广发证券发布研报称，回看历史经验，恒生指数在春节前3个交易日上涨概率82%，节后并没有明显的日历效应，上涨概率仅在40%~60%，春节后-两会的 典型窗口并不天然适配港股。但这次也可能不一样，港股近年来的定价逻辑正在发生变化，港股与A股的相关性走强，与美股的相关性走弱。这意味着在 内地市场风险偏好明显抬升的背景下，港股存在一定的"被动跟随"上涨的可能性，例如24、25年的春节后。 | 上涨概率 | 圣诞节-春节前 | 春节后-两会 | 两会期间 | 两会-3月底 | 1月 | 2月 | 3月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 恒生科技 | 72.7% | 72.7% | 45.5% | 50.0% | 63.6% | 72.7% | 54.5% | | 恒生指数 | 80.0% | 46.7% | 40.0% | 42.9% | 73.3% | 53.3% | 53.3% | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 73.3% | 40.0% | 46.7% | 57.1% | 60.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | | 恒生港股通 | 81 ...

在内蒙古东北部的大兴安岭深处，冬季漫长而严寒，极端气温可达-40℃以下。与外界联系，主要靠电话和网络。网络维护员柴瑞峰负责的片区内有6000余 名居民，还驻有消防救援机动队伍和森林资源管护站。近14年来，他独自踏遍了1.3万平方公里的林海雪原，守护着106个基站、50多个瞭望塔以及800多公 里的光缆。日前，总台新春走基层记者跟随他走进林海，记录下了极寒环境中一个人一台车的风雪巡线路。 柴瑞峰：平常如果下雪的话，被雪盖住，我们这个基站它就无法正常运行了。冬天的时候扫主要的这个通信（网）站，十天半个月就得扫一次。 天刚蒙蒙亮，中国电信呼伦贝尔分公司的网络维护员柴瑞峰就准备出发，开始一天的巡检工作。担心前一晚的降雪压坏设备，今天，他要去林区深处的几处 基站和山顶瞭望塔看看。这些基站无固定市电供应，全靠光伏板维持运转，进入冬季，积雪、低温都会影响光伏板，严重时会造成线路冻裂，因此，巡检工 作格外重要。 记者帮着柴瑞峰一起推车，但一番努力后，还是没能把车推出雪坑。柴瑞峰拿来工具，开始铲雪。 快速清扫完基站积雪，确认设备正常后，柴瑞峰驱车前往下一站——山顶瞭望塔。一路上，既有厚厚的冰道，也有暗藏的松软雪层。尽管柴瑞峰一 ...

来源：市场资讯 中讯邮电咨询设计院有限公司，成立于1991年，位于北京市，是一家以从事软件和信息技术服务业为主 的企业。企业注册资本57333.3335万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，中讯邮电咨询设计院有限公司共 对外投资了15家企业，参与招投标项目5000次，财产线索方面有商标信息97条，专利信息1449条，此外 企业还拥有行政许可20个。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 国家知识产权局信息显示，中国联合网络通信集团有限公司取得一项名为"空调控制方法、装置及可读 存储介质"的专利，授权公告号CN116017944B，申请日期为2022年12月。 天眼查资料显示，中国联合网络通信集团有限公司，成立于1994年，位于北京市，是一家以从事电信、 广播电视和卫星传输服务为主的企业。企业注册资本10570385.629549万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分 析，中国联合网络通信集团有限公司共对外投资了35家企业，参与招投标项目3355次，财产线索方面有 商标信息3727条，专利信息5000条，此外企业还拥有行政许可11个。 ...

