板块市场回顾 上周（2026/2/21-2026/2/27）交运指数上涨 3.3%，沪深 300 指数上涨 1.1%，跑赢大盘 2.2%，排名 14/29。交运子板 块中航运板块涨幅最大(+11.9%)，机场板块跌幅最大(-1.8%)。 行业观点 快递：部分快递公司受益反内卷涨价影响。上周（2 月 16 日-2 月 22 日）邮政快递累计揽收量约 8.06 亿件，同比- 77.8%,环比-64.7%；累计投递量约 6.3 亿件，同比-83.7%,环比-81.1%。在监管底线较明确、反内卷思路延续的背景 下，行业价格大幅下探概率不高，同时考虑去年同期基数偏低，当前价格同比改善仍有望对利润端形成支撑，看好龙 头企业份额持续提升，关注中通快递，极兔海外市场保持较高成长持续看好。 物流：化工品价格看涨，看好化工物流。本周中国化工产品价格指数(CCPI)为 4041 点，同比-8.1%，环比-持平。本 周对二甲苯（PX）开工率为 93.25%，环比持平，同比+1.9pct；甲醇开工率为 87.4%，环比+0.1pct，同比+11.9pct； 乙二醇开工率为 66.2%，环比+0.9%，同比+6.3pct。原油价格上涨化 ...

板块市场回顾 上周（2026/2/21-2026/2/27）交运指数上涨 3.3%，沪深 300 指数上涨 1.1%，跑赢大盘 2.2%，排名 14/29。交运子板 块中航运板块涨幅最大(+11.9%)，机场板块跌幅最大(-1.8%)。 行业观点 快递：部分快递公司受益反内卷涨价影响。上周（2 月 16 日-2 月 22 日）邮政快递累计揽收量约 8.06 亿件，同比- 77.8%,环比-64.7%；累计投递量约 6.3 亿件，同比-83.7%,环比-81.1%。在监管底线较明确、反内卷思路延续的背景 下，行业价格大幅下探概率不高，同时考虑去年同期基数偏低，当前价格同比改善仍有望对利润端形成支撑，看好龙 头企业份额持续提升，关注中通快递，极兔海外市场保持较高成长持续看好。 物流：化工品价格看涨，看好化工物流。本周中国化工产品价格指数(CCPI)为 4041 点，同比-8.1%，环比-持平。本 周对二甲苯（PX）开工率为 93.25%，环比持平，同比+1.9pct；甲醇开工率为 87.4%，环比+0.1pct，同比+11.9pct； 乙二醇开工率为 66.2%，环比+0.9%，同比+6.3pct。原油价格上涨化 ...

