证券日报网讯 12月15日，紫光股份在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司始终秉持开放合作的态 度，与国内外众多产业合作伙伴保持着广泛的技术交流和业务合作，共同推动ICT产业的发展。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

证券日报网讯 12月15日，中兴通讯在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，2025年前三季度，公司营业收 入同比增加104.8亿元、营业成本同比增加161.4亿元，受国内运营商通信基础设施投资下降的影响，公 司网络产品收入减少，同时公司服务器等算力产品收入实现快速增长，而算力产品在市场上的正常毛利 率低于通信网络产品的毛利率。上述收入结构变动导致公司营业成本增加金额多于营业收入增加金额。 2025年前三季度，公司购买商品、接受劳务支付的现金同比增加188.3亿元，主要用于采购项目交付及 产品生产所需的原材料及服务，上述原材料及服务除结转为营业成本外，其余计入存货。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has revised its risk-return analysis for ZTE Corporation, lowering revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 due to disappointing Q3 performance, particularly in domestic 5G business [1] Revenue Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for ZTE are adjusted to 5%, 6%, and 7% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] Gross Margin Predictions - Gross margin predictions have been reduced by 0.9%, 0.5%, and 0.4% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting the underperformance in domestic 5G revenue [1] Earnings Forecasts - Earnings forecasts for ZTE have been lowered by 11.1%, 12.5%, and 10.9% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] Target Price Adjustment - The target price for ZTE has been decreased from HKD 35 to HKD 31.5, maintaining a rating of "in line with the market" [1]

《电报解读》是一款主打时效性和专业性的即时资讯解读产品。侧重于挖掘重要事件的投资价值、分析 产业链公司以及解读重磅政策的要点。即时为用户提供快讯信息对市场影响的投资参考，将信息的价值 用专业的视角、朴素的语言、图文并茂的方式呈现给用户。 前言 商业航天+卫星+IDC，可提供低轨卫星电源产品，客户包括火箭院、航天科工集团，已形成服务器计算核 心单元、存储单元芯片的电源解决方案，这家公司通信领域成为大唐移动、三星电子等设备商电源供应 商。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the communication industry [9]. Core Insights - The communication sector has shown significant growth, with a 5.94% increase in the 50th week of 2025, leading the Yangtze primary industry rankings. Year-to-date, the sector has risen by 80.55% [2][4]. - Demand for optical chips, crucial for AI optical interconnects, remains strong, with overseas capacity expansion focusing on high-margin EML products. The commercialization pace of OCS and CPO is accelerating, driven by the scaling of AI clusters, which will further boost optical module demand [2][7]. - The commercial aerospace sector is entering a period of intensified activity, with core components like antennas and power supplies expected to see increased usage, enhancing their anti-deflationary characteristics [6][7]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - In the 50th week of 2025, the communication sector outperformed with a 5.94% increase, ranking first among primary industries. Since the beginning of the year, it has surged by 80.55% [2][4]. - Notable stock performances include Dekeli (+43.7%), Zhongci Electronics (+40.7%), and Huamao Technology (+28.5%) for gains, while Heertai (-12.6%), ZTE (-10.0%), and Nanjing Panda (-8.0%) faced declines [4]. Optical Chip Demand - Optical chips are in high demand, with Lumentum reporting that its EML production accounts for 50%-60% of the global market. The company has sold out its products until 2026 and has significant bookings for 2027, maintaining high prices [5]. - The company plans to increase EML capacity by approximately 40% over the next three quarters, although a 20% supply-demand gap currently exists, expected to widen to 30% by mid-2026 [5]. Commercial Aerospace Sector - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing a higher catalytic density, with potential applications in space data centers and a focus on rocket reusability tests expected to accelerate industry activity [6]. - The report emphasizes the importance of selecting stocks with high elasticity and anti-deflation characteristics, particularly in core components like antennas and power supplies [6]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended operators include China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom. For optical modules, suggested companies are Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Tianfu Communication, and Shijia Photon, with attention to Tai Chen Guang and Yuanjie Technology [7]. - Other recommendations include Invech for liquid cooling, and Fenghuo Communication, Hengtong Optic-Electric, and Zhongtian Technology for hollow-core fibers [7].

