以下文章来源于智通财经APP ，作者智通编选 智通财经APP . 智通财经APP，连线全球资本市场。内容合作/内容举报请联系李先生： Tel: +86-15121009144 Email:zhitongcolumn@163.com 点击蓝字，关注我们 以色列于 6 月 13 日清晨对伊朗核设施及弹道导弹基地发动突袭，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队指挥官侯赛因・ 萨拉米在袭击中身亡，德黑兰随即誓言对以政府及美国实施 "严厉打击"。 这场突如其来的中东危机迅速穿透地缘边界，在全球资本市场掀起剧烈震荡 —— 布伦特原油期货单日 飙升超 13%，加密货币与全球股市集体下挫，黄金等避险资产应声暴涨，能源与金融市场的连锁反应正 持续发酵。 亚洲市场方面，港股成为地缘风险的直接冲击对象 。恒生指数当日低开后震荡下挫，最终收跌 0.59% 报 23892.56 点，恒生科技指数跌幅扩大至 1.72%，科技股全线疲软，阿里巴巴、美团等龙头跌幅超 1%。不过， 能源与黄金板块逆势走强 ，中海油、中石油涨超 2%，赤峰黄金飙升 10%， 山东墨龙因油 气设备订单预期激增一度暴涨 160% 。 南向资金逆势净买入 39.97 亿港元，显示内地资 ...

市场早盘低开后震荡回升， 创业板指领涨。沪深两市半日成交额7881亿，较上个交易日缩量1241亿。 盘面上热点快速轮动，个股涨多跌少，全市场超3300只个股上涨。从板块来看， IP经济概念再度爆 发， 光线传媒等多股涨停；稳定币概念再度走强， 海联金汇等涨停；油气股延续强势， 准油股份等涨 停；化工板块反复活跃， 金牛化工等涨停；下跌方面， 创新药概念冲高回落， 千红制药、 信立泰等多 股跌超5%。板块方面， 数字货币、 石油、影视、 CPO等板块涨幅居前， 贵金属、 汽车整车、机场、 美容护理等板块跌幅居前。截至收盘， 沪指涨0.05%， 深成指涨0.13%，创业板指涨0.37%。 ...

A股三大指数早盘低开高走，截至午盘，沪指涨0.05%，深成指涨0.13%，创业板指涨0.37%，北证50指 数涨0.86%。全市场半日成交额8055亿元，较上日缩量1305亿元。全市场超3200只个股上涨。 板块题材上，油气、游戏、数字货币板块涨幅居前；贵金属、毛发医疗、美容护理板块跌幅居前。 【3连板】 永安药业（002365）。 【2连板】 泰山石油（000554）、协鑫能科（002015）、兴化股份（002109）、准油股份、山东墨龙 （002490）、萃华珠宝、贝肯能源、大洋生物（003017）、捷强装备（300875）、金牛化工 （600722）、洲际油气、云煤能源（600792）、和顺石油（603353）、金橙子。 最强风口榜： 盘面上，油气股延续强势，准油股份（002207）、贝肯能源（002828）、洲际油气（600759）涨停。IP 经济概念股持续走强，光线传媒、地素时尚（603587）、珠江钢琴（002678）、萃华珠宝（002731）、 元隆雅图（002878）涨停。数字货币概念反弹，东信和平（002017）、海联金汇（002537）、恒宝股份 （002104）涨停。毛发医疗板块领跌，康 ...

