Core Viewpoint - China Cinda Asset Management Co., Ltd. reported a total asset scale of 1.64 trillion yuan for the year 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.8% and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.036 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - As of the end of 2024, the equity attributable to shareholders reached 194.183 billion yuan, an increase of 0.7% year-on-year [1] - The core tier one capital adequacy ratio, tier one capital adequacy ratio, and total capital adequacy ratio were 11.07%, 15.63%, and 16.75% respectively, meeting regulatory requirements while maintaining a reasonable safety margin [1] Group 2: Strategic Focus - The company focused on supporting major strategies and key areas, enhancing financial service supply to assist high-quality development of the real economy [1] - Significant financial support was directed towards initiatives such as the coordinated development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, the Yangtze River Economic Belt, and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area [1] Group 3: Support for Private Economy - China Cinda established specific measures to promote the healthy development of the private economy, resulting in new cooperation with Fortune 500 private enterprises exceeding 16 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43% [2] - The company actively engaged in bankruptcy restructuring, participating in seven projects with a total amount of 1.7 billion yuan, aiding companies like Xinhua Group and Zhengbang Technology in their restructuring efforts [2] Group 4: Financial Innovations - In the realm of technology finance, China Cinda executed 31 projects with an investment of approximately 10 billion yuan, supporting the development of new productive forces [3] - The company invested over 8.1 billion yuan in inclusive finance, focusing on the financial needs of private, small, and micro enterprises, leveraging the competitive advantages of its financial subsidiaries [3]

Core Viewpoint - China Cinda's total assets showed a slight increase, while net profit attributable to shareholders experienced a nearly 50% decline, reflecting the company's strategic choice to adjust its business structure and manage historical risk assets [1][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, China Cinda's total assets reached RMB 1.6 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 2.8%, while equity attributable to shareholders was RMB 194.18 billion, up 0.7% [3]. - The company's total revenue decreased from RMB 761.68 billion in 2023 to RMB 730.4 billion in 2024, a decline of 4.11% [3]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 3.036 billion, down 47.8% compared to the previous year [3][4]. Business Operations - The non-performing asset management segment is central to China Cinda's operations, with total assets in this area amounting to RMB 915.22 billion, contributing 55.8% to total assets and 55.3% to total revenue [3]. - The net acquisition of operating non-performing assets was RMB 266.36 billion, reflecting a growth of 7.01% year-on-year [3]. Strategic Adjustments - The decline in profitability is attributed to ongoing reforms, proactive adjustments in business structure, and the need to manage historical risk assets, leading to a significant drop in income from non-performing debt assets [4]. - In 2024, income from non-performing debt assets measured at amortized cost was RMB 2.115 billion, down 65.2% from RMB 6.084 billion in the previous year [4]. Market Environment - The demand for non-performing asset disposal remains high as the banking sector continues to clear bad debts, with regulatory support for asset management companies (AMCs) to engage in risk resolution [5][6]. - China Cinda acquired over RMB 220 billion in bank non-performing assets in 2024, including over RMB 140 billion from small and medium-sized banks [5]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to face increased internal and external pressures in 2025, with ongoing financial risks and the need for continued asset management and restructuring efforts [6]. - Experts suggest that China Cinda should enhance its asset management and non-performing asset disposal capabilities, leveraging financial technology to improve efficiency [7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Neutral" [5] Core Views - The company's revenue and profit declined in 2024, with total revenue (including joint ventures) at 77.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.2%, and net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders at 1.5 billion yuan, down 65.2% [1][3] - The total assets of the company increased slightly to 1.64 trillion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 2.8%, with stable performance in the non-performing asset management segment [1][2] - The decline in revenue was primarily driven by a 9.1% drop in income from the non-performing asset management segment, while the financial services segment remained stable [2] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 77,468 million yuan, down 6.2% from 2023, and net profit of 1,485 million yuan, down 65.2% [4][8] - The diluted earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 was 0.04 yuan, with a return on equity (ROE) of 0.9% [4][8] Asset Management - The total assets at the end of 2024 were 1.64 trillion yuan, reflecting a 2.8% increase year-on-year, with stable growth in the financial services subsidiary [1][4] - The credit cost rate for 2024 was 2.1%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to risk exposure in non-performing debt projects [2] Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for ordinary shareholders for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 3.3 billion, 3.4 billion, and 3.4 billion yuan respectively, with expected growth rates of 125%, 1%, and 0% [3][4] - The projected EPS for 2025-2027 is 0.09 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 18, 12, and 12 times [3][4]

