一、预计美联储年内降息三次 终端利率下调至3%-3.25% 高盛投资研究（GIR）将其对美联储联邦基金利率降息的预测上调至今年降息三次（此前为一次），此外 2026 年还会再降息两次，因此他们将终端利率 预测下调至 3% - 3.25%。 高盛将下次降息的预测时间提前至 9 月，此前预计 12 月才会降息，因为原本认为夏季关税对月度通胀的峰值影响会使更早降息变得棘手。但初步证据显 示，关税的影响似乎比预期的要小，其他抑制通胀的因素更强，而且推测美联储领导层也认同，关税只会对物价水平产生一次性影响。虽然劳动力市场看 似仍健康，但找工作已变难，残余季节性因素和移民政策变化给就业人数带来短期下行风险。 高盛预计 9 月、10 月和 12 月会有三次降息，且仍预计 2026 年还会有两次 25 个基点的降息，因此将终端利率预测下调至 3%-3.25%（此前为 3.5%-3.75%）。 国家统计局（NBS）和财新制造业 PMI 在 6 月均有所上升，但财新 PMI 的升幅更大，这反映出财新制造业 PMI 对 5 月中旬宣布的中美关税减免的反应存 在滞后。6 月仍低于 50 的国家统计局制造业 PMI 与财新制造业 PM ...

Group 1 - The opening of the Shenzhen-Zhongshan Corridor has accelerated the integration of Shenzhen and Zhongshan, with over 29 million vehicle trips recorded in the first year, averaging 86,000 trips per day [1] - The "Shenzhen-Zhongshan Office" has expanded its services to 735 items, facilitating cross-city food business license recognition, marking a national first [1] - Zhongshan has launched a "2+8" industrial plan, focusing on high-tech zones and economic development areas to support the development of a modern industrial system [1] Group 2 - The 2025 Guangdong International Overseas Chinese Innovation and Entrepreneurship Competition has been launched, focusing on artificial intelligence and robotics, with strong support from various industry associations [2] - The competition has attracted over 1,920 projects from more than 50 countries, with over 90% of entries in cutting-edge fields, generating an intended investment of over 250 million yuan [2] - Zhongshan has introduced a multilingual investment platform to attract global investors, integrating various investment services into a single application [2] Group 3 - Several significant platforms were unveiled at the conference, including the Guangdong Zhongshan Cultural Tourism Group, which aims to integrate media, culture, tourism, education, and sports industries [3] - The Zhongshan Cultural Tourism Group plans to leverage rural revitalization strategies to develop rural tourism and educational projects, contributing to local economic growth [3]

证券代码：300489证券简称：光智科技 光智科技股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-003 | | ☐特定对象调研 ☐分析师会议 ☐媒体采访 ☐业绩说明会 | | --- | --- | | 投资者关系活动类别 | ☐新闻发布会 ☐路演活动 | | | ☐现场参观 | | | 其他（终止发行股份及支付现金购买资产并募集配套资金暨关联 | | | 交易事项投资者说明会） | | 参与单位名称及人员姓名 | 线上参与公司终止发行股份及支付现金购买资产并募集配套资金暨 | | | 关联交易事项投资者说明会的全体投资者 | | 时间 | 2025年07月01日 15:00-16:00 | | 地点 | 价值在线（https://www.ir-online.cn/）网络互动 | | 上市公司接待人员姓名 | 董事、总经理 朱世彬 | | | 副总经理、董事会秘书 孟凡宁 | | | 财务总监 蒋桂冬 | | | 交易对方代表 | | | 标的公司代表 | | | 独立财务顾问主办人 1.本次并购终止对先导电科是否有影响，先导电科后续将以何 | | | 种形式上市？ | | | 答:尊敬的投资者您好！ ...