Group 1: Support for Private Economy in Shandong - Shandong province has introduced 50 new fiscal policies to support the high-quality development of the private economy, which constitutes 99% of the market entities in the region [2] - The policies focus on five key areas: innovation development, transformation support, financing channel expansion, fair government procurement, and improving policy accessibility [2] - The initiative aims to enhance financial collaboration and guide increased credit and investment for private enterprises, particularly small and medium-sized ones facing cash flow challenges [2] Group 2: Investment in Artificial Intelligence - Shandong has approved the establishment of a 1 billion yuan (approximately 10 million) fund focused on artificial intelligence and integrated circuits, targeting "hard technology" sectors [2][3] - The fund aims to invest in upstream foundational technologies and core components, as well as midstream hardware manufacturing, to drive high-quality development in the AI industry [3] - The AI sector in Shandong has been growing at over 30% annually, with nearly 1,000 key enterprises contributing to a related industry scale exceeding 100 billion yuan [3] Group 3: Qingdao's State-Owned Enterprise Management - Qingdao has introduced a management approach for state-owned enterprises to clarify strategic positioning and focus on core responsibilities, supporting the city's "10+1" innovative industrial system [4][5] - The city plans to implement a coordinated industrial cultivation model involving state-level coordination, enterprise guidance, fund leadership, and park support [4] - A total of 87 major projects are planned for investment of approximately 30 billion yuan in the current year [4] Group 4: Housing Fund Policy in Qingdao - Qingdao has expanded the scope of housing provident fund withdrawals to include down payments for second-hand homes, enhancing support for housing consumption [6] - The policy allows for additional scenarios for fund withdrawal, such as for elevator upgrades in residential buildings, to improve living conditions [6] Group 5: International Tea Industry Expo - The 19th International Tea Industry Expo will be held in Jinan, featuring 1,500 exhibition booths and participation from over 800 tea enterprises [7] - The event highlights Jinan's position as a major tea distribution center in northern China, attracting numerous tea companies [7] Group 6: Green Shipping Initiatives - Qingdao Port has successfully completed the first international ship biofuel oil refueling operation in northern China, marking a significant step towards green shipping [10] - The biofuel used is a blend of 24% sustainable biodiesel and 76% low-sulfur fuel oil, which can reduce carbon emissions by approximately 20% [10] - A pure electric inland container ship is being constructed for a French shipping group, expected to operate on a green route by 2026, significantly reducing CO2 emissions [12] Group 7: Oil and Gas Platform Installation - The largest oil and gas platform in the Bohai Sea has been successfully installed, setting new records for size and weight in the region [13] - The platform is part of a project aimed at increasing production capacity in China's largest offshore oil field, with an expected annual output target of 40 million tons [13] Group 8: Digital Energy Solutions - Qingdao Teread Electric has launched a digital energy solution covering various applications in the new power system, showcasing innovative products at the SNEC International Photovoltaic & Energy Storage Exhibition [14] - The company aims to integrate smart manufacturing and services to support the transition of the power system [14] Group 9: Battery Recycling Industry - Qingdao has established a new company focused on battery recycling, marking a significant collaboration between state-owned and private enterprises [15][16] - The initiative aims to create a comprehensive platform for battery recycling and reuse, addressing the growing market for retired electric vehicle batteries [16]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - **Oil and Gas Industry**: Focus on Iran-Israel conflict and its impact on oil and gas resources [1][2] - **Mining Industry**: Mention of Iran's mineral resources, including copper and zinc [2] - **Solid-State Battery Industry**: Development and market potential of solid-state batteries [3][16] - **Pharmaceutical Industry**: AI in drug development and optimization of drug procurement [6][17] - **Military and Defense Industry**: Impact of geopolitical tensions on military supplies and equipment [10][17] Core Points and Arguments Oil and Gas - The Iran-Israel conflict may disrupt oil and gas supplies, potentially increasing oil prices by 25% if the Strait of Hormuz is blocked [1] - Iran is a significant supplier of crude oil and LNG to China, with 1.5 million barrels per day exported in Q1 2025, accounting for 13% of China's total crude imports [1] - Iran's sulfur supply is crucial, with 66,600 tons exported to China in 2024, representing 6.7% of total imports [2] Mining - Iran ranks third globally in copper reserves and accounts for 12% of global zinc exports, with Chinese companies heavily reliant on Iranian zinc [2] - Lithium carbonate production in Iran is significant, with 24.3% of China's consumption sourced from Iranian materials [2] Solid-State Batteries - The solid-state battery market is expected to grow significantly, with major companies ramping up production lines [3][16] - Key materials like lithium sulfide are critical, with a projected market share of 65% by 2030 [16] - Companies like Hai Chen Pharmaceutical and Guanghua Technology are leading in the development of solid-state battery materials and equipment [3][16] Pharmaceuticals - The optimization of drug procurement is underway, with new rules expected to be implemented soon [6][17] - Strategic partnerships in AI drug development, such as the collaboration between Stone Pharmaceutical and AstraZeneca, highlight the shift towards AI in pharmaceuticals [17] Military and Defense - The demand for military supplies, particularly nitrocellulose, is increasing due to global tensions, with a significant drop in global production capacity [10][17] - Companies involved in military equipment are seeing growth due to increased defense spending and geopolitical instability [10][17] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The potential for increased demand for methanol due to disruptions in Iranian production, with China being a major importer [17] - The impact of geopolitical events on the supply chain for various industries, including pharmaceuticals and military supplies, indicating a broader market risk [17] - The upcoming Paris Air Show will showcase significant military and aerospace advancements, reflecting the ongoing investment in defense technologies [18] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call records, highlighting the interconnectedness of geopolitical events and various industries, particularly oil and gas, mining, solid-state batteries, pharmaceuticals, and military defense.

A股油气股继续大涨，准油股份、贝肯能源2连板，新锦动力涨超10%，科力股份、海默科技、通源石 油、海油发展等集体高开，消息上，以色列袭击伊朗能源设施后，原油期货周一亚洲早盘继续大涨，机 构预计这场冲突可能推动WTI原油升至每桶125美元。 ...