Core Insights - China Cinda Asset Management Co., Ltd. reported a total revenue of 403.73 billion yuan from its non-performing asset management segment, accounting for 55.3% of total revenue for the year 2024 [1] Financial Performance - Total assets reached 1.64 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.8% [2] - Shareholder equity amounted to 194.18 billion yuan, up 0.7% year-on-year [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.036 billion yuan [2] - Core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio, Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio, and total capital adequacy ratio were 11.07%, 15.63%, and 16.75%, respectively, meeting regulatory requirements [2] Business Segment Performance - The non-performing asset management segment had total assets of 915.22 billion yuan, contributing 55.8% to total assets and 55.3% to total revenue [2] - The net amount of acquired non-performing assets increased by 7.01% to 266.36 billion yuan [2] - Disposal income from acquired non-performing assets rose by 6.16% to 8.606 billion yuan [2] - Other non-performing asset business scale reached 211.12 billion yuan, with revenue increasing by 10.75% and 113.09%, respectively [2] Financial Services Segment - The financial services segment had total assets of 727.76 billion yuan, with total revenue of 33.186 billion yuan, reflecting growth of 4.56% and 2.45% respectively [3] - Nanchang Bank reported total revenue of 23.228 billion yuan and a pre-tax profit of 3.579 billion yuan, increasing by 5.71% and 10.79% respectively [3] - Xinda Securities' total assets grew by 37.22% to 106.90 billion yuan [3] - Jingu Trust's total assets reached 14.674 billion yuan, with a pre-tax profit of 743 million yuan, marking increases of 60.43% and 62.58% respectively [3] Strategic Initiatives - China Cinda has actively adapted to new market conditions for risk resolution, focusing on high-quality development of non-performing asset management [4] - The company expanded its acquisition channels, successfully acquiring over 220 billion yuan in bank non-performing assets [4] - The company also ventured into overseas markets, acquiring over 7.6 billion yuan in foreign non-performing assets [4] - In asset disposal, the company maintained over 50 billion yuan in asset recovery for seven consecutive years [5] Risk Mitigation Efforts - The company supported small financial institutions by acquiring over 140 billion yuan in non-performing assets [5] - It participated in risk resolution in the real estate sector, investing nearly 17 billion yuan to support housing delivery and urban renewal projects [5] - The company provided 4.5 billion yuan to help local governments manage debt risks [6]

Core Insights - China Cinda Asset Management Co., Ltd. reported a total asset scale of 1.64 trillion yuan by the end of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 2.8% [1] - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.036 billion yuan for the year [1] - The core tier one capital adequacy ratio, tier one capital adequacy ratio, and total capital adequacy ratio were 11.07%, 15.63%, and 16.75%, respectively, meeting regulatory requirements [1] Asset Acquisition - The company acquired over 220 billion yuan in bank non-performing assets, maintaining industry leadership [2] - It expanded asset acquisition types, including new investments in ABS and income rights projects [2] - The company acquired over 76 billion yuan in overseas non-performing assets through its subsidiaries in Hong Kong and the Shanghai Free Trade Zone [2] Risk Management and Support - The company acquired over 140 billion yuan in non-performing assets from small and medium-sized banks, providing tailored risk resolution plans [2] - It participated in risk resolution in the real estate sector, contributing nearly 17 billion yuan to projects aimed at ensuring housing delivery [2] - The company also engaged in local debt risk resolution, investing 4.5 billion yuan to help local governments manage debt [2] Operational Efficiency - The company emphasized high-quality development and risk compliance, enhancing its risk management framework [3] - It established a dual-line post-investment management mechanism for major projects to improve risk monitoring [3] - The company launched innovative financing solutions, including the issuance of the first AMC market-making ABS and the largest advanced manufacturing ABS in the market [3]

Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue of approximately 73.04 billion yuan for 2024, a decrease of 4.11% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.0364 billion yuan, down 47.84% compared to the previous year [1] - Earnings per share were 0.04 yuan, with a proposed cash dividend of 0.2387 yuan for every 10 shares [1] - As of the end of 2024, the total assets of the group reached 1.6 trillion yuan, an increase of 2.8% year-on-year [1] Asset Management and Risk Mitigation - The company acquired over 220 billion yuan in non-performing assets from banks, maintaining a leading position in the industry [1] - The effectiveness of non-performing asset disposal remained strong, with over 50 billion yuan recovered for seven consecutive years [1] - The company actively supported the reform and risk mitigation of small and medium-sized financial institutions, acquiring over 140 billion yuan in non-performing assets from small banks [2] Support for Real Estate and Local Debt - The company facilitated risk resolution in the real estate sector, launching 33 projects and investing nearly 17 billion yuan, resulting in the delivery of over 20,000 housing units [2] - It also invested 4.5 billion yuan in local debt projects to help local governments raise resources for debt repayment [2] Investment in the Real Economy - The company invested over 200 billion yuan in supporting the real economy, with 31 projects in technology finance amounting to approximately 10 billion yuan [3] - A green finance fund of 5 billion yuan was established to focus on renewable energy and low-carbon development [3] - The