奥瑞德(600666)今日下跌8.61%，全天换手率21.51%，成交额17.74亿元，振幅12.62%。龙虎榜数据显 示，营业部席位合计净买入7861.88万元。 上交所公开信息显示，当日该股因日跌幅偏离值达-9.00%上榜，营业部席位合计净买入7861.88万元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，上榜的前五大买卖营业部合计成交3.50亿元，其中，买入成交额为2.14亿 元，卖出成交额为1.35亿元，合计净买入7861.88万元。 具体来看，今日上榜营业部中，第一大买入营业部为高盛(中国)证券有限责任公司上海浦东新区世纪大 道证券营业部，买入金额为5792.84万元，第一大卖出营业部为东亚前海证券有限责任公司苏州分公 司，卖出金额为4880.10万元。 资金流向方面，今日该股主力资金净流出1.45亿元，其中，特大单净流出1.33亿元，大单资金净流出 1226.97万元。近5日主力资金净流出3867.27万元。 4月26日公司发布的一季报数据显示，一季度公司共实现营业收入9838.38万元，同比增长12.74%，实现 净利润-833.20万元。（数据宝） 奥瑞德7月1日交易公开信息 | 买/ | 会员营业部名称 | ...

欧菲光自研机电一体化全自动锁体，做到在满足一线头部品牌高性能、强稳定性的同时，很好地控制成 本，极大地推动智能门锁从半自动 机械 锁向全自动机电一体化智能锁的升级，从技术上给智能门锁赛 道带来更大的想象空间。 欧菲光还结合自身的光学产业 优势资源 ，不断发力3D感测及视觉方案，研发了包括ToF方案、结构 光、双目摄像头（双IR）、人脸&猫眼二合一等多种差异化视觉方案。2022年，公司发布首款VGA ToF 人脸识别 方案。该方案软、硬件均为公司自主研发，硬件采用了欧菲光自主研发的VGA分辨率ToF摄 像头模组，其投射点云数量高达30万，确保了欧菲光此款方案在安全系数方面实现关键突破，达到银联 金融级别的安全等级，并在行业头部客户率先量产。 欧菲光并没有局限于智能门锁单一零部件的研发制造，而是以指纹识别、3D感测及视觉方案为核心支 撑，通过自研加策略合作的方式，同时整合集团自身优势产业链，从指纹模组、3D Sensor、猫眼、锁 控板到ID/CMF、整锁设计上提供一站式服务，赋能智能门锁整机业务，打造整机研发设计和生产制 造。公司通过高质量的产品、定制化的服务和持续的技术支持，成功突破智能门锁行业头部客户。 随 ...

Group 1 - The 2025 Zhongshan Investment Promotion Conference showcased a favorable business environment to over 400 investors from more than 20 countries, with a total intended investment exceeding 100 billion yuan [2][3] - A total of 30 key projects were signed during the conference, covering various sectors such as high-end manufacturing, technological innovation, and cultural tourism, aligning with Zhongshan's development plans and economic trends [4][5] - Zhongshan's government signed strategic cooperation agreements with major companies, including a framework agreement with Chia Tai Pharmaceutical Group focusing on biomedicine and a collaboration with China Telecom Guangdong on AI and industrial innovation [4][5] Group 2 - The "2+8" industrial blueprint was announced, featuring dual core engines and eight economic development zones to support the cultivation of new productive forces and modern industrial systems [3] - The conference highlighted the transformation of traditional industries and the emergence of new industries, with local companies like Mingyang Group and Vatti Gas increasing their investments [3][4] - The event also included simultaneous sessions in Beijing and Hangzhou, emphasizing Zhongshan's advantages in industrial development, policy support, and innovation ecosystem [6]

Group 1 - The opening of the Shenzhen-Zhongshan Corridor has significantly improved transportation efficiency, reducing travel time between Shenzhen and Zhongshan from over 2 hours to under 30 minutes, facilitating the flow of technology and capital in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [1] - TCL Technology has established its air conditioning division in Zhongshan, supported by local industrial resources, with projected production value exceeding 20 billion yuan in 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of over 30% [2] - Jiangbolong Electronics has set up a production base in Zhongshan, enhancing its operational capabilities and achieving a "half-hour connectivity" with its Shenzhen headquarters [2] Group 2 - The Shenzhen-Zhongshan Corridor serves as a bridge for 29 A-share listed companies in Zhongshan, providing broader market opportunities and closer integration with Shenzhen's industrial chain and innovation resources [3] - Companies like Guangdong Yidun Electronics are leveraging the corridor to strengthen their market position in the printed circuit board industry, focusing on automotive electronics and new energy sectors [3] - The corridor has enabled companies such as Huayi and Zhongshan United Optoelectronics to enhance their collaboration with Shenzhen firms, optimizing their production and R&D processes [3][4] Group 3 - The corridor promotes industrial collaboration, allowing Shenzhen to focus on high-end R&D while Zhongshan consolidates its manufacturing advantages, creating a clearly defined and collaborative industrial landscape [4]

