点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 本文全文共 2656 字，阅读全文约 9 分钟 2025年一季度全国规模以上工业产能利用率为74.1% 2025年一季度，全国规模以上工业产能利用率为74.1%，比上年同期上升0.5个百分点。 按消费类型分，3月份，商品零售额36705亿元，同比增长5.9%；餐饮收入4235亿元，增长5.6%。1— 3月份，商品零售额110644亿元，增长4.6%；餐饮收入14027亿元，增长4.7%。 按零售业态分，1—3月份，限额以上零售业单位中便利店、超市、百货店、专业店、品牌专卖店零售 额同比分别增长9.9%、4.6%、1.2%、6.7%、1.4%。 79.3%，有色金属冶炼和压延加工业为77.5%，通用设备制造业为78.1%，专用设备制造业为75.6%， 汽车制造 业为71.9% ，电气机械和器材制造业为71.7%，计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业为74.7%。 (来源:国家统计局 ) 2025年3月份社会消费品零售总额增长5.9% 3月份，社会消费品零售总额40940亿元，同比增长5.9%。其中， 除汽车以外的消费品零售额36610亿 元，增长6.0%。 1—3月份，社会消费品零售 ...

燃气Ⅱ行业跟踪周报 证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·燃气Ⅱ 关税引发经济衰退担忧美国气价大跌，关税 暂缓欧洲气价回升，国内气价平稳 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] ◼ 风险提示：经济增速不及预期、极端天气、国际局势变化、安全经营风险。 2025 年 04 月 21 日 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 谷玥 执业证书：S0600524090002 guy@dwzq.com.cn 2025-04-14 《天气温暖&产量下降美国气价上 升，俄乌和谈推进欧洲气价下降；关 税影响有限》 2025-04-07 东吴证券研究所 1 / 13 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 价格跟踪：关税引发经济衰退担忧美国气价大跌，关税暂缓欧洲气价回升，国 内气价平稳。截至 2025/04/17,美国 HH/欧洲 TTF/东亚 JKM/中国 LNG 出厂/中 国 LNG 到岸价周环比变动-20.6%/+6.8%/-4.1%/-0.5%/+9.7%至 0.8/3/3.1/3.1/3.1 元/方 ...

Summary of Jiufeng Energy Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Jiufeng Energy - **Industry**: Energy sector, focusing on natural gas and LPG (liquefied petroleum gas) Key Points and Arguments 1. **New Employee Stock Ownership Plan**: Jiufeng Energy has launched a new employee stock ownership plan covering 2025 to 2027, with a target of a 15% compound annual growth rate based on 2024's net profit excluding non-recurring items, indicating a high premium given the current macroeconomic environment and gas industry growth [3][4][14] 2. **Past Strategic Planning Success**: The company executed its previous three-year strategic plan ("one main and two wings") effectively, achieving a cumulative net profit completion rate of 117% and a compound growth rate of 28% in net profit excluding non-recurring items over the past three years [4][5][8] 3. **Market Response Strategies**: In response to energy market price fluctuations, Jiufeng Energy has optimized its resource pool, utilized cargo exchanges, and implemented long-term contracts to enhance pricing power, demonstrating its market adaptability [4][6] 4. **Natural Gas Business Focus**: The company plans to focus on transportation fuel and gas power generation in its natural gas business, with LNG production capacity expected to increase to 1.5 to 2 million tons over the next three years [4][10] 5. **LPG Business Expansion**: Jiufeng Energy aims to expand its terminal operations from one to three terminals, significantly increasing its market share in South China, currently at approximately 35% [4][12] 6. **Terminal Asset Integration**: The integration of terminal assets is expected to be completed by May 2025, adding 500,000 tons of turnover capacity and projected profits of 40 to 70 million yuan, enhancing overall capacity and synergy with Huizhou terminal [4][18] 7. **Financial Stability**: The company maintains a robust financial position with sufficient cash and bank credit lines, expecting that capital expenditures in 2025 will not significantly impact dividends, alongside plans for share buybacks [4][22][23] 8. **Future Growth Targets**: Jiufeng Energy has set a target of 15% annual growth for the next three years, aiming for a business scale of around 2 billion yuan by 2027, with specific contributions from LNG, LPG, and energy services [14][21] 9. **Impact of International Markets**: The international energy market significantly influences the company, with European inventory levels being low and Southeast Asia showing growth potential, providing opportunities for resource optimization [19][17] 10. **Internal Efficiency Improvements**: The company has achieved internal efficiency improvements through scaling operations and reducing