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纺织服饰行业总结:2024年纺织制造修复,2025年关注优质品牌
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-05-07 01:23
Investment Rating - The industry maintains a rating of "Add" [6] Core Viewpoints - The textile and apparel industry is expected to recover in 2024, with a focus on quality brands in 2025. The apparel brands are projected to face profit pressure in 2024, with a slight improvement anticipated in Q1 2025 [1][4] - The textile manufacturing sector shows stable growth, with a significant profit increase driven by improved capacity utilization. The impact of recent tariff changes may accelerate industry optimization in the medium to long term [2][4] - The gold and jewelry sector exhibits performance divergence, with brands that focus on store expansion and product differentiation outperforming the industry average [3][4] Summary by Sections 1. Apparel Brands - In 2024, the revenue of key apparel companies (A-shares only) is expected to decline by 2.2%, with a net profit drop of 24.1%. The decline in profit is more significant than revenue due to negative operating leverage and increased expense ratios [1][21] - The gross margin for key apparel companies is projected to increase by 0.4 percentage points to 56.8% in 2024, with a further increase of 1.1 percentage points to 57.4% in Q1 2025 [1][33] - Cash flow for most brands in 2024 is expected to align with performance, maintaining a high dividend payout ratio [1][49] 2. Textile Manufacturing - The textile manufacturing sector is projected to see a revenue increase of 6.4% and a net profit growth of 26.9% in 2024, with leading companies like Shenzhou International and Huayi Group showing revenue growth rates of 15% and 19% respectively [2][4] - The revenue growth for key textile manufacturing companies is expected to slow down in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 due to high base effects, but overall performance remains stable [2][4] - The sector is expected to benefit from a more integrated and internationalized supply chain, particularly for leading companies [2][4] 3. Gold and Jewelry - The gold and jewelry sector is expected to see a revenue decline of 1.7% in 2024, with a net profit increase of 3.6%. Companies with strong product differentiation and store expansion strategies are likely to outperform [3][4] - The consumption of gold jewelry is projected to decrease by 25% in 2024, while the demand for gold bars and coins is expected to rise by 25% [3][4] 4. Investment Recommendations - For apparel brands, recommended stocks include Anta Sports, with a projected PE of 18 times for 2025, and other companies like Tabo, Weigao Medical, and Hailan Home, with varying PE ratios [4][9] - In textile manufacturing, recommended stocks include Shenzhou International and Huayi Group, with projected PE ratios of 11 and 15 times respectively for 2025 [4][9] - In the gold and jewelry sector, companies like Chow Tai Fook and Chaohongji are highlighted, with projected PE ratios of 16 and 18 times for 2025 [4][9]
纺织服饰行业周专题:adidas公司2025Q1营收增长13%,表现优异
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-05-05 12:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the textile and apparel sector, including Anta Sports, Tabo, and others, indicating a positive outlook for their performance in 2025 [5][14][30]. Core Insights - Adidas reported a 13% year-on-year revenue growth in Q1 2025, reaching €6.153 billion, with a significant operating profit increase of 82% to €610 million [1][18]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and quality brands, anticipating performance recovery and valuation increases in 2025 [4][27]. - The textile and apparel sector is expected to benefit from supportive national policies and increased participation in sports activities, leading to resilient growth for related brands [4][27]. Summary by Sections Adidas Performance - In Q1 2025, Adidas' revenue grew by 13% to €6.153 billion, with a gross margin increase of 0.9 percentage points to 52.1% and an operating profit surge of 82% to €610 million [1][18]. - The company maintains its guidance for 2025, expecting high single-digit revenue growth, with double-digit growth for the Adidas brand [1][18]. Regional Performance - North America saw a 2.8% revenue increase to €1.184 billion, while Europe experienced a 14% growth to €1.986 billion, with Adidas brand revenues growing by 13% and 16% respectively [2][21]. - The Greater China region reported a 12.7% revenue increase to €1.029 billion, with Adidas brand revenue up by 14%, marking it as Adidas' third-largest market globally [2][24]. - Emerging markets and Latin America showed robust growth, with revenues increasing by 23.4% to €870 million and 26.2% to €698 million respectively, with Adidas brand revenues growing by 25% and 27% [3][24]. Industry Outlook - The report highlights a stable global demand for apparel, with a focus on companies that can optimize their competitive positions amid changing market dynamics [28]. - It recommends companies like Shenzhou International and Huayi Group for their attractive valuations and growth potential, with projected P/E ratios of 11x and 15x for 2025 respectively [28][30]. - The report also notes the importance of product differentiation and brand strength in the jewelry sector, with companies like Chow Tai Fook and Chow Hong Ki expected to perform well [28].
