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科技仍是长期主线,投资需平衡风险
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-27 04:57
今年科技板块行情不错,很多投资者已经赚了不少钱,所以当前市场本身就比较敏感。尤其是当市 场横盘时,大家的神经会更紧绷,随便一点风吹草动,就会有人想"赶紧离场"。但从整个产业链来看, 其实没有太多问题,所以在这个过程中,我觉得大家还是可以关注逢低布局的机会。 投资人应当充分了解基金定期定额投资和零存整取等储蓄方式的区别。定期定额投资是引导投资人 进行长期投资、平均投资成本的一种简单易行的投资方式。但是定期定额投资并不能规避基金投资所固 有的风险,不能保证投资人获得收益,也不是替代储蓄的等效理财方式。 当前整个市场流动性改善,且牛市特征比较明显,很多板块都会有相应表现。尤其从十一月份开 始,市场进入了较长时间的业绩真空期,这个阶段很多板块不管是炒概念还是其他逻辑,都会比较活 跃,每年下半年基本都是这样。在这种情况下,我觉得对普通投资者而言,虽然大家风险意识都比较 强,但平时可能没太多时间做详细的产业基本面研究,所以在这种情况下,如果大家去追概念、追热 点,很容易亏损。因为对于一些基本面较差的板块,如果涨得太高,大家追高买入,后续可能会面临较 大风险。 从基本面出发,大家去选择业绩强劲、基本面支撑力强的板块,安全性 ...
国泰基金麻绎文:中长期看科技板块依然值得关注,海外算力和国产替代是两大主线
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-27 03:58
站在当前时点,如何去看待科技股的行情?未来整个A股的科技股还有没有投资机会? 麻绎文认为:"从当前来看,科技股的行情依然是可以分成两条主线:一条主线是海外算力,另外一条主线是国产替代。" 他在演讲中指出,随着美股几家头部云厂商在过去几年大幅提升资本开支之后,整个算力基建处在一个持续上修的状态,带动了国内以光模块、服务器、铜 连接等等为代表的一些公司,在过去几年出现了业绩和订单的大幅上涨,整个股价也是出现了比较明显的上涨行情。 "虽然近期美股整体出现了一定的下跌,市场担心存在AI泡沫、投资过热的情况,但其实一些美股的科技公司,比如说像光模块、光芯片的公司,它在发布 财报之后也是处在一个明显超预期的状态,股价在美股整体下跌的行情当中出现了比较明显逆势上涨。所以我们认为,当前业绩还是美股投资非常重要的一 个主线。" 对于国产替代,麻绎文表示,展望明年,一方面存储价格上涨的行情可能还会延续,另一方面伴随着整个国产存储厂商的大幅扩产,国产半导体设备可能会 迎来新一轮的需求和国产化率提升的投资机会。 11月 27 日,"2025 搜狐财经年度论坛"在北京举办。 国泰科创芯片ETF基金经理麻绎文发表了题为《调整之后,科技股 ...
回撤72%后,这只基金居然快创新高了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 11:14
Core Insights - The "Hengyue Advantage Select" fund has shown remarkable performance this year, with a growth rate of 144.74%, ranking second in the market despite a previous maximum drawdown exceeding 70% [1][10]. Fund Performance - The fund's share increased from 14.6 million to 18.1 million due to strong performance in the third quarter, ending a trend of net redemptions [3]. - The fund's maximum drawdown is reported at -71.61%, indicating significant volatility in its past performance [2]. Fund Management Changes - The previous fund manager, Ye Jia, was replaced due to poor performance, with Wu Haining now co-managing the fund [9][10]. - Wu Haining's management has led to a significant turnaround, achieving a return of 153.12% during her tenure [11]. Investment Strategy - Wu Haining's strategy involved a three-phase approach: initial average returns, a surge in performance from June to September driven by overseas computing power, and a focus on storage chips post-September [12][13][14]. - The fund's high turnover rate of 1500% reflects an aggressive trading strategy aimed at maximizing returns [17]. Market Context - The current market is experiencing a correction after reaching new highs, with a potential for further volatility as sectors that previously performed well are now seeing declines [19][28]. - The market dynamics indicate a shift from broad-based growth to sector-specific performance, suggesting a narrowing focus in investment opportunities [28].