Industry Overview - The China Chemical Products Price Index (CCPI) is reported at 4120 points this week, showing a year-on-year decrease of 5.0% and a month-on-month increase of 1.1% [1] - The CCPI for the previous week was 4066 points, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 6.6% and a month-on-month decrease of 1.0% [1] - The domestic maritime shipping price for liquid chemicals was 168 RMB/ton, down 8.51% year-on-year and 0.62% month-on-month [1] Express Delivery - In December, the express delivery business volume increased by 2.3% year-on-year, with some companies benefiting from price increases due to reduced competition [2] - The total collection volume for postal express from January 26 to February 1 was approximately 4.541 billion pieces, up 60.8% year-on-year and 5.5% month-on-month [2] - The total delivery volume during the same period was about 4.477 billion pieces, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 18.7% and a month-on-month increase of 5.8% [2] - The State Post Bureau forecasts that by 2025, express delivery revenue will reach 1.5 trillion RMB, growing by 6.5% year-on-year [2] Logistics - DSV's integration of DB Schenker is progressing ahead of expectations, with completion anticipated by the end of 2026 [3] - The company is focusing on smart logistics, benefiting from improved demand [3] Aviation and Airports - The average daily flights nationwide decreased by 1.08% year-on-year, with domestic flights down 1.28% [4] - Brent crude oil futures settled at 67.55 USD/barrel, down 4.47% month-on-month and 11.07% year-on-year [4] - The domestic aviation kerosene ex-factory price (including tax) is 5334 RMB/ton, down 4.3% month-on-month and 12.7% year-on-year [4] - The airline sector is expected to see profit elasticity due to supply constraints from aircraft manufacturers and upstream component suppliers [4] Shipping - The container shipping price index (CCFI) is at 1122.15 points, down 4.5% month-on-month and 20.7% year-on-year [5] - The Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) is at 1266.56 points, down 3.8% month-on-month and 33.2% year-on-year [5] - The crude oil transportation index (BDTI) increased by 2.1% month-on-month and 88.5% year-on-year, indicating a growing demand for oil transportation [5] - A recent agreement between the U.S. and India to halt Russian oil purchases is expected to boost oil transportation demand [5] Road and Rail Ports - Anhui Expressway completed the acquisition of Shandong Expressway, acquiring 7% of its total share capital at a price of 8.92 RMB/share, totaling 3.019 billion RMB [5] - The total number of freight vehicles on national highways reached 56.83 million, up 4.75% month-on-month and 506.12% year-on-year [5]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the transportation sector, with specific recommendations for companies such as SF Holding and China Southern Airlines [2][4]. Core Insights - The express delivery sector experienced a year-on-year growth of 2.3% in December, with major companies benefiting from price increases due to reduced competition. The total express business revenue for 2025 reached 1.5 trillion yuan, a 6.5% increase year-on-year [2]. - The logistics sector is seeing improvements with DSV's integration of DB Schenker progressing ahead of schedule, and a focus on smart logistics is recommended for Hai Chen Co. [3]. - The aviation sector is witnessing a slight decrease in flight volumes, but ticket prices are expected to rise due to supply constraints from manufacturers. Recommendations include China National Aviation and China Southern Airlines [4]. - The shipping sector shows a mixed performance, with container shipping rates declining while oil transport indices are on the rise, indicating a potential increase in oil transport demand [5]. - The road and rail sectors are showing stable growth, with significant increases in truck traffic on highways and a notable rise in the dividend yield of major public road operators [6][79]. Summary by Sections 1. Transportation Market Review - The transportation index rose by 1.8% during the week of January 31 to February 6, 2026, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.2% [1][13]. 2. Industry Fundamentals Tracking 2.1 Shipping Ports - The export container shipping index (CCFI) was reported at 1122.15 points, down 4.5% week-on-week and down 20.7% year-on-year. The Shanghai export container shipping index (SCFI) was at 1266.56 points, down 3.8% week-on-week and down 33.2% year-on-year [21]. 2.2 Aviation Airports - In December 2025, civil aviation passenger volume reached 60.6 million, a 6% increase year-on-year, with domestic routes showing a 6% increase and international routes a 9% increase [56]. 2.3 Rail and Road - In December 2025, national railway passenger volume was 323 million, up 8.52% year-on-year, while road freight volume was 3.797 billion tons, up 0.62% year-on-year [77][79].

Group 1: Express Delivery Industry - The express delivery business volume in China is expected to grow by 13.7% year-on-year by 2025, with some companies benefiting from price increases amid reduced competition [1] - During the week of January 5-11, the total collection volume of postal express reached approximately 4.107 billion pieces, a week-on-week increase of 7.1% and a year-on-year increase of 4.1% [1] - The total delivery volume for the same week was about 4.16 billion pieces, with a week-on-week increase of 6.0% and a year-on-year increase of 9.0% [1] - By 2025, the express delivery revenue is projected to reach 1.5 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.5% [1] - The report recommends investing in SF Holding due to valuation, operational resilience, and improved shareholder returns, while also being optimistic about Zhongtong Express due to market share growth [1] Group 2: Logistics Industry - The chemical product price index (CCPI) in China is currently at 4024 points, showing a year-on-year decrease of 7.7% but a month-on-month increase of 1.1% [2] - The domestic sea freight price for liquid chemicals is 169 yuan/ton, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 8.98% [2] - Shanghai has introduced favorable policies for intelligent driving, aiming to expand the application of L3-level autonomous vehicles and enhance smart logistics [2] - The report recommends Hai Chen Co. due to improved demand in its main business [2] Group 3: Aviation Industry - The average daily number of flights in China has decreased by 5.66% year-on-year, with domestic flights down by 6.18% [3] - Brent crude oil futures settled at $64.13 per barrel, a month-on-month increase of 1.25% but a year-on-year decrease of 19.76% [3] - The report suggests that supply constraints from aircraft manufacturers and upstream suppliers will slow supply growth, leading to improved ticket prices and airline profit elasticity, recommending China National Aviation and Southern Airlines [3] Group 4: Shipping Industry - The China Container Freight Index (CCFI) is at 1209.85 points, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 1.3% but a year-on-year decrease of 22.5% [4] - The crude oil transportation index (BDTI) increased by 18.5% month-on-month and 60.2% year-on-year [4] - The dry bulk freight index (BDI) is at 1586.4 points, showing a month-on-month decrease of 10.5% but a year-on-year increase of 51.2% [4] - The report indicates that the total number of trucks on highways decreased year-on-year by 2.02% [4]

