Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the textile and apparel sector, including Anta Sports, Bosideng, and Xtep International, among others [10]. Core Insights - The overall performance of the sportswear sector is stable, with a forecasted slowdown in revenue growth for Q2 2025 compared to Q1 2025 due to fluctuations in the consumer environment [1][4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and quality, anticipating performance recovery and valuation increases in 2025 [4]. - The jewelry sector is experiencing significant disparities in performance among companies, influenced by high gold prices and varying consumer demand for gold jewelry [3][29]. Summary by Sections Sportswear Sector - The sportswear companies are expected to maintain a healthy inventory turnover ratio of around 5 as of the end of Q2 2025, despite a forecasted revenue growth slowdown [1][15]. - Anta Sports is projected to achieve over 10% revenue growth in H1 2025, while Li Ning's revenue is expected to remain flat with a 20% decline in net profit [1][18]. - Xtep International is anticipated to see a 5% revenue growth and a 10% increase in net profit for H1 2025 [1][19]. - 361 Degrees is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 10% to 15% and a similar increase in net profit for H1 2025 [1][19]. A-Share Brand Apparel - The A-share brand apparel sector is experiencing stable terminal retail performance, but individual company performance is diverging [2][20]. - Companies like Hailan Home are expected to see a revenue growth of 0% to 5% in Q2 2025, while Steady Medical is projected to grow by 15% to 25% [2][24]. - The report indicates that companies with healthy terminal performance and effective cost management may see year-on-year growth, while those struggling with revenue scale may face pressure [2][20]. Jewelry Sector - The jewelry sector is benefiting from rising gold prices, with retail sales of gold and silver jewelry expected to grow by 12.3% year-on-year in 2025 [3][29]. - Companies like Chow Tai Fook and Chao Hong Ji are highlighted for their strong product differentiation and market competitiveness, with Chow Tai Fook expected to see a 10% increase in operating profit year-on-year [7][29]. - However, companies like Lao Feng Xiang and Zhou Da Sheng are projected to experience revenue declines of 20% to 10% and 15% to 5%, respectively, due to fluctuating consumer demand [3][29]. Apparel Manufacturing - The apparel manufacturing sector is expected to see stable output in finished garments, while upstream textile manufacturing orders are affected by pessimistic expectations [3][6]. - Shenzhou International is projected to achieve a revenue growth of 10% to 15% in H1 2025, while Wei Xing Co. is expected to see a decline in both revenue and net profit by 10% to 15% [3][6]. - The report suggests that leading companies with integrated and international supply chains are likely to outperform the industry in the medium to long term [3][6].

Group 1: White Liquor Industry Characteristics - The current pressure on prices is greater than the pressure on volume in the white liquor industry [1] - Most companies' short-term performance increasingly relies on market share improvement in core markets and is driven by mid-tier and lower-tier products [2] - Leading liquor companies are innovating their business models to cope with cyclical pressures by transforming scenarios, customer groups, and expanding white liquor cultural experiences to find new growth points [3] Group 2: Market Valuation and Investment Recommendations - The valuation of the white liquor sector has dropped to historical lows, enhancing the margin of safety, while companies are increasing shareholder returns through higher dividend rates and share buybacks [4] - Investment institutions recommend focusing on three types of quality targets: prominent brands with low valuations and stable demand, regionally strong operators with refined operations and potential for profit margin improvement, and companies with significant growth potential [4] Group 3: New Consumption Trends - In contrast to the performance of white liquor stocks, the new consumption sector has become a market focus this year, with segments like beauty, IP economy, and leisure snacks experiencing significant growth [5] - The Chinese consumer market is showing structural differentiation driven by three key factors: continuous policy benefits supporting new consumption sectors, generational shifts with "Generation Z" becoming the main market force, and varying growth stages among companies [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on new consumption sectors, particularly in pet products, AI glasses, and personal care, indicating a "Buy" recommendation for several companies in these areas [5][13][19]. Core Insights - The report highlights the emergence of new consumption sectors, including the pet products market, AI glasses, and personal care, with specific companies recommended for investment [5][13][19]. - It emphasizes the resilience of domestic brands in the personal care sector, driven by the rise of local products and consumer demand [13][14]. - The report notes the expected stabilization of paper prices due to recent price increase notices and supply adjustments, suggesting a potential recovery in the paper industry [24][25]. - The housing market is projected to gradually stabilize, supported by government policies aimed at promoting healthy development, which is expected to positively impact the home furnishings sector [26][27][28]. Summary by Sections New Consumption Sectors - The report identifies key players in the pet products sector, such as Tianyuan Pet, Yiyi Co., Yuanfei Pet, and Chaoyun Group, highlighting their strategic acquisitions and market positions [5][6][7][8]. - In the AI glasses segment, companies like Kangnait Optical, Mingyue Lens, and Boshi Glasses are noted for their potential benefits from new product launches and technological advancements [10][12]. - The personal care sector is characterized by strong domestic brands like Baiya Co., Haoyue Care, and Dengkang Oral Care, which are expected to thrive amid rising consumer preferences for local products [13][14]. Paper Industry - The report mentions that Arauco has announced price increases for cultural paper and white cardboard, indicating a potential stabilization in paper prices [24]. - It also discusses the long-term supply-demand improvements expected in the paper industry, recommending companies with integrated operations and strong management, such as Sun Paper [25]. Housing and Home Furnishings - The report outlines government initiatives to support the real estate market, which are anticipated to enhance the valuation of home furnishing companies like Sophia and Oppein [26][27]. - It highlights the positive impact of the "old-for-new" subsidy policies on the home furnishings sector, with significant sales growth reported in related products [28].

Group 1 - The domestic equity market has established a policy bottom, but short-term economic resilience expectations are limited due to external demand uncertainties, leading to a structural rotation in the market with a temporary preference for dividend stocks [1] - In June, the market is expected to maintain a range-bound structure, influenced by external shocks and policy support for economic recovery, with a focus on dividend assets and new consumption sectors, as well as low-position opportunities in technology growth [1] - The consumption sector is expected to benefit from a shift in policy focus from supply-side to demand-side, with strong expectations for consumption policies and stable performance in essential consumer industries during the earnings season [1] Group 2 - The pharmaceutical industry is currently undervalued, with an anticipated surge in innovative drugs due to a significant policy shift in centralized procurement, which may open up valuation ceilings and improve performance expectations for domestic innovative drugs [2] - Dividend assets are likely to benefit from a stable fundamental environment and low interest rates, with strong policy support expected to accelerate long-term capital inflows into high-yield assets [2] - The geopolitical uncertainties and potential risks from the "America First" policy have increased the allocation value of defensive assets, suggesting continued interest in defense, food security, security, and gold assets [2]

Group 1 - The domestic market sentiment remains low, with overall opportunities lacking, and the three major indices slightly declined [3] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets is a critical indicator of market sentiment, with a difficult maintenance of 1 trillion yuan, indicating a downward trend [3][4] - The Hong Kong market faces more significant challenges, with a noticeable contraction in trading volume and a larger overall decline compared to the mainland market [3][4] Group 2 - Recent hot sectors, such as the new consumption sector, have seen declines exceeding 6%, reflecting a cooling off after previous hype [4] - The enthusiasm for funds has not yet recovered, making it difficult for the Hong Kong market to rebound, especially with the upcoming Dragon Boat Festival holiday affecting liquidity [4]