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中国未雨绸缪压倒了特朗普
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-15 04:17
中国之所以强硬,是因为中国从第一次特朗普政府的贸易战以来,历经七年推进了相关准 备,核心是推动经济结构转型,打造没有美国也能生存的经济。2018年至今新增出口额超过 1万亿美元,相当于中国每年对美出口额的两倍…… 特朗普政府于美国东部时间14日凌晨0点1分(北京时间下午12点1分)将对中国的追加关税从145%下调 了115%。对800美元以下的小额货物征收120%的关税或每件100美元的关税,也一并降至54%。面对中 国的反制,美国并未再反击,而是退让了。 美国对中国的追加关税目前是10%的基础对等关税税率,再加上之前以打击非法药品为名设定的20%, 总共为30%。 特朗普于4月2日宣布对中国征收34%的对等关税,中国则采取了全面抗争的姿态而非谈判解决。美国将 对等关税提高至84%、125%,中国就以相同水平回应,最终美方对中方的追加关税达到了145%。 中国之所以强硬,是因为中国从第一次特朗普政府的贸易战以来,历经七年推进了相关准备,其核心是 推动经济结构转型,打造没有美国也能生存的经济。 其中一项关键考量是2026年秋的美国中期选举这一"民主制度的最后期限"。尤其是在选举前,美国民众 最为重视的圣诞购物季 ...
关税谈判结果总结分析
2025-05-12 15:16
关税谈判结果总结分析 20250512 摘要 • 市场预期转变推动指数进入新波动区间:市场对中美贸易竞争的预期在 4 月前普遍悲观,压制市场。当前市场信心增强,预期乐观,指数有望进入 更高波动区间。 • 中期风格偏向科技成长:基于特朗普政府实用主义政策可能调整、化债目 标或通过弱美元实现,以及美元周期下 A 股流动性驱动,远期基本面品种 如科技成长占优。 • 关税谈判结果超预期:日内瓦谈判表明双方迫切止损,90 天延长 24%关 税背后可能涉及稀土、芬太尼、扩大进口及农产品等承诺,将在第二步谈 判中解决。 • 关税对企业影响分析:10%关税可消化,20%对低利润传统产品构成挑战, 高科技产品仍可维持。30%则多数企业出口困难。 • 美国承受压力:高关税无法兑现、海关停摆、产供链受影响及家庭消费意 愿提升导致矛盾加剧,美国需回归经济正常运转水平。 • 企业应对策略:企业应分头突围,通过内销承接部分出口转移,拓展海外 市场,海外投资和产能转移,避免过度依赖单一市场,发展全产业链。 • 贸易战缓解对资本市场的积极影响:中央政治局提出"六稳",美国因国 内经济问题采取止损策略,但仅是短期缓冲,90 天后谈判不顺利将面 ...
晚报 | 5月13日主题前瞻
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-05-12 14:51
Group 1: Trade Relations - The US and China have committed to reducing tariffs on bilateral trade, with a significant reduction in tariffs on Chinese goods, including a 24% tariff being suspended for the first 90 days [1][6] - The easing of US-China trade relations is expected to boost market confidence, benefiting export-oriented industries and high-tech sectors [1][6] - The renewable energy and electric vehicle industries are anticipated to become new highlights of US-China cooperation, with the US aiming for electric vehicles to account for 50% of new car sales by 2030 [1][6] Group 2: Semiconductor Industry - Global semiconductor sales are projected to improve in 2024, with an estimated sales figure of approximately $630.5 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of about 19.7% [2] - The Asia-Pacific region's semiconductor sales are expected to reach around $340.79 billion, with a growth rate of 17.5% [2] - The semiconductor market is anticipated to continue its growth trajectory, reaching $697.1 billion by 2025, with an 11% increase [2] Group 3: AI Education - The Ministry of Education has released guidelines for AI education in primary and secondary schools, aiming to cultivate innovative talents with AI literacy [3] - Investment opportunities in the AI and education sectors are expected to rise, particularly for publishing companies, as AI courses are integrated into the education system [3] - The implementation of AI in education is projected to enhance personalized learning and significantly increase demand for AI educational tools [3] Group 4: Quantum Technology - A research team from the University of Electronic Science and Technology has developed the world's first gallium nitride quantum light source chip, which is expected to undergo multi-scenario technology validation by 2026 [4] - The gallium nitride quantum light source chip is crucial for quantum internet applications, enhancing information security and enabling complex quantum algorithms [4] Group 5: Wearable Technology - Huawei is set to launch the WATCH 5 series on May 15, featuring advanced health monitoring capabilities [5] - The increasing focus on health management is driving demand for smart medical watches that can monitor vital signs and predict health risks [5] - The global market for wearable devices is projected to reach $150 billion by 2025 [5]
