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中金 | 电信服务全球研究系列:日本电信运营商篇
中金点睛· 2025-05-06 23:34
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the growth potential of Japanese telecom operators in emerging B2B businesses and international expansion, particularly focusing on NTT's strategies and performance in these areas [1][2][3]. Group 1: Emerging Business Strategies - Japanese telecom operators, including NTT, KDDI, and Softbank, are increasingly investing in B2B services, cloud computing, and data centers, with NTT leading in international business expansion [2][3]. - NTT has established NTT DATA to manage its emerging business, which includes system integration, cloud services, and global data center services [2][3]. - NTT DATA has expanded internationally through acquisitions, including the purchase of Verio in 2000 and Dell's IT services division in 2016, and operates over 150 data centers globally with a total load exceeding 1,400 MW [2][3]. Group 2: Traditional Business and Regulatory Environment - The traditional telecom business in Japan faces significant regulatory pressures, leading to a decline in mobile ARPU, which has been decreasing since 2021 due to government calls for lower pricing [3][30]. - Japanese telecom operators are diversifying into value-added services, including digital content, lifestyle services, and financial services, to stabilize revenue amid declining ARPU [3][38]. - The regulatory environment encourages fair competition and restricts excessive pricing and subsidies, impacting the operators' pricing strategies [30][35]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Growth - NTT's revenue from global solutions, primarily B2B services, has shown a CAGR of 9% from FY20 to FY23, while traditional communication revenue has only grown at 1% [16][45]. - The overall revenue growth for Japanese telecom operators has been steady, with NTT and KDDI achieving CAGRs of 2.0% and 4.0% respectively from FY10 to FY23 [45][47]. - NTT's capital expenditure is shifting towards emerging businesses, with plans to invest approximately 12 trillion yen from FY23 to FY27, focusing on digital transformation, AI, and data centers [50][53].
月论高股息:切换进行时
2025-05-06 15:27
月论高股息:切换进行时 20250506 • 银行业高股息逻辑持续,区域银行业绩韧性较强,大行股份行受债市投资 波动影响略有分化。推荐工行、建行、农行等港股大行,以及江浙和成渝 地区的城商行。 • 电信运营商通过 AI、云计算等新兴领域布局抵消传统业务下滑,预计 2025 年成本增速放缓,股息率保持在 5%-6%,推荐关注运营商投资机会, 尤其是年度分红股权登记时间点。 有没有问题。 Q&A 4 月份高股息板块的表现如何? 4 月份,中证红利指数相对于中证全指的超额收益呈现先强后平的路径。4 月 1 日至 8 日,红利指数每天都跑赢全市场,累计超额收益达 6 个点。随后在市场 波动恐慌集中释放后的 9 日至 11 日,红利指数每天都跑输,累计回撤约 3 个 多点。接下来的几周总体走平,红利与中证全指基本持平。整体来看,4 月份 红利指数仍有约 3 个点的超额收益,这体现了高股息资产的防御属性。 对于 5 月份高股息板块的投资建议是什么? 对于 5 月份,我们建议交易型投资者适当减少红利持仓,而偏配置型投资者可 以在红利内部做切换。这主要基于对市场方向的判断,我们认为 5 月份市场情 绪有所修复,但关税对出口和 ...
北京进入“双万兆”时代 北京移动启动千个社区万兆网络覆盖工程
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 14:38
他表示,2025年,中国移动将重点围绕迎宾导览、家庭陪伴两大系列打造商用级产品,推动四足狗系列 成为家庭场景消费级产品;围绕居家服务前瞻布局家庭场景通用机器人产品。 编辑 岳彩周 校对 穆祥桐 会上,北京移动基于万兆宽带与5G-A无线网络的双轮驱动,正式推出"双万兆AI Family计划",还发布 全新AI家庭产品体系,并启动北京1000个社区的万兆网络覆盖工程。 值得注意的是,在具身智能火热的当下,中国移动也在会上分享了自己的理解。中国移动首席专家、中 国移动智慧家庭运营中心具身智能产业创新中心总经理程宝平将机器人发展路径分为道具、玩具、工 具、伙计、兄弟五个阶段。 他认为,当前机器人行业正处于"道具"(机械装置、展示机器人,仅实现基础特定动作)向"伙计"(服 务机器人、陪伴机器人,具备自然交互能力、提供情感交互与生活服务)跨越的关键期,需重点突破具 身智能与通用任务规划能力,最终实现机器人与人类的能力互补与情感共鸣。 新京报贝壳财经讯(记者韦英姿)5月6日,以"AI家京彩,智绘生活——双万兆点亮生活,智慧家触手 可及"为主题的中国移动北京公司(下称:北京移动)双万兆AI Family计划发布会在京举行。北 ...