company invested over 8.1 billion yuan in inclusive finance, enhancing service quality and efficiency [3] Support for State-Owned and Private Enterprises - The company assisted in the reform of state-owned enterprises by managing the disposal of non-core assets and supporting the healthy development of the private economy, with new cooperation exceeding 16 billion yuan [4] - It participated in seven bankruptcy restructuring projects, involving 1.7 billion yuan [4] - The company managed over 700 billion yuan in third-party assets, a 70% increase year-on-year [4] Risk Management and Financing Innovation - The company improved its comprehensive risk management system and established a dual-line post-investment management mechanism for major projects [4] - It maintained liquidity safety and continued to innovate in financing, issuing the first market-making ABS for AMC and the largest scale advanced manufacturing ABS [4]

Financial Performance - The company reported a significant increase in revenue for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, with total revenue reaching RMB 10 billion, representing a 15% year-over-year growth[3]. - The net profit for the year was RMB 2 billion, reflecting a 20% increase compared to the previous year[3]. - Total revenue for 2024 reached RMB 73,039.9 million, a decrease of 4.4% compared to RMB 76,167.8 million in 2023[15]. - The company's profit for the year ended December 31, 2024, was RMB 3,508.2 million, a decrease of 49.9% compared to RMB 6,993.5 million in 2023[16]. - The average return on equity for 2024 was 0.92%, down from 2.70% in 2023[18]. - The cost-to-income ratio increased to 24.85% in 2024, compared to 22.96% in 2023[18]. - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3,036.4 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 47.8%[41]. - The pre-tax profit decreased by 51.3% to RMB 3,990.3 million from RMB 8,186.3 million[43]. Revenue Sources - Interest income for 2024 was RMB 32,961.4 million, slightly down from RMB 33,061.5 million in 2023[15]. - Commission and fee income increased by 0.4% to RMB 4,921.2 million in 2024 from RMB 4,903.4 million in 2023, driven by a significant rise in trust business income, which surged 93.5% to RMB 1,041.8 million[57]. - The revenue from the distressed asset management business accounted for 55.3% of total revenue in 2024, down from 58.3% in 2023[110]. - The income from distressed debt assets in 2024 was RMB 11,025.0 million, a significant decrease from RMB 16,018.4 million in 2023, representing a decline of approximately 31.2%[112]. Asset Management - The total assets under management have grown to RMB 50 billion, marking a 12% increase from the previous year[3]. - The total assets as of December 31, 2024, amounted to RMB 1,638,960.3 million, an increase from RMB 1,594,357.4 million in 2023[17]. - The total liabilities as of December 31, 2024, were RMB 1,415,804.8 million, an increase from RMB 1,377,201.3 million in 2023[17]. - The total equity increased by 2.8% from RMB 217,156.2 million in 2023 to RMB 223,155.4 million in 2024[77]. Market Expansion and Strategy - The company plans to expand its market presence in Southeast Asia, targeting a 5% market share within the next two years[3]. - A strategic acquisition of a fintech startup is in progress, expected to enhance the company's service offerings and customer engagement[3]. - The company has engaged in new cooperation with top 500 private enterprises, adding over 16 billion yuan in new partnerships, a year-on-year increase of 43%[35]. - The company has been actively involved in the reform of small and medium financial institutions, assisting multiple provinces in formulating government debt resolution plans[23]. Risk Management - The company emphasizes a strong risk management framework, with a focus on maintaining compliance and financial stability amid regulatory changes[3]. - The company has established a comprehensive risk management system, with the new risk assets for 2024 dropping to the lowest level in three years[26]. - The company aims to enhance risk management effectiveness through continuous improvement of risk management processes and tools[193]. - The company has implemented strict risk management policies to ensure controllable risks across customers, industries, and regions in 2024[194]. Investments and Technology - Investment in new technologies and product development has increased by 30%, with a focus on enhancing digital asset management services[3]. - The company has launched a new AI system, "Xindai," to support frontline business operations and customer service[27]. - The company has upgraded its "Smart Tao" ecosystem module and implemented AI assistants to enhance digital financial services[34]. - The company plans to invest over 200 billion yuan in supporting the real economy, with 31 projects funded amounting to approximately 10 billion yuan[34]. Awards and Recognition - The company has received multiple awards in 2024, including recognition for excellence in asset securitization and ESG disclosures, highlighting its commitment to quality and sustainability[6]. Employee Development - The employee count as of December 31, 2024, was 13,815, with 92% holding a bachelor's degree or higher[183]. - The company completed over 2,160 training sessions with more than 300,000 participants, enhancing employee professional capabilities[185]. - The company emphasizes a market-oriented compensation policy linked to operational performance, incorporating sustainability and risk management into its evaluation metrics[184].