北京科博会签下总额超58亿元大单
Bei Jing Qing Nian Bao· 2025-05-12 07:53
Core Points - The 27th China Beijing International Science and Technology Industry Expo concluded successfully, showcasing over 1,200 cutting-edge technologies and scientific achievements from more than 800 domestic and international enterprises [1][4] - The event highlighted significant breakthroughs in science and technology, including the "Cloud Walker" supersonic aircraft and the first AI+ROBOT orthopedic surgical robot, among others [3][4] - A total of 43 projects were signed on-site, with a total value exceeding 5.8 billion yuan, indicating strong interest in technology commercialization [5][6] Group 1: Event Overview - The expo covered an exhibition area of 50,000 square meters, featuring over 800 companies and institutions, with participation from more than 120 foreign enterprises from over 30 countries and regions [4] - The event served as a vital platform for showcasing China's technological innovations and promoting international cooperation in the technology sector [4][8] Group 2: Technological Innovations - Notable innovations included a next-generation firewall with a domestic DPU chip, a wearable smart artificial larynx for patients with stroke and ALS, and a brain-computer interface rehabilitation system [3] - The expo emphasized the transition of technologies from laboratories to practical applications, enhancing everyday life through various innovative products [3] Group 3: Business and Investment Opportunities - The event hosted over 30 trade and investment promotion activities, facilitating the conversion of technology innovations into practical business agreements [5][6] - Strategic cooperation agreements were signed in various sectors, including automotive finance, mergers and acquisitions, and healthcare, showcasing the event's role in fostering business collaborations [6] Group 4: Cultural Integration - The expo coincided with the "Beijing Activity Week" at the 2025 Osaka World Expo, combining technology and culture to present a unique Chinese identity to the world [7] - The integration of cultural elements into the expo highlighted Beijing's rich history and cultural heritage, enhancing the overall experience for attendees [7] Group 5: Future Directions - The Beijing Trade Promotion Council emphasized the importance of internationalization, professionalism, digitization, and sustainability in future expos, aiming to create a higher-level, distinctive international technology exhibition [8]
北京以全周期政策赋能科技革命 耐心资本点燃创新引擎
news flash· 2025-05-08 22:45
5月8日,第二十七届中国北京国际科技产业博览会(以下简称"科博会")在国家会议中心开幕。本届科博 会以"科技引领创享未来"为主题,全方位呈现前沿技术集群的突破性进展与产业应用示范成果。近年 来,北京市构建起覆盖科技创新全链条的政策支持体系,通过制定科技创新国际化提升行动计划、设立 高新技术企业培育专项资金等举措,为科技企业提供从实验室研发到产业化落地的全周期赋能。这 种"全方位"的支持(包含税收优惠、资金扶持等真金白银的支持)更注重搭建产学研用协同创新平台,助 力企业突破技术转化瓶颈。(证券日报) ...
债券市场“科技板”准备就绪,超3000亿元科技创新债券箭在弦上
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-05-08 02:38
东方金诚研究发展部执行总监冯琳在接受《华夏时报》记者采访时表示,目前,科技创新债券发行主体中,科技 型企业以高等级央国企和头部民企为主,预计在债市"科技板"推出后,将鼓励更多的成熟期、成长期民营科技型 企业通过发行科技创新债券进行融资。 华夏时报(www.chinatimes.net.cn)记者 李明会 北京报道 备受关注的债市"科技板"迎来新进展,相关政策细节"浮出水面"。 5月7日,国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会上,央行行长潘功胜在回答记者提问时表示,债券市场"科技板"相关 政策和准备工作已经基本完成。目前市场各方响应非常积极,积极与人民银行、证监会沟通,对接发行科技创新 债券的意愿。初步统计,目前有近100家市场机构计划发行超过3000亿元的科技创新债券,预计后续还会有更多机 构参与。 同日,央行、证监会联合发布文,沪深北三大交易所也分别发布相关通知,正式披露相关政策细节,支持科技创 新债券的发行。 需要注意的是,科技创新活动复杂多元,处于不同生命周期的科技创新企业,其风险特征和金融需求有着较大差 异。从过去实践来看,科创债发行主体还是以大型国有企业和头部国有创投基金为主,科创型中小企业则因其本 身风险 ...
