Core Viewpoint - The company suggests to continue increasing positions in the computer industry, emphasizing the marginal changes in AI applications and the domestic innovation (信创) sector [2]. Group 1: Computer Industry Outlook - The current holdings in the computer industry are at a low level, with expectations for improvement in sector prosperity driven by demand and innovation [2]. - The release of semi-annual report forecasts, the continuous rise of overseas markets, and the release of policy dividends are expected to enhance market risk appetite [2]. - Key focus areas for investment include AI, financial technology, and domestic innovation [2]. Group 2: AI Applications - AI applications are anticipated to experience an upward trend in prosperity, with large models entering a new round of intensive iteration [2]. - Notable releases include xAI's flagship model Grok-4 on July 10 and 月之暗面's Kimi K2 model on July 11, both of which are expected to accelerate the penetration of AI applications [2]. - Future releases of models such as GPT-5, DS V4, and DS R2 are expected to further enhance the certainty of prosperity in AI applications [2]. Group 3: Domestic Innovation Sector - The domestic innovation sector has experienced a transition from expected improvement to a decline in expectations due to changes in bidding rhythms since Q3 2024 [2]. - Current market attention is low, but with government budgets being implemented, the certainty of order fulfillment is high [2]. - Considering the semi-annual report expectations of related companies, this period is seen as an excellent opportunity for bottom-fishing and increasing positions [2].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on leading domestic generative large model companies such as iFLYTEK, and highlights potential in AI hardware applications with recommendations for companies like Yingshi Network, Hongsoft Technology, and Hesai [2] Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the AI industry is currently in a relatively chaotic fundamental period, with some high-frequency data showing resilience, while investor expectations remain low. The willingness to use AI products is increasing, but payment capabilities are still limited, necessitating further breakthroughs in large models [11][12] - It identifies high-growth sectors for 2025, including AI computing power and lidar, while noting that AI applications are accelerating upward. Stable growth is expected in software outsourcing, financial IT, quantum computing, data elements, EDA, and overseas expansion [11][12] Summary by Sections Industry Perspective - The report discusses the launch of Tencent's 3D generative model Hunyuan3D-PolyGen, which can generate complex geometric models with thousands of faces, and highlights the advancements of Musk's Grok 4 model, which has shown significant improvements in training efficiency [11] - It notes that the computer industry is expected to perform better in the second half of the year due to base effects, new technology/product launches, and policy implementations [11] Subsector Insights - The report categorizes the computer industry into various subsectors with their respective growth outlooks: - High growth maintained: AI computing power, lidar - Accelerating growth: AI applications - Stable growth: Software outsourcing, financial IT, quantum computing, data elements, EDA, overseas expansion, and domestic innovation [10][12] - Turning points: Education IT, cybersecurity, enterprise services - Stabilizing: Smart transportation, government IT, security, construction real estate IT - Slightly pressured: Industrial software, medical IT [10][12] Market Performance Review - From July 7 to July 11, 2025, the computer industry index (Shenwan) rose by 3.22%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.40 percentage points, ranking 6th among 31 Shenwan first-level industry indices [13] Upcoming Key Events - The report highlights upcoming events such as the second AI glasses industry innovation application summit and the 2025 World Artificial Intelligence Conference, suggesting that investors pay attention to related industry chain opportunities [25][26]

Core Viewpoint - Snowflake Inc. is experiencing a bullish trend in the technology sector, with expectations for further price increases as it trades at a new 52-week high [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - Snowflake's stock has reached a new 52-week high, with some market participants predicting even higher prices in the future [1]. - The stock is seen as a prime candidate for further momentum due to its business model being insulated from current economic and geopolitical conflicts [2]. - A significant increase in call options purchased, from 57,241 to 86,533, indicates bullish sentiment among traders [4][6]. Group 2: Analyst Ratings and Price Forecasts - Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of Snowflake with an Overweight rating, suggesting a fair value of $262 per share, indicating potential upside of 18% from current levels [8][9]. - The 12-month stock price forecast is set at $225.22, with a moderate buy rating based on 43 analyst ratings [10]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Business Model - Snowflake reported annual revenue growth of 26%, reaching $996.8 million, primarily driven by subscription revenue [10][11]. - The company trades at a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 30.7, significantly higher than the computer sector average of 7.0, reflecting strong market demand for its subscription-based business model [11][12]. - Institutional buying reached $2.4 billion in the most recent quarter, adding to $6.2 billion from the previous quarter, indicating strong interest from "smart money" investors [12][13].