国盾量子(688027):2024年年报点评:首次覆盖:中电信入股后,公司量子通信高速增长
Haitong Securities International· 2025-05-06 13:46
首次覆盖: 中电信入股后,公司量子通信高速增长 国盾量子(688027) ——2024 年年报点评 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.05.01 2025-05-06 电信运营 [Table_Industry] /信息技术 [Table_Invest] 评级: 优于大市 [Table_Target] 目标价格: 294.50 [Table_CurPrice] 当前价格: 240.33 [Table_Market] 交易数据 52 周内股价区间(元) 140.46-351.00 总市值(百万元) 24,721 本报告导读: 收入大幅增长,净亏损大幅收窄;中电信入股大大加强了公司量子通信的拓展能力。 投资要点: | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 156 | 253 | 369 | 506 | 662 | | (+/-)% | 15.9% | 62.3% | 45.8% | 37.0% | 30.8% | ...
带宽提升10倍!北京千个社区将覆盖万兆网络
Bei Jing Ri Bao Ke Hu Duan· 2025-05-06 10:42
转自:北京日报客户端 5月6日,中国移动北京公司召开双万兆AI Family计划发布会,发布全新AI家庭产品体系,并启动北京 1000个社区的万兆网络覆盖工程。 例如,搭载中国移动九天大模型的AI眼镜G1000,以语音交互打通办公与生活场景;云电脑支持多端登 录,为工作提供便利;宠物喂食器联合摄像头产品,实现远程投喂、AI看护、云端存储与健康管理 等,让养宠更省心;机器人产品既能完成家务辅助,也能提供家庭陪伴。 北京移动表示,将在全市建设1000个万兆社区,让更多市民享受到双万兆网络的便捷与高效。针对万兆 用户,其还将推出万兆网络上门服务、网络需求7*24小时极速响应、专属网络工程师一对一等专属服 务。 来源:北京日报客户端 "双万兆"是指"5G-A无线+F5G-A有线"光网技术能力均近万兆。其中,5G-A网络峰值上行速率接近 200Mbps、下行速率接近3Gbps,较传统5G提升3至5倍,能为直播、高清视频等场景提供忙时加速服 务;而万兆宽带上行速率接近1Gbps、下行速率接近10Gbps,可将用户带宽提升10倍,满足8K超高清视 频、云游戏、VR/AR等高带宽场景需求。此外,通过云网协同技术,云存储、云电 ...
北京移动宣布推出“双万兆AI Family计划”,将建设1000个万兆社区
Xin Lang Ke Ji· 2025-05-06 10:15
Core Insights - Beijing Mobile has launched the "Dual 10G AI Family Plan," marking the official entry into the "Dual 10G" era in Beijing, with a focus on upgrading network technology, product systems, and service quality [1][2] Group 1: Network Technology - The upgraded 10G broadband offers nearly 10Gbps download and nearly 1Gbps upload speeds, enhancing user bandwidth by 10 times, capable of supporting high-bandwidth applications like 8K video, cloud gaming, and VR/AR [1] - The 5G-A network achieves peak upload speeds close to 200Mbps and download speeds near 3Gbps, representing a 3 to 5 times improvement over traditional 5G, providing accelerated services for live streaming and high-definition video [1] Group 2: Product Offerings - Beijing Mobile has introduced a comprehensive smart product matrix covering various home scenarios, including smart assistants, intelligent office solutions, pet monitoring, health management, and entertainment [2] - The AI glasses G1000, powered by China Mobile's Jiutian model, facilitate voice interaction across work and life scenarios, while the cloud computer allows multi-device login, breaking spatial boundaries [2] - Additional products include a pet feeder with a camera for remote feeding and health management, a multifunctional robot for household assistance and companionship, and the FTTR smart box for 3D viewing and cloud storage of user photos and videos [2] Group 3: Community and Infrastructure Development - Beijing Mobile plans to construct 1,000 10G communities in Beijing, aiming to provide more citizens with access to the dual 10G network [2] - The company is committed to enhancing the 10G network infrastructure and expanding application scenarios in line with the capital's vision of becoming a "Light Network Capital, 10G City" [2]
可能被高估的美国关税通胀(国金宏观钟天)
雪涛宏观笔记· 2025-05-06 06:37
文:国金宏观宋雪涛/联系人钟天 当前的关税和2018年在多个维度上不存在可比性:一是全面的关税带来了明显的金融通缩(压低盈利 预期、侵蚀估值水平、引发去杠杆化以及信贷条件紧缩),二是陡增的关税水平很难由任何一方独自承 担(出口商、进口商、消费者)。 在 美国经济的供需两端都面临"涨价约束"的情况下,美国的关税通胀可能被高估。 首先是需求端,消费者信心预期已经跌破数年来的低点。 而在消费者信心指数出现向下拐点之前, 美国耐用品的前置消费就已发生,说明当时的消费数据已经 包含了部分关税预期。 居民部门的提前囤货反映出他们对于潜在关税的敏感,这意味着消费者可能不会为高关税买单,而是会 选择直接减少消费。 在消费信心疲软且车贷利率高企的背景下,3月美国汽车消费录得了4年来的新高,反映出消费者对于 即将征收汽车关税的规避,未来需求将不可避免地快速回落。 关税是需求紧缩政策:既可以看作是财政紧缩(美国私人部门承担关税),也可以看 作是货币紧缩(非美私人部门承担关税)。 当前的消费放缓不仅包括商品消费的前置和 消费信心的下降,还包括服务消费的自然下行。 比如 美国 本土出行旅游等非必要消费的下降, 酒店入住率持续下行且同比 ...
