港股消费ETF(513230)：产品跟踪指数为中证港股通消费主题指数，指数从港股通范围内选取流动性较 好、市值较大的50只消费主题相关证券作为指数样本，以反映港股通内消费类上市公司证券的整体表 现。指数作为港股消费代表性指数，覆盖可选消费零售(27%)、汽车与零配件(13.4%)、食品饮料(6%)、 消费者服务(5.7%)、家电(4.9%)等诸多受益于政策刺激方向。 食品饮料ETF(515170)：产品跟踪的标的指数为中证细分食品饮料产业主题指数，该指数反映沪深两市 细分食品产业公司股票的整体走势，该指数从食品制造等细分产业中挑选规模较大、流动性较好的公司 股票组成样本股。根据申万三级行业分布，指数权重集中于白酒(56.8%)、乳制品(14.1%)、调味发酵品 (9.9%)等估值低位方向。 【相关ETF】 二季度增量资金进入新消费板块推升上涨行情，也拉高了市场对新消费方向的业绩预期，二季报前瞻陆 续披露后，部分高成长标的业绩低于此前预期，板块经过调整后逐步企稳，考虑到头部企业依旧维持较 为稳定的高增速，在整体消费大盘有望触底回升，新消费相对增速优势，叠加财年估值切换有望迎来新 一轮行情。 传统消费补涨性价比较 ...

策略研究 · 周度报告 港股三大指数涨幅分化明显，场内热点快速轮动 2025 年 08 月 24 日 核心观点： 分析师 杨超 ：010-8092-7696 ：yangchao_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130522030004 周美丽 ：zhoumeili_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130525070002 相关研究 | 2025-06-27，2025 年大类资产中期投资展望：驭变谋 | | --- | | 势 | | 2025-06-22，2025 年港股中期投资展望：时移世易， | | 见机而作 | | 2025-06-21，2025 年 A 股中期投资展望：筑基行稳， | | 重塑鼎新 | | 2025-06-10，稳定币概念股投资展望 | | 2025-05-29，上市公司并购重组迎来哪些新变化？ | | 2025-05-07，关键时间节点的发布会：一揽子金融政策 | | 稳市场稳预期 | | 2025-04-25，4 月中央政治局会议解读： "持续稳定和 | | 活跃资本市场"聚焦哪些方面？ | | 2025-04-23，公募 ...

Core Insights - Southbound funds recorded a net inflow of HKD 80.62 billion from August 11 to 15, 2025, with significant investments in non-bank financials, hardware equipment, pharmaceutical biology, software services, and real estate II sectors, totaling a net inflow of HKD 130.61 billion across the top five industries [2][5][30] - On August 15, 2025, southbound funds achieved a single-day net inflow of HKD 358.76 billion, marking the highest level since 2018 [2][5][30] Industry Performance - The Hang Seng Index rose by 1.65% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.52% during the period from August 11 to 15, 2025, with healthcare, information technology, and materials sectors leading the gains, while utilities lagged [5][12][27] - The top five industries for southbound fund inflows were: - Non-bank financials: HKD 47.23 billion - Hardware equipment: HKD 37.1 billion - Pharmaceutical biology: HKD 22.62 billion - Software services: HKD 14.31 billion - Real estate II: HKD 9.36 billion [2][5][30] Fund Flow Dynamics - Southbound funds showed a divergence from foreign institutional flows, with southbound investments focusing on non-bank pharmaceuticals while foreign capital targeted media and software sectors [5][30] - From August 1 to 15, 2025, southbound funds had a net inflow of HKD 543.79 billion, primarily into software services, hardware equipment, non-bank financials, consumer discretionary retail, and pharmaceutical biology [5][45] Sectoral Trends - The report highlighted that the inflow of southbound funds was concentrated in technology sectors, while foreign capital increased its stake in pharmaceuticals and non-ferrous metals [5][45] - The major outflows were observed in sectors such as telecommunications services, durable consumer goods, and automotive components [5][30][45]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline from July 28 to August 1, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 3.47% to 24,507.81 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping by 4.94% to 5,397.40 points, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index decreasing by 3.78% to 8,804.42 points [4][38]. - Among the sectors, only the healthcare and communication services sectors saw gains, with increases of 2.29% and 0.07% respectively, while materials, consumer discretionary, and industrial sectors faced significant declines of 5.53%, 4.28%, and 4.08% respectively [7][38]. Group 2: Fund Flow and Liquidity - The average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was HKD 282.73 billion, a decrease of HKD 5.208 billion from the previous week. The average daily short-selling amount increased by 40.03% to HKD 30.83 billion, representing 10.88% of the total trading volume [12][38]. - Southbound funds recorded a net inflow of HKD 59.02 billion, marking an increase of HKD 26.669 billion from the previous week, the highest weekly net inflow since mid-April [12][38]. Group 3: Valuation and Risk Premium - As of August 1, the PE and PB ratios for the Hang Seng Index were 11.13 times and 1.16 times, respectively, down by 1.66% and 2.23% from the previous week, placing them at the 81st percentile since 2019 [19][21]. - The risk premium for the Hang Seng Index was calculated at 4.76%, which is -1.95 standard deviations from the 3-year rolling mean, indicating a low-risk environment [21][26]. Group 4: Sector Insights - The healthcare sector showed strong performance with positive mid-year earnings reports, while the automotive sector