Investment Rating - The investment rating for Meituan-W (03690) is "Buy" (maintained) [2][7]. Core Views - Meituan, as a leader in local lifestyle services, is expected to maintain its core competitive advantages despite short-term competition in the food delivery sector. The company is projected to achieve revenues of CNY 390.41 billion, CNY 445.04 billion, and CNY 507.46 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 15.65%, 13.99%, and 14.03% [2][7]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, Meituan's revenue increased by 18.1% year-on-year to CNY 86.557 billion, exceeding Bloomberg consensus estimates by 1.3%. Non-IFRS net profit rose by 46.2% to CNY 10.948 billion, also surpassing expectations by 12.56% [6]. - The core local business revenue grew by 17.8% year-on-year to CNY 64.325 billion, with operating profit increasing by 39.1% to CNY 13.491 billion, both exceeding consensus estimates [6]. - New business revenue increased by 19.2% year-on-year to CNY 22.232 billion, with operating losses reduced by 17.54% to CNY -2.273 billion, outperforming expectations [6]. Expense Management - Sales expenses rose by 11.96% year-on-year to CNY 15.55 billion, primarily due to increased promotional and advertising costs. The sales expense ratio decreased by 1 percentage point to 18% due to improved operational efficiency [6]. - R&D expenses increased by 15.44% year-on-year to CNY 5.772 billion, driven by increased investments in AI. The R&D expense ratio slightly decreased by 0.16 percentage points to 6.67% [6]. Business Segments - The food delivery segment is expected to see healthy growth with a focus on refined operations, supported by a planned investment of CNY 100 billion over the next three years [6]. - The flash purchase segment continues to show strong growth, particularly in low-tier markets, with significant increases in order volume during promotional periods [6]. - The in-store travel segment is experiencing robust growth in lower-tier markets, with the launch of the "Meituan Membership" program aimed at enhancing transaction frequency and cross-selling efficiency [6]. Future Outlook - For Q2 2025, the company is expected to maintain its core advantages and solidify its platform ecosystem, despite potential short-term profit fluctuations due to intensified competition in the food delivery sector [6].

Core Insights - Meituan achieved operating revenue of 86.6 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 18% [1] - Adjusted net profit reached 10.9 billion yuan, up 46% year-on-year, with an adjusted net profit margin of 13%, an increase of 3 percentage points [1] - The core local business generated revenue of 64.3 billion yuan, also up 18% year-on-year, with an operating profit of 13.5 billion yuan, reflecting a 39% increase [1] Local Business Performance - The restaurant delivery, flash purchase, and in-store travel businesses saw revenue growth of 14%, 33%, and 19% respectively [1] - The average order value (AOV) continued to decline at a reduced rate, while the take rate for restaurant delivery increased due to growth in delivery and advertising revenue [1] - The company plans to increase subsidies in Q2 2025 to address competition, with projected order volume growth of 9% and revenue growth of 5% [1] Flash Purchase Business - Flash purchase order volume grew by 30% year-on-year, with a record high profit margin [2] - Revenue from flash purchase commissions and advertising increased by approximately 33% [2] - The company is expanding its instant delivery network in various product categories and plans to increase subsidies during the 618 shopping festival [2] In-store Business - The in-store travel business's gross transaction value (GTV) grew by 33%, with revenue increasing by 21% year-on-year [3] - The company is focusing on expanding in lower-tier cities and enhancing its membership program to increase transaction frequency [3] - Future membership benefits will cover more categories, aiming to strengthen Meituan's position as a preferred platform for consumers [3] New Business Developments - New business revenue grew by 19% to 22.2 billion yuan, although operating losses increased to 2.3 billion yuan [3] - The company is actively expanding its overseas delivery services, particularly in Saudi Arabia and plans to enter the Brazilian market with a commitment of 1 billion USD over five years [3] Investment Outlook - The company maintains an "outperform the market" rating, with adjusted net profit estimates of 44.7 billion, 58.7 billion, and 71.8 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [4] - Despite increased competition, the company's operational capabilities and compliance improvements are expected to support long-term growth [4] - The valuation is considered attractive compared to the Hang Seng Technology sector, with potential for upward catalysts from dynamic competition [4]