Core Insights - The A-share IPO market has shown significant activity in June, with a total of 113 companies accepted for listing across the three major exchanges in the first half of 2025, marking a substantial increase from 16 in May to 86 in June [1][3] - The Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) has been particularly active, accepting 54 companies in June alone, contributing to a total of 72 for the first half of the year, indicating a strong interest from "specialized, refined, unique, and innovative" small and medium enterprises [3] - The surge in IPO applications is attributed to two main factors: the approaching financial report update deadline and the positive impact of policy reforms, especially on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, which has become more inclusive for unprofitable companies [3][4] Summary by Category IPO Activity - In June, the three exchanges received 86 new applications, a fourfold increase from May's 16 [1] - The total number of companies accepted for listing in the first half of 2025 reached 113 [1] Exchange Performance - The BSE led with 54 new applications in June and 72 in total for the first half [3] - The Main Board, ChiNext, and Sci-Tech Innovation Board followed, with the Sci-Tech Innovation Board allowing unprofitable companies to apply, signaling increased inclusivity [3] Industry and Regional Insights - Manufacturing companies dominate the new applications, particularly in the fields of computer, communication, and electronic equipment manufacturing [3] - The Yangtze River Delta remains a capital hub, with Zhejiang, Jiangsu, and Guangdong accounting for over 60% of the accepted companies [4] Future Outlook - The IPO acceptance activity is expected to remain robust in the second half of the year, driven by the urgency of companies to secure financing and the supportive role of the multi-tiered capital market in fostering technological innovation and economic circulation [4]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Focus - The conference call primarily discusses the **domestic computing industry** and its **self-controllable sector**, particularly focusing on **国产化替代** (domestic substitution) in the context of the **信创** (Xinchuang) initiative [1][3][5]. Core Insights and Arguments - Investment should focus on **core areas** such as **operating systems, chips, and databases**, which are expected to dominate the software ecosystem and concentrate profits as the industry matures [1][3]. - There is a significant investment opportunity in **industrial control PLC, CEM, and CAD design software**, which currently have low penetration rates. The potential for product breakthroughs in these areas is highlighted as a key driver for domestic substitution [1][3]. - The **competitive advantage** of domestic chips is emphasized, particularly in comparison to **Intel chips** regarding **FP8, FP4, and memory specifications**. Rapid iterations of domestic chips are expected to enhance their cost-performance ratio [1][3]. - The **self-controllable sector's performance** is closely linked to the **replacement cycle**, with a gradual expansion from government sectors to broader industries. Policy support is crucial for this expansion [4][5]. - The best investment phase is identified as the transition from **small-scale pilot projects** to **small-scale rollouts**, with an emphasis on monitoring the pace of **foreign restrictions** on China, which could accelerate domestic substitution [1][6]. Additional Important Points - The **three most promising investment directions** are identified as: 1. Domestic **basic software and hardware** (chips, databases, operating systems) 2. Domestic **industrial software**, leveraging China's manufacturing foundation 3. The **AI sector**, where domestic substitution is a clear trend amid US-China technological competition [2][8]. - The **supply-side** focus should be on product iterations in low-penetration areas like PLC, CAD, and CEL, while the **demand-side** should be guided by policies, especially in industries critical to national security [6][7]. - Historical patterns indicate that each round of **policy reinforcement** leads to downstream industry expansion, making it essential to capture cyclical opportunities as the ecosystem evolves [5].

Group 1: AI Industry - The AI industry has become a core focus for both China and the US, with accelerated implementation of AI technologies [2] - Domestic models have entered the global first tier, driven by high demand for reasoning models and multi-modal technologies [2] - AI revenue share for industry chain companies is expected to gradually increase due to the rising demand for tokens [2] Group 2: Cross-Border Payment - The cross-border payment industry is expected to experience a comprehensive acceleration due to the combination of supply-side clearing and demand-side warming [3] - New technologies and market scenarios are likely to open up growth opportunities in the payment industry [3] - The development of alternative payment systems like CIPS and currency bridges is anticipated to grow rapidly, benefiting third-party payment and bank IT-related companies [3] Group 3: Autonomous Driving and Domestic Production - Strong policy support for domestic production and intelligent driving is driving the acceleration of these emerging sectors [4] - The opening of road and airspace rights is facilitating the automation and intelligent reconstruction of industries like logistics [4] - The domestic production sector is expected to recover after a slowdown, supported by national policies and the need for supply chain security [4]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on the generative AI model leaders such as iFlytek, AI hardware companies like Yingzi Network and Hongsoft Technology, and AI-related applications that can enhance user engagement and payment rates, recommending attention to Kingsoft Office and Wanjing Technology [4] Core Insights - The AI industry chain is expected to maintain high prosperity, with computing power sustaining high levels and applications accelerating upward [3][12] - The current macroeconomic environment is characterized by relative chaos, with some high-frequency domestic data not appearing weak, while investor expectations for the future remain low [2][12] - The report anticipates that the second half of the year may yield better operational performance due to base effects, new technology/product launches, and policy implementations [2][12] Summary by Sections Current Week's Insights - On June 12, Volcano Engine released the Doubao model 1.6, achieving significant advancements in multimodal understanding and reasoning capabilities, supporting 256K context input [12] - OpenAI launched the new multimodal reasoning model o3-pro, which supports text and image input with a maximum context of 200k and output of 100k tokens, showing improvements in clarity and instruction adherence [12] Industry Prosperity by Segment - High prosperity maintained or increasing: AI industry chain (computing power high, applications accelerating), LiDAR, software outsourcing, and Huawei's supply chain [3][11] - Upward turning points with strong potential: education IT, cybersecurity, enterprise services [3][11] - Stability at the bottom: smart transportation, security, government IT, and construction real estate IT [3][11] - Slight pressure on prosperity: industrial software, medical IT [3][11] Investment Recommendations - Focus on leading generative AI model companies like iFlytek, AI hardware as new application carriers, and AI-related functionalities that can drive user engagement [4] - The report highlights the potential for AI applications to thrive as domestic internet giants continue to iterate their models and products [14] Market Performance Overview - From June 9 to June 13, 2025, the computer industry index (Shenwan) fell by 2.52%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.27 percentage points [17] - The report notes that the average daily trading volume in A-shares increased by 105.9% year-on-year, indicating heightened market activity [22] Upcoming Key Events - Anticipated events include the Huawei Developer Conference and the Shenzhen International Consumer Electronics Exhibition, which may present opportunities in related supply chains [27]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced narrow fluctuations with the TMT sector showing strong performance, while the Hong Kong market remained relatively flat, highlighted by a significant rise in pharmaceutical stocks [1][15][16]. A-share Market Summary - The A-share market showed slight movements with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.07%, Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.05%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.50% [3]. - The TMT sector led the gains, particularly the communication sector, which saw a rise exceeding 2% at one point, with stocks like Dongxin Peace and Mingpu Optoelectronics hitting the daily limit [5]. - The media sector also performed well, with a near 2% increase, and stocks such as Chuanwang Media and Yuanlong Yatu reaching their daily limits [7][8]. Hong Kong Market Summary - The Hong Kong market was relatively stable, with the Hang Seng Index mostly declining during the morning session [16]. - The pharmaceutical sector in Hong Kong saw significant gains, with China Biologic Products rising over 17%, and other companies like Meizhong Pharmaceutical and Zai Lab increasing by over 11% [17]. New Stock Performance - Haiyang Technology, a new stock listed today, experienced a surge of over 500% at one point. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of nylon 6 series products and aims to become a leader in the nylon industry [12][13]. Pharmaceutical Sector Developments - Boan Biotech's stock rose over 8% after announcing the completion of a share placement, raising approximately HKD 395.6 million for R&D and commercialization of innovative products [18][19].

