晨会纪要 证券研究报告 2025 年 09 月 25 日 核心结论 分析师 【机械设备】航空发动机&燃气轮机专题报告：AIDC 供电和民航客机需求 同增，两机共链产业配套壮旺 产业链：不管是航空发动机还是燃气轮机，均为坡长雪厚赛道，需要技术与 长时间产业积累，短期看头部主机厂均为海外公司，航空发动机主要为 GE、 PW、R&R 等，燃气轮机主要为三菱重工、西门子能源、GEVernova 和贝 克休斯等公司。产业链配套主要为 PCC、HWM、KHI、MTU 等也为巨头公 司，在需求扩张叠加产能扩充不及时的情况下，国内公司或能拿到更多订单。 投资建议：建议重点关注两机领域海外配套企业。 【非银金融】中信金融资产（2799.HK）首次覆盖报告：中信入主，开启涅 槃重生之路 2022 年中信集团入主后中信金融资产走上新的发展之路。一方面公司聚焦 不良资产主业发展，已完成旗下大部分金融子公司的处置，实现"轻装上阵"； 另一方面公司积极开展优质上市公司的长期股权投资，持有中国银行、中信 股份、光大银行等核心优质资产，长股投资产未来将为公司提供稳定回报， 平滑经济周期波动带来的影响。我们看好公司整体划转至中信后长期股权投 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.66%, down 165 points, closing at 25,035 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 1.04% [1] - Early trading volume in Hong Kong stocks reached HKD 210.8 billion [1] Group 2: Chip Industry Insights - According to TrendForce, the proportion of external chip suppliers in China's AI server market is expected to drop from 63% in 2024 to 42% by 2025, while local chip suppliers' share may rise to 40%, indicating a trend towards domestic substitution [1] - Chip stocks saw gains, with Shanghai Fudan up 5.79%, SMIC up 8.27%, and Huahong Semiconductor up 4.64% [1] Group 3: Company Performance Highlights - China Cinda's stock rose by 9.74% after reporting a 5.8% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of the year, reinforcing its advantage in the non-performing asset management sector [2] - Yadea Holdings' stock increased by over 5% as its net profit for the first half of the year surged nearly 60%, with the new national standard expected to usher in a new industry cycle [3] - CNOOC's stock rose by 4.4% following a mid-term net profit of approximately CNY 69.5 billion, with further potential in overseas exploration [4] - Television Broadcasts' stock fell over 9%, reporting a loss of HKD 108 million for the first half of the year, but expects to achieve positive net profit for the year [5] - Alibaba's stock declined by 3.74% ahead of its first fiscal quarter earnings report, with market concerns regarding the impact of flash sale investments on profits [6] - Lao Pu Gold's stock dropped nearly 4% due to a reduction in shares by the company's incentive platform, although the controlling shareholder did not sell any shares [7] - Smoore International's stock fell over 8%, with a nearly 28% year-on-year decrease in net profit for the first half of the year, affected by increased R&D expenditures [8]

Core Viewpoint - China Cinda is a comprehensive financial group focused on non-performing asset management, with stable total assets but declining revenue and net profit in recent years [1][2] Group 1: Business Overview - China Cinda's business includes non-performing asset management and financial services, with non-performing asset management contributing 53% and financial services 48% to revenue in the first half of 2024 [1] - The total assets of China Cinda were approximately 1.58 trillion yuan at the end of Q2 2024, with operating revenue of 37.4 billion yuan and net profit of 1.6 billion yuan in the first half of 2024 [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - The company's return on equity (ROE) was 2% in 2023 and is estimated to decline to around 1% in 2024 [1] - The forecast for net profit for ordinary shareholders from 2024 to 2026 is 2.4 billion, 4 billion, and 4.7 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of -43%, 67%, and 16% respectively [2] Group 3: Subsidiary Performance - China Cinda operates through four financial subsidiaries, with significant growth in the management scale of Jinda Trust and improved ROE for Jinda Financial Leasing, while Nanshan Bank faces rising non-performing loan ratios [2] - The annualized ROE for Nanshan Bank in the first half of 2024 was 5.1% [2] Group 4: Market Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from economic recovery, which may lead to a reduction in asset impairment losses and improvement in performance [2] - The estimated reasonable valuation for the company is between 1.27 and 1.62 HKD, indicating a premium of 2% to 30% relative to the current stock price [2]