2025年5月12日，中美联合发布《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》（下称《声明》）。资本市场反响热烈，恒 生指数大涨3%，人民币升破7.2关口。 一、双边关税：超预期大幅下行 结合双方信息，此次中美主要达成了三方面共识。 资料来源：招商银行研究院 二是双方同意设立中美经贸磋商机制， 定期在中、美或第三国开展对话，重点解决供应链安全、数字贸易规 则等议题。 三是达成部分产业共识， 美中双方已就五到六个具有战略意义的产业链供应链脆弱环节达成初步共识，如医 药和钢铁等行业，美国将在这些领域寻求供应链独立性，并优先从盟友国家获取稳定供应。 一是双边关税超预期大幅下行。美国方面，4月2日后对华加征的额外关税大幅降至10%， 还有24%的关税将 在"解放日"后的90天内暂停实施。如此一来，5月14日后，美国对华对等关税将由125%降至10%，此部分"基础 关税"或长期保留。叠加2-3月累计加征的20%"芬太尼"关税，特朗普2.0时期对华加征的关税将降至30%。特朗 普政府在对等关税的实施上对所有国家"一视同仁"，对中国也按下了暂停键。加上特朗普1.0时期所加征的关 税， 当前美国对华平均关税为42.7%。 结合各方信息研判 ...

报 告 正 文 关税下调大超预期，当下加征多少？ 根据联合声明的内容，美国对我国征收的125%对等关税，幅度降至初始的34%。其中10%的基础关税与其 他国家一样征收，剩下24%的关税在90天内暂停实施，等待后续谈判。由于此前美方已经豁免了超2成中国商品的对等关税，则实际关税下降幅 度会更少一些。 当下我国对美总出口关税水平约41%，包括截至去年底的11%实际关税，今年2-3月因芬太尼问题加征的20%，以及最新对等关税的10%。如果 考虑美国额外豁免的部分商品，则整体关税水平降至38%。 直接出口代替转口，抢出口或仍持续。 由于我国与他国，对美出口关税差额将大幅缩小，则转口贸易规模或出现逆转，贸易流将转换为直接对 美出口。同时考虑到特朗普贸易政策多变，其暂停的24%关税后续仍可能继续征收，那么抢出口行为仍将持续，并支撑我国出口。 年内看好出口，国内有何影响？ 年内我们看好出口，一方面，对等关税加征幅度回落，利好直接对美出口；另一方面，俄乌冲突缓和，欧洲经 济重铸也将进一步拉动我国出口，我们在《欧洲振兴，如何带动我国出口？——掘金欧洲系列之二》已外发报告中测算，欧洲振兴或至少拉动 我国出口1个百分点。不过，外部 ...

金十图示：2025年05月12日（周一）富时中国A50指数成分股今日收盘行情一览：券商、保险股走高，酿酒股飘红 保险 队 中国人保 中国太保 中国平安 咖啡 3307.95亿市值 3091.98亿市值 9578.58亿市值 8.88亿成交额 30.28亿成交额 5.02亿成交额 32.14 52.60 7.48 +0.31(+0.97%) +0.85(+1.64%) +0.03(+0.40%) 酸酒行业 贵州茅台 山西汾酒 五粮液 20155.69亿市值 2513.86亿市值 5161.37亿市值 39.68亿成交额 21.82亿成交额 7.49亿成交额 132.97 1604.50 206.06 +2.74(+1.35%) +13.32(+0.84%) +1.39(+1.06%) 半导体 北方华创 寒武纪-U 海光信息 HYGON 2332.64亿市值 2819.50亿市值 3340.07亿市值 17.35亿成交额 42.92亿成交额 16.42亿成交额 436.68 675.40 143.70 -24.60(-3.51%) -4.17(-0.95%) -0.18(-0.13%) 汽车整车 铁路公路 比亚迪 ...