南亚新材20251031
2025-11-03 02:36
Summary of Nanya Technology Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Nanya Technology - **Industry**: High-end materials for electronics, particularly in AI computing and high-speed applications Key Points and Arguments Production Capacity and Demand - Nanya Technology has been operating at near full capacity since March, with production capacity expected to increase from 2.8 million units last year to 3.2-3.4 million units this year due to line expansions [2][3] - The company has completed two rounds of price increases, with the first round in April-May and the second expected to be completed by the end of the month, with a price increase of approximately 10% [3][20] Product Segmentation and Revenue Sources - High-end products (level 6 and above) account for over 60% of total production, peaking at nearly 80% in May and June [2][4] - Revenue distribution: - Communications: ~20% - Consumer: ~20% - Automotive: 15%-20% - Energy: ~15% [6] Strategic Focus - The company is focusing on expanding its presence in communication products, automotive safety-related products, and energy markets, while also moving consumer products towards high-end segments [8] - The goal is to reduce the scale of basic products and expand strategic product lines [8] Market Outlook - The demand for high-speed materials is expected to grow, with a target of 20%-25% of revenue from high-speed materials by 2025 and 25%-30% by 2026, aiming for total revenue to exceed 6 billion yuan [4][11] - The automotive market is anticipated to grow due to increased usage of copper-clad laminates in new energy vehicles [7] International Expansion and Partnerships - Nanya Technology is actively expanding its overseas market presence, collaborating with major companies like AMD, Intel, and NVIDIA [2][10] - The company has made significant progress in certification with AMD and is accelerating material testing with NVIDIA [10][17] Future Production Plans - By the end of this year, the design capacity is expected to reach 3.9 million units, with plans for further expansion in 2026 [21][22] - A new factory in Jiangsu Haimen is expected to be completed by Q4 2026, with a monthly capacity of 250,000 to 300,000 units [22] Supply Chain and Material Sourcing - Nanya Technology relies on domestic suppliers for high-end materials and has established long-term partnerships to ensure supply security and cost reduction [26] - The company prioritizes quality and supply security when selecting upstream resin suppliers [27] Revenue Projections - For 2026, the company anticipates significant revenue growth, with expectations of reaching 6 billion yuan, of which 25% may come from non-AH area clients [15] Challenges and Considerations - The company faces uncertainties regarding the final outcomes of current bidding processes and potential shifts in market demand [5][13] Additional Important Information - The company is also focusing on high-end IC packaging materials and has made advancements in developing high-end products [25] - The establishment of a fourth production base in Thailand is planned, but construction timing will depend on market conditions [23]
知名科技基金经理最新操作!
