（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，1月5日，市场焦点股锋龙股份（6板）竞价涨停，商业航天概念股神剑股份（10天9板） 平开、大业股份（6板）低开4.87%、中国卫星（6天5板）高开6.37%、鲁信创投（6天5板）高开 5.14%，机器人概念股泰尔股份（5板）高开6.54%、五洲新春（3板）低开1.40%，数字货币概念股御银 股份（3板）低开5.42%，液冷服务器概念股宏英智能（3板）低开2.13%，纺织板块众望布艺（6天3 板）低开2.39%，AI应用端的南兴股份（2板）高开6.37%。 ...

点击图片▲立即报名 2026年国补方案正式发布 12月30日，国家发展改革委、财政部印发《关于2026年实施大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新政策的通知》，明确2026年"两新"政策的支持范 围、补贴标准和工作要求。2026年国补主要有四类，即汽车报废、汽车置换、家电和数码、智能产品。与2025年国补相比，少了家装、电动自 行车两大类。数码国补对象是手机、平板、智能手表手环、智能眼镜等4类产品，相比2025年新增了一项智能眼镜。 从补贴力度来看，在汽车报废更新方面，2026年国补按购买新车的车价给予一定比例（12%或10%）补贴，且补贴上限仍延续2025年标准（即2 万元或1.5万元）。在家电国补方面，2026年补贴范围缩小的同时，补贴价格比例也从此前的20%降至15%，每件家电补贴最高额度从此前的 2000元降至1500元。（发改委官网） ｜点评｜ 2026年，国家补贴政策进一步精准化，实现全方位优化。汽车领域作为补贴重点，新政策将固定额度补贴调整为按比例补贴。从补贴 收益角度看，中档车型将更加"划算"。家电补贴则收紧了产品准入标准，取消了二级能耗产品的补贴资格。整体而言，新国补注重发挥政策乘 数效应，不仅着眼 ...

证券研究报告 2025 年 12 月 31 日 星期三 【A 股市场大势研判】 沪指日线"十连阳" 市场表现： | 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 | 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3965.12 | 0.00% | -0.16 | | | 深证成指 | 13604.07 | 0.49% | 66.97 | | | 沪深 300 | 4651.28 | 0.26% | 11.91 | | | 创业板 | 3242.90 | 0.63% | 20.29 | | | 科创 50 | 1359.87 | 1.01% | 13.55 | | | 北证 50 | 1450.64 | -0.40% | -5.81 | | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： | 申万一级涨幅前五 | | | 申万一级跌幅前五 | 热点板块 n | 涨幅前五 | 热点板块跌幅前五 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 石油石化 | 2.63% | 商贸零售 | - ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - **Stock Index**: The stock index futures market has been oscillating along the lower edge of the central range since October, with limited differentiation between large - and small - cap indexes, frequent sector rotations, and relatively mild market sentiment. Important meetings have a long - term positive impact on the stock index, but in the short term, it will mainly oscillate. The expected GDP growth target of 5% in 2026 will not change, and policies will focus on "stabilizing domestic demand" and "promoting the rapid development of new - quality productivity." Fiscal and monetary policies will continue to work together, and the scale may increase slightly compared to this year. Overseas, there is a divergence in the 2026 interest - rate cut expectations, and the Japanese central bank's interest - rate decision may affect carry - trade funds [1]. - **Treasury Bonds**: The central economic work conference has set the tone for a moderately loose monetary policy in 2026, but interest - rate cuts will be cautious. In the short term, the capital market is loose under the care of monetary policy, but the overall economy remains resilient, and prices are warming up. Therefore, the bond market's oscillating pattern is difficult to change [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Research Views - **Stock Index**: The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.04% on Monday after a day of rising and then falling, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.49%, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.66% in the afternoon. More than 3,300 stocks in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets declined, with a trading volume of over 2.15 trillion. The short - term impact of policies on the market is expected to increase. The expected GDP growth rate of 5% in 2026 will not change, and policies will focus on "stabilizing domestic demand" and "promoting the rapid development of new - quality productivity." Overseas, the Fed cut interest rates by 25bp and restarted the balance - sheet expansion plan, but there is a divergence in the 2026 interest - rate cut expectations, and the Japanese central bank's interest - rate decision may affect carry - trade funds. The short - term trend is oscillating [1]. - **Treasury Bonds**: The 30 - year, 10 - year, 5 - year, and 2 - year treasury bond futures contracts fell by 0.91%, 0.28%, 0.18%, and 0.07% respectively at the close. The central bank conducted 482.3 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchases on December 29, with a net injection of 415 billion yuan. DR001 fell 1.3BP to 1.24%, and DR007 rose 7BP to 1.59%. The short - term trend is relatively strong, but the bond market's oscillating pattern is difficult to change [1][2]. 3.2 Daily Price Changes - **Stock Index Futures**: From December 26 to December 29, IH fell 0.44% (from 3,051.4 to 3,038.0), IF fell 0.61% (from 4,638.4 to 4,610.2), IC fell 0.70% (from 7,388.0 to 7,336.6), and IM fell 0.45% (from 7,472.4 to 7,439.0) [3]. - **Stock Indexes**: The Shanghai 50 Index fell 0.35% (from 3,045.4 to 3,034.6), the CSI 300 Index fell 0.38% (from 4,657.2 to 4,639.4), the CSI 500 Index fell 0.38% (from 7,458.8 to 7,430.6), and the CSI 1000 Index fell 0.15% (from 7,605.5 to 7,594.2) [3]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: TS fell 0.07% (from 102.55 to 102.48), TF fell 0.20% (from 106.05 to 105.84), T fell 0.30% (from 108.30 to 107.98), and TL fell 1.01% (from 112.96 to 111.82) [3]. 3.3 Market News - **Overall Trend**: The Shanghai Composite Index rose and then fell, with the ChiNext Index falling more than 1% in the afternoon. More than 3,300 stocks declined, and the trading volume exceeded 2.15 trillion. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.04%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.49%, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.66% [5]. - **Industry Sectors**: The carbon fiber concept strengthened, with stocks like Heshun Technology and Jilin Chemical Fiber hitting the daily limit. The digital currency concept rose, with stocks like Yuyin Co., Ltd. and Cuiwei Co., Ltd. hitting the daily limit. The large - consumption and lithium - battery sectors declined, with stocks like Anji Food and Baida Group hitting the daily limit down and stocks like Sunwoda and Hongyuan Pharmaceutical falling more than 10% [5]. - **Popular Concepts**: Robot concept stocks remained active, with stocks like Shangwei New Materials and Buke Co., Ltd. hitting the daily limit and reaching new highs. The commercial aerospace concept continued to be strong, with stocks like China Satellite and Shenjian Co., Ltd. hitting the daily limit [5]. 3.4 Chart Analysis - **Stock Index Futures**: The report provides the historical price trends and basis trends of IH, IF, IM, and IC main contracts, as well as the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 stock index futures [7][9][11]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The report presents the historical price trends, spot - bond yields, basis, inter - period spreads, cross - variety spreads, and capital - interest rate trends of treasury bond futures main contracts [14][16][20]. - **Exchange Rates**: The report shows the historical trends of the central parity rates of the US dollar, euro, pound, and Japanese yen against the RMB, as well as the forward exchange rates and currency - pair exchange rates [24][28][30][32].