Group 1 - The "Su Super" league in Jiangsu is significantly boosting the local consumption market [1] - Recent data from Meituan shows that the search volume for the "Su Super League" keyword has surged over 16 times compared to the previous week [1] - The cities of Suzhou, Wuxi, Changzhou, Nanjing, and Yancheng have the highest search interest in Jiangsu province [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Meituan-W (03690.HK) is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Insights - The core local business of Meituan has shown excellent profit release, with a revenue of 86.6 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing an 18% year-on-year growth. Adjusted net profit reached 10.9 billion yuan, up 46% year-on-year, with an adjusted net profit margin of 13%, an increase of 3 percentage points [1][9][19] - The company is expected to increase subsidies starting Q2 2025 to respond to competition, with projected order volume growth of 9% and revenue growth of 5% in the same period [2][19] - The flash purchase business saw a 30% year-on-year increase in order volume in Q1 2025, with a historical high profit margin, and the company plans to increase subsidies during the 618 shopping festival to expand market reach [3][22] - The in-store business GTV grew by 33% in Q1 2025, with a revenue increase of 21% year-on-year, and the company is actively expanding in lower-tier cities [4][23] - New business revenue grew by 19% year-on-year to 22.2 billion yuan, with a focus on expanding overseas delivery services, particularly in Saudi Arabia and plans to enter the Brazilian market [27] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, Meituan's core local business achieved a revenue of 64.3 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 18%. The operating profit for this segment was 13.5 billion yuan, reflecting a 39% increase year-on-year and an operating profit margin of 21% [1][17] - The company forecasts adjusted net profits of 44.7 billion yuan, 58.7 billion yuan, and 71.8 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16.6, 12.6, and 10.3 [7][29] - The adjusted EPS is projected to be 7.14 yuan for 2024, increasing to 9.50 yuan by 2027 [8][32]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Meituan-W (03690.HK) is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Insights - The core local business of Meituan has shown excellent profit release, with a revenue of 866 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing an 18% year-on-year growth. The adjusted net profit reached 109 billion yuan, a 46% increase year-on-year, with an adjusted net profit margin of 13%, up 3 percentage points [1][9] - The company is expected to increase subsidies starting Q2 2025 to maintain its competitive edge amid rising competition, particularly in the food delivery segment [2][19] - The flash purchase business has seen a 30% increase in order volume year-on-year, with a historical high in profit margins, and the company plans to enhance subsidies to expand market reach [3][22] - The in-store business is experiencing strong growth, particularly in lower-tier cities, with a 33% increase in GTV year-on-year [4][23] - New business segments, particularly overseas food delivery, are actively expanding, with a 19% increase in revenue year-on-year, although operating losses have also increased [27] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Meituan achieved a revenue of 866 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 18%. The core local business generated 643 billion yuan in revenue, also up 18% year-on-year. The operating profit for the core local business was 135 billion yuan, a 39% increase year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 21% [1][9][17] Business Segments - The food delivery segment saw a 10% increase in order volume year-on-year, with a revenue growth of 14%. The average order value (AOV) decline has continued to narrow [2][19] - The flash purchase segment's revenue grew approximately 33%, with operating profit reaching 800 million yuan [3][22] - The in-store business's revenue increased by 21% year-on-year, with a focus on expanding in lower-tier cities [4][23] Future Outlook - The company maintains a positive long-term outlook, expecting adjusted net profits of 447 billion yuan, 587 billion yuan, and 718 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [7][29] - The competitive landscape is anticipated to remain challenging, but Meituan's operational capabilities and compliance improvements are expected to support sustainable growth [7][29]

Core Insights - The collaboration between Marriott and Meituan aims to integrate resources in accommodation, dining, and local lifestyle, creating a comprehensive experience for consumers [1][2] - This partnership signifies a shift in the hospitality industry from merely selling rooms to offering a lifestyle experience, indicating a new competitive landscape focused on fulfilling diverse consumer scenarios [2][14] - The joint membership program is expected to enhance Marriott's member registration and attract a younger demographic, particularly those who are high-spending consumers on Meituan [5][6] Industry Trends - The hotel industry is witnessing a structural change, with brands like Marriott and Hilton targeting younger consumers and adapting to new market demands [2][4] - Data from STR indicates a decline in domestic hotel RevPAR by 4.3% year-on-year, highlighting the need for hotels to stabilize business travel while capturing leisure demand [4] - The collaboration is seen as a response to the evolving market dynamics, where traditional OTA models are being challenged by integrated lifestyle platforms [17] Membership and Consumer Behavior - Marriott has a global membership base of 219 million, primarily consisting of business travelers aged 30-40, while Meituan's young consumer base will complement this demographic [4][6] - The partnership allows for a high degree of synergy in consumer behavior and city distribution, with Meituan serving as a channel for Marriott to penetrate lower-tier cities [6][7] - The collaboration is expected to create a dual consumption cycle, where dining experiences can drive hotel bookings and vice versa, enhancing overall consumer engagement [10][12] Future Outlook - The partnership is viewed as a significant step towards creating a "super lifestyle membership ecosystem," moving beyond traditional loyalty programs [15][16] - Both companies aim to leverage their strengths to redefine user lifecycle value, transforming hotels into lifestyle hubs rather than mere accommodation providers [14][17] - The collaboration is anticipated to evolve further, with potential advancements driven by AI to enhance member services and operational efficiency [16]