涛涛车业：上半年净利润同比预增70.34%–97.81% 6月30日晚，涛涛车业（301345）发布2025年半年度业绩预告，预计上半年归属于上市公司股东的净利 润为3.1亿元至3.6亿元，比上年同期增长70.34%-97.81%；预计扣除非经常性损益后的净利润为3.07亿元 至3.57亿元，同比增长71.97%-99.96%。 资料显示，涛涛车业成立于2015年9月，主营业务是全地形车、电动高尔夫球车、电动滑板车、电动平 衡车、电动自行车及其配件、用品的研发、生产和销售。 所属行业：汽车–摩托车及其他–摩托车 中国交建：拟5亿–10亿元回购公司股份 6月30日晚，中国交建（601800）发布公告称，公司计划以集中竞价交易方式回购股份，回购资金总额 不低于5亿元，不超过10亿元，回购价格不超过13.58元/股，回购期限为自股东会审议通过回购方案之 日起12个月内。本次回购的股份将全部予以注销并减少公司注册资本。 资料显示，中国交建成立于2006年10月，主营业务是基建设计、基建建设、疏浚业务。 所属行业：建筑装饰–基础建设–基建市政工程 安诺其：控股子公司获165万元政府补助 6月30日晚，安诺其（30006 ...

证券代码：003015 证券简称：日久光电 江苏日久光电股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-005 | | ☑特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 投资者关系活动 | □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | 类别 | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | | | □其他 （请文字说明其他活动内容） | | | 光证资管 尚青 | | | 华安证券 潘宁馨、王强峰 | | 活动参与人员 | 英华资产 于晨阳 | | | 浩期资产 肖滨 | | 时间 | 2025 年 6 月 30 日星期一 14:00-15:00 | | 地点 | 公司会议室 | | 上市公司接待人 | 磁控溅镀技术专家吕敬波、董事会秘书徐一佳、证券事务代表王 | | 员姓名 | 静 | | | 董事会秘书徐一佳介绍了公司的概况、发展历程、生产经营情况 | | | 及产品情况。接下来是投资者交流主要内容： | | | Q1、可以介绍一下调光膜的 PDLC 和 EC 两种不同技术路线的优 | | | 劣势吗？公司对应的调光导电膜市场占有率是多少？ | | 交流内容及具体 | 答：整体来看 PDLC ...

Core Insights - The number of unicorn companies globally has reached 1,523, with China accounting for 343 of them [1] - Among the Chinese unicorns, four companies from Changzhou made the list, three of which are in the new energy sector, while Chenrui Optics is the only optical company included [1] Company Overview - Chenrui Optics, a subsidiary of AAC Technologies, focuses on optical solutions and was established in 2008 [2][3] - The company has established long-term strategic partnerships with major smartphone brands and is one of the top three suppliers of optical lenses globally [2] Financial Performance - Chenrui Optics has experienced rapid growth since 2019, with revenue increasing from 1.07 billion RMB in 2019 to 5 billion RMB in 2024, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 36% [3] - The company's main products include optical lenses, camera modules, and WLG glass lenses, and it is one of the few companies in the industry that can provide a full-link solution [3] Product Development - The flagship product, WLG plastic-glass hybrid lens, is expected to achieve a shipment volume of ten million units this year, marking the large-scale production and application of this lens in flagship smartphone models [3] Market Context - The Hurun Research Institute's unicorn list includes non-public companies founded after 2000 with a valuation of over 1 billion USD, with the valuation cutoff date set for January 1, 2025 [3] - The report highlights that creating a company valued at 1 billion USD typically requires at least ten years of effort, emphasizing the long-term commitment behind such successes [3]