Group 1 - The APEC high-level meeting in Guangzhou coincides with the "Integrating APEC, Sharing New Opportunities" policy empowerment and investment promotion salon organized by the Guangzhou Municipal Bureau of Commerce [1] - Approximately 60,000 foreign-funded enterprises are currently operating in Guangzhou, including 368 Fortune 500 companies, with actual foreign investment reaching 25.19 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.1% [3] - Foreign enterprises, constituting less than 2% of the total number, contribute nearly 20% of the revenue in the regulated service industry, 30% of total imports and exports, and 40% of the industrial added value in Guangzhou [3] Group 2 - Guangzhou is leveraging systematic institutional innovation to provide high-quality development opportunities for global capital and enterprises, focusing on nine key sectors for foreign investment [5] - The city has established over 50,000 enterprises from APEC economies, with actual foreign investment nearing 120 billion USD, accounting for over 80% of the city's total foreign investment [3] - The salon highlighted recent policies aimed at stabilizing foreign investment and promoting openness, offering a "policy package" for foreign enterprises [5] Group 3 - The Guangzhou Municipal Bureau of Commerce has conducted 73 policy briefings and served over 7,500 enterprises in the past year, enhancing service precision and timeliness [6] - The bureau plans to upgrade its enterprise service initiatives, focusing on domestic circulation and international market connections, particularly with APEC economies [6] - The city aims to create a comfortable development environment for both domestic and foreign enterprises, promoting mutual growth in a diverse industrial ecosystem [5][6]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, consolidated service revenue increased by 0.6%, with adjusted EBITDA rising by 0.7%, leading to a 20 basis point improvement in adjusted EBITDA margin to 43.6%, the strongest annual margin in over 30 years [18] - Adjusted EPS declined by 7.9% in 2025, primarily due to higher depreciation and amortization from network investments and increased interest expense [18] - Free cash flow increased by 10% to CAD 3.2 billion, driven by higher EBITDA, lower capital expenditures, and improved working capital [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Wireless service revenue declined by 0.2% in Q4, an improvement from previous quarters, with consumer wireless service revenue stable year-over-year [20][22] - Fiber-to-the-Home internet net additions reached 43,000 in Q4, contributing to a year-over-year internet revenue growth of 8% [7][21] - AI-powered solutions revenue grew by 31% in the enterprise segment, driven by strong performance from Ateco and Bell Cyber [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The acquisition of Ziply Fiber contributed positively to revenue, with total revenue for Bell CTS US reaching CAD 232 million in Q4, supported by strong customer penetration [23] - Ziply added over 6,000 net new fiber customers in Q4, with a focus on expanding its fiber footprint [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company has aligned its organization around four strategic priorities: enhancing customer experience, strengthening fiber and wireless network leadership, accelerating enterprise and digital media growth, and positioning for sustainable free cash flow growth [3][4] - The strategy includes a focus on disciplined capital allocation, with a target of approximately CAD 1.5 billion in AI-powered solutions revenue by 2028 [11][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth of core segments while managing declines in legacy services, indicating a focus on maintaining momentum in AI-powered solutions and digital media [36] - The company anticipates consolidated revenue growth of 1%-5% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 0%-4% for 2026, reflecting continued momentum in growth engines [26][27] Other Important Information - The company reported a net debt leverage ratio of approximately 3.8 times adjusted EBITDA at the end of 2025, unchanged from the previous year, despite the Ziply Fiber acquisition [30][31] - The company is focused on maintaining a dividend payout ratio within the target range of 40%-55% while generating strong free cash flow [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance ranges for revenue and EBITDA - Management indicated that the guidance reflects growth in core segments while managing legacy declines, with potential swings from wireless penetration gains and overall market growth [36][38] Question: Wireless pricing environment - Management noted that they are focused on disciplined execution and are not participating in aggressive promotions, aiming for profitable transactions [39][40] Question: Growth and margins for Ziply - Management confirmed that Ziply's performance is in line with expectations, with strong demand for fiber and plans to expand beyond the existing footprint [45][46] Question: Impact of recent wireless discounts - Management stated that recent pricing activity does not change their execution strategy, emphasizing a disciplined approach to subscriber loading [57][58] Question: Convergence opportunities - Management acknowledged the potential for increased wireless market share through their fiber footprint and indicated a belief in significant upside from disciplined execution [60][61]

【申万宏源海外策略】"税收法定原则"的落地——就近期部分行业涉税相关问题的探讨 伴随着《中华人民共和国增值税法》在2026年1月1日起施行，部分涉税安排在近期有所更新。 我们认为，鉴于新法相关细则已较为明确，以互联网、金融为代表的服务性行业现行的税收安排在短期内发生变 化的概率相对较低。 通信服务的税率变更有历史发展阶段的原因，不宜线性外推：回溯历史，"基础电信服务"和"增值电信服 但伴随着时代的发展，今次利用增值税从行政条例发展成为法律的契机，将今天这个数字时代已经非常普遍的手 机流量和宽带等服务重新定义为"基础电信服务"适用9%的税率，本身就有顺应历史发展的含义。 且当前增值税法及相关实施细则已在近期公布，短期内再次大幅变化的概率相对较低。 根据财政部和税务总局在2026年1月30日发布的《销售服务、无形资产、不动产注释》的规定，金融、信息技术等 业务明确适用6%的增值税率。 在这一规定中，"无形资产"明确提到包括"代理权、会员权、席位权、网络游戏虚拟道具、域名"等"不具实物形 态，但能带来经济利益的资产。 "此外，条例对销售服务亦有明确规定，其中包含"金融服务""信息技术服务"、"电信服务"（除基础电信 ...