科技股成了今天的重灾区。 通信设备、半导体板块跌幅超过2%，前几天还风光无限的AI硬件概念集体熄火。 这直接拖累了创业板，指数一浪低过一浪。 反倒是消费类股票像酿酒、商业连锁一度逆势抬头，中央商场、茂业商业等个股涨停，但独木难支，完全带不动市场情绪。 收盘数据显示，高达4058只个股收绿，跌停股12只。 今天A股这走势，看得人心里发凉。 开盘就低开，虽然金融股试图护盘让指数短暂回暖，但午后科技股直接砸盘，三大指数集体收跌。 最吓人的是量能——全天成交额只有1.77万亿元，比上个 交易日整整缩水了3188亿！ 这可不是小数目，相当于市场里的活钱突然少了一大截。 盘面上，保险、证券这些金融权重早盘直线拉升，却只是昙花一现。 它们就像个"救场不出力"的保安，阻止场面崩溃，但压根没想推动局势好转。 而没有 持续性的护盘，反而消耗了多头的力量。 外资的态度也很暧昧。 北向资金虽然偶尔净流入，但规模有限，完全是一副试探姿态。 主力资金净流出超过600亿元，几乎每小时都在卖出。 这种缩量下跌的格局，表明市场已经进入"躺平模式"——场内的人不愿卖，场外的人不敢进。 有经验的老股民都清楚，缩量下跌比放量下跌更可怕。 放量至少说 ...

每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：公司参股的广州爱浦路网络技术有限公司对于商业航 天有哪些布局？ 北路智控（301195.SZ）12月16日在投资者互动平台表示，公司的参股公司广州爱浦路网络技术有限公 司（简称广州爱浦路），其核心网产品广泛应用于保密通信、卫星通信等范围，广州爱浦路在南京设立 全资子公司南京爱浦路卫星通信科技有限公司。以上信息可见于其官网介绍和工商登记。广州爱浦路网 络技术有限公司对于商业航天布局尚未披露，请投资者谨慎判断注意投资风险。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - As of December 12, 2025, the convertible bond's 100 - yuan fitted premium rate has risen to 31.82%. With the valuation reaching historical highs and continuing to fluctuate, there are doubts about the applicability of past curve - fitting methods in the current high - price and high - valuation market. The algorithm for the fitted premium rate may need to be re - explored [1][10]. - The convexity of the fitted premium rate curve has increased. The right - shift of the parity indicates a structural difference in the convertible bond market. High - parity convertible bonds have relatively stable valuations, and as parity decreases, the valuation premium rises faster, causing the convexity of the curve to strengthen. The change in parity may lead to deviations in the calculated 100 - yuan premium rate [1][15]. - The distribution of the conversion premium rate is more extreme. The low - parity group has a steeper slope of premium rate increase, and the high - parity group's premium rate has nearly doubled compared to the end of 2024, while the medium - parity group shows relatively small fluctuations. This requires a change in the function form for curve fitting [2][17]. - When the parity is changing, the fitting interval should be widened, especially towards high - parity. The fitting function form may be adjusted to an exponential form, which can better reflect the premium rate distribution in the high - parity range and is suitable for some low - price and high - valuation samples. Considering the expected positive performance of the equity market in 2026, attention can be paid to such fitting method adjustments [2][3]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Fitted Premium Rate Curve Shape Changes, Pay Attention to Structural Differences - **Valuation and Parity Changes**: As of December 12, 2025, the convertible bond's 100 - yuan fitted premium rate has reached 31.82%, up 11.14 pct from the beginning of the year, at the 98.90% historical quantile since 2017. The high - parity proportion has increased, and the traditional curve - fitting method may not be applicable [10]. - **Convexity of the Fitted Curve**: Compared with the end of 2024, the parity has shifted to the right. High - parity convertible bonds have stable valuations, and as parity decreases, the valuation premium rises faster, strengthening the convexity of the curve. The change in parity may cause the model to deviate, resulting in inaccurate 100 - yuan premium rate calculations [15]. - **Extreme Distribution of Premium Rate**: The low - parity (70 - 90) group has a steeper premium rate increase slope, and the high - parity (110 - 130) group's premium rate has nearly doubled compared to the end of 2024. The medium - parity group has relatively small fluctuations. The traditional cubic inverse function is not suitable for the current market, so the function form needs to be changed [2][17]. - **Consider Extreme Parity Values**: The common 70 - 130 fitting interval is less applicable when the parity rises. An exponential function (Y = A×e^(-k(x - B))+C) can be considered for fitting, as it has advantages at both ends and can better reflect the market distribution [2][19]. 3.2 Market Review: Convertible Bonds Rose Slightly Weekly, Valuation Remained Basically Flat 3.2.1 Weekly Market Quotes: Convertible Bond Market Rose Slightly, Most Equity Sectors Pulled Back - **Index Performance**: Last week, most major stock indices rose. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.34%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.84%, the ChiNext Index rose 2.74%, the SSE 50 Index fell 0.25%, the CSI 1000 Index rose 0.39%, and the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.20% [26]. - **Industry and Concept Performance**: In the Shenwan primary industry index, most equity markets pulled back last week. Communication, national defense and military industry, electronics, machinery and equipment, and power equipment led the gains; household appliances, basic chemicals, textile and apparel, real estate, and steel led the losses. The convertible bond market had mixed performance, with building materials, national defense and military industry, communication, automobiles, and power equipment leading the gains, and food and beverage, media, basic chemicals, commercial retail, and coal leading the losses. Among popular concepts, some concepts rose and some fell [30][33]. 3.2.2 Valuation Performance: Premium Rates of Convertible Bonds of Most Ratings and Sizes Rose - **Closing Price and Premium Rate**: The weighted average closing price of convertible bonds was 132.26, down 0.01% from the previous Friday. The closing price of equity - biased convertible bonds was 194.10 yuan, up 2.02% from last Friday; the closing price of bond - biased convertible bonds was 119.15 yuan, down 0.34% from last Friday; the closing price of balanced convertible bonds was 128.77 yuan, down 0.10% from last Friday. The proportion of the 120 - 130 (including 130) interval in the closing price distribution increased significantly. The price median was 130.59 yuan, down 0.21% from the previous Friday. The 100 - yuan parity fitted conversion premium rate of the convertible bond market was 31.82%, down 0.01 pct from last Friday. In terms of ratings and sizes, the premium rates of most convertible bonds rose [35]. 3.3 Terms and Supply: 2 Convertible Bonds Announced Forced Redemption, Total Pending Issuance Scale About 125 Billion 3.3.1 Terms: Last Week, 2 Convertible Bonds Announced Forced Redemption, 3 Convertible Bonds' Boards Proposed Downward Revisions - **Forced Redemption**: As of December 12, Yingbo and Hugong convertible bonds announced early redemption; Bojun convertible bond announced no early redemption; Xiangfeng, Kaisheng, Jinzhong, Furong, and Bo 23 convertible bonds announced that they were expected to meet the forced redemption conditions [4][55]. - **Downward Revision**: Last week, Bengang, Jinlang Zhuan 02, and Hongchuan convertible bonds issued announcements of the board's proposal for a downward revision of the conversion price. No convertible bonds announced the results of the downward revision. 15 convertible bonds announced no downward revision, and 11 convertible bonds announced that they were expected to trigger a downward revision [4][55]. 3.3.2 Primary Market: Last Week, Tianzhun, Shenyu, and Aohong Convertible Bonds Were Issued, Total Pending Issuance Scale About 125 Billion - **Issuance and Listing**: Last week, Tianzhun, Shenyu, and Aohong convertible bonds were issued, with a total scale of 19.52 billion yuan. Maolai and Ruike convertible bonds were listed, with a scale of 15.63 billion yuan. Dingjie convertible bond was listed on December 15, with a scale of 8.28 billion yuan [5][58]. - **Pending Issuance**: Last week, there were no new board proposals. Three companies passed the shareholders' meeting, two passed the issuance review committee's approval, and one was newly approved by the CSRC, an increase of +0, +3, +0, +1 respectively compared to the same period last year. As of December 12, four listed companies obtained convertible bond issuance approvals, with a proposed issuance scale of 41.67 billion yuan. Eight listed companies passed the issuance review committee, with a total scale of 83.14 billion yuan [60][65].