券商中国· 2025-10-28 23:33
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant performance of overseas computing power sectors, represented by optical modules and PCBs, which have provided substantial returns for heavily invested funds, but have also led to increased divergence after substantial price increases [1] Summary by Sections Fund Performance - On October 28, the third-quarter report of well-known fund manager Jin Zicai from Caitong Fund was released, showing that the net value growth rate of the Caitong Growth Preferred A class share reached 90.4% in Q3, outperforming the benchmark by over 80 percentage points [2][3] Portfolio Adjustments - Jin Zicai made significant adjustments to his holdings, drastically reducing positions in leading optical module companies like NewEase and Tianfu Communication, while increasing investments in core PCB industry players such as Shenzhen South Circuit, Shengyi Technology, and Huitian Technology [2][3] - After the adjustments, the top five holdings of the fund included Industrial Fulian, Shenzhen South Circuit, Shengyi Technology, Huitian Technology, and Zhongji Xuchuang [3] Market Insights - Jin Zicai noted that the market's understanding of the optical communication sector has improved, leading to a reduction in the fund's holdings in this area. He believes that the PCB industry may experience unexpected price increases due to structural supply-demand imbalances by 2026 [3] - Despite reducing exposure to optical modules, Jin Zicai continues to heavily overweight the overseas computing power sector, indicating that the growth certainty of overseas AI has increased, and demand for computing power is expected to grow rapidly in 2026 and 2027 [4][5] Investment Strategy - The fund's management scale increased from 4.618 billion to 6.525 billion yuan, with a focus on maintaining research and tracking of other sectors, aiming for proactive and replicable investments in high-quality companies aligned with industry trends [5]
三季度“冠军基”重仓股出炉!持续超配算力板块 看好AI未来增长
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 08:19
Core Insights - The top-performing funds in the third quarter are focused on technology sectors such as overseas computing power and semiconductors, with notable funds being Caitong Integrated Circuit Industry A, Hengyue Advantage Selection, and Caitong Multi-Strategy Fuxin [1] Fund Performance - Caitong Multi-Strategy Fuxin achieved a net asset value growth rate of 91.24% during the reporting period, significantly outperforming its benchmark of 9.26% [1] - Caitong Integrated Circuit Industry A recorded a quarterly net value growth rate of 86.49%, making it the top performer among ordinary stock funds [3] Fund Management Strategies - Fund manager Jin Zicai has shown strong confidence in the computing power sector, significantly increasing allocations to stocks such as Shengyi Technology, Zhongji Xuchuang, Shengyi Electronics, and Shenzhen South Circuit [1][3] - The fund's top holdings at the end of the third quarter included Industrial Fulian, Shengyi Technology, Shengyi Electronics, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Shenzhen South Circuit, with each holding over 9% of the fund's net value [4][5] Market Outlook - Jin Zicai anticipates a higher certainty of growth in overseas AI, with an expected acceleration in demand for computing power in 2026 and 2027 [2][6] - The manager believes that the market has undervalued the fundamentals of the optical communication sector, leading to a significant overweight in this area [3] Other Fund Insights - Hengyue Advantage Selection, managed by Wu Haining, achieved a net asset value growth rate of 100.06%, indicating strong performance in the mixed equity fund category [7] - The fund has increased its exposure to the storage sector, driven by rising demand for data storage due to AI applications, particularly in video generation [8][9]
公募机构上周调研近1200次 医药生物等行业成焦点
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-10-28 03:11
Group 1 - Public institutions have increased their research efforts on listed companies during the third quarter reporting period, with 140 institutions participating in 1,188 research activities, a significant increase of 121.64% week-on-week [1] - The focus of the research is on verifying the performance quality of companies through in-depth analysis of financial data and operational conditions, identifying potential stocks that exceed market expectations, and optimizing investment portfolios for year-end assessments [1] - The most researched company was Taotao Automotive (301345), which was investigated 59 times, indicating strong interest from major public institutions like Bosera Fund and Huaxia Fund [1] Group 2 - The top ten companies researched by public institutions were from various industries, with only the electric equipment and basic chemical industries having two companies each, while other industries had one company each [2] - The pharmaceutical and biological industry was the most researched, with 197 investigations across 14 companies, highlighting the high importance placed on this sector by public institutions [2] - The mechanical equipment industry also received significant attention, with 165 investigations across 18 companies, while both the basic chemical and electric equipment industries had over 100 investigations [2] Group 3 - A total of 49 public institutions conducted at least 10 research activities, with an average of two investigations per working day, showcasing a broad engagement across various sectors [3] - Chuangjin Hexin Fund led with 40 research activities, particularly focusing on the pharmaceutical and biological sectors, followed by Ping An Fund and Yangtze River Asset Management with 27 and 23 investigations respectively [3] - Future investment strategies are expected to focus on technology sectors, including domestic and overseas computing power and robotics, while also considering opportunities in new energy and chemicals due to favorable policy changes and low valuations [3]
工业富联迈入“万亿市值俱乐部”,释放三重信号!机构坚定看好电子板块,推荐四大主线!