costs, positioning itself as an efficient energy service provider [20] Other Important Insights - **Cultural Development**: Jiufeng Energy has established a culture of striving towards strategic goals, which has unified employee efforts and improved operational stability [7] - **Challenges Ahead**: The company acknowledges challenges such as trade wars and weaker domestic demand but remains confident in achieving its future development goals [9][26] - **Employee Incentives**: The first employee stock ownership plan achieved a completion rate of 117%, and the company plans to continue optimizing the second phase [25][26]

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1285号 华联期货宏观周报 一季度G D P增长5 . 4 % 工业增长加速 20250420 研究助理：石舒宇 从业资格号：F03117664 0769-22116880 作者：黄秀仕 交易咨询号：Z0018307 从业资格号：F03106904 0769-22110802 审核：黎照锋交易咨询号：Z0000088 周度观点及策略 周度观点 一季度国内生产总值318758亿元，按不变价格计算，同比增长5.4%，比上年四季度环比增长1.2%。分产业看，第一产业增加值11713亿元， 同比增长3.5%；第二产业增加值111903亿元，增长5.9%；第三产业增加值195142亿元，增长5.3%。 一季度，全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长6.5%，比上年全年加快0.7个百分点。分三大门类看，采矿业增加值同比增长6.2%，制造业增长 7.1%，电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业增长1.9%。装备制造业增加值同比增长10.9%，比上年全年加快3.2个百分点；高技术制造业增加 值增长9.7%，加快0.8个百分点。分经济类型看，国有控股企业增加值同比增长4.2%；股份制企业增长7.2%， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the industry [2] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a significant increase in nuclear power generation, with a year-on-year growth of 23.0% in March, while thermal power generation has decreased by 2.3% [11] - The overall electricity consumption in March reached 828.2 billion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, with the first and third industries maintaining high growth rates [20] - The report emphasizes the potential for further declines in coal prices due to increased supply and decreased demand as temperatures rise, which could enhance profitability in thermal power generation [6] Industry Scale - The industry comprises 241 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 370.24 billion and a circulating market capitalization of 344.90 billion [2] Industry Index Performance - The environmental and public utility sectors have shown positive performance, with the public utility index increasing by 1.77% and the environmental index by 0.04% [6][28] - Year-to-date, the environmental sector has a cumulative decline of 1.02%, while the electric power sector has declined by 2.46%, both outperforming the broader market indices [6] Key Data Tracking - As of April 18, 2025, the price of Qinhuangdao 5500 kcal thermal coal is 680 yuan/ton, a significant drop of 57.5% from its peak of 1599 yuan/ton in October 2022 [40] - The average electricity price in Guangdong reached a peak of 327.31 yuan/MWh on April 18, 2025, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 7.0% [65] - The national carbon market saw a weekly trading volume of 149.89 million tons, a substantial increase of 319.5% [72] Key Events in the Industry - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration jointly issued the "New Generation Coal Power Upgrade Special Action Implementation Plan (2025-2027)" [76]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The overall economic performance of Heilongjiang Province in 2024 shows a GDP of 16476.9 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 3.2% compared to the previous year [8] - The three major industries' contributions to GDP are as follows: primary industry at 3203.3 billion yuan (2.9% growth), secondary industry at 4147.3 billion yuan (-0.2% decline), and tertiary industry at 9126.2 billion yuan (4.7% growth) [8] - The province's population at the end of 2024 is 30.29 million, with an urbanization rate of 68.05%, reflecting a 0.94 percentage point increase from the previous year [14] - The agricultural sector shows a total output value of 5904.1 billion yuan, with a growth of 3.1%, and a grain production of 