2025 运河牡丹文化周——牡丹产业创新交流研讨会成功举办,共探牡丹产业发展新路径
Core Insights - The "2025 Canal Peony Cultural Week" event focused on innovation in the peony industry and the new paradigm of the national trend economy, highlighting the importance of technology in cultural dissemination and product development [1][8] Group 1: Industry Development and Innovation - Experts discussed the potential of peony development in Beijing, emphasizing the unique advantages of the Guo County area, which connects cultural narratives between Beijing, Luoyang, and Heze [2] - The application of technology in various fields such as cosmetics, health, and medicine was highlighted, with suggestions for cost reduction through deep processing of waste materials [2] - The hybridization of peonies and their close relatives was identified as a means to enhance product diversity and increase the value of the peony biotechnology industry [2] Group 2: Cultural and Tourism Integration - The integration of peony culture with canal culture was proposed to create a unique cultural IP, with suggestions for developing cultural products and enhancing industry growth [3] - Experts emphasized the need for a multi-dimensional approach to peony tourism, combining aesthetics, functionality, and communication to overcome seasonal limitations [4] - The creation of a cultural landmark that integrates peony culture, canal culture, and health culture was suggested to cater to diverse tourist needs [4] Group 3: Collaborative Efforts and Strategic Partnerships - A strategic cooperation framework was signed between the Guo County government and Huashunde International Cultural Tourism to promote the peony industry cluster [6] - The "Core Cultural Experience Zone Co-Creation Plan" was launched to integrate resources and promote the deep integration of canal culture and the peony industry [7] - The event served as a platform for collaboration, aiming to establish the peony as a distinctive cultural tourism brand and drive regional economic development [8]
吴清:不管风高浪急还是惊涛骇浪 我们都有信心、有条件、有能力实现中国股市的稳定健康发展
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 01:35
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of stabilizing the stock market for the overall economy and the interests of millions of investors, with confidence stemming from reliable economic development, macro policies, and institutional guarantees [1] - The implementation of the "1+N" policy system is driving positive and profound changes in the market structure, accelerating the formation of a coordinated investment and financing ecosystem [2] - The A-share market's valuation levels are relatively low, with the CSI 300 index currently at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3, significantly lower than major international indices like the S&P 500, enhancing the attractiveness of Chinese assets amid global market instability [2] Group 2 - The integration of technological innovation and industrial innovation is expected to provide more high-quality sources of capital for the market, reflecting the potential of the real economy as it develops [2] - The current economic recovery in China is being supported by robust policy responses to external shocks, creating a solid foundation for the stable operation of the capital market [1]
全球财经连线|政策组合拳或助A股持续企稳回升,后续仍需警惕哪些风险?
A股近期有所反弹 4月28日,A股三大指数小幅下跌,沪指全天维持在3300点附近。4月以来,受特朗普政府所谓的"对等 关税"冲击,全球资本市场出现大幅波动,A股也被牵连。 不过,在中国多部门密集部署、推出多种举 措之后,A股有所反弹。 如何看待A股近期的走势?市场风险偏好是否正在边际性改善?东吴期货首席投资官吴照银为我们带来 他的解读。 0:00 南方财经全媒体记者杨雨莱 广州报道 A股"成绩单"表现亮眼 4月底,2025年一季报披露临近尾声,A股市场上市公司交出了一份较为亮眼的成绩单。截至4月27日, 超过2700家上市公司发布了2025年一季报,已发布一季报的公司中,约四成实现了营收和归母净利润的 双增长,约六成企业实现净利润同比增长,百余家公司增幅超100%。其中,基础化工、电力设备、有 色金属等板块表现突出。 市场风险偏好在稳步改善 吴照银:在过去的三周里,A股市场和全球资本市场的局势都有所缓和。尽管关税战尚未达成最终协 议,市场的整体趋势仍然是朝着稳定的方向发展。我们可以看到市场已经开始慢慢回升,波动幅度逐渐 减小,整体运行状态趋于平稳。同时,市场的风险偏好也在稳步改善。 在这个时间点上,我们对市场 ...
珠海6年3轮国企改革整合,释放了什么信号?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-28 04:22
2025年4月,珠海迎来新一轮国企改革整合,重磅消息接连抛出。 据相关公告及媒体报道,珠海市国资委将大横琴集团成建制无偿划转至珠海市珠光集团控股有限公司,作为珠光 集团二级公司进行管理;格力地产并入华发集团,公司名称拟变更为"珠海珠免集团股份有限公司";珠海华发集 团有限公司与珠海格力集团有限公司将共同组建珠海科技产业集团有限公司。 这是2020年以来珠海国企开展的第三轮改革整合,也是继珠海2024年完成第二轮国企改革后的又一轮重大调整, 背后释放了什么信号,又将给珠海带来什么?各界高度瞩目。 "超级平台"时代开启 六年时间,三轮国企改革整合,珠海国资国企版图加速重塑。 第一轮是2020年4月。珠海市人民政府当时印发了《珠海市市属国有企业重组整合方案》(下文简称方案),提出 按照加大国有资本布局结构战略性调整、推动优质资源向优势企业集中、理顺部分企业产权关系的改革思路进行 国有资本战略性调整和重组,目标是将原来14家珠海市管国企,2家市国资委直管企业减少至12家,无市国资委直 管企业。 此轮改革整合的内容包括格力集团转让格力电器股权后改组为国有资本投资运营平台,珠海安保集团有限公司升 格为市管企业序列,华发集 ...