里昂发表研究报告指，自2023年起，银河娱乐的派息率由32%升至2025年上半年的58%，同时维持审慎 的资产负债管理方针。虽然该行假设派息率将稳定维持在60%水平，但如果公司将所有经常性自由现金 流反馈股东，派息率可于2025至27年间提高至最少69%。该行指，公司的现金状况稳健，足以应付新投 资需求以及潜在的业务冲击，资本运用灵活性依然充裕。 该行维持对其"跑赢大市"评级及目标价50港元，并续列为澳门博彩板块的首选之一，因举办盛事有助公 司争取稳健的市场份额收入，且派息率有提升空间。 ...

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the average daily gross gaming revenue (GGR) in Macau for the first nine days of November is approximately 711 million MOP, which is roughly in line with the average of 715 million MOP during the National Day Golden Week, indicating a strong demand environment [1] Industry Summary - The average daily GGR for the first nine days reflects a seasonal increase of about 1% compared to the post-National Day period, suggesting robust demand [1] - In terms of market segments, the average daily mass gaming revenue has decreased by approximately 7% to 9% compared to the previous month, while VIP betting amounts have declined by about 4% to 6% [1] - The VIP win rate is estimated to be between 3.2% and 3.5% [1] - Market consensus anticipates an average daily GGR of around 673 million MOP for November, implying that the remaining 21 days will average about 657 million MOP [1] - The current industry valuation is approximately 8.6 times the expected enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) for 2026, which is 0.7 standard deviations below the two-year average [1] Company Preferences - The industry’s preferred stocks include Galaxy Entertainment (00027), MGM China (02282), and Wynn Macau (01128) [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a positive trend in the Hong Kong gaming stocks, with significant increases in share prices for major companies such as Melco International Development and Galaxy Entertainment, driven by encouraging data on Macau's gaming revenue [1] - Citigroup's research report indicates that Macau's gaming revenue for the first nine days of November is approximately 6.4 billion MOP, resulting in an average daily revenue of about 711 million MOP, which is seen as a positive sign given the transitional month between October's Golden Week and December's holidays [1] - The report conservatively maintains a forecast of 20.5 billion MOP for November's total gaming revenue, suggesting an expected average daily revenue of around 671 million MOP for the remaining days of the month [1] Group 2 - The Macau Statistics and Census Service reported that non-gaming consumption by tourists reached 20.38 billion MOP in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.7%, with overnight and non-overnight visitors contributing to the growth [1] - Spending by overnight visitors totaled 16.76 billion MOP, up 7.6%, while spending by non-overnight visitors surged by 27.6% to 3.62 billion MOP [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS report indicates that the average daily gross gaming revenue (GGR) in Macau for the first nine days of November is approximately 711 million MOP, which is roughly in line with the average of 715 million MOP during the National Day Golden Week, reflecting a strong demand environment [1] Industry Summary - The average daily GGR for November is expected to be around 673 million MOP, suggesting that the remaining 21 days of November will see an average daily GGR of approximately 657 million MOP [1] - The current industry valuation is at 8.6 times the expected enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) for 2026, which is 0.7 standard deviations below the two-year average [1] Company Preferences - The industry’s preferred companies are Galaxy Entertainment, MGM China, and Wynn Macau [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs has adjusted its EBITDA forecasts for Wynn Macau (01128) for 2025 to 2027, with a decrease of 4% to an increase of 1%, and has slightly lowered the target price from HKD 7.5 to HKD 7.4, maintaining a "Neutral" rating [1] Financial Performance - Wynn Macau's Q3 property EBITDA was USD 308 million, benefiting from an increase in VIP win rate to 4.26%, compared to 2.97% in the previous quarter [1] - If the VIP win rate is adjusted to the theoretical value of 3.4%, the property EBITDA would be USD 285 million, representing a quarter-on-quarter growth of 7% and a year-on-year growth of 9%, aligning with market expectations [1] - The market share of gaming revenue increased by 1.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter to 13.1% [1] Management Outlook - The management of Wynn Macau remains optimistic about the prospects of the Macau gaming industry and the company's business, highlighting strong performance in the high-end market, which supported a double-digit year-on-year growth in gaming volume for October [1] - However, due to the low actual win rate in the mass market, the total gaming revenue growth for October may lag behind industry levels, with an estimated market share of approximately 12% for the month [1] Future Projections - Goldman Sachs assumes a market share of 12.6% for Wynn Macau, and anticipates additional costs due to more events being held at the end of the year, projecting Q4 property EBITDA to be USD 280 million and total property EBITDA for the year to be USD 1.1 billion [1] - The expected decline in market share for October and higher costs in Q4 are likely to limit EBITDA and stock price upside potential [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Industrial Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for MGM China (02282), highlighting the company's strong