金十图示：2025年05月12日（周一）富时中国A50指数成分股午盘收盘行情一览：银行、保险股走势分化，半导体板块走软 长江电力 中国核电 东方财富 8 7213.23亿市值 1929.28亿市值 3362.32亿市值 9.81亿成交额 4.59亿成交额 49.78亿成交额 29.48 9.38 21.30 -0.07(-0.24%) +0.01(+0.11%) +0.47(+2.26%) 证券 食品饮料 中信证券 国泰海通 海天味业 胸更 3877.06亿市值 3088.72亿市值 2374.93亿市值 19.62亿成交额 5.89亿成交额 2.23亿成交额 17.52 42.71 26.16 +0.61(+2.39%) +0.17(+0.98%) +0.31(+0.73%) 消费电子 化学制药 恒瑞医药 工业富联 立讯精密 3765.24亿市值 3217.57亿市值 2391.64亿市值 9.84亿成交额 51.69亿成交额 27.27亿成交额 18.96 33.00 50.44 +0.27(+1.44%) +0.92(+2.87%) -2.37(-4.49%) 家电行业 农牧饲渔 海尔智家 牧原股份 格 ...

金十图示：2025年05月09日（周五）富时中国A50指数成分股今日收盘行情一览：银行、石油、煤炭、电池等板块收高，证券、 消费电子、有色金属等板块收高。 @ JIN10.COM 金十数据 | 一个交易工具 +0.03(+0.78%) +0.06(+1.15%) +0.17(+2.33%) 保险 0.000 中国太保 中国平安 中国人保 0 3294.69亿市值 3062.15亿市值 9423.80亿市值 6.44亿成交额 15.08亿成交额 4.12亿成交额 51.75 7.45 31.83 +0.09(+1.22%) +0.04(+0.13%) -0.21(-0.40%) 酸酒行业 贵州茅台 山西汾酒 五粮液 19988.37亿市值 5107.42亿市值 2480.43亿市值 37.58亿成交额 4.95亿成交额 14.55亿成交额 1591.18 203.32 131.58 +12.99(+0.82%) -0.92(-0.45%) -0.22(-0.17%) 半导体 北方华创 寒武纪-U 海光信息 HYGON 2922.20亿市值 2354.91亿市值 3344.26亿市值 17.28亿成交额 21.0 ...

