Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Strong Outperform" [1] Core Viewpoints - Tungsten is a significant strategic resource, widely used in various industries, and its price has risen to 161,000 yuan/ton, the highest since 2013, due to supply tightening and supportive policies [2][19] - The global tungsten resource distribution is concentrated, with China holding 55% of reserves and 83% of production, and no new mines expected to come online in the next two years [2][29] - Demand for tungsten is expected to improve significantly due to large-scale equipment updates and supportive policies, particularly in the machinery and aerospace sectors [2][54] - Export controls implemented by China in February 2025 have strengthened the strategic nature of tungsten resources, with a projected global supply-demand gap of 5,433 tons by 2027 [2][19] Supply Summary - Domestic supply is tightening, with the first batch of tungsten mining indicators for 2025 reduced by 4,000 tons compared to 2024, leading to a 6.45% decrease in total mining quotas [33] - China's tungsten production is expected to decline due to the lack of new mining projects and decreasing ore grades, with the first batch of mining indicators for 2025 set at 58,000 tons [33][29] - The industry is experiencing consolidation, with larger companies dominating production as smaller firms exit the market due to regulatory pressures [33][29] Demand Summary - The demand for tungsten is closely linked to industrial development and macroeconomic conditions, with hard alloys being the primary application, accounting for 58.51% of tungsten consumption in 2024 [50] - The demand for tungsten materials is expected to rise, particularly in the photovoltaic sector, where tungsten wire is gaining traction due to its superior performance [62][66] - A large-scale equipment update initiative is expected to boost demand for tungsten, with significant investments planned across various sectors [54][57]

Q&A 近期钨行业的市场行情如何？ 近年来钨市场价格涨速较快。截至 2025 年 5 月 19 日，APP 的最高报价为 245,000 元，与 2025 年 3 月 25 日最低价 206,000 元相比，涨幅达到 18.93%。2024 年最高价出现在 5 月 24 日，为 233,000 元，与当年 1 月 2 日最低价 180,005 元相比，涨幅达 29.09%。历史最高价为 2011 年 5 月 11 日的 246,500 元，而目前 245,000 元的价格接近历史次高。2025 年市场出 现波动，尤其在长单采购价公布后，APT 价格为 238,000 元，引发获利了结 和压价情绪。 钨行业的产业链情况如何？ 钨行业观点交流 20250519 摘要 • 2025 年 5 月钨价达 233,000 元/吨，接近历史次高，涨幅显著。长单采 购价公布后，市场出现波动，获利了结和压价情绪显现，短期内价格或面 临调整风险，但长期来看，市场前景依然乐观。 • 中国钨矿储量占全球 52%，产量占比高达 83%，是全球最大的钨供应国。 2024 年钨精矿产量同比增长 1.95%，APPEN 产量增长 1.59% ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Zhangyuan Tungsten, is adjusting the prices of its hard-facing materials due to a significant increase in tungsten raw material costs, which has led to a substantial rise in production costs [1] Group 1 - The price adjustment for hard-facing materials will take effect from May 20, 2025 [1] - All products will be executed at the new prices starting from the adjustment date [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the tungsten industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [3]. Core Insights - The tungsten quota has been reduced, leading to a continuous increase in tungsten prices. The Ministry of Natural Resources has set the total mining quota for tungsten at 58,000 tons for 2025, a decrease of 4,000 tons or 6.45% compared to 2024. This reduction is particularly pronounced in traditional tungsten mining regions like Jiangxi, likely due to increased mining depth and declining ore grades. As a result, tungsten prices have remained high, with black tungsten concentrate prices reaching 154,000 yuan per ton, an increase of 8.45% since early April 2025, nearing historical highs [6][6][6]. - Export controls on tungsten have been upgraded, and the Bakuta tungsten mine has commenced production. On February 4, 2025, the Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs implemented export controls on various tungsten-related products to protect strategic resources. The Bakuta tungsten mine, which began production in November 2024, aims for a processing capacity of 3.3 million tons of tungsten ore, with an expected output of over 6,000 tons. However, short-term overseas production increases are unlikely to alleviate current supply tightness [6][6][6]. - Macro policies may drive PMI recovery, with consumption expected to rebound. Since March, many hard alloy companies have issued price increases, reflecting the pressure of rising raw material costs on downstream sectors, which has further fueled tungsten price momentum. The global military industry’s rapid expansion is significantly boosting tungsten demand, particularly in defense applications. The current industry situation is characterized by tight tungsten supply, low demand, and low inventory levels, suggesting that a demand recovery could lead to further price increases [6][6][6]. - Investment recommendations favor companies involved in self-produced tungsten mining, cutting tools, and the entire industry chain. Companies to watch include China Tungsten High-tech, Xiamen Tungsten, Zhangyuan Tungsten, Xianglu Tungsten, and Oke Yi [6][6][6].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - **Tungsten Industry**: Focus on strategic minerals and the impact of export controls on tungsten - **Huaihe Energy**: Involvement in coal, electricity, and logistics sectors - **5G-A Technology**: Development and deployment of advanced 5G technology Core Points and Arguments Tungsten Industry 1. **Export Control Measures**: The government has initiated actions to combat the smuggling of strategic minerals, including tungsten, which is essential in various industries such as automotive and aerospace [3][1] 2. **Tungsten Characteristics**: Tungsten is recognized for its high melting point, hardness, density, and thermal conductivity, earning it the nickname "industrial teeth" [3][1] 3. **Global Tungsten Supply**: By 2024, global tungsten reserves are projected to reach 4.6 million metric tons, with China contributing over 80% of the world's tungsten production [7][1] 4. **Demand and Applications**: