朋友们，我是帮主郑重。今天，一份关键数据出炉了——11月全国70城房价，环比、同比继续双降。这 意味着房价已经连续第8个月走低。我看到很多朋友的第一反应是："楼市是不是彻底没戏了？" 别急， 作为一个看了20年经济数据的老记者，我想说，这份冰冷的统计数据背后，既有我们必须正视的风险预 警，也藏着中长线投资者值得关注的重大转折信号。 这份数据最核心的看点，不是"跌了"，而是 "如何跌" 。简单说，就是分化加剧：一线城市的抗跌性明 显更强，环比微降，而二三线城市的压力更大。同时，新房价格的下行压力普遍大于二手房。这告诉我 们，当前市场的核心问题，是信心与预期的普遍偏弱，大家不是在挑好房子，而是在犹豫"要不要买房 子"。 那么，为什么在这个时候，我们反而要冷静下来，甚至看到一些积极信号呢？因为政策的方向已经发生 了根本性转变。大家回想一下，过去一两年的政策重心是什么？是"去杠杆、防风险"。而现在的政策重 心，已经非常清晰地转向了 "防风险、稳市场、促转型"。从金融支持房企合理融资的"三个不低于"， 到重点城市的优化限购，再到轰轰烈烈的"保交楼"行动，目标非常明确：就是要把市场从"自由落体"的 状态，拖入一个"软着陆 ...

智通财经APP获悉，香港联交所最新资料显示，12月9日，UBS Group AG减持金融街物业(01502)18.5万 股，每股均价2.08港元，总金额为38.48万港元。减持后最新持股数目约为1120.75万股，最新持股比例 为10.83%。 ...

截至发稿，空港股份市值为36亿元。 每经AI快讯，空港股份（SH 600463，收盘价：12.08元）12月15日晚间发布公告称，公司第八届第十三 次董事会会议于2025年12月15日在北京天竺空港工业区B区裕民大街甲6号公司一层多媒体会议室以现 场及通讯方式召开。会议审议了《关于控股子公司向控股股东申请借款展期暨关联交易的议案》等文 件。 2024年1至12月份，空港股份的营业收入构成为：建筑施工业占比71.5%，租赁占比21.76%，物业管理 及其他占比7.76%，其他业务占比-1.02%。 （记者 王晓波） 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——"一针两千，童颜针年销3亿元"背后：多家关联方注册地"查无此人"，股民 追问"钱呢"！钱氏姐弟几乎"掏空"江苏吴中，公司即将退市 ...

南都物业公告，控股股东南都产发集团于2025年12月12日解除质押700万股，占其所持股份比例 10.85%，占公司总股本比例3.73%。解除质押后，南都产发集团累计质押股份1600万股，占其持股数量 比例24.80%，占公司总股本比例8.52%。 ...