纺织服饰周专题:adidas公司2025Q1营收增长13%,表现优异
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-05-05 11:17
证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 05 年 月 日 纺织服饰 周专题:adidas 公司 2025Q1 营收增长 13%,表现优异 【本周专题】 adidas 公司 2025Q1 营收增长 13%,表现超预期。adidas 披露 2025Q1 季 报,货币中性基础上营收同比增长 13%至 61.53 亿欧元,毛利率同比提升 0.9pcts 至 52.1%,经营利润同比大幅增长 82%至 6.1 亿欧元。截至 3 月末公司 库存同比增长 15%至 50.72 亿欧元,库存增加主要为了支持业务发展,库存处于 健康状态。 展望 2025 年:公司维持此前对于 2025 年的指引,预计 2025 年公司营收同比 增长高单位数,其中 adidas 品牌营收同比增长双位数。2025Q1 整体表现超公司 预期,然而当前美国关税问题或对公司业绩造成负面影响,综合考虑 Q1 表现以 及关税事件的不确定性因素后,公司维持此前指引。 分地区看:2025Q1 欧洲/大中华区业务增长亮眼,拉丁美洲业务持续快速增长。 1)欧洲&北美:货币中性基础上 2025Q1 北美业务营收同比增长 2.8%至 11 ...
纺织服饰行业周专题:adidas发布2025Q1业绩预告,经营表现超预期
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 06:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the textile and apparel industry, including Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Bosideng [5][11][24]. Core Insights - Adidas is expected to achieve a revenue of €6.153 billion in Q1 2025, representing a 13% year-on-year growth, with a 17% growth for the Adidas brand excluding Yeezy [1][16]. - The textile and apparel sector is anticipated to experience a recovery in demand in 2025, supported by government policies and increased participation in sports activities [3][22]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and quality brands for potential investment opportunities [3][22]. Summary by Sections Adidas Performance - Adidas forecasts a 13% year-on-year revenue growth for Q1 2025, with a gross margin increase of 0.9 percentage points to 52.1% [1][16]. - The company expects double-digit growth across all consumer markets [1][16]. Market Trends - The retail sales of clothing, shoes, and textiles in China grew by 3.4% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025, with the sportswear segment expected to outperform overall textile consumption [3][22]. - The report suggests a volatile recovery in demand for the textile sector throughout 2025 [3][22]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong fundamentals, such as Shenzhou International and Huayi Group, with respective 2025 PE ratios of 11x and 15x [4][23]. - Key companies highlighted for investment include Anta Sports, with a projected 2025 PE of 18x, and Bosideng, expected to deliver strong performance in 2025 [24][25]. Company Performance - Anta Sports reported significant growth in Q1 2025, with terminal sales increasing by high single digits, and other brands showing a 65%-70% year-on-year increase [24]. - For the home textile sector, Luolai Life expects a 20% growth in 2025, with a net profit of CNY 520 million [24][41].