8001.7 million tons, maintaining the top position among provinces [20] - Industrial production has seen a decline of 3.1% in the added value of large-scale industries, with notable growth in the petrochemical industry at 7.9% [24][25] - Fixed asset investment increased by 6.0%, with significant growth in infrastructure investment at 11.0% [32][33] - The retail market shows a total social retail sales of 5738.9 billion yuan, growing by 1.9%, with a notable increase in online retail sales by 9.2% [34][35] - The province's foreign trade reached a total value of 3122.8 billion yuan, with exports growing by 14.4% [36] Summary by Sections Economic Overview - Heilongjiang's GDP reached 16476.9 billion yuan, with a growth of 3.2% [8] - The three industries' contributions are 19.4% for primary, 25.2% for secondary, and 55.4% for tertiary [8] Population and Employment - The total population is 30.29 million, with an urbanization rate of 68.05% [14] - Urban employment increased by 37.7 million, exceeding the annual target by 125.5% [17] Agriculture - Total agricultural output value is 5904.1 billion yuan, with a growth of 3.1% [20] - Grain production is 8001.7 million tons, maintaining the top position nationally [20] Industry - Industrial added value decreased by 3.1%, with the petrochemical sector growing by 7.9% [24][25] - High-tech manufacturing increased by 4.1% [25] Investment - Fixed asset investment grew by 6.0%, with infrastructure investment up by 11.0% [32][33] Trade - Total foreign trade value reached 3122.8 billion yuan, with exports increasing by 14.4% [36] Consumer Market - Social retail sales totaled 5738.9 billion yuan, growing by 1.9% [34] - Online retail sales increased by 9.2% [35]

Core Viewpoint - The company has ensured the authenticity, accuracy, and completeness of its financial reports and other disclosures, taking legal responsibility for any misleading statements or omissions [2][3][4]. Financial Data - The first quarter financial statements for 2025 are unaudited, with the company confirming that there were no profits from mergers with controlled entities in the current or previous periods [5][6]. - The company has not adopted new accounting standards or interpretations that would affect the financial statements for the year [6]. Shareholder Information - The company has reported that there are no changes in the major shareholders or their shareholding status compared to the previous period [4]. Supervisory Board Meeting - The third supervisory board meeting was held on April 18, 2025, with all five supervisors present, and the meeting followed legal and procedural requirements [7]. - The supervisory board approved several key resolutions, including the annual work report, annual report and summary, profit distribution plan, and the special report on the use of raised funds [8][10][13][15]. Financial Reports and Budgets - The supervisory board confirmed that the 2024 annual financial statements accurately reflect the company's financial status and operational results, and the 2025 budget is deemed reasonable [17]. - The board also approved the evaluation report on internal controls, affirming that the company has established a sound internal control system [29]. Related Party Transactions - The supervisory board reviewed and approved the execution of related party transactions for 2024 and the expected transactions for 2025, confirming that they are conducted fairly and do not harm the interests of the company or its shareholders [20][25][26]. Accounting Estimates - The board approved changes in accounting estimates, stating that they provide a more reliable and relevant reflection of the company's financial status [27]. Quarterly Report - The supervisory board reviewed the first quarter report for 2025, confirming that it complies with legal and regulatory requirements and accurately reflects the company's operational and financial conditions [30].

