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LSEG跟“宗” | 美国这周降息 商品牛市取决于特朗普能否明年拿下美联储
Refinitiv路孚特· 2025-10-29 06:02
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current sentiment in the precious metals market, particularly gold and silver, in light of recent CFTC data and macroeconomic factors, suggesting potential investment opportunities and risks based on market trends and geopolitical developments [2][23]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Price Trends - The CFTC data is updated only until September 23 due to the U.S. government shutdown, showing a 3.2% drop in gold prices, ending a nine-week upward trend [2][23]. - Gold and silver prices are showing signs of weakness, with gold potentially forming a double top pattern [2][23]. - Gold mining stocks, including ETFs like GDX and GDXJ, have doubled in value compared to the end of last year, indicating strong performance in the sector [2][23]. Group 2: Future Price Predictions - If Trump can influence the Federal Reserve next year, gold prices may continue to rise, with the potential for significant price movements depending on U.S.-China trade discussions [2][23][24]. - A successful trade outcome could lead to further declines in gold and silver prices, possibly dropping below $4,000 [2][24]. - The article emphasizes that any market corrections in a bull market should be viewed as buying opportunities [2][24]. Group 3: CFTC Data Insights - As of September 23, net long positions in COMEX gold decreased by 1.1%, while silver saw an increase of 5.1% [2][5]. - The net long position in platinum increased by 24.8%, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards this metal [2][5]. - The article notes that the copper market has seen a shift from negative to positive net positions, reflecting changing investor sentiment [2][11]. Group 4: Economic Indicators and Predictions - The market anticipates a 96.7% chance of a 0.25% rate cut by the Federal Reserve on October 29, with expectations for further cuts in December and January [21][23]. - The article suggests that if inflation pressures rise alongside rate cuts, it could complicate the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions [29]. - The overall economic outlook for next year is expected to be weaker, with potential stagflation impacting commodity demand [27][29]. Group 5: Investment Strategies - The article highlights the importance of monitoring gold mining stocks as a leading indicator for gold prices, suggesting that a divergence between gold prices and mining stocks could signal caution [16][24]. - The gold-silver ratio is used as a measure of market sentiment, with the ratio currently at 84.612, indicating a slight increase in market fear [20][24]. - The article concludes that the current environment presents both risks and opportunities for investors in precious metals, particularly in light of geopolitical and economic developments [2][23][24].
'All hat and no cattle': Farmer responds to Bessent's claim that he's a soybean farmer
MSNBC· 2025-10-28 04:42
Over the weekend, Treasury Secretary Scott Besson said he too felt the pain from China refusing to buy American soybeans because he himself is a soybean farmer. Watch this. >> Martha, in case you don't know it, I'm actually a soybean farmer.So, uh I I have felt this pain, too. And there are a couple of things happening here. One, uh the Chinese have substantially dropped their purchases to almost zero.So they unfortunately have been using American farmers who are amongst President Trump's biggest supporters ...
高校毕业生专场招聘 本周五龙子湖畔举行
Zheng Zhou Ri Bao· 2025-10-28 00:39
Group 1 - The Zhengzhou City University Graduate Job Fair will be held on October 31, organized by the Zhengdong New District Human Resources and Social Security Bureau and the Longzihu Street Office, in collaboration with Henan 123 Talent Network [1] - The job fair will feature key enterprises from various industries including computer science, environmental technology, mechanical manufacturing, smart digitalization, education, tourism, media, finance, law, hospitality, automotive, logistics, healthcare, agriculture, and food [1] - The recruitment targets include recent and past university graduates, job-seeking youth, skilled young talents, and veterans, with over 7,900 job positions available in roles such as new media operations, project managers, management trainees, e-commerce, technical positions, administration, design, accounting, engineering, operations supervisors, reserve cadres, and interns [1] Group 2 - The job fair will take place from 9:00 AM to 12:00 PM on October 31, with a contact number provided for inquiries [2]
'Sold America's farmers out': Soybean farmer blasts Trump
MSNBC· 2025-10-27 20:32
Trade War & Tariffs Impact - The US-China trade war, initiated by Trump's tariffs on China, led to China banning American soybean imports [1] - Soybean farmer John Boyd Jr feels betrayed by President Trump, citing deals undermining American farmers, including Argentina selling soybeans to China [1] - Tariffs are causing financial distress for American farmers, with rising bankruptcy rates, farm suicides, and foreclosures [1] - Farmers are not receiving promised financial relief from tariffs, with no one seeing a dime of the 3 billion USD said to be going out last week [4] - The 10 billion USD Trump says is going to save farmers is insufficient, described as a band-aid when major surgery is needed [4] - Reagan's ad against tariffs resurfaced, prompting Trump to impose more tariffs on Canada [7] - Reagan stated that high tariffs inevitably lead to retaliation by foreign countries and the triggering of fierce trade wars [9] Political & Economic Implications - 90% of farmers voted for Donald Trump, implying China is trying to hurt Trump's constituency [1] - Democrats need to pay attention to rural areas and advocate for farmers to win back their votes [1] - Democrats have to make a play in these red states for farmers for the first time in a very very long time [2] - The Ford government views the anti-tariff ad as mission accomplished, aiming to generate resistance from Americans against Trump's tariffs [13][14] - Canada argues that tariffs on Canada are attacks on the American people [15] Soybean Market & Farmer Distress - Grain elevators are full, preventing farmers from selling soybeans, and some farmers have had to stop harvesting [1] - One farmer, with 42 years of experience, has never had grain elevators refuse soybeans due to lack of movement [1] - When the first president had his first term, I was selling soybeans for 1680% a bushel and and uh you know, I could pay a few bills and college tuition and and take care of my family [3] - After Trump announced tariffs to China, the price plummeted to 7 USD a bushel [3]
'Real emergency for American soybean farmers' as Trump negotiates with China: Economist
MSNBC· 2025-10-27 15:13
Let's go to MSNBC senior White House reporter Von Hillyard in Seoul ahead of the Apex Summit. Also with us, former chair of the Council of Economic Adviserss and the Biden administration, Jared Bernstein. He's a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress.And there's MSNBC political analyst Ashley Parker of the Atlantic. Uh great to have you all here with me. So Van, let's start with Japan.That's what's all the focus today. What's President Trump's goal with this leg of the trip. And what concrete win ...