reported a retail increase of 9% year-on-year in July, despite a month-on-month decline of 19% [10][11]. - The energy sector's dividend yield exceeded 7%, while utilities, real estate, finance, communication services, and industrial sectors all had yields above 4%, suggesting these sectors may provide stable returns for investors [29][38]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The report suggests that the Hong Kong stock market is expected to trend upwards with rapid sector rotation. It recommends focusing on high-dividend stocks for stable returns amid ongoing uncertainties from U.S. tariff policies and domestic policy support for sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals and AI [41][38].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market continues to gain momentum with accelerated rotation of market hotspots, as evidenced by the performance of major indices [1][2] - For the week of July 14 to July 18, the Hang Seng Index rose by 2.84%, the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 5.53%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index climbed by 3.44% [2][4] - Among the ten sectors in the Hong Kong stock market, all but the real estate sector saw gains, with healthcare, information technology, and consumer staples leading the way with increases of 9.52%, 4.16%, and 3.92% respectively [2][7] Group 2 - The average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for the week was HKD 246.725 billion, an increase of HKD 4.213 billion from the previous week [2][13] - Southbound capital recorded a net inflow of HKD 21.456 billion, which is a decrease of HKD 4.899 billion compared to the previous week [2][13] - The price-to-earnings (PE) and price-to-book (PB) ratios for the Hang Seng Index as of July 18 were 11.04 and 1.16, respectively, both of which are at the 81% and 82% percentile levels since 2019 [2][18] Group 3 - The report highlights that the overall valuation of the Hong Kong stock market is relatively low compared to global equity markets, with the Hang Seng Index's risk premium at 4.62%, which is at the 8% percentile since 2010 [2][20] - The report suggests that sectors benefiting from favorable policies, such as stablecoin concept stocks, innovative pharmaceuticals, AI industry chains, and "anti-involution" industries, should be closely monitored [2][37] - The performance of companies exceeding expectations in their mid-year reports is expected to rebound, indicating potential investment opportunities [2][38]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market continues to gain momentum with accelerated rotation of market hotspots, as evidenced by the performance of major indices [1][2] - For the week of July 14 to July 18, the Hang Seng Index rose by 2.84%, the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 5.53%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index climbed by 3.44% [2][4] - Among the ten sectors in the Hong Kong stock market, all but the real estate sector saw gains, with healthcare, information technology, and consumer staples leading the way with increases of 9.52%, 4.16%, and 3.92% respectively [2][7] Group 2 - The average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for the week was HKD 246.725 billion, an increase of HKD 4.213 billion from the previous week [2][13] - Southbound capital recorded a net inflow of HKD 21.456 billion, which is a decrease of HKD 4.899 billion compared to the previous week [2][13] - The price-to-earnings (PE) and price-to-book (PB) ratios for the Hang Seng Index as of July 18 were 11.04 and 1.16, respectively, both reflecting increases of 2.69% from the previous week [2][18] Group 3 - The report highlights that the overall valuation of the Hong Kong stock market is relatively low compared to global equity markets, with the Hang Seng Index's risk premium at 4.62%, indicating a favorable investment environment [2][20] - The report suggests focusing on sectors that may benefit from favorable policies, such as stablecoin concept stocks, innovative pharmaceuticals, AI industry chains, and sectors showing better-than-expected interim performance [2][37][38] - The report notes that the performance of the Chinese economy remains resilient, with GDP growth of 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, and a strong industrial output growth of 6.8% in June [2][36]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has seen a significant resurgence in 2025, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 21% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 19%, attracting