沪指早盘一度震荡翻红，创业板指冲高回落。南财金融终端显示，截至早盘收盘，沪指跌0.1%，深成指涨0.23%，创业板指跌0.06%。 盘面上热点快速轮动，全市场超2700只个股下跌。 下跌方面，海南自贸概念跌幅居前，海南发展、罗牛山下挫； 多只零售概念股走弱，百大集团触及跌停，东百集团、茂业商业跌超5%。 沪深两市半日成交额1.29万亿元，较上个交易日缩量1019亿。 个股方面，中际旭创成交额超122亿元居首，航天发展、金风科技、中国卫星成交额靠前。 | 沪深A股 | | 上证A股 深证A股 创业板 | 科创板 风险警示 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 代码 | 名称 | 涨幅 | 最新价 | | | | | | 成交额▼ | | 1 300308 | | 中际旭创 | +1.14% | 625.07 | +7.07 | +0.06% | 0.82 | 1.75% | 4.75% | 122.03亿 | | 2 000547 | | 航天发展 | +6.65% | 33 ...

相关文章 南方财经12月30日电，沪指早盘一度震荡翻红，创业板指冲高回落。沪深两市半日成交额1.29万亿，较 上个交易日缩量1019亿。盘面上热点快速轮动，全市场超2700只个股下跌。从板块来看，商业航天概念 反复活跃，大业股份5连板，中国卫通3天2板创新高，中超控股5天4板。人形机器人概念延续强势，天 奇股份4连板，五洲新春2连板。数字货币概念表现活跃，御银股份、翠微股份双双2连板。AI应用端持 续走高，酷特智能20cm涨停。下跌方面，海南自贸概念跌幅居前，海南发展、罗牛山下挫。多只零售 概念股走弱，百大集团触及跌停，东百集团、茂业商业跌超5%。截至收盘，沪指跌0.1%，深成指涨 0.23%，创业板指跌0.06%。 南方财经12月30日电，沪指早盘一度震荡翻红，创业板指冲高回落。沪深两市半日成交额1.29万亿，较 上个交易日缩量1019亿。盘面上热点快速轮动，全市场超2700只个股下跌。从板块来看，商业航天概念 反复活跃，大业股份5连板，中国卫通3天2板创新高，中超控股5天4板。人形机器人概念延续强势，天 奇股份4连板，五洲新春2连板。数字货币概念表现活跃，御银股份、翠微股份双双2连板。AI应用端持 续走高 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced fluctuations, briefly turning positive, while the ChiNext Index saw a pullback after a rise. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.29 trillion yuan, a decrease of 101.9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. Over 2,700 stocks in the market declined [1][3]. Sector Performance - The commercial aerospace sector remained active, with Daye Co. achieving five consecutive trading limits, China Satellite Communications hitting a new high with two limits in three days, and Zhongchao Holdings recording four limits in five days [3]. - The humanoid robot sector continued its strong performance, with Tianqi Co. achieving four consecutive limits and Wuzhou New Spring hitting two limits [3]. - The digital currency sector showed lively performance, with Yuyin Co. and Cuiwei Co. both achieving two consecutive limits [3]. - AI applications saw a rise, with Kute Intelligent hitting a 20% limit up [3]. - Conversely, the Hainan Free Trade Zone concept faced significant declines, with Hainan Development and Luoniushan experiencing sharp drops. Several retail stocks weakened, with Baida Group hitting the limit down and Dongbai Group and Maoye Commercial both dropping over 5% [3]. Closing Summary - At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.1%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.23%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.06% [3].