market share and performance despite a decline in revenue and EBITDA in Q3 2025 due to high base effects and typhoon impacts, with a positive outlook for Q4 2025 [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of HKD 8.51 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.4% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 1.8% [2] - The adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was HKD 2.37 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 19.6% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 5.5% [2] - The adjusted EBITDA margin for Q3 2025 was 27.9%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.5 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 1.1 percentage points [2] Group 2: Segment Performance - Revenue from MGM Macau and MGM Cotai in Q3 2025 was HKD 3.39 billion and HKD 5.12 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 11.6% and 21.5% [2] - Adjusted EBITDA for MGM Macau and MGM Cotai was HKD 0.91 billion and HKD 1.46 billion, with year-on-year growth of 14.1% and 23.3% [2] Group 3: Future Projections - The company is expected to generate revenues of HKD 34.2 billion, HKD 35.2 billion, and HKD 36.2 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.0%, 2.9%, and 2.9% [1] - The adjusted EBITDA projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are HKD 9.5 billion, HKD 9.7 billion, and HKD 10.0 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.0%, 2.4%, and 2.9% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Wynn Macau's performance in Q3 2025 is strong, with net revenue reaching 1.001 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 15% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13%, recovering to 93% of the level seen in Q3 2019 [1] - Adjusted property EBITDA is reported at 308 million USD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 22% [1] - The report attributes the performance growth primarily to a low base effect and an increase in market share of total gaming revenue from 11.8% to 13% [1] Group 2 - The company maintains its forecasts for adjusted EBITDA for 2025 and 2026, while also maintaining an "outperform" rating [1] - The target price has been raised by 4% to 7.9 HKD [1]

Core Viewpoint - CICC reports that Galaxy Entertainment's Q3 revenue increased by 14% year-on-year to HKD 12.163 billion, which is 96% of the same period in 2019 [1] - Adjusted EBITDA also rose by 14% year-on-year to HKD 3.341 billion, reaching 81% of the same period in 2019, aligning with market expectations of HKD 3.321 billion [1] Financial Performance - The increase in revenue and EBITDA is attributed to heightened market competition leading to increased operating expenses and the normalization of VIP room win rates [1] - CICC has revised down its adjusted EBITDA forecasts for Galaxy Entertainment for this year and next year by 1% and 3% to HKD 14.031 billion and HKD 14.923 billion, respectively [1] Investment Rating - CICC maintains an "outperform" rating for Galaxy Entertainment with a target price set at HKD 44.8 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Wynn Macau's Q3 property EBITDA is $308 million, benefiting from an increase in VIP win rate to 4.26% compared to 2.97% in the previous quarter [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The adjusted property EBITDA, assuming a theoretical VIP win rate of 3.4%, would be $285 million, reflecting a quarterly growth of 7% and an annual growth of 9%, aligning with market expectations [1] - The market share of gaming revenue increased by 1.1 percentage points to 13.1% quarter-over-quarter [1] Group 2: Management Outlook - Management remains optimistic about the Macau gaming industry and the company's business prospects, highlighting strong performance in the high-end market, which supports a double-digit year-on-year growth in gaming volume for October [1] Group 3: Future Projections - Goldman Sachs assumes a market share of 12.6% and anticipates additional costs due to more events at year-end, projecting Q4 property EBITDA to be $280 million, with an annual EBITDA forecast of $1.1 billion [1] - The firm has adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 to 2027 down by 4% to an increase of 1%, with a slight decrease in target price from HKD 7.5 to HKD 7.4, maintaining a "Neutral" rating due to expected market share decline in October and higher costs in Q4 limiting EBITDA and stock price upside [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that the performance of Wynn Macau (01128) is primarily attributed to a low base effect, with the market share of total gaming revenue increasing from 11.8% in Q2 2025 to 13% in Q3 2025 [1] Financial Performance - Wynn Macau reported a net income of $1.001 billion for Q3 2025, representing a 15% increase year-on-year and a 13% increase quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 93% of the level seen in Q3 2019 [1] - Adjusted property EBITDA reached $308 million, up 17% year-on-year and 22% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 102% of the Q3 2019 level, slightly exceeding market expectations of $301 million [1] Valuation and Ratings - CICC maintains its forecast for adjusted EBITDA for 2025 and 2026, with the stock currently trading at a 2026 expected EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.6 times [1] - The target price has been raised by 4% to HKD 7.9, implying a 2025 expected EV/EBITDA of 8.4 times, with a rating of "outperform" relative to the industry [1]