The demand for tungsten is expected to reach 142,000 metric tons in 2024, primarily for hard alloys and tungsten steel, with significant applications in automotive and defense sectors [7][1] 5. **Recycling and Supply Challenges**: China's tungsten recycling rate is only 17%, indicating a gap in recovery and quality compared to international standards, which may affect future supply [7][1] Huaihe Energy 1. **Asset Injection Impact**: The company plans to acquire a significant stake in Huaihe Energy Power Group, which is expected to enhance its operational capacity and increase net profit by 105% [8][1] 2. **Coal Supply and Production**: Huaihe Energy has a strong coal supply chain, with a high coverage rate for long-term contracts, which positions it competitively in the market [11][1] 3. **Future Growth Potential**: The company has additional coal and power assets that could further increase its operational scale, with potential for significant growth in the coming years [11][1] 5G-A Technology 1. **Performance Enhancements**: 5G-A technology is expected to increase upload and download speeds by tenfold, significantly improving connectivity and reducing latency [12][1] 2. **Global Deployment**: Testing networks for 5G-A have been established across 31 provinces in China, with plans for expansion into international markets [12][1] 3. **Investment in Infrastructure**: There is a notable increase in capital expenditure from operators for 5G-A, indicating a strong commitment to enhancing network capabilities [15][1] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - **Market Trends**: The tungsten sector is experiencing a bullish trend due to government actions against smuggling and the strategic importance of tungsten in various applications [4][1] - **Stock Performance**: Several companies within the tungsten industry and those involved in 5G technology have seen significant stock price increases, reflecting positive market sentiment [9][1][13][1] - **Long-term Outlook**: The overall outlook for both the tungsten industry and 5G-A technology remains positive, with expectations of sustained demand and growth opportunities in the coming years [7][1][15][1]

Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 14.743 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.8% [1] - The acquisition of Hunan Shizhu Garden Nonferrous Metals Co., Ltd. significantly enhanced the company's performance, contributing 3.571 billion yuan in revenue and 705 million yuan in net profit in 2024 [2] - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 22.07%, an increase of 0.85 percentage points year-on-year, with specific product margins showing varied performance [2] - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 939 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 17.47% [3] - The company’s asset-liability ratio decreased to 52.40% in 2024, down by 2.51 percentage points [4] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from cutting tools and tools was 3.189 billion yuan, up 4.31% year-on-year, driven by market expansion [1] - Revenue from hard alloys was 3.356 billion yuan, down 2.19% year-on-year [1] - Revenue from refractory metals was 2.426 billion yuan, up 11.68% year-on-year [1] - Revenue from powder products was 4.573 billion yuan, up 32.22% year-on-year [1] Profitability Analysis - The gross margin for blade products was 33.30%, down 1.72 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The gross margin for alloy products was 18.63%, down 0.51 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The gross margin for refractory metals was 10.33%, down 2.68 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The gross margin for powder products was 23.61%, up 5.09 percentage points year-on-year [2] Expense and Cash Flow - The operating expense ratio for 2024 was 13.42%, an increase of 1.12 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company’s cash flow from operations improved, with a net cash inflow of 900 million yuan, an increase of 750 million yuan year-on-year [3] - The investment cash flow was negative at -850 million yuan, reflecting increased spending on technological upgrades and land acquisition [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.094 billion yuan, 1.323 billion yuan, and 1.476 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that the revenue growth of China Tungsten High-Tech (中钨高新) is driven by market share increase and the advantages of integrated industrial chain, with a projected increase in demand for hard alloys and related products [1][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total operating revenue of 14.743 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.8% [2][3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 939 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 17.47% [2][3]. Product and Market Dynamics - The tungsten industry is experiencing a "tight supply" and "weak recovery" demand scenario, with steady growth in hard alloy demand and a trend towards high-end processed products [3]. - The company has a hard alloy production capacity of 14,000 tons and offers over 10,000 product specifications, with a production of approximately 140 million CNC blades, accounting for about 10% of the domestic total [3]. Strategic Developments - The completion of the acquisition of 100% equity in Shizhu Garden significantly enhances the company's tungsten resource supply advantage and highlights the benefits of industrial chain synergy [3]. - The overall gross margin improved by 0.85 percentage points to 22.07%, with gross profit reaching 3.254 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.12% [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing transition towards quality upgrades in hard alloys, with high-end substitution and internationalization as key trends [3]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated to be 982 million yuan, 1.069 billion yuan, and 1.165 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 22.4, 20.5, and 18.9 [4].