电信ETF基金(560690)受益AI算力高景气,中国卫通等多股涨超3%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 06:13
关联个股: 券商研究方面,国泰海通证券指出电信行业作为数字经济的核心基础设施,受益于国产化替代和智能化 升级趋势,行业景气度持续回暖;浙商证券则强调,随着5G建设加速和云计算需求增长,电信运营商 及产业链上游企业的业绩弹性有望逐步释放。两家机构均认为,电信板块在政策支持和技术迭代的双重 驱动下,具备中长期配置价值。当前成分股中中国卫通、中际旭创等标的涨幅居前,反映出市场对卫星 通信、光模块等细分领域的乐观预期。 关联产品: 电信ETF基金(560690) 截至05月06日13:57,电信ETF基金(560690.SH)上涨2.15%,其关联指数中证电信(931235.CSI)上涨 2.45%;主要成分股中,中国联通上涨2.63%,中国电信上涨1.30%,银之杰上涨2.99%,中国卫通上涨 3.12%,中际旭创上涨3.84%。 消息面上,中信建投证券指出,近期AI算力产业相关公司年报及一季报业绩表现亮眼,印证行业高景 气度,带动算力概念股集体走强,其中大位科技、华胜天成等个股涨停,天源迪科、超讯通信等涨幅超 5%。电信ETF成分股中际旭创、中国卫通等作为算力基础设施领域标的,受益于行业景气度提升,股 价涨幅显著 ...
中国移动:全流程跟踪问效 深化巡视整改监督
Zhong Yang Ji Wei Guo Jia Jian Wei Wang Zhan· 2025-05-06 04:29
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of comprehensive supervision and effective implementation of corrective measures in the internal inspection process of China Mobile [1][2][3] - The company has established a "full-process" supervision mechanism to ensure that the focus of corrective actions remains aligned with the intended goals, involving various departments in the review and feedback process [1][2] - A "multi-dimensional" evaluation model has been created to assess the effectiveness of corrective actions taken by the inspected units, focusing on political impact, accountability, root cause management, and long-term mechanisms [2] Group 2 - The company is enhancing its oversight of the corrective action meetings to ensure they are substantive and not merely procedural, with a focus on addressing key issues and fostering a spirit of accountability [3] - The inspection team is committed to integrating corrective actions with broader reforms and governance practices, ensuring that these measures are embedded in daily operations and responsibilities [3]
通信行业机构持仓和业绩综述
2025-05-06 02:27
通信行业机构持仓和业绩综述 20250505 摘要 • 2025 年一季度,北美云厂商资本开支同比增长 65%至 720 亿美元,预示 海外 AI 需求强劲,国内资本开支亦逐步筑底回升,腾讯预计 2025 年资本 开支增长超 50%,国内 AI 创新加速,为通信行业带来增长动力。 • 一季度通信行业基金持仓占比下降至 2.8%,超配比例为-1.54%,处于历 史低位,但机构持仓仍聚焦 AI 产业链,前十大持仓集中于网络设备、设备 制造、光模块及 PCB 领域,新易盛首次成为机构第一大持仓。 • 2024 年通信行业整体营收增长近 9%至 3 万多亿元,净利润增长约 7.57%;剔除三大运营商及中兴通讯等公司后,中小市值公司营收增长 12%,净利润增长 19%,业绩弹性更大。 • 2025 年一季度,通信行业整体营收同比增长 9%至 8,000 多亿元,归母 净利润增长 9.6%;剔除千亿市值公司后,其余企业营收同比增长 18%, 归母净利润同比增长 36%,受益于 AI 推动及细分领域资本开支增加。 • 2024 年光模块板块收入增长 60%至近 700 亿元,PCB 和 CCL 板块营收 增长 26%至约 ...