Group 1 - The State Intellectual Property Office of China has granted a patent for a "gait recognition method, device, electronic equipment, and computer-readable storage medium" to China Mobile (Suzhou) Software Technology Co., Ltd. and China Mobile Communications Group Co., Ltd. The patent announcement number is CN116778567B, with an application date of September 2022 [1] - China Mobile (Suzhou) Software Technology Co., Ltd. was established in 2014 and is primarily engaged in software and information technology services. The company has a registered capital of 317.2 million RMB and has participated in 5,000 bidding projects, holds 112 trademark records, and has 2,689 patents, along with 28 administrative licenses [1] - China Mobile Communications Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and focuses on telecommunications, broadcasting, television, and satellite transmission services. The company has a registered capital of 30 billion RMB, has invested in 55 enterprises, participated in 5,000 bidding projects, holds 2,211 trademark records, and has 5,000 patents, along with 50 administrative licenses [1]

联通物联网有限责任公司，成立于2018年，位于南京市，是一家以从事软件和信息技术服务业为主的企 业。企业注册资本100000万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，联通物联网有限责任公司参与招投标项目 1737次，财产线索方面有商标信息47条，专利信息225条，此外企业还拥有行政许可6个。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 来源：市场资讯 国家知识产权局信息显示，中国联合网络通信集团有限公司取得一项名为"数据传输方法、电子设备及 其存储介质"的专利，授权公告号CN116156529B，申请日期为2022年12月。 天眼查资料显示，中国联合网络通信集团有限公司，成立于1994年，位于北京市，是一家以从事电信、 广播电视和卫星传输服务为主的企业。企业注册资本10570385.629549万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分 析，中国联合网络通信集团有限公司共对外投资了35家企业，参与招投标项目3352次，财产线索方面有 商标信息3728条，专利信息5000条，此外企业还拥有行政许可11个。 联通数字科技有限公司，成立于2006年，位于北京市，是一家以从事软件和信息技术服务 ...

国家知识产权局信息显示，中国联合网络通信集团有限公司、联通数字科技有限公司、联通云数据有限 公司取得一项名为"一种数据库一致性校验方法及装置"的专利，授权公告号CN115952177B，申请日期 为2022年11月。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 来源：市场资讯 天眼查资料显示，中国联合网络通信集团有限公司，成立于1994年，位于北京市，是一家以从事电信、 广播电视和卫星传输服务为主的企业。企业注册资本10570385.629549万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分 析，中国联合网络通信集团有限公司共对外投资了35家企业，参与招投标项目3352次，财产线索方面有 商标信息3728条，专利信息5000条，此外企业还拥有行政许可11个。 联通数字科技有限公司，成立于2006年，位于北京市，是一家以从事软件和信息技术服务业为主的企 业。企业注册资本988983.091327万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，联通数字科技有限公司共对外投 资了54家企业，参与招投标项目5000次，财产线索方面有商标信息24条，专利信息1994条，此外企业还 拥有行政许可44个。 联 ...

Valuation of Hong Kong Stock Market - The report analyzes the valuation of major indices in the Hong Kong stock market, including the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI), Hang Seng Index (HSI), and Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH) [8][9][13][17]. - The report highlights that there are no industries currently undervalued with a PE valuation percentile below 20% [24]. - Industries with PE valuation percentiles below 50% include Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, and Utilities [24]. Industry Valuation Levels - The report indicates that industries with relatively high PE valuations (above 50%) include Energy, Materials, Industrials, Healthcare, Financials, Information Technology, and Telecommunications [24]. - For PB valuation, no industries are currently undervalued with a percentile below 20% [24]. - Industries with PB valuation percentiles below 50% are Consumer Staples, Utilities, and Real Estate [24]. AH Share Premium/Discount Levels - The report includes a trend analysis of the Hang Seng AH Share Premium Index, showing fluctuations over time [34]. - The average value and standard deviations of the AH Share Premium Index are provided, indicating market sentiment towards AH shares [34].