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Neutral" rating to China Cinda (01359.HK) [6] Core Views - China Cinda is a comprehensive financial group focused on non-performing asset management, with its business segments including non-performing asset operations and financial services [15][19] - The company has experienced stable asset size but declining revenue and net profit in recent years, with total assets at 1.58 trillion yuan and net profit of 1.6 billion yuan in the first half of 2024 [20][19] - The non-performing asset management segment accounted for 53% of revenue in the first half of 2024, while financial services contributed 48% [19] Summary by Sections Company Overview - China Cinda, established in 1999, primarily engages in non-performing asset management and has undergone a commercial transformation since 2004 [15] - The company operates through various subsidiaries, including banks, securities, and trust companies, with a workforce of approximately 14,000 [15] Non-Performing Asset Business - The non-performing asset management business has returned to its core operations, with stable acquisition and operational yields expected to benefit from economic recovery [2][29] - The company has reduced its acquisition and restructuring business scale, focusing on core operations [29][33] Financial Services Business - China Cinda has a complete range of financial service licenses through its subsidiaries, covering banking, securities, futures, public funds, trusts, and leasing [47] - The financial services segment has shown a steady increase in revenue contribution, with South Commercial Bank facing rising non-performing loan ratios [47][48] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to see net profits of 2.4 billion, 4 billion, and 4.7 billion yuan from 2024 to 2026, with corresponding EPS of 0.06, 0.11, and 0.12 yuan [3][72] - The estimated reasonable valuation ranges from 1.27 to 1.62 HKD, indicating a potential premium of 2% to 30% over the current stock price [3][6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Neutral" rating to China Cinda (01359.HK) [6] Core Views - China Cinda is a comprehensive financial group focused on non-performing asset management, with its business segments including non-performing asset operations and financial services. The company has shown stable asset size but declining revenue and net profit in recent years [1][15] Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - China Cinda, established in 1999, primarily engages in non-performing asset management and has transitioned from policy-based operations to commercial activities. The company operates through various subsidiaries, including banks, securities, and trust companies, with a workforce of approximately 14,000 [15][16] Financial Performance - The total assets of China Cinda have remained stable around 1.5 trillion yuan, with total assets reported at 1.58 trillion yuan as of Q2 2024. However, operating revenue has decreased, with a reported revenue of 37.4 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, down 1.6% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders was 1.6 billion yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 53.9% [20][1] Non-Performing Asset Business - The non-performing asset management business has returned to its core operations, focusing on acquisition and restructuring activities. The company expects to benefit from economic recovery, which may improve the profitability of its acquisition business [2][29] Financial Services - China Cinda operates a complete range of financial services through its subsidiaries, including banking, securities, and trust services. The financial services segment has seen an increase in revenue contribution, with financial services accounting for 45% of total revenue in the first half of 2024 [19][47] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts a net profit of 2.4 billion yuan for 2024, with expected growth rates of -43.2%, 67.2%, and 16.0% for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively. The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for these years are projected at 0.06, 0.11, and 0.12 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 18, 11, and 9 [3][72]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is Neutral [5] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from economic recovery, with its performance stabilizing after a decline in recent years [1][2] - The company's total assets have remained stable around 1.5 trillion yuan, but revenue and net profit have decreased significantly [1][17] - The company’s core business includes non-performing asset management and financial services, with a notable shift towards financial services in recent years [16][44] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, China Cinda (01359.HK), is a comprehensive financial group focused on non-performing asset management, with a history dating back to 1999 [12] - It operates through various subsidiaries, including banks, securities, and trust companies, and has a workforce of approximately 14,000 employees [12] Financial Performance - As of mid-2024, the company reported total assets of 1.58 trillion yuan, with operating revenue of 37.4 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.6 billion yuan [1][17] - The return on equity (ROE) was 2% in 2023 and is estimated to drop to around 1% in 2024 [1][22] Non-Performing Asset Management - The non-performing asset management business has returned to its core operations, with a focus on acquisition and operational management of distressed assets [2][26] - The acquisition and operational management segment is expected to stabilize and benefit from economic recovery [2][29] Financial Services - The company has a complete range of financial service licenses, including banking, securities, and trust services [44] - The financial services segment has seen a rising revenue share, contributing significantly to overall income [16][44] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit is projected to be 2.4 billion yuan in 2024, with a significant recovery expected in 2025 and 2026 [3][77] - The estimated price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for the upcoming years is projected to be 18, 11, and 9 for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [3][77] - The reasonable valuation range for the company is estimated to be between 1.27 and 1.62 HKD, indicating a potential premium over the current stock price [3][5]