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-10-26 13:20
This year about 38m Indian farmers received monsoon forecasts generated by AI. Once trained, the models can run on a high-end laptop. This could lead to a “democratisation of weather forecasting”, says one expert https://t.co/UU7IzJYqF3 ...
Become a Better Investor Newsletter – 25 October 2025
Become A Better Investor· 2025-10-25 00:01
Group 1 - The internet's reliance on centralized cloud infrastructure was highlighted by the recent downtime of Amazon Web Services (AWS) [1] - Gold prices experienced a significant decline of -5.7%, marking the largest one-day drop since April 2013, which is a rare occurrence [2][4] - Institutional demand for gold remains strong, with 95% of reserve managers anticipating an increase in global central bank gold holdings over the next 12 months, a record high according to a World Gold Council survey [3][4] Group 2 - The gains of the "Mag 7" stocks have been primarily driven by earnings per share (EPS) growth, contrasting with the broader S&P 500, which has seen more reliance on multiple expansion [4] - Active fund managers are facing challenges, with only 22% of active funds outperforming the market year-to-date, marking the worst performance in at least 26 years [4]
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-10-23 12:40
What a bovine beauty pageant says about the future of the world’s beef supply https://t.co/ha6agZrgiA ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-22 21:54
The Trump administration released a plan to encourage ranching and boost domestic beef production, as it separately raised a quota for Argentine beef imports https://t.co/7S94Iyoedc ...
Orbia Announces Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results
Businesswire· 2025-10-22 21:16
Core Insights - Orbia Advance Corporation reported third quarter 2025 revenues of $1.97 billion, a 4% increase from the previous year, with EBITDA of $295 million, reflecting a 2% increase [2][5][6] - The company is focused on strengthening market positions, cost reduction, and cash generation despite subdued demand in certain sectors [4][34] Financial Performance - Net sales for Q3 2025 were $1,966 million, up 4% from $1,887 million in Q3 2024 [5][6] - Cost of sales increased by 5% to $1,533 million, while selling, general and administrative expenses decreased by 1% to $303 million [5][9] - Operating income rose to $130 million, a 4% increase year-over-year, while EBITDA margin slightly decreased to 15.0% [5][10] - The company reported a net loss of $120 million for the quarter, compared to a net income of $86 million in the same quarter last year [7][14] Business Group Performance - **Polymer Solutions**: Revenues increased by 2% to $647 million, but EBITDA decreased by 13% to $78 million due to lower resin pricing and higher ethane costs [18][19] - **Building & Infrastructure**: Revenues also rose by 2% to $647 million, with EBITDA decreasing by 3% to $76 million, impacted by restructuring costs [21][22] - **Precision Agriculture**: This segment saw an 11% increase in revenues to $257 million and a 28% increase in EBITDA to $30 million, driven by strong demand in Brazil and the U.S. [24][25] - **Connectivity Solutions**: Revenues grew by 8% to $253 million, with EBITDA increasing by 36% to $42 million, supported by strong volume growth [27][28] - **Fluor & Energy Materials**: Revenues increased by 3% to $227 million, but EBITDA decreased by 3% to $64 million due to higher input costs [30][31] Cash Flow and Debt Management - Operating cash flow for the quarter was $271 million, a decrease of 4% from the previous year, while free cash flow improved by 1% to $144 million [15][32] - Net debt increased to $3,910 million, with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 3.85x, down from 3.98x in the previous quarter [16][31] Outlook - The company reaffirms its full-year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance in the range of $1,100 million to $1,200 million, likely falling in the lower half of the range [34] - Capital expenditures are projected to be approximately $400 million, focusing on safety and operational integrity [35]