Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Views - High oil prices are expected to persist due to ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, which may benefit lithium as a substitute energy source [2] - Nickel prices are supported by supply uncertainties from Indonesia, with a current LME nickel spot price of $17,010 per ton, up 1.43% from March 20 [2] - Cobalt prices are anticipated to rise due to supply tightness from the Democratic Republic of Congo, with electrolytic cobalt priced at 430,500 CNY per ton as of March 27, down 0.35% from March 20 [3] - The lithium market is experiencing upward pressure on prices, with carbonate lithium reaching 168,400 CNY per ton, a 17.09% increase from March 20 [21] - Supply constraints in the tungsten market are expected to continue, supporting price increases [24] - Uranium prices are expected to remain high due to supply tightness and geopolitical factors, with the global uranium market price at $71.3 per pound [25] Summary by Sections Nickel and Cobalt Industry - Nickel prices are supported by slow approval processes for mining quotas in Indonesia, with a total inventory of 281,574 tons as of March 27 [2] - Cobalt supply remains tight, with expectations of structural shortages leading to price increases in the coming years [3][18] Lithium Industry - The lithium market is experiencing upward price movements due to supply disruptions and increased demand from the electric vehicle sector, with significant price increases noted [21] - Companies with substantial lithium resource supply are expected to benefit, including major players in the sector [21] Tungsten Industry - The tungsten market is characterized by supply constraints due to strict mining regulations and environmental checks, which are expected to support prices in the long term [24] Uranium Industry - The uranium market is facing supply tightness, with geopolitical tensions contributing to price stability, and companies involved in uranium mining are expected to benefit from this trend [25]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The report highlights that tungsten prices continue to reach historical highs, with expectations for a strong overall market for key metals [1][23] - Nickel prices are supported by tightening supply expectations due to Indonesia's reduced production quotas for 2026, which are set between 260 million to 270 million tons, significantly lower than the previous year's quota of 42 million wet tons [1][29] - Cobalt supply is expected to tighten further due to slow export progress from the Democratic Republic of Congo, with a forecasted increase in cobalt prices [2][5] - Antimony prices are anticipated to remain strong due to supply constraints, with a significant drop in production reported [6][18] - Lithium supply disruptions are expected to continue, with potential for lithium prices to reach new highs amid increasing demand [8][19] - The rare earth sector is facing supply shortages, particularly for praseodymium and neodymium, which may support prices [9][20] - Tin prices are supported by ongoing supply concerns from Myanmar and the Democratic Republic of Congo, with a notable decrease in tin imports [11][21] - Uranium supply is expected to remain tight, supporting high prices due to geopolitical factors and production delays [14][24] Summary by Sections Nickel and Cobalt Industry Insights - Indonesia's nickel production quota for 2026 is set to significantly reduce, impacting supply and supporting prices [1][29] - Cobalt exports from the Democratic Republic of Congo are hindered by complex local processes and logistical challenges, leading to tighter supply [2][5] Antimony Industry Insights - Antimony production has seen a sharp decline, which is expected to support prices in the near term [6][18] Lithium Industry Insights - Lithium prices are under pressure due to supply disruptions, but demand remains strong, potentially leading to price increases [8][19] Rare Earth Industry Insights - Supply shortages for praseodymium and neodymium are anticipated, which may bolster prices in the market [9][20] Tin Industry Insights - Ongoing supply issues from Myanmar and the Democratic Republic of Congo are expected to support tin prices [11][21] Uranium Industry Insights - The uranium market is facing supply constraints, which are likely to keep prices elevated due to geopolitical tensions and production delays [14][24]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Views - The report highlights a positive outlook for key metals, with expectations of price increases due to supply constraints and geopolitical factors affecting production [1][2][6][20][21]. Summary by Sections Nickel and Cobalt Industry - Nickel prices are supported by supply disruptions in Indonesia, with LME nickel closing at $17,685 