international capital to invest in Chinese assets [1] Group 1: Equity Financing Market Overview - In the first half of 2025, the total amount of equity financing in the Hong Kong primary market reached HKD 250.4 billion, a substantial increase of 318% compared to HKD 59.8 billion in the same period last year [4] - The IPO financing scale was HKD 106.7 billion, up 688% year-on-year, with 43 companies successfully listing on the main board, a 43% increase from 30 companies last year [16][19] - The placement financing scale also saw significant growth, raising HKD 138.6 billion, an increase of 342.69% year-on-year [4] Group 2: Financing Method Distribution - In the first half of 2025, the distribution of financing methods showed that IPOs accounted for 42.62% of total fundraising, while placements made up the largest share at 55.35% [5][9] - Rights issues and consideration issues contributed 1.64% and 0.40% respectively to the total fundraising [5][9] Group 3: Industry Distribution of Financing - The top three industries in terms of fundraising amounts were hardware equipment (HKD 50.6 billion), automotive and parts (HKD 47.9 billion), and electrical equipment (HKD 44.6 billion) [10] - The software services industry led in the number of financing events with 22 occurrences, followed by non-bank financials with 21 and pharmaceuticals with 17 [13] Group 4: IPO Trends - The number of IPOs in the first half of 2025 was 43, a 43.33% increase from the previous year [16] - The highest fundraising from IPOs came from CATL, which raised HKD 41 billion, followed by Heng Rui Pharmaceutical and Hai Tian Wei Ye with HKD 11.37 billion and HKD 10.12 billion respectively [30] Group 5: Refinancing Trends - Total refinancing raised HKD 143.7 billion in the first half of 2025, a 210.45% increase from HKD 46.3 billion last year, with 224 refinancing projects [35] - The hardware equipment industry led refinancing with HKD 49.1 billion, primarily from Xiaomi's placement of HKD 42.6 billion [40] Group 6: Underwriting Rankings - CICC topped the IPO underwriting scale with HKD 18.02 billion, followed by Huatai Securities with HKD 10.83 billion and Merrill Lynch with HKD 9.26 billion [49] - In refinancing underwriting, Goldman Sachs led with HKD 26.24 billion, followed by CICC with HKD 18.09 billion [63]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing support from the capital market for technology innovation, emphasizing the successful IPO of He Yuan Bio and the ongoing reforms aimed at enhancing the inclusivity and adaptability of the market for tech companies [1][2]. Group 1: Market Reforms and Innovations - The capital market is undergoing reforms to enhance its inclusivity and adaptability, with new policies such as the "1+6" policy and the establishment of a green channel for sci-tech bonds [2][3]. - The successful IPO of He Yuan Bio marks a significant milestone as it is the first company to pass the review under the new listing standards of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [1][2]. - The A-share market is increasingly focusing on technology enterprises, with a notable rise in fundraising activities in sectors like automotive, hardware, and electrical equipment [1][2]. Group 2: Mergers and Acquisitions - The article notes a surge in merger and acquisition activities, with 103 companies disclosing M&A events by July 1, significantly higher than the previous year [3]. - A substantial portion of major restructuring events in 2024 is concentrated in the telecommunications, media, technology, and high-end equipment manufacturing sectors, indicating a trend towards horizontal expansion and vertical integration among "hard tech" companies [3][4]. - New measures such as simplified review processes and installment payment mechanisms for share exchanges are expected to enhance the competitiveness of tech enterprises through effective resource integration [4]. Group 3: Long-term Capital and Investment Strategies - There is a push to cultivate long-term capital and patient capital, with initiatives aimed at increasing participation from pension funds and encouraging private equity investments in technology innovation [5]. - The introduction of a "technology board" in the bond market is expected to facilitate deeper integration between technology and capital, with a significant increase in the issuance of sci-tech bonds [5]. - Future policies are anticipated to focus on innovating bond terms and enhancing credit support measures to improve the investment returns of private enterprise sci-tech bonds and mitigate default risks [5].