Core Viewpoint - The company has successfully navigated a challenging economic environment in 2024, achieving significant operational and financial milestones while focusing on its strategic goals of carbon neutrality and clean energy development [2][18]. Company Overview - The main business activities of the company include the development, production, and sale of conventional and renewable energy, as well as urban solid waste treatment, wastewater treatment, and urban gas supply [2]. - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of RMB 41.214 billion and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 2.005 billion [2][18]. Low-Carbon Power - The company added a total installed capacity of 4.5964 million kilowatts in 2024, with significant contributions from natural gas (3.8374 million kilowatts) and renewable sources such as wind and solar [4]. - As of the end of 2024, the company's controllable installed capacity reached 23.729 million kilowatts, with clean energy accounting for 74.63% of the total installed capacity [5]. Ecological Environmental Protection - The company expanded its environmental protection business overseas, signing a framework agreement for a project in Kazakhstan and winning multiple domestic waste management projects [6]. - By the end of 2024, the company had established 42 solid waste treatment plants across various provinces, with a daily processing capacity of 50,515 tons, marking a 14.09% increase from the previous year [7]. Comprehensive Gas Business - The company strengthened its urban gas supply and LNG trading operations, achieving a sales volume of 3.345 billion standard cubic meters in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 51.91% [8]. - The company operates in multiple cities, serving nearly 1.13 million residential users and 23,000 industrial users [8]. Digital Services - The company completed the planning and design of its digital transformation framework in 2024, launching various information technology projects and achieving a record number of intellectual property rights [9][10]. - The total investment in information technology projects reached RMB 129 million, a 37.9% increase from the previous year [10]. Financial Performance - The company reported a 1.75% year-on-year increase in operating revenue, driven by growth in the gas segment [19]. - The net profit margin for 2024 was 4.85%, with a basic earnings per share of RMB 0.28 [18][19]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 1.50 per 10 shares, totaling RMB 713.61 million, which represents 35.59% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [41][42].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the utility sector, indicating an expectation that the industry index will outperform the market index by more than 10% over the next six months [1]. Core Insights - In March, the total electricity consumption in the country increased by 4.8% year-on-year [1]. - The report highlights that the State Development and Reform Commission has issued guidelines to accelerate the development of virtual power plants, aiming for a national adjustment capacity of over 20 million kilowatts by 2027 and 50 million kilowatts by 2030 [4][44]. - The report notes a decline in average coal prices year-on-year, suggesting a favorable environment for thermal power companies [4][42]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - As of April 17, the Shenwan Utility Index fell by 1.0% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.3 percentage points, ranking 9th among 31 Shenwan industries [11]. - Year-to-date, the Shenwan Utility Index has decreased by 3.0%, also outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.2 percentage points, ranking 17th among 31 industries [11]. 2. Industry Valuation - As of April 17, the valuation of the Shenwan Utility sector is at 17.7 times earnings, below the one-year average [17]. - The sub-sector valuations include: - Photovoltaic power: 78.8 times - Hydropower: 20.5 times - Integrated energy services: 19.6 times - Wind power: 19.4 times - Thermal services: 18.3 times - Gas: 17.9 times - Thermal power: 12.5 times [17][18]. 3. Industry Data Tracking - As of April 17, the average price of Q6000 coal at the pit in Yulin, Shaanxi, was 614 yuan per ton, down 0.3% from the previous value [32]. - The average price of Q5500 coal at Qinhuangdao port was 667 yuan per ton, down 0.2% from the previous value [32]. 4. Key Industry News - The report mentions several important announcements, including the release of the "New Generation Coal Power Upgrade Special Action Implementation Plan (2025-2027)" by the State Development and Reform Commission [4][41]. - The report also highlights the issuance of 174 million green power certificates in March 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.39 times, with 82.26% being tradable [44]. 5. Industry Weekly Viewpoint - The report suggests focusing on thermal power companies such as Huadian International (600027), Guodian Power (600795), and Hubei Energy (000883) due to their strong performance in the current market environment [42]. - In the gas sector, it recommends attention to companies like Xin'ao Co. (600803), Jiufeng Energy (605090), and New Natural Gas (603393) [42].

Group 1 - The company reported a historical high operating revenue of 2.753 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 46.17%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 173 million yuan, up 13.05% [2] - The company has established multiple high-pressure pipelines and gas supply networks, providing a competitive advantage in its operations [3] - The company plans to expand its business by exploring unconventional natural gas and enhancing infrastructure for clean transportation energy supply [4] Group 2 - The company aims to increase its market presence through mergers and acquisitions to obtain more urban gas franchise rights [4] - A cash dividend of 2.5 yuan per 10 shares is proposed, totaling approximately 69.276 million yuan, which accounts for 40.02% of the net profit for 2024 [4]