凤凰网财经讯 12月30日，沪指早盘一度震荡翻红，创业板指冲高回落。截至午间收盘，沪指跌0.1%， 深成指涨0.23%，创业板指跌0.06%。沪深两市半日成交额1.29万亿，较上个交易日缩量1019亿。 下跌方面，海南自贸概念跌幅居前，海南发展、罗牛山下挫。多只零售概念股走弱，百大集团触及跌 停，东百集团、茂业商业跌超5%。 | | | | | 沪深京重要指数 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 *● | 最新 | 涨幅% | | 涨跌 涨跌家数 | | 总手 | 现手 金额 | | 上证指数 | 3961.21 | -0.10 | -4.07 | 985/1226 | 0.03 | 3.21 亿 | 1.91万5303.69亿 | | 深证成指 | 13568.09 | 0.23 | 30.99 | 1395/1379 | 0.05 | 4.47 7. | 578 7640.49 7. | | 北证50 | 1446.55 | -0.68 | -9.90 | 112/164 | 0.04 | 4347 | 89 98. ...

12月30日，指数低开高走，深成指、创指双双翻红；截至9：40，沪指跌0.29%，深成指涨0.27%，创指涨0.53%。 盘面上，数字货币概念领涨两市，翠微股份2连板；半导体、AI智能体等概念涨幅居前。下跌方面，贵金属板块大 面积低开，零售、免税、纺织制造等消费板块调整居前。 光大证券指出，场内资金分歧明显，但考虑到4000点已经近在眼前，多头或将推动沪指继续向4000点震荡上行， 同时，热点轮动的风格大概率将延续。 2、AI智能体概念盘初活跃 早盘AI智能体概念活跃，酷特智能涨超10%，正和生态、立方控股、南兴股份、蓝色光标、鼎捷数智跟涨。 点评：消息面上Meta以数十亿美元收购开发AI应用Manus的公司蝴蝶效应。 热门板块 1、数字货币概念反复活跃 数字货币概念反复活跃，翠微股份2连板，恒宝股份、楚天龙、拉卡拉、数字认证、证通电子跟涨。 点评：消息面上，央行发布数字人民币行动方案，明年1月1日起正式实施。东北证券数经团队认为，发展数字人 民币的意义本质是通过区块链技术将贸易效率转化为战略筹码，其发展节奏将深度绑定国家竞争核心利益。 | | | 数字货币(02061321) 1668.71 +29.47 ...

截至收盘，上证指数涨0.04%，深证成指跌0.49%，创业板指跌0.66%。市场全天成交额超2.15万亿元。 今日，市场午后延续轮动，上证指数微涨，迎来日线"9连阳"。 盘面上，机器人概念午后活跃，两大龙头股上纬新材、步科股份收获"20CM"涨停，股价均创历史新高；受利好消息影响，数字货币概念快速拉升，翠微 股份涨停；商业航天概念延续强势，神剑股份8连板，金风科技、雷科防务等十余股涨停。能源金属、医药商业、电池等板块回调明显。 机器人概念午后活跃 今日午后，机器人概念反复活跃，板块内个股上演涨停潮。上纬新材、步科股份收获"20CM"涨停，双双创历史新高；天奇股份、五洲新春等多股涨停。 | 消息面上，12月25日，北京市政府新闻办举行2026年北京亦庄人形机器人半程马拉松新闻发布会。本届赛事将于2026年4月19日7时30分鸣枪开跑，重点聚 | 焦人形机器人的自主性、拟人化、长续航能力和适应能力，展示人形机器人极限运动能力，推动人形机器人技术从实验室走向规模化应用。本届赛事期 | | --- | --- | | 间，还将同期举办全新赛事——机器人巴图鲁挑战赛。挑战赛以应急救援为主题背景，模拟多类救援场景闯关关卡 ...