章源钨业（002378）公告，2025年第一季度营业收入11.86亿元，同比增长35.74%。净利润4256.78万 元，同比增长56.46%。 ...

2 0 2 5年4月2 1日，自然资源部下达2 0 2 5年度第一批钨矿开采总量控制指标5 . 8万吨，相比2 0 2 4年第 一批指标降低4 0 0 0吨，同比下滑6 . 5%，且降幅同比增加4 . 9 p c ts。受开采指标约束、环保监管要 求、矿山品位下降、新建项目短期难以投产等因素影响，我们认为短期内钨行业增量有限，叠加下 游需求在设备更新政策及光伏钨丝的拉动下快速增长，供需缺口或将支撑钨价中枢上行。出口管制 政策背景下，钨产业有望转型升级，钨资源战略属性进一步加强。 ▍ 事件： 2 0 2 5年4月2 1日，自然资源部下达2 0 2 5年度第一批钨矿开采总量控制指标，2 0 2 5年第一批钨矿 （三氧化钨含量6 5%）开采总量控制指标为5 . 8万吨。 ▍ 2 0 2 5年第一批钨矿开采指标同比下降6 . 5%，延续下滑趋势。 2 0 2 5年国内第一批钨矿（三氧化钨含量6 5%）开采总量控制指标为5 . 8万吨，相比2 0 2 4年公布的 第一批指标降低4 0 0 0吨，同比下滑6 . 5%，降幅同比增加4 . 9 p c ts。其中，黑龙江、浙江、安徽、 湖北未分配指标，江西、广东、广西、云南 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry (002378) reported a strong performance in its 2024 annual report, showing growth in revenue and net profit, although there are concerns regarding cash flow and debt management [2][10]. Business Overview - The total operating revenue for 2024 was 3.673 billion yuan, an increase of 8.02% year-on-year; the net profit attributable to shareholders was 172 million yuan, up 19.50%; and the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 180 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 32.82% [2]. Profitability Analysis - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 16.07%, an increase of 6.93% year-on-year; the net profit margin was 4.66%, up 10.96%, indicating effective cost control and enhanced product value [3]. Main Revenue Composition - Main revenue sources included tungsten carbide powder (1.249 billion yuan, 34.01%), tungsten powder (1.036 billion yuan, 28.21%), and hard alloys (924 million yuan, 25.16%); hard alloys had the highest gross margin at 19.13%, while other supplementary products achieved a gross margin of 60.60% [4]. Cash Flow and Debt Situation - The operating cash flow per share was 0.42 yuan, a significant increase of 169.82% year-on-year, primarily due to increased use of acceptance bills for raw material payments [5]. - Cash and cash equivalents totaled 494 million yuan, a decrease of 25.19% year-on-year, attributed to reduced discounting of acceptance bills and increased investment in technological upgrades; interest-bearing liabilities stood at 1.846 billion yuan, down 8.06% year-on-year, but the interest-bearing asset-liability ratio remained high at 36.74% [6]. Cost and Expenses - Management expenses increased by 21.94% due to the addition of personnel in subsidiaries, adjustments in social security payment bases, and costs related to tailings pond closure; R&D expenses rose by 31.52% as the company intensified investment in new product development [7]. Subsidiary Performance - The wholly-owned subsidiary Ganzhou Aoketai reported operating revenue of 666 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.93%, but incurred a net loss of 6.82 million yuan, a reduction in loss of 41.93 million yuan compared to the previous year; the subsidiary made positive progress in high-end tool products and overseas market expansion [8].