Group 1: TMT Sector Performance - The TMT sector showed strong performance in the A-share market, with multiple industry segments experiencing significant gains and several stocks hitting the daily limit up [2][4] - The communication sector led the gains, with a peak increase of over 2%, and stocks such as Dongxin Peace and Mingpu Optoelectronics reaching their daily limit up [2][3] - The media sector also performed well, with a near 2% increase, highlighted by stocks like Chuanwang Media and Yuanlong Yatu achieving limit up [4][5] Group 2: New Stock Performance - Haiyang Technology, a new stock, saw its price surge over 500% during its debut, indicating strong market interest [10] - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of nylon 6 series products, aiming to become a leader in the nylon industry [10][11] - Haiyang Technology has established long-term collaborations with several well-known domestic and international companies in its product field, enhancing its brand recognition [11] Group 3: Hong Kong Market Highlights - The Hong Kong market exhibited a relatively flat performance, with the Hang Seng Index mostly declining [12][13] - However, the pharmaceutical sector in Hong Kong experienced a significant rise, with stocks like China Biologic Products and Meizhong Pharmaceutical seeing increases of over 11% [14][15] - The market also noted a substantial increase in BioNTech's stock, which rose over 8% following a successful share placement announcement [15][16]

Core Viewpoint - A-shares experienced slight fluctuations with the TMT sector showing strength, while Hong Kong stocks remained relatively flat, with a notable rise in pharmaceutical stocks [1][14]. A-share Market Summary - The A-share market showed narrow fluctuations, with major indices experiencing minimal changes. By noon, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.07%, the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.05%, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.50% [3][4]. - The TMT sector collectively strengthened, particularly the telecommunications sector, which saw a rise exceeding 2% at one point. Stocks such as Dongxin Peace and Mingpu Optoelectronics reached their daily limit [4][5]. Sector Performance - The media sector also performed well, with gains approaching 2%. Notable stocks included Chuanwang Media, which surged over 18%, and others like Yuanlong Yatu and Giant Network hitting their daily limits [6]. - The computer sector showed strong performance, with stocks like Zhaori Technology and Luopute hitting their daily limits, while others like Geer Software and Hengyin Technology also saw significant increases [8][9]. - Other sectors such as beauty care, non-ferrous metals, and non-bank financials also saw notable gains, while sectors like home appliances and agriculture faced declines [9]. New Stock Performance - The newly listed stock Haiyang Technology saw a dramatic increase of over 500% during the morning session. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of nylon 6 series products and aims to become a leader in the nylon industry [11][12][13]. Hong Kong Market Summary - The Hong Kong market exhibited a relatively flat performance, with the Hang Seng Index mostly declining during the morning session [15]. - However, the pharmaceutical sector in Hong Kong experienced significant gains, with stocks like China Biologic Products rising over 17% and others like Meizhong Pharmaceutical and Zai Lab increasing by over 11% [17][18].