per ton, a 3.09% increase from February 20 [1]. - Cobalt supply remains tight, with electrolytic cobalt priced at 440,000 yuan per ton, up 2.92% from February 13 [2]. The Democratic Republic of Congo's export policies are expected to maintain a tight supply situation [17]. Antimony Industry - Antimony prices are supported by a slight contraction in supply, with antimony ingot prices at 167,500 yuan per ton, a 1.82% increase from February 12 [6]. - Export controls and supply chain disruptions are expected to maintain upward pressure on prices [19]. Lithium Industry - Lithium carbonate prices have surged to 176,000 yuan per ton, a 17.82% increase from February 13, driven by supply tightness and export policy changes in Zimbabwe [8][20]. - The demand for lithium is expected to remain strong, supported by battery production needs [20]. Rare Earths Industry - Prices for praseodymium and neodymium oxides have increased, with praseodymium averaging 955 yuan per kilogram, up 6.70% [9]. - Supply constraints due to environmental regulations and geopolitical tensions are expected to support prices [10][21]. Tin Industry - Tin prices have risen significantly, with LME tin at $57,425 per ton, a 26.21% increase from February 20, amid supply chain concerns from Myanmar and Indonesia [11][22]. - Ongoing geopolitical tensions are likely to keep supply uncertain [22]. Tungsten Industry - Tungsten prices are expected to rise further due to a tightening supply situation, with white tungsten concentrate priced at 796,000 yuan per ton, a 14.86% increase [13][23]. - The strategic importance of tungsten resources is highlighted amid global supply chain concerns [23]. Uranium Industry - Uranium prices remain high at $69.71 per pound, supported by ongoing supply tightness and geopolitical factors affecting production [14][24]. - The report indicates a persistent supply-demand gap in the uranium market, with expectations of continued price support [24].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement from Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry indicates significant changes in the share pledge status of its controlling shareholder, Zhangyuan Holdings, which may impact the company's financial stability and operational flexibility [1] Group 1: Share Pledge Changes - On February 25, 2023, Zhangyuan Holdings released 16.9 million shares from pledge, accounting for 2.48% of its holdings and 1.41% of the total share capital [1] - On February 26, 2023, 7.9 million shares were pledged, representing 1.16% of its holdings and 0.66% of the total share capital, for its own production and operation needs [1] - As of the announcement date, Zhangyuan Holdings has a total of 361 million shares pledged, which is 53.02% of its holdings and 30.08% of the total share capital [1] Group 2: Financial Implications - The financing balance corresponding to the pledged shares maturing in the next six months and one year is 486 million yuan and 636 million yuan, respectively [1] - There are no risks of forced liquidation or transfer of ownership related to these pledged shares [1]

Group 1 - The tungsten index has experienced a significant surge, with companies like Zhangyuan Tungsten and Xianglu Tungsten seeing substantial stock price increases, including Zhangyuan Tungsten achieving five consecutive trading limits in seven days [1] - Zhangyuan Tungsten has raised its long-term procurement prices for February 2026, with 55% black tungsten concentrate priced at 730,000 yuan per standard ton, and 55% white tungsten concentrate at 729,000 yuan per standard ton, reflecting an increase from the previous month [2] - The price of tungsten powder has skyrocketed nearly fivefold over the past year, reaching 1,800 yuan per kilogram, with a month-on-month increase of approximately 41.7% [3] Group 2 - The global tungsten supply and demand imbalance has intensified since 2025, driven by policy controls and surging demand, leading to record-high prices for tungsten powder, cobalt powder, and tungsten carbide powder [3] - Companies such as Zhongtung High-tech, Xiamen Tungsten, Zhangyuan Tungsten, and Jiaxin International Resources are identified as relevant players benefiting from the rising prices in the tungsten market [3]