新京报讯 据"北京东城"微信公众号消息，近日，东城区首个信托制物业项目落地建国门街道。建国门 街道相关负责人、社区工作人员、小区业委会、居民代表、首华物业团队及行业专家齐聚，共同参与现 场签约仪式。此次签约覆盖东总布胡同2号楼和小羊宜宾3、4号楼，这处建成于1989年、有322户居民的 多产权老旧小区，自此开启物业治理新阶段。 "我们在这儿住了5年多，过去小区没有正规的管理方，环境卫生只能靠社区志愿者和居民来保持整 洁。"居民贾超锋的话，道出了小区此前的治理困境。公共设施维护、日常管理缺乏稳定统筹，社区曾 长期承担兜底责任。 据了解，项目前期，街道开展业主意见摸排，超91%业主支持引入物业。在此基础上，通过举行十余场 座谈会、答疑会，由专家和工作人员向居民、意向物业公司普及信托制模式。同时，面向社会公开招募 物业企业，街道组织物业路演比选会，由业主担任评委现场投票。 建国门街道相关负责人表示，此次项目落地意义深远，作为多产权老旧小区，该片区长期面临失管难 题，是基层治理的重点难点。建国门街道联动社区党委、业委会与居民，创新引入信托制物业服务模 式，从根源上破解治理难题。首华物业主动担当国企责任，行业专家提供专 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhongtai Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for China Resources Vientiane Life (01209), highlighting the company's strong capabilities in commercial channels, which ensure revenue and profit growth, supported by stable property channels for steady performance improvement [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 8.52 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.5%, and a net profit attributable to equity shareholders of 2 billion, up 7.4% year-on-year [1] - The company's comprehensive gross margin was 37.1%, an increase of 3.1 percentage points year-on-year, with all expense ratios declining, leading to improved operational efficiency [1] - The interim dividend per share was 0.529, a significant increase of 89.6%, with a payout ratio of 60%, up 24 percentage points [1] Group 2: Commercial Channel Performance - In the first half of 2025, revenue from the commercial channel reached 3.27 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.65%, with a gross margin of 66.1%, up 5.2 percentage points [1] - The total operational area of shopping centers reached 13.093 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 14.11%, with 84.4% of the area coming from the parent company [1] - The commercial channel revenue accounted for 38.3% of total revenue, becoming a key driver for overall revenue and profit growth [1] Group 3: Property Management Performance - In the first half of 2025, property channel revenue was 5.16 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.1%, with a gross margin of 18.8%, down 0.1 percentage points [2] - Revenue from property management services was 3.5 billion, up 8.8% year-on-year, with a managed area of 27.5505 million square meters, an increase of 6.2% [2] - The company has a balanced business structure in property management, effectively combining resources from both the parent company and third parties [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [4] Core Insights - The Shanghai land market is showing signs of recovery with improved land quality and increased willingness among developers to acquire land [8] - The land supply in Shanghai for 2025 is reported at 1.6524 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 2.16%, while the planned construction area is 3.2134 million square meters, a decrease of 3.71% [12][19] - The average premium rate for land transactions in Shanghai reached 15.75% in 2025, an increase of 5.47 percentage points year-on-year, with total land transfer fees amounting to 140.022 billion yuan, up 1.46% year-on-year [23] Summary by Sections 1. Shanghai Land Supply and Transaction Situation - The total area of land released for construction in Shanghai in 2025 is 1.6524 million square meters, with a planned construction area of 3.2134 million square meters [12] - The transaction area of construction land in 2025 is 1.6402 million square meters, a decrease of 5.63% year-on-year, while the planned construction area transacted is 3.1610 million square meters, down 14.46% year-on-year [19] - The average transaction floor price is 44,297.15 yuan per square meter, an increase of 8.63% year-on-year, and the average land price is 85,358.89 yuan per square meter, up 7.50% year-on-year [21] 2. Shanghai Land Auction Analysis - The top 10 high-premium land parcels are primarily located in the Pudong New Area and Hongkou District, indicating higher auction activity in these central urban areas compared to suburban regions [38] - The auction market in 2025 saw no failed bids, reflecting a robust demand for land [47] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading real estate companies with stable performance and high safety margins, such as China Merchants Shekou, Binjiang Group, and Huafa Group [47] - Beneficiary stocks recommended include Yuexiu Property, Greentown China, China Overseas Development, and China Resources Land [47] - For the property sector, recommended companies include China Resources Vientiane Life, China Overseas Property, Poly Property, and China Merchants Jinling [47]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors [1]. Core Insights - The real estate market is expected to stabilize, with core cities likely to see a recovery sooner. Two major opportunities are identified: the rise of "good housing" policies