Overall Performance - The company achieved revenue of 86.6 billion yuan in FY2025 Q1, exceeding Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 85.4 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 18.1% [1] - Adjusted net profit totaled 10.95 billion yuan, surpassing the expected 9.73 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 46.2% [1] - The adjusted net profit margin was 12.6%, up by 2.4 percentage points year-on-year [1] Core Local Business - Revenue from core local business reached 64.3 billion yuan, growing 17.8% year-on-year, with operating profit of 13.5 billion yuan, a 39.1% increase [1] - The food delivery segment maintained healthy growth, with increased user engagement and order frequency [2] - The instant retail business, Meituan Flash Purchase, showed strong growth, with the number of flash warehouses and order proportion continuously rising [1][2] New Business Developments - New business revenue was 22.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 19.2%, and operating losses narrowed by 17.5% to 2.3 billion yuan [1] - Meituan's new initiatives in the education sector, such as "Anxin Study," have expanded the product categories and service range, with over 20,000 educational institutions connected [2] - The company is focusing on enhancing operational efficiency in Meituan Youxuan, with expectations of reduced losses due to supply chain transformation and improved unit economics [3] Market Expansion and Competition - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, with Keeta launching in nine major cities in Saudi Arabia and plans to enter Brazil [3] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with JD and Ele.me increasing subsidy investments, and Alibaba upgrading its instant retail business [3] - Despite short-term performance fluctuations due to competitive pressures, the long-term growth trajectory remains positive, driven by a comprehensive local service ecosystem [3] Financial Projections - The company forecasts overall revenue of 390.4 billion, 437.7 billion, and 483.9 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with adjusted net profits of 47.8 billion, 57.6 billion, and 69 billion yuan [3] - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on its robust local service network and growth potential in instant retail and overseas markets [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Meituan-W (3690.HK) is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - In FY2025Q1, Meituan achieved revenue of 86.6 billion yuan, exceeding Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 85.4 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 18.1%. Adjusted net profit totaled 10.95 billion yuan, surpassing the expected 9.73 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 46.2%. Both revenue and profit exceeded expectations [2][6]. - Looking ahead, while short-term subsidy competition may disrupt profitability, Meituan's strategic determination and organizational resilience are expected to build its core competitiveness. The company is well-positioned to leverage its comprehensive local service ecosystem, driven by a three-sided transaction network of users, merchants, and fulfillment, alongside its dual engines of instant retail and in-store travel services for growth. International expansion and AI empowerment are anticipated to unlock long-term potential [2][6]. Summary by Sections Overall Performance - Meituan's core local business generated revenue of 64.3 billion yuan in FY2025Q1, a year-on-year increase of 17.8%, with operating profit of 13.5 billion yuan, up 39.1%. New business revenue reached 22.2 billion yuan, growing 19.2%, with operating losses narrowing by 17.5% to 2.3 billion yuan [8]. Instant Retail Business - The food delivery segment showed steady growth, with daily order volume increasing compared to the previous quarter. The instant retail brand, Meituan Flash Purchase, launched in April, has over 30,000 flash warehouses and more than 500 million total transaction users. Flash purchase orders increased by 50% year-on-year, with significant growth in low-frequency non-instant categories [8]. In-store Travel Business - The in-store travel segment has substantial growth potential, with a 25% year-on-year increase in active merchants. New initiatives like "Anxin Study" have been introduced, connecting over 20,000 educational institutions nationwide. The company continues to invest in ecosystem development to enhance user engagement and consumption frequency across various categories [8]. New Business and International Expansion - Meituan's new business, Meituan Preferred, is improving operational efficiency, with expectations of narrowing losses. The overseas business, Keeta, has launched in nine major cities in Saudi Arabia and is expanding into Brazil, focusing on food delivery to build a high-frequency traffic network [8]. Investment Recommendations and Profit Forecast - The report anticipates that in Q2, competition from JD and Ele.me will intensify, leading to a slowdown in core local business revenue growth and a decline in operating profit margins. However, the report maintains a positive long-term outlook for Meituan's comprehensive local service ecosystem and projects overall revenues of 390.4 billion, 437.7 billion, and 483.9 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with adjusted net profits of 47.8 billion, 57.6 billion, and 69 billion yuan [2][8].

