Core Viewpoint - Tianfu Communication is expected to maintain steady operational rhythm, with new momentum anticipated from major clients' 1.6T and CPO products, leading to a "Buy" rating [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 3.25 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 67.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.34 billion yuan, up 84.1% [2] - For Q4 2024, revenue was 860 million yuan, with quarter-on-quarter growth of 17.0% and year-on-year growth of 2.2%; net profit was 370 million yuan, with quarter-on-quarter growth of 26.2% and year-on-year growth of 13.9% [2] - In Q1 2025, revenue reached 950 million yuan, with quarter-on-quarter growth of 29.1% and year-on-year growth of 10.2%; net profit was 340 million yuan, with quarter-on-quarter growth of 21.1% but a year-on-year decline of 8.0% [2] Product Line Insights - In 2024, revenue from active products was 1.66 billion yuan (up 121.9% year-on-year) and from passive products was 1.58 billion yuan (up 33.2% year-on-year) [3] - The demand for passive components is expected to surge due to the AI data communication market, while telecom markets face pressure [3] - The company is focusing on high-speed data communication and silicon photonics products, with various high-specification components already in small-scale delivery [3] Production and Supply Chain - The company's factory in Thailand has commenced production, providing a unique advantage in the silicon photonics supply chain [4] - The first phase of the factory was delivered and operational last year, with the second phase progressing as planned [4] - The company is developing customized passive components and is expected to expand production following customer certification [4] Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is a key participant in NVIDIA's CPO supply chain, which is expected to contribute to new growth as the market expands [5] - NVIDIA's CPO switches are projected to significantly reduce energy consumption and improve network reliability [5] - The CPO market is forecasted to reach $5 billion by 2030, with major players like NVIDIA and Broadcom driving early adoption [5] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company anticipates a significant rebound in active business growth in the second half of the year, with projected net profits of 2.08 billion yuan, 2.88 billion yuan, and 3.24 billion yuan for 2025-2027, respectively [6] - The current valuation is considered to be at a historical low, maintaining a "Buy-A" rating [6]

网络接配及塔设 天孚通信（300394.SZ） 买入-A(维持) 经营节奏保持稳健，大客户 1.6T 和 CPO 产品有望带来新动能 2025 年 5 月 22 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 公司发布 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报。2024 年，公司实现营收 32.5 亿元，同比增长 67.7%；实现归母净利润 13.4 亿元，同比增长 84.1%；单 Q4 来看，公司实现营收 8.6 亿元，同环比分别增长 17.0%、2.2%；实现归母 净利 3.7 亿元，同环比分别增长 26.2%、13.9%。 2025 年一季度，公司经营节奏稳健。实现收入 9.5 亿元，同环比分别增长 29.1%、10.2%；实现归母净利润 3.4 亿元，同环比分别增长 21.1%、下降 8.0%。 市场数据：2025 年 5 月 22 日 收盘价（元）： 76.45 事件点评 年内最高/最低（元）： 149.88/57.11 流通A股/总股本（亿）： 5.54/5.55 流通 A 股市值（亿）： 423.60 总市值（亿）： 424.52 基础数据：2025 年 3 月 31 日 基本每股收益(元) ...

Fabrinet (FN) FY Conference May 15, 2025 10:00 AM ET Speaker0 Good morning, everyone. I'm Samik Chatterjee, and I cover hardware and networking companies at JP Morgan. For the session here I have with me Fabrinet management. I have the pleasure of hosting Seamus Grady, CEO and Shava Swerha, CFO. Thank you both for coming to the conference. Thank you to the audience as well. Seamus, I'll start you off with a macro question. I'm fully cognizant there's lower visibility in some cases given where Fabrinet sits ...

Varonis Systems (VRNS) FY Conference May 15, 2025 08:40 AM ET Speaker0 All right. We'll get started. Good morning everyone. My name is Brian Essex. I'm JPMorgan security software analyst and I'm delighted to have with us today Guy Melamed, the CFO and Chief Operating Officer for Varonis Systems. And at the end is Brian Vecchi, the company's field CTO. So thank you all for joining us. Guy, maybe it would be a great place to start, particularly for those that may not be super familiar with what you do, just a ...

Core Viewpoint - Lumentum Holdings has experienced a 9% decline in stock value in 2025, which is seen as unjustified due to the positive impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on its business growth [2][4]. Financial Performance - In fiscal Q3 2025, Lumentum's revenue rose by 16% year over year to $425 million, with non-GAAP net income nearly doubling to $0.57 per share [5]. - The cloud and networking segment contributed significantly, accounting for 86% of total revenue [5]. - Non-GAAP operating margin improved to almost 11%, up from a slightly negative margin in the previous year [5][6]. Growth Drivers - The increase in margins and earnings is attributed to better manufacturing utilization rates and a favorable product mix [6]. - Lumentum anticipates continued growth driven by AI, particularly in its externally modulated lasers (EML) used for high-speed data transmission [7][8]. - EML shipments reached a record last quarter, with expectations to double revenue from this product compared to June 2024 levels [9]. Future Projections - Lumentum forecasts revenue of $455 million for the current quarter, representing a 48% year-over-year increase, with non-GAAP earnings per share projected between $0.70 to $0.80 [10]. - Analysts predict an 88% increase in earnings for fiscal 2025, reaching $1.90 per share, with even stronger forecasts for subsequent years [11]. Valuation and Investment Potential - The stock has a 12-month median price target of $82, indicating an 8% potential increase from current levels [11]. - If Lumentum achieves earnings of $4.77 per share by fiscal 2027 and trades at 25 times earnings, the stock price could reach $120, suggesting a potential gain of 58% [13]. - Currently, Lumentum is trading at 19 times forward earnings, presenting an attractive valuation for investors [13].