Group 1: Institutional Trading Insights - A total of 43 stocks were listed on the institutional trading leaderboard, with 29 stocks experiencing net buying and 13 stocks facing net selling [1] - The top three stocks with the highest net buying by institutions were Tongyuan Petroleum (385 million), Construction Machinery (291 million), and Zhongtung High-tech (198 million) [1] Group 2: Stock Performance and Market Trends - Tongyuan Petroleum saw a trading volume with 5 buyers and 3 sellers, while its stock price increased by 14.51% [2] - Construction Machinery had 3 buyers and no sellers, with a stock price increase of 8.56% [2] - Zhongtung High-tech had 3 buyers and 3 sellers, with a stock price increase of 10.00% [2] Group 3: Industry Analysis - Zhongtung High-tech specializes in tungsten products, including tungsten concentrate, ammonium paratungstate, and hard alloys, along with the development and production of various non-ferrous metals [3] - The company’s subsidiary, Jinzhu Company, is a leader in the PCB micro-drilling field, possessing core technologies for precision drilling [3] - The phosphorous chemical industry is highlighted by companies like Chuanjinnuo and Qingshuiyuan, with the latter's project on phosphorus pentachloride being significant for lithium hexafluorophosphate production [3] - The U.S. has elevated phosphorus and glyphosate herbicides to national security priorities, indicating a potential revaluation of phosphorus resources, which could enhance the competitiveness of Chinese companies in the international market [3] Group 4: Non-ferrous Metals Sector - Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry is noted as a leading tungsten smelting and processing enterprise, with the highest production of tungsten powder and significant carbonized tungsten powder output [4] - Jiangxi Tungsten Equipment plans to raise up to 1.882 billion for acquisitions in the tungsten materials sector [4] - The tungsten supply is tightening due to stricter mining and environmental regulations, while domestic demand remains stable, particularly in PCB tool procurement [4] - The potential ban on tin raw material exports by Indonesia could create significant demand for tin processing companies, positively impacting tin prices [4]

Core Viewpoint - The pricing for tungsten concentrate and ammonium paratungstate has increased in the second half of February 2026 compared to the first half of the month, indicating a rising trend in the tungsten market [1] Pricing Summary - The long-term procurement prices for the second half of February 2026 are as follows: - 55% black tungsten concentrate: 730,000 yuan per standard ton - 55% white tungsten concentrate: 729,000 yuan per standard ton - Ammonium paratungstate (national standard zero level): 1,070,000 yuan per ton - These prices include a 13% value-added tax [1] - In comparison, the long-term procurement prices for the first half of February 2026 were: - 55% black tungsten concentrate: 670,000 yuan per standard ton - 55% white tungsten concentrate: 669,000 yuan per standard ton - Ammonium paratungstate (national standard zero level): 970,000 yuan per ton - These prices also include a 13% value-added tax [1]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview Tungsten Industry - As of February 13, tungsten concentrate prices reached 697,000 CNY per standard ton, with a weekly increase of 3.3% and a rise of 237,000 CNY (51%) compared to the end of 2025 [1] - The tungsten price has shown a strong upward trend since 2026, supported by long-term quotes from major tungsten companies, indicating a pattern of initial increase followed by stabilization [1] - International tungsten prices are rising due to supply chain shortages, with China being the source of 80% of global tungsten resources. Export controls and crackdowns on illegal mining in China have made overseas raw material procurement more difficult [1] - The current tungsten market faces significant supply-side challenges, with no clear signs of price peaks, providing solid support for the overall market [1] Lithium Industry - The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate increased from 135,500 CNY per ton at the beginning of the week to 142,500 CNY per ton by Thursday, a weekly increase of 7,000 CNY per ton [4] - Industrial-grade lithium carbonate prices rose from 132,000 CNY per ton to 139,000 CNY per ton, also up by 7,000 CNY per ton [4] - The futures market showed strong performance, with main contract prices rising from a range of 135,000-141,000 CNY per ton to 146,000-152,400 CNY per ton [4] - Market transactions are primarily driven by sporadic pricing settlements and essential purchases, with overall inquiry and transaction volumes declining [5] - A weak supply-demand balance is expected to persist before and after the Spring Festival, with prices likely to stabilize [6] Antimony Industry - Increased market activity was noted before the Spring Festival, with antimony prices continuing to rise due to speculative demand [10] - A fire at Hunan Zhenqiang Antimony Industry has led to production halts, affecting over 2,000 tons of antimony ingot output [11] - Overall market demand remains relatively weak, but expectations for improved demand post-holiday are rising due to new export policies and improved trade conditions [11][12] - Antimony prices are anticipated to recover due to limited