各位老铁，我是20年财经老司机帮主郑重。今天这市场可真是"屋漏偏逢连夜雨"——以色列和伊朗周末互炸不停，直接把布伦特原油轰到75美元/桶，黄 金也跟着窜到3444美元/盎司，这架势简直像在看《速度与激情》的原油版！作为中长线玩家，咱们得把显微镜和望远镜都用上，既要盯紧当下的避险机 会，又得看清长期的战略布局。 不过咱们也别光顾着避险，政策面的暖风还在吹。央行上周又撒了5000亿逆回购，市场流动性像"活水"一样。科技自主这条主线可不能丢，工信部的《算 力互联互通计划》正在推进，光模块龙头中际旭创、服务器巨头浪潮信息，短期被错杀反而是捡便宜的机会。消费板块也有惊喜，618大促数据超预期， 美妆龙头珀莱雅、家电巨头美的集团，业绩确定性比黄金还稳。 技术面上，原油下方72美元是强支撑，这是OPEC+减产协议的成本线，跌破的概率不大。黄金3400美元是关键心理关口，只要站稳，下一个目标就是 3750美元的历史新高。操作上别太激进，5-6成仓位拿着，30%能源军工，30%科技成长，20%消费，剩下20%现金机动。早盘要是量能破了3000亿，该加 仓就加仓；要是跌破原油72美元或者黄金3400美元，就切换到高股息模式，银行 ...

Core Insights - Turkmenistan, as the only permanent neutral country in Asia, maintains independence and stability amidst regional turmoil, leveraging its abundant oil and gas resources to provide free energy to its citizens, resulting in high living standards [3][5][19] - The country’s unique geopolitical stance allows it to avoid external interference from major powers like the US and Russia, despite being located in a strategically significant region [13][21][23] Economic Overview - Turkmenistan's economy is heavily reliant on its oil and gas sector, which ranks fifth globally in terms of reserves, making it a critical pillar of the national economy [9][19] - The cost of living in Turkmenistan is notably low, with food prices being about one-sixth of those in China, and gasoline priced at approximately $0.5 per liter, benefiting local residents who have enjoyed free access to oil and gas since the 1990s [7][9] Social Welfare - The welfare level in Turkmenistan is comparable to that of developed Western nations, despite its overall economic challenges, indicating a focus on improving the quality of life for its citizens [5][19] - As of June 2020, the population of Turkmenistan reached 6.72 million, reflecting a nearly 30% increase since independence, which is significant given the country's harsh desert environment [11] Geopolitical Context - Turkmenistan's decision to adopt a policy of permanent neutrality in the early 1990s was a strategic move to navigate the complex geopolitical landscape marked by conflicts in neighboring countries [19][21] - The country has implemented strict domestic controls to maintain its neutrality, including curfews and restrictions on foreign publications, while fostering a close relationship with China, which is its largest trading partner [23]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant fluctuations in international oil prices due to geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran, highlighting the potential impact on the oil market and specific companies within the oil and gas sector. Group 1: Oil Price Fluctuations - On June 13, international oil prices surged by nearly 14%, following a previous increase of about 6%, driven by U.S. personnel withdrawal from the Middle East and rising geopolitical concerns [1][3] - The oil and gas sector in Hong Kong saw substantial gains, with companies like Shandong Molong rising by 75% and Sinopec Oilfield Services increasing by 25% [3] Group 2: Geopolitical Tensions - The article notes that Israel conducted unexpected military strikes against Iran, targeting key nuclear facilities and high-ranking officials, which escalated tensions in the region [4][5] - Iran's response included launching over 100 drones and hundreds of ballistic missiles at Israeli targets, although the effectiveness of this retaliation has been questioned [5][6] Group 3: Potential Oil Market Impact - The possibility of Iran blocking the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil transport route, could lead to a significant spike in oil prices, with estimates suggesting prices could reach between $120 to $300 per barrel if such a blockade occurs [9][10][12] - Historical context indicates that while Iran has threatened to block the Strait in the past, actual implementation is complicated by economic self-interest and external pressures [10][11][12] Group 4: Company Performance and Outlook - Despite the volatility in oil prices, companies like China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) have shown resilience, with a significant increase in net profit margins compared to its peers [17][19] - CNOOC's operational efficiency is highlighted by its lower production costs, which are around $28.5 per barrel, allowing it to maintain profitability even during price fluctuations [19][20] - The company is expected to continue increasing its oil production, with projections of 726.8 million barrels for 2024, reflecting a 7.2% year-on-year growth [20][23] Group 5: Investment Opportunities - The article suggests that if geopolitical tensions continue to rise, the oil and gas sector in Hong Kong could experience a positive market response, particularly for smaller-cap oil stocks [24][25] - CNOOC is positioned as a strong investment choice due to its cost advantages and consistent dividend payouts, making it attractive in a market with reduced risk appetite [25]

Group 1 - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) is organizing a media research event from June 11 to 13 [1] - CNOOC's Bohai Oilfield will establish the largest CCUS center in northern China, integrating carbon dioxide production, injection, and storage [1] - The Bohai Oilfield, established in 1965, has approximately 60 oil and gas fields in production and over 200 production facilities, making it the largest offshore oil and gas production base in China [1] Group 2 - CCUS stands for Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage [1] - The first offshore CCUS project in China was officially put into operation on May 22 at CNOOC's Enping 15-1 platform in the Pearl River Mouth Basin [1]