理工光科投资者关系活动记录表（2025 年度） 证券代码：300557 证券简称：理工光科 编号：2025-002 | |  特定对象调研 分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 投资者关系活动 | 媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | 类别 | □现场参观 | | | □其他 | | 参与单位名称及 | 申万宏源证券何佳霖和李蕾、中信证券胡彬、广发证券朱宇航等 | | 人员姓名 | 四人（排名不分先后） | | 时间 | 2025 年 5 月 13 日（星期二） 14:00-15:00 | | 地点 | 理工光科 708 会议室 | | 上市公司接待人 | 证券事务代表：范洪汝 | | 员姓名 | | | | 一、公司情况介绍 | | | 介绍公司概况、技术与产品、典型解决方案、未来发展基础及 展望等。 | | | 二、问答 | | | 1、公司介绍的光纤光栅技术与分布式技术有什么区别？ | | | 目前，产业化应用最为广泛的光纤传感技术主要有光纤光栅 | | 投资者关系活动 | 传感技术、分布式光纤测温技术、分布式光纤振动测量技术三种， | | 主要内容介绍 ...

Heading into the results period, the main investor concern was on optical transceiver demand uncertainties from the reciprocal tariff policies and the potential impact on AI infrastructure demand, which is a key driver of optical transceiver demand (Read across: Global AI server report). Post 1Q results, key customers' overall 800G transceiver orders outlook for 2025 remained firm, and transceiver supply chain echoed a robust shipment trend into 2H25, noting 1) the need for supply/capacity for elevated dema ...

①产业交流来看26年海外800G需求超过3000W只。 ②Meta增量明显，26年望超过800W；且以单模为主。 ③旭创/新易盛等仍在加速预订25-6年的芯片产能，硅光光源仍然紧缺。 【海外算力】需求上修，#月度组合【新易盛&源杰】20%+引领反弹@0512 ①产业交流来看26年海外800G需求超过3000W只。 ②Meta增量明显，26年望超过800W；且以单模为主。 ③旭创/新易盛等仍在加速预订25-6年的芯片产能，硅光光源仍然紧缺。 ④Meta业绩超预期，25年Capex率先上修：从600-650 【海外算力】需求上修，#月度组合【新易盛&源杰】20%+引领反弹@0512 ④Meta业绩超预期，25年Capex率先上修：从600-650亿美元 1；光模块：#中际旭创/新易盛/华工科技/光迅科技/联特科技/剑桥科技/德科立/汇绿生态等 2、高速铜缆： 4、PCB&交换机：#锐捷网络/沪电股份/深南电路/紫光股份等 3；CPO/硅光：#太辰光/天孚通信/仕佳光子/博创科技/源杰科技/光库科技/长飞光纤/长光华芯/腾景科技等 ...

祛魅后的真成长—本轮光模块行情的思考 20250511 摘要 • 光模块行业需求保持快速增长，800G 成为关键增长点。预计全球 800G 需求达 3,000 万支，市场规模可达 1,000 亿人民币，预示着"得 800G 者 得天下"的行业格局。 • 可插拔光模块仍是主流，CSP 技术作为补充。虽然 CSP 技术备受关注，但 短期内可插拔产品仍占据主导地位，CSP 技术的发展需要时间。 • 无源产品在新一轮高速产品迭代中表现出色，相关公司如世家光子、博创、 太辰光等产能扩张，业绩表现强劲，未来仍有增长潜力。 • 光模块行业格局稳定，Coherent、Lumentum 及旭创新易盛占据主导地 位，上游芯片公司如 Broadcom 和 Marvell 溢价能力强，3.2T 时代或有 弯道超车机会。 • 光子渗透率提升带来行业增量，英伟达和博通讨论 CPU 去魅，Meta 和微 软探讨光互联，Optical IO 在成本和功耗方面优势明显，为光子领域带来 增长。 • 分布式建设需求增加，DCI 市场前景广阔。北美与中国均需分布式建设， 以满足低延时推理需求，利好康宁、Ciena、Lumentum、德科立、长飞 等 ...

通信光芯片行业自主可控通信光芯片行业自主可控 20250509 摘要 • 全球光芯片产能自 2024 年起缓解，从 AI 爆发初期的 3,000 万片增长至 9,000 万片以上，基本满足市场需求，但高端 100G 及以上光芯片仍依赖 美日供应商。 • 国内光模块厂商在全球市场占据重要地位，但高端光芯片领域仍显弱势， 技术设计和生产工艺与国际领先企业存在差距，尤其在磷化铟衬底和 Vixel 特殊工艺方面。 • 光模块市场正向光电合封方案演进，以解决数据中心功耗和散热问题，并 突破 DSP 处理器设计瓶颈，未来硅光技术将在高速数据通信领域占据重要 地位。 • 国内 25G 及以下光芯片国产化进展顺利，但在 25G 以上市场，自给率较 低，良率和性能与国际大厂存在差距，100G 以上产品国产化率不足 5%。 • 国内光芯片企业如源杰科技、仕佳光子等面临量产能力不足、良率低下等 挑战，导致成本较高，难以与国际领先企业竞争，技术代际差距约为 3 至 5 年。 Q&A 光芯片全球竞争格局如何？ 全球光芯片市场主要由五家公司主导，它们占据了 90%以上的市场份额。这五 家公司分别是博通（Broadcom）、Lumentu ...