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-04 06:38
Group 1 - Industrial Fulian's market capitalization has surpassed 1 trillion yuan, marking its entry into the "A-share trillion market value club" and signaling a significant transformation in China's manufacturing sector from traditional OEM to high-end intelligent manufacturing [1][2] - The company's rise is attributed to breakthroughs in core technologies, particularly in the AI server sector, where it has become a key partner for NVIDIA, handling the entire manufacturing process from GPU modules to complete systems [1][2] - Industrial Fulian's collaboration with Apple has solidified its business foundation in precision components, while its role in the AI computing sector has positioned it as a crucial supplier in the global AI computing industry chain [2][3] Group 2 - The entry of Industrial Fulian into the trillion market value club reflects a shift in the capital market's valuation system, moving from traditional economic anchors to new productivity pricing, highlighting the increasing focus on innovation and growth potential in technology manufacturing [3] - As of the end of August, Industrial Fulian is the fourth largest weighted stock in the electronic ETF (515260), with a weight of 5.45%, indicating its significant presence in the market [3][4] - The electronic ETF tracks the electronic 50 index, which includes key players in the semiconductor and consumer electronics sectors, providing exposure to core assets in the A-share market [7]
港股三大指数集体高开,机构称AI行情有望扩散,重视拥挤度冰点的恒生科技龙头
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-27 01:57
Group 1 - Hong Kong stock indices opened higher on August 27, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.40% to 25,626.17 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index up by 0.55%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increasing by 0.36% [1] - The market showed mixed performance among tech stocks, with automotive stocks gaining, Apple-related stocks continuing their upward trend, and gold stocks experiencing broad gains [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) saw an increase of over 1%, with top-performing holdings including Kingdee International, SenseTime, Future, Kingsoft, and Li Auto [1] Group 2 - According to Caitong Securities, there is a focus on domestic chip support with DeepSeek-V3.1, indicating that domestic computing power is entering a main rising phase [2] - The report highlights a potential turning point for domestic technology and computing power, with attention on the semiconductor supply chain and upcoming earnings from Alibaba on August 29 [2] - The global liquidity environment is expected to improve, benefiting high-growth sectors, particularly the Hong Kong tech sector, which remains relatively undervalued [3] Group 3 - The expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September has increased, which may lead to improved global liquidity that could spill over into the Hong Kong market [3] - The Hang Seng Tech Index is sensitive to changes in the US-China interest rate differential and is likely to benefit significantly from a more accommodative overseas liquidity environment [3] - Investors without a Hong Kong Stock Connect account may consider the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) as a way to gain exposure to core Chinese AI assets [3]
通信ETF(515880)涨超1.9%,海外算力与AI需求驱动行业景气度提升
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-31 06:08
Group 1 - The communication industry is experiencing accelerated progress in the overseas computing power supply chain, with sustained investment in computing infrastructure expected to maintain high demand in the optical module market [1] - The commercial aerospace industry in China is becoming more complete, with the launch progress of the Thousand Ships Constellation expected to accelerate further, supported by optimized bidding mechanisms and clarified technical thresholds, promoting diversified development in the satellite internet launch service market [1] - Increased capital expenditure by operators and the growing demand for cloud services are providing continuous growth momentum for the communication equipment industry [1] Group 2 - The communication ETF (515880) tracks the communication equipment index (931160), which mainly includes listed companies involved in the manufacturing of communication network infrastructure, terminal equipment, and related products [1] - The index constituents possess high technical content and innovation capabilities, reflecting the overall performance of the communication equipment industry, with a focus on growth-oriented sectors [1] - Investors without stock accounts can consider the Guotai CSI All-Share Communication Equipment ETF Link A (007817) and Guotai CSI All-Share Communication Equipment ETF Link C (007818) [1]