金十图示：2025年05月09日（周五）富时中国A50指数成分股午盘收盘行情一览：银行、航运港口、电力等板块走高，半导体、 消费电子、证券等板块走低 +0.16(+2.19%) +0.05(+0.96%) +0.05(+1.29%) 保险 中国太保 中国平安 中国人保 0 3294.69亿市值 3062.15亿市值 9452.93亿市值 4.22亿成交额 8.83亿成交额 2.68亿成交额 7.45 31.83 51.91 +0.09(+1.22%) +0.04(+0.13%) -0.05(-0.10%) 酸酒行业 贵州茅台 山西汾酒 五粮液 19941.76亿市值 2477.99亿市值 5109.36亿市值 19.69亿成交额 2.57亿成交额 7.74亿成交额 1587.47 131.63 203.12 +9.28(+0.59%) -1.12(-0.55%) -0.17(-0.13%) 半导体 北方华创 寒武纪-U 海光信息 HYGON 2911.18亿市值 2351.60亿市值 3349.60亿市值 10.58亿成交额 11.71亿成交额 8.88亿成交额 697.36 144.11 440.23 -8 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report provides an in - depth analysis of Zhonghe Technology's business operations, development strategies, and responds to investors' questions. The company has achieved certain results in 2024 and has clear development plans for 2025, aiming to become a leading domestic provider in the space information industry [24][25]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Research Basic Situation - The research object is Zhonghe Technology, belonging to the transportation equipment industry. The reception time was on May 7, 2025. The listed company's reception personnel included Vice - President and Board Secretary He Junli, Vice - President Yang Yanjie, and Financial Controller Wang Meijiao [17]. 3.2. Detailed Research Institutions - The reception objects include online investors and others [20]. 3.3. Research Institution Proportion No information provided. 3.4. Main Content Data 3.4.1. Company Introduction and 2024 Business Performance - **Overall Business**: In 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 2.024 billion yuan and a net profit of 24.36 million yuan. It completed a cash dividend of 100.4252266 million yuan in the middle of 2024, and a share repurchase of 12.165 million shares, with 3.6054 million shares cancelled, equivalent to a dividend of 199.851666 million yuan. It also successfully completed a private placement of about 684 million yuan and initially laid out the three - dimensional transportation strategy [24]. - **Business Segments**: - **Aerospace and Three - Dimensional Transportation Scenarios**: - **Intelligent Rail Transit**: The intelligent rail transit business achieved an operating income of 1.53 billion yuan, with new order amounts of about 3.15 billion yuan, setting a new record. The signal system business had a market share of 23.46%, ranking second [24]. - **Low - altitude**: The company launched three core products in 2024, covering the flight control system of low - altitude unmanned aerial vehicles and low - altitude infrastructure [24]. - **Semiconductor Materials**: The company's subsidiary, Haina Co., Ltd., achieved an operating income of 403 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 21.06%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 17.7458 million yuan. The revenue proportion of high - value - added polished wafers remained above 60%, and the revenue proportion of medium - and large - sized products exceeded 40% [24][25]. 3.4.2. Future Development Plan for 2025 - **Strategic Goals**: The company aims to become a leading domestic provider of core domestic software and overall solutions in the space information industry, and adopts the "super subcontractor" model for business layout [25]. - **Technical Base and Innovation**: Upgrade the "platform generalization + scenario customization" technology and product architecture [25]. - **Industrial Layout**: Strengthen capital support for the cornerstone industry, accelerate the implementation of the space information strategy, expand overseas markets, and restructure the resource allocation system [25]. - **Team Building**: Actively recruit and reserve talent [25]. - **Disclosure and Internal Control**: Improve information disclosure and internal control to promote high - quality development of the listed company [25]. 3.4.3. Answers to Investor Questions - **Low - altitude Business**: The company's low - altitude business mainly focuses on the flight control system of unmanned aerial vehicles and low - altitude infrastructure, with three core products [26]. - **Reasons and Advantages for Entering Low - altitude and Low - orbit Fields**: The three fields of rail transit, low - altitude, and low - orbit are important components of three - dimensional transportation, with broad market prospects. They have similarities in management, technology, safety, and application scenarios. The company has technical bases in rail transit and can extend its capabilities to these fields [26][27]. - **Low - orbit Satellite Layout**: The company will focus on high - end equipment digital overall solutions for the satellite Internet industry and has strategically controlled Chenji Digital Satellite Technology (Zhejiang) Co., Ltd. in early 2025 [27][28]. - **Cooperation in Low - altitude Field**: The company's flight control safety computer products are in offline discussions with some unmanned aerial vehicle and eVTOL manufacturers, with no public information available [28]. - **Semiconductor Business**: Haina Co., Ltd. mainly produces 3 - 8 - inch single - crystal silicon ingots, ground wafers, and polished wafers, which are used in semiconductor discrete devices and integrated circuits [29]. - **Semiconductor Planning**: The company will accelerate the production capacity release of the Shanxi single - crystal silicon ingot base and the Jinhua polished wafer base, expand the market, and optimize the capital structure [29]. - **2025 Q1 Profit**: The net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company in the first quarter of 2025 was - 49.9707184 million yuan, mainly due to reduced project delivery in intelligent transportation, increased management, finance, and R & D expenses [30]. - **ST Risk**: The company's financial situation is stable and does not meet the conditions for special treatment (ST) [30]. - **Interest - related Issues**: Hangzhou Xinyihui Technology Partnership is the company's founding partner's shareholding platform, which does not involve interest transfer or damage to shareholders' interests [30][31]. - **Circulating Shares**: As of December 31, 2024, the company's circulating shares accounted for 80.36% of the total shares, and the proportion does not directly reflect market sentiment [31]. - **Computing Power Project**: The pre - calculated total computing power scale of the company's computing power project is 2000P, to be deployed in batches according to market conditions, and it has not been put into operation yet. A 502 - million - yuan investment fund has been established [31]. - **Healthcare Business**: The company's healthcare business is in the incubation period but has generated revenue [31]. - **Overseas Business**: The company has no business in Pakistan. Its overseas business follows the "Belt and Road" strategy, focusing on Central Asia, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East. In April 2025, it won a 175 - million - yuan contract in Kazakhstan [32][33]. - **Project Payment Cycle**: The company's intelligent transportation business realizes revenue mainly within 1 - 2 years after winning a bid, and the payment cycle varies according to different projects [33]. - **Market Value Management**: The company will actively carry out market value management to enhance company value and return to investors [33]. - **Stock Price Fluctuation**: The company believes that stock price fluctuations are affected by macro - economic and market sentiment factors [33]. - **Shareholding of Hangzhou State - owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission**: As of now, the Hangzhou State - owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission and its concerted actors hold 32.381 million shares, accounting for 4.77%, and there is no notice of further share acquisition [33][34].