Core Insights - The strategic partnership between Meituan and Marriott International aims to enhance customer experience by integrating hotel services with local lifestyle offerings, creating a comprehensive travel service platform [1][3] - The collaboration focuses on mutual membership benefits, allowing users to access both Meituan and Marriott's services seamlessly, particularly targeting younger consumers and emerging market users [3][5] Membership Integration - The partnership introduces a mutual recognition of membership levels, where Meituan and Dazhongdianping users can upgrade to corresponding Marriott membership tiers based on their existing status [6][8] - New members registered through Meituan can quickly access higher-tier Marriott memberships with significantly lower requirements compared to traditional standards [6][9] - Additional benefits include various vouchers and discounts for dining and hotel stays, enhancing the overall value proposition for members [6][21] Market Trends and Consumer Behavior - The hotel industry is facing intense competition, with a notable decline in business travel demand and price wars, prompting high-end hotels to seek innovative ways to attract and retain members [3][9] - The collaboration is expected to tap into the growing demand from younger consumers, particularly those with significant spending power, as evidenced by the high booking rates from this demographic [9][10] - Data indicates a substantial increase in bookings for Marriott hotels following the membership integration, with a reported 88% surge in reservations on the first day of the partnership [9][10] Expansion into Lower-Tier Markets - Marriott is strategically expanding into lower-tier cities, with plans for 30%-40% of new openings in third and fourth-tier cities, capitalizing on the growing consumer base in these regions [12][14] - The shift towards lower-tier markets is driven by the saturation of first and second-tier city hotel markets, making it a new battleground for hotel groups [11][12] Enhanced Consumer Experience - The partnership aims to create a more integrated travel experience, combining accommodation with dining and entertainment options, aligning with the trend of consumers seeking comprehensive travel solutions [16][22] - Meituan's extensive platform allows for a diverse range of services, enhancing the potential for cross-selling and increasing customer loyalty through a more holistic approach to travel [23][22]

Core Viewpoint - Meituan's latest quarterly report exceeded expectations, with total revenue reaching 86.6 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 18.1%, and net profit soaring to 10.06 billion RMB, up 87% year-on-year. However, the market reacted negatively due to CEO Wang Xing's strong statement about winning competition "at all costs," leading to a lack of guidance for Q2 and the rest of the year [1][2][18]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for the quarter was 86.557 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 18.1% [2]. - Operating profit margin increased significantly from 7.1% in the same period last year to 12.2% [1][2]. - Net profit for the quarter was 10.056 billion RMB, reflecting an 87.3% year-on-year increase [2]. - Adjusted EBITDA reached 12.302 billion RMB, a 52.4% increase compared to the previous year [2]. Business Strategy - Meituan's food delivery business has transitioned from loss to profitability, with a remarkable operating profit margin of 17.4% as of 2024, according to JP Morgan's report [4][7]. - The strategic value of the food delivery business is immense, as it helps bind user demand and provides significant cash flow, with cash and cash equivalents totaling 115 billion RMB and short-term investments at 65.4 billion RMB [8][10]. - The food delivery business also supports the rapid expansion of Meituan's "instant retail" segment, with a 50% year-on-year increase in orders [10]. Competitive Landscape - Meituan faces competition from JD.com and other platforms, which may challenge its market share and pricing power [18]. - The company emphasizes the importance of maintaining user engagement and market dominance, even if it means sacrificing short-term profits [14][15]. - The strategic approach of "spending at all costs" is seen as a tactical move to deter competitors and maintain market leadership [18].