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market has shown strong performance since 2025, with the Hang Seng Index up 20.52%, the Hang Seng Tech Index up 18.57%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index up 20.17% [1] - The primary market financing in Hong Kong has rebounded significantly, with a total refinancing amount of HKD 1,428.54 billion, accounting for 58.87% of total equity financing, surpassing the 2024 refinancing total of HKD 875.13 billion [1][2] - Analysts expect continued high interest from mainland Chinese companies in listing in Hong Kong, which will inject new vitality into the market and enhance trading activity, particularly in technology, pharmaceuticals, and consumer retail sectors [1][5] Financing Overview - As of June 24, 2025, the total equity financing in the Hong Kong primary market reached HKD 2,424.04 billion, a significant increase of 367.43% year-on-year, with 244 financing events, up 10.41% [2] - The number of refinancing events totaled 210, with 166 on the main board and 44 on the GEM [2] - The largest refinancing was by BYD Company, raising HKD 435.09 billion, accounting for 30.49% of the total refinancing amount since 2025 [2][3] Industry Insights - The hardware equipment sector led in refinancing amounts with HKD 491.39 billion, primarily driven by Xiaomi's placement of HKD 426 billion [3] - The automotive and parts sector followed closely with HKD 475.47 billion, mainly from BYD's placement [3] - The software services sector had the highest number of refinancing projects at 19, while media, non-bank financials, and textiles each had 15 projects [3] Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a dual boost from the revaluation of Chinese assets and the influx of quality companies listing in Hong Kong, enhancing its attractiveness [4] - The market is characterized by a "few but excellent" structure, with Chinese stocks dominating in market value (84%) and revenue (78%) [4] - The market is seeing a trend of increasing internationalization and institutionalization, with foreign capital playing a significant role [4] Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the Hong Kong stock market will experience upward movement in the second half of 2025, driven by improved economic policies and a recovery in risk appetite [5][6] - The technology sector is expected to remain a key area for investment, supported by favorable policies and strong earnings growth [6] - Consumer sectors are also anticipated to see improved performance due to domestic consumption policies, with a focus on pharmaceuticals and discretionary spending [6]

Group 1 - The report highlights that the recent geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict between Israel and Iran, have led to increased risk aversion in the market, resulting in a rise in oil prices and a boost in safe-haven assets like gold [2][4] - The Hong Kong stock market showed mixed performance, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.42%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.89% during the week from June 9 to June 13 [2][4] - Among the sectors, healthcare, materials, and energy industries performed well, with respective index increases of 7.52%, 5.91%, and 5.80%, while consumer discretionary and information technology sectors saw declines [7][12] Group 2 - The average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange increased to HKD 254.2 billion, up by HKD 50.2 billion from the previous week, indicating improved liquidity [17] - Southbound capital saw a net inflow of HKD 15.5 billion, reflecting a positive sentiment towards certain stocks, including Meituan and BYD [17] - As of June 13, the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of the Hang Seng Index was 10.6, placing it in the 72nd percentile since 2019, while the Hang Seng Tech Index had a PE ratio of 20.02, in the 8th percentile [19][23] Group 3 - The report suggests that the current valuation of the Hong Kong stock market is at a historical average level, with a focus on high-dividend sectors such as energy, finance, and precious metals, which are expected to attract investor interest amid geopolitical uncertainties [44] - The report also notes the potential benefits for export-oriented sectors due to improvements in US-China tariff policies, as well as opportunities in innovative pharmaceutical sectors and new consumer leaders with strong earnings growth [44][41]