and the strong performance of quality commercial enterprises during a monetary easing cycle [1][26]. - The report highlights a significant decline in new and second-hand housing transactions, with new home sales in 34 key cities dropping by 12.3% week-on-week and 32% year-on-year in December [2][5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of policy measures from the Central Economic Work Conference aimed at stabilizing the real estate market, including city-specific strategies for inventory reduction and supply optimization [26][27]. Summary by Sections Industry Data - New home sales in 34 key cities totaled 242.3 million square meters, down 12.3% week-on-week, with first and second-tier cities seeing a 12.9% decline [2][5]. - Year-on-year, December sales in 34 cities decreased by 32%, with first and second-tier cities also down by 32% [5][6]. - The inventory of unsold residential properties in 15 cities increased by 0.2% week-on-week, with a current available area of 90.05 million square meters [19][20]. Policy and News Tracking - The Central Economic Work Conference held on December 10-11 focused on stabilizing the real estate market through various measures, including encouraging the acquisition of existing properties for affordable housing [26][27]. - Qingdao introduced the first national "Good Housing" construction standard system, aiming to add at least 12,000 quality housing units by 2026 [29][30]. - New policies in Changsha regarding housing provident funds aim to ease home purchasing for families with two or more children and streamline processes for workers from other regions [29][30]. Company Dynamics - Major real estate companies reported significant declines in sales for November, with Poly Developments down 24.9% to 18.02 billion yuan and China Jinmao down 0.02% to 8 billion yuan [33][34]. - New City Holdings issued bonds worth 1.75 billion yuan with a 4% interest rate, while Yuexiu Property secured a 2 billion yuan loan [33][34]. - The report notes that the average price-to-earnings ratio for mainstream A/H listed real estate companies is projected at 21.2 for 2025 and 18.5 for 2026 [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors [2][3]. Core Insights - The central economic work conference emphasized stabilizing the real estate market and managing risks effectively, with policies tailored to local conditions [30][31]. - The report identifies two major opportunities: the rise of "good housing" policies and the potential for value reassessment in quality commercial real estate during a monetary easing cycle [3][30]. Industry Data Summary New Housing Transactions - In the week of December 6-12, 2025, new housing transactions in 34 key cities totaled 2.423 million square meters, a decrease of 12.3% week-on-week [4][7]. - Year-on-year, December transactions in these cities are down 32%, with first and second-tier cities also experiencing a 32% decline [7][8]. Second-Hand Housing Transactions - In the same week, second-hand housing transactions in 13 cities totaled 1.114 million square meters, a slight decrease of 0.4% week-on-week, and a year-on-year decline of 36.4% for December [12][13]. Inventory and Supply - In the week of December 6-12, 2025, 15 cities launched 980,000 square meters of new housing, with a transaction-to-launch ratio of 0.84 [22][23]. - The total available residential area in these cities reached 90.05 million square meters, reflecting a 0.2% increase week-on-week [22]. Policy and News Tracking - The central economic work conference outlined strategies for stabilizing the real estate market, including controlling inventory and encouraging the acquisition of existing housing for affordable housing projects [30][31]. - New policies in various cities, such as Qingdao's "good housing" standards and Beijing's expedited property registration processes, aim to enhance housing supply and streamline administrative procedures [30][33]. Company Dynamics - Sales data for November showed significant declines for many real estate companies, with Poly Developments reporting a 24.9% decrease in sales [36][38]. - Financing activities included new bond issuances and loans, with companies like Yuexiu Property securing a 2 billion RMB loan and New City Holdings issuing bonds worth 1.75 billion RMB [36][38].

中国高科（600730）12月12日晚间公告称，公司直接控股股东方正国际教育的控股股东新方正控股发展有限责任公司拟通过转让其所持有的方正国 际教育股权的方式，间接转让其间接持有的上市公司20.03%股份。若转让完成，将导致公司控制权发生变更。 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 停复牌类型 | | 停牌起始日 | 停牌 期间 | 停牌终止日 | 复牌日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600730 | 中国高科 | A 股 | 停牌 | 2025/12/15 | | | | 公司表示，鉴于上述事项正处于筹划中，尚存在不确定性。经申请，公司股票自2025年12月15日（星期一）起停牌，预计停牌时间不超过2个交易 日。 值得一提的是，中国高科12日当天股价开盘后快速涨停，全天成交额12.34亿元，换手率13.29%。公司目前的总市值也处于五年来的高位，最新市值 为93.34亿元。 公开信息显示，中国平安通过控制新方正集团间接控制中国高科。 中国高科的主营业务包括教育、不动产运营及资产服务业务。其中，教育业务包括医学领域在线职业教育业务、高等教 ...