supply and expected export recovery [12] Tin Industry - The tin market is experiencing a weak overall trend, influenced by macroeconomic sentiment and changes in the AI industry narrative [13] - Supply-side constraints are evident as many smelting companies plan maintenance shutdowns, leading to tighter raw material supplies [14] - Demand from downstream solder companies has diminished, with most enterprises halting production and showing low purchasing intent [14] - The market is expected to remain quiet due to the Spring Festival, with tin prices lacking clear direction [15] Cobalt Industry - Cobalt prices showed a slight rebound, but market changes remain limited due to tight upstream raw material supplies [17] - Trade and downstream inquiries have largely ceased, leading to a quiet market atmosphere [18] - As the Spring Festival approaches, many smelting plants are reducing operations, tightening available market supply [19] - Post-holiday, prices may rise again due to supply constraints and cost support from raw materials [22] Nickel Industry - Indonesia's nickel mining quota reduction policy for 2026 has cut the overall quota from 379 million tons in 2025 to 260-270 million tons, a reduction of nearly 30% [22] - Supply disruptions are exacerbated by seasonal weather impacts in the Philippines and Indonesia, leading to a tight supply situation [22] - Downstream companies are optimistic about post-holiday market conditions, with some early stockpiling observed [23] Companies to Watch - Tungsten: Xiamen Tungsten, Zhongtung High-tech, Xianglu Tungsten [2] - Lithium: Shengxin Lithium Energy, Tianhua New Energy, Zhongkuang Resources, Salt Lake Co. [9] - Antimony: Huaxi Nonferrous, Beijiete, Hunan Gold, Huayu Mining [13] - Tin: Huaxi Nonferrous, Xiyang Silver Tin [16] - Cobalt: Huayou Cobalt, Liqin Resources, Tengyuan Cobalt [24]

Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities report highlights that Zhongtung High-tech is a global leader in tungsten products, with its drilling needle business poised to benefit from new opportunities in AI computing power construction [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Zhongtung High-tech is the only core platform for tungsten industry under China Minmetals Corporation, establishing an integrated closed loop of "resources - smelting - deep processing - tool application" through continuous capital operations [1] - The company has a dominant position in the global tungsten market and is expected to benefit from rising tungsten prices due to its rich mineral resource reserves [1] Group 2: Business Prospects - The company holds a leading technological advantage in the high aspect ratio PCB drilling needle sector, which is anticipated to gradually translate into performance growth [1] - Projected net profits attributable to the parent company for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated to be 1.34 billion, 1.90 billion, and 2.35 billion yuan respectively [1] Group 3: Valuation - The current stock price corresponds to dynamic price-to-earnings ratios of 94, 66, and 54 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] - The report initiates coverage with a "buy" rating for the company [1]

Core Viewpoint - Xianglu Tungsten Industry (002842.SZ) has experienced a significant stock price increase of 48.86% over five consecutive trading days, raising concerns about potential risks associated with its operations and market conditions [1] Group 1: Economic and Industry Risks - The company's performance may be impacted by macroeconomic fluctuations affecting its primary customers, which could lead to decreased demand for tungsten products and challenges in accounts receivable collection [1] - The tungsten industry is subject to strict government policies aimed at controlling resource extraction and promoting high-quality development, which may affect the company's operations if regulations tighten [1] Group 2: Supply Chain and Pricing Risks - The company relies on externally sourced tungsten concentrate for production, and while it adjusts product prices based on tungsten concentrate price changes, significant price fluctuations could impact gross margins and overall performance [2] - The company does not depend on a single supplier for tungsten concentrate, but short-term procurement contracts may pose risks if there is a sudden surge in demand or restrictions on mining quotas [2] Group 3: Export and Regulatory Risks - As a leading tungsten producer and consumer, the company is subject to strict export regulations, and any changes in qualification standards for direct export could adversely affect its export business and financial performance [3] - The company's export activities are also exposed to exchange rate fluctuations, which may impact its overall financial results [4]