2025 年 12 月 16 日 申万金工 ETF 组合 202512 相关研究 证券分析师 沈思逸 A0230521070001 shensy@swsresearch.com 白皓天 A0230525070001 baiht@swsresearch.com 邓虎 A0230520070003 denghu@swsresearch.com 联系人 沈思逸 A0230521070001 shensy@swsresearch.com 权 益 量 化 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 量 化 策 略 - ⚫ 宏观行业组合：针对所有标记为"行业主题"的 ETF，选择成立时间 1 年以上、当期规模 2 亿以上的产品跟踪的行业主题指数，每个月根据历史数据计算经济、流动性、信用的敏 感性得分，然后根据最新的经济、流动性、信用判断指标调整得分方向后进行加总，最终 得到排名前 6 的行业主题指数，然后取对应规模最大的 ETF 进行等权配置。目前经济前 瞻指标继续回 ...

南方财经12月16日电，佳都科技（600728.SH）公告，公司全资子公司广东华之源信息工程有限公司拟 以现金7920万元收购青岛海信微联信号有限公司60%股权，其中以5412万元受让青岛海信网络科技股份 有限公司持有的41%股权，以2508万元受让北京交大微联科技有限公司持有的19%股权。资金来源为自 有资金。青岛海信微联信号有限公司成立于2019年3月18日，注册资本10000万元，主营业务为通信信号 工程的设计、集成及承包，轨道交通信号系统及设备的研发、设计、销售、咨询、技术服务等。截至 2024年12月31日，该公司资产总额31074.12万元，负债总额26450.68万元，净资产4623.44万元，营业收 入13857.49万元，净利润754.80万元。2025年1月至9月期间，营业收入为9445.13万元，净利润为349.30 万元。本次交易完成后，海信微联将成为公司控股子公司，纳入公司合并报表范围。 ...