周专题:adidas发布2025Q1业绩预告,经营表现超预期
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 06:12
证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 纺织服饰 周专题:adidas 发布 2025Q1 业绩预告,经营表现超预期 【本周专题】 adidas 披露 2025Q1 业绩预告,营收同比增长 13%。根据公司披露 2025Q1 公司预计实现营收 61.53 亿欧元,货币中性基础上同比增长 13%,剔除 Yeezy 业务影响后公司预计 adidas 品牌营收同比增长 17%, 整体表现优异,超公司预期,分地区看公司预计各消费市场均有双位数 的增长表现。从利润率层面来看,公司 2025Q1 毛利率同比提升 0.9pcts 至 52.1%,其中 adidas 品牌毛利率提升 1.6pcts,经营利润率同比提升 3.7pcts 至 9.9%,经营利润大幅增长至 6.1 亿欧元。 此前公司发布 2024 年报时,曾预计 2025 年公司营收增长高单位数。 公司此前预计 2025 年营收同比增长高单位数,其中 adidas 品牌营收同 比增长双位数,分地区看预计 2025 年 adidas 品牌在北美/大中华区/新兴 市场/拉丁美洲营收同比增长双位数,欧洲/日韩营收增长高单位 ...
纺织服饰行业周专题:adidas2024年营收增长12%,表现优异
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-03-09 10:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the textile and apparel sector, including Anta Sports, Huayi Group, Weixing Co., and others, with projected PE ratios for 2025 ranging from 14 to 23 times [11][29]. Core Insights - Adidas reported a 12% revenue growth in 2024, achieving €23.683 billion, with a significant increase in operating profit to €1.337 billion from €268 million in 2023 [1][15]. - The company expects high single-digit revenue growth for 2025, with double-digit growth anticipated for the Adidas brand across North America, Greater China, emerging markets, and Latin America [2][16]. - The textile and apparel sector is expected to see a recovery in demand in 2024, with leading companies benefiting from improved inventory management and a healthy discount environment [4][27]. Summary by Sections Adidas Performance - In 2024, Adidas' revenue reached €23.683 billion, with a 12% year-on-year increase on a currency-neutral basis, and a 19% increase in Q4 alone [1][15]. - The gross margin improved by 3.3 percentage points to 50.8%, and operating profit surged to €1.337 billion [1][15]. - Yeezy contributed approximately €650 million in revenue for 2024, down from €750 million in 2023, with inventory cleared by Q4 2024 [1][15]. Regional Performance - Europe and North America showed strong growth, with European revenue increasing by 19.8% to €7.551 billion, while North America saw a slight decline of 1.8% to €5.128 billion [2][19]. - Greater China revenue grew by 8.4% to €3.459 billion, maintaining high-quality growth and becoming Adidas' third-largest market globally [3][22]. - Emerging markets and Latin America experienced robust growth, with revenues increasing by 16.2% and 21% respectively [3][23]. Industry Outlook - The textile and apparel sector is projected to recover in 2024, with leading companies expected to outperform the industry due to improved demand and inventory management [4][27]. - Recommendations include Anta Sports, Huayi Group, and Weixing Co., with expected PE ratios for 2025 indicating strong growth potential [4][27]. - The report highlights the importance of maintaining a healthy discount environment and manageable inventory levels for sustained growth in 2025 [4][27].
纺织服饰行业周专题:Amer Sports 2024年归母净利润增长135%
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-03-02 08:12
证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 03 02 年 月 日 纺织服饰 周专题:Amer Sports 2024 年归母净利润增长 135% 【本周专题:Amer Sports 2024 年归母净利润增长 135%】 Amer Sports 2024 年业绩表现优异,同比大幅增长 135%。Amer Sports 2024 年营收同比增长 18%至 51.83 亿美元(单 Q4 增长 23%),分地区看 2024 年美洲 /EMEA/ 大中华区 / 亚太营收同比 +6.5%/+3.8%/+53.7%/+45.5% 至 18.6/15.1/13/5.1 亿美元(单 Q4 同比分别+15.1%/+8.1%/+53.9%/+52.4%), 2024 年公司经调整后毛利率同比提升 2.9pcts 至 55.7%,经调整后 OPM 同比提 升 1.3pcts 至 11.1%,2024 年净利润增长 135%至 0.73 亿美元,经调整后净利润 增长 329%至 2.36 亿美元。 展望 2025 年:公司预计营收增长 13%~15%,其中 Technical Apparel 分部营收 增长 2 ...