 3.5 percentage points year-on-year [6][7]. 4. **North New Materials**: The gypsum board business faced short-term pressure, with a revenue decline of 2.25% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, and a 6.20% decline in Q3. Despite this, the waterproof business is expected to maintain growth due to the company's strong background and funding advantages [7].

Core Insights - The new materials industry is currently developing, offering superior performance compared to traditional materials, and is considered a cornerstone of the modern industrial system [1] - Investment in new materials is viewed as an investment in future emerging industries and the transformation and upgrading of industrial structures [1] - The New Materials 50 ETF (159761) has risen over 1.8% as of November 6, indicating positive market sentiment towards this sector [1] Industry Overview - New materials are often in the development or introduction phase, with development phase investments driven by thematic investment and emotional factors, requiring attention to strong depth and clear logic [1] - Investments during the introduction phase rely on the continuous realization of industrialization, where terminal value is more important than valuation, necessitating a focus on penetration rates and market shares [1] Market Focus - Current market attention is on specific sub-sectors such as solid-state batteries and electronic fabrics, with solid-state batteries expected to enter a core catalytic period in November [1] - The New Materials 50 ETF tracks the New Materials Index (H30597), which selects listed companies involved in advanced basic materials, key strategic materials, and cutting-edge new materials to reflect the overall performance of the new materials industry [1] Composition of Index - The index's constituent stocks are primarily distributed across the chemical, non-ferrous metals, and high-tech sectors, showcasing significant growth and innovation characteristics [1]

Group 1: China Jushi (600176.SH) - The company achieved a revenue of 139.04 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.53% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 25.68 billion yuan, up 67.51% year-on-year, with a non-recurring net profit of 26.12 billion yuan, increasing by 125.91% [6][9] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 34.91 billion, 41.07 billion, and 46.48 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, driven by the recovery of fiberglass prices and demand from various downstream sectors [9] Group 2: Transsion Holdings (688036.SH) - The company reported a revenue of 204.66 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 22.60%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 9.35 billion yuan, down 11.06% year-on-year [11] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 694.0 billion, 751.7 billion, and 871.6 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 38.2 billion, 56.7 billion, and 70.8 billion yuan respectively [13] Group 3: Tonglian Precision (688210.SH) - The company reported a revenue of 2.4 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.75%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 884,000 yuan, down 91.67% year-on-year [15] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 11.4 billion, 15.5 billion, and 21.1 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 1.0 billion, 1.9 billion, and 2.9 billion yuan respectively [17] Group 4: Topband Co., Ltd. (002139.SZ) - The company achieved a revenue of 26.9 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 900 million yuan, down 44.7% year-on-year [18] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 6.2 billion, 8.5 billion, and 10.8 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [19] Group 5: Inspur Information (000977.SZ) - The company reported a revenue of 1206.69 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 45%, with a net profit of 14.82 billion yuan, up 15% year-on-year [25] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 26.38 billion, 37.31 billion, and 47.77 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [26] Group 6: Benda Pharmaceutical (300558.SZ) - The company achieved a revenue of 27.17 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.90%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.17 billion yuan, down 23.86% year-on-year [28] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 35.50 billion, 43.71 billion, and 53.09 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 5.73 billion, 7.21 billion, and 8.56 billion yuan respectively [29] Group 7: XWANDA (300207.SZ) - The company reported a revenue of 435.34 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13.73%, with a net profit of 14.05 billion yuan, up 15.94% year-on-year [35] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 21.83 billion, 30.29 billion, and 40.31 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [37] Group 8: YH Technology (688080.SH) - The company achieved a revenue of 2 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 34.5%, with a net profit of 400 million yuan, up 17.5% year-on-year [39] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.5 billion, 2 billion, and 2.6 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [40] Group 9: Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ) - The company reported a revenue of 102.2 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 56.8%, with a net profit of 31.4 billion yuan, up 125% year-on-year [42] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 107 billion, 205 billion, and 268 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [43] Group 10: Dongfang Tower (002545.SZ) - The company achieved a revenue of 33.92 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.05%, with a net profit of 8.28 billion yuan, up 77.57% year-on-year [44] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 12.68 billion, 14.46 billion, and 17.19 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [46]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report highlights the strong performance of photovoltaic equipment and glass fiber due to factors such as the anti-involution trend, upgraded expectations from the NVGTC conference, and the upcoming catalyst period for solid-state batteries in November [1] - The report suggests focusing on two main investment themes: solid-state batteries, which are expected to enter a core catalytic period in November, and electronic fabrics [1] Group 2 - The investment in new materials is seen as a bet on emerging industries and the transformation of industrial structures, as new materials are often in development or introduction phases with superior performance compared to traditional materials [2] - Understanding the lifecycle of new materials is crucial for investment decisions, as it influences whether the investment is thematic or industrial, and what indicators to track for exit strategies [2] Group 3 - Emotional factors play a significant role in thematic investments, particularly for new materials in the development phase, where short-term sentiment can dominate and complicate sell timing [3] - For new materials in the introduction phase, exit timing relies on assessing the terminal value, which is influenced by penetration rates, market share, unit price, and net profit margins [3]