Market Performance - On May 8, the Shanghai Composite Index opened lower but closed up by 0.28%, while the CSI A500 Index rose by 0.58% [1] - The A500 ETF (512050) increased by 0.64%, with a trading volume exceeding 3.1 billion yuan, ranking first among similar funds [1] - The A500 ETF experienced a net inflow of 208 million yuan yesterday [1] Company Actions - In the past month, 370 companies in the A-share market have announced share buyback and increase plans, with 18 companies launching buyback schemes exceeding 1 billion yuan [1] - CATL (宁德时代) is leading the implementation of significant buyback initiatives, reflecting companies' confidence in their development prospects [1] Market Outlook - Huachuang Securities believes the market is currently in a "golden pit," suggesting that pullbacks present opportunities for allocation [1] - The annual strategy maintains that domestic dual easing policies will continue to combat low prices and asset sell-off, ultimately reversing the contraction in corporate profits and restoring private sector confidence [1] - Focus areas for capital markets include domestic demand and self-sufficiency, which are seen as key under ongoing external uncertainties [1]

隔夜美联储结束了为期两天的利率会议，如市场预期的按兵不动，联邦基金利率仍维持在4.25%-4.50% 区间。迄今为止，美联储已在连续三次会议上维持利率不变。 美联储主席鲍威尔在新闻发布会上表态略偏鹰派，他表示，美联储不必急于调整利率，目前的政策是适 度限制的。值得一提的是，鲍威尔还表示，总统特朗普对降息的呼声"根本不会影响"美联储的工作，美 联储从未主动要求与任何总统会面，并且将来也不会。 受上述消息影响，市场对降息的预期微有弱化，目前市场的最新观点是，美联储最早将于今年7月才有 可能下调利率。 继周三冲高回落后，周四A股各大股指以涨为主。截至收盘，上证综指涨0.28%至3352.00点；深综指涨 1.03%，创业板综指涨1.48%，科创50指数跌0.36%，北证50指数涨0.98%。全A总成交额为13218亿元， 较周三的15051亿元明显萎缩。 由个股看，前一天表现强劲的航空航天等军工股继续领涨。军工类股票异常强劲应部分与近期地缘局势 趋向紧张相关，比如南亚局势，这使投资者对国防工业的重要性有了更新的认识。 除军工股涨势喜人外，通信设备、交运设备、通用设备、光伏设备、电机、橡胶制品板块涨幅也相对领 先。下 ...

金十图示：2025年05月08日（周四）富时中国A50指数成分股午盘收盘行情一览：保险、白酒、消费电子等板块走高，半导体、 银行等板块涨跌不一 +0.03(+0.58%) +0.06(+0.83%) +0.02(+0.52%) 保险 中国太保 中国平安 中国人保 9500.28亿市值 0 3272.58亿市值 3093.90亿市值 12.56亿成交额 25.34亿成交额 3.12亿成交额 52.17 7.40 32.16 +0.86(+2.75%) +0.99(+1.93%) +0.05(+0.68%) 酸酒行业 贵州茅台 五粮液 山内对酒 19924.55亿市值 2513.49亿市值 5138.47亿市值 35.93亿成交额 4.22亿成交额 19.91亿成交额 1586.10 132.38 206.03 +31.10(+2.00%) +1.76(+0.86%) +2.39(+1.84%) 半导体 北方华创 寒武纪-U 海光信息 HYGON 2399.30亿市值 2955.64亿市值 3418.17亿市值 8.42亿成交额 18.95亿成交额 17.12亿成交额 147.06 449.16 708.01 + ...