Investment Rating - The report recommends a positive outlook for the logistics and transportation sector, particularly highlighting companies like SF Holding and China National Aviation [2][4]. Core Views - The express delivery sector saw a year-on-year growth of 2.3% in December, with major companies benefiting from price increases amid reduced competition [2]. - The logistics sector is advised to focus on smart logistics, with Hai Chen Co. recommended due to improved demand [3]. - The aviation sector is experiencing a slight decline in flight volumes, but major airlines like China Southern Airlines and Air China are expected to turn profitable in 2025 [4]. - The shipping sector shows a significant increase in dry bulk shipping index (BDI) by 14.2% week-on-week, indicating a positive trend [5]. Summary by Sections Transportation Market Review - The transportation index fell by 1.3% during the week of January 24-30, 2026, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index rose by 0.1%, indicating underperformance in the transportation sector [12]. Industry Fundamentals Tracking Shipping Ports - The shipping market is adjusting, with the SCFI index down by 9.7% week-on-week, reflecting weak demand in the long-distance shipping market [20]. - The export container shipping index (CCFI) is at 1175.59 points, down 2.7% week-on-week and down 21.9% year-on-year [21]. Aviation Airports - In December 2025, civil aviation passenger volume reached 60.6 million, a 6% increase year-on-year, with domestic routes showing a similar growth [53]. - Major airlines are expected to see improved profitability, with Air China and China Southern Airlines projected to return to profit in 2025 [4]. Rail and Road - National railway passenger volume in December 2025 was 323 million, up 8.52% year-on-year, while freight volume decreased by 2.60% [72]. - The road freight volume for the same period was 37.97 billion tons, showing a slight increase of 0.62% year-on-year [77].

Investment Rating - The report recommends a positive outlook for the logistics and transportation sector, particularly highlighting companies like SF Holding and China National Aviation [2][4]. Core Insights - The express delivery sector saw a year-on-year growth of 2.3% in December, with major companies benefiting from price increases amid reduced competition [2]. - The logistics sector is experiencing a recovery in demand, with a recommendation for Haicheng Co. due to its focus on smart logistics [3]. - The aviation sector is expected to see improved profitability as supply constraints ease, with recommendations for China National Aviation and Southern Airlines [4]. Summary by Sections Transportation Market Review - The transportation index fell by 1.3% during the week of January 24-30, 2026, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index rose by 0.1%, indicating underperformance against the broader market [12]. Industry Fundamentals Tracking Shipping Ports - The shipping market is adjusting, with the China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) at 1175.59 points, down 2.7% week-on-week and down 21.9% year-on-year [21]. - The dry bulk shipping index (BDI) increased by 14.2% week-on-week, indicating a positive trend in dry bulk demand [34]. Aviation Airports - In December 2025, civil aviation passenger volume reached 60.6 million, a 6% year-on-year increase, with domestic routes showing strong performance [53]. - Major airlines are expected to improve profitability, with China National Airlines and Southern Airlines highlighted for their potential [4]. Rail and Road - National railway passenger volume increased by 8.52% year-on-year in December 2025, while road freight volume showed a slight increase of 0.62% [72]. - The report notes a decline in truck traffic on highways, with a 3.32% decrease week-on-week [34]. Recommendations - The report recommends investing in SF Holding for its valuation and resilience, and in Haicheng Co. for its smart logistics initiatives [2][3]. - The aviation sector is also recommended for investment, particularly in China National Aviation and Southern Airlines due to expected profit recovery [4].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an overall investment rating for the transportation sector, but it recommends specific companies such as SF Express and China Southern Airlines based on their performance and market conditions [2][4]. Core Insights - The express delivery sector saw a 2.3% year-on-year growth in business volume in December, with major companies benefiting from price increases amid reduced competition. The total express business revenue for 2025 is projected to reach 1.5 trillion yuan, a 6.5% increase year-on-year [2]. - The logistics sector is focusing on smart logistics, with companies like Haichen Co. being recommended due to improved demand [3]. - The aviation sector is experiencing a slight decline in flight volumes, but ticket prices are expected to rise due to supply constraints and improved demand, with recommendations for airlines like Air China and China Southern Airlines [4]. - The shipping sector shows mixed signals, with container shipping rates declining while oil transport rates are increasing significantly [5]. Summary by Sections Transportation Market Review - The transportation index increased by 1.6% during the week of January 17-23, 2026, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which fell by 0.6% [1][13]. Express Delivery - In December, the express delivery business volume reached 182.1 million pieces, a 2.3% increase year-on-year. The total revenue for the express delivery sector in 2025 is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan, with a 6.5% growth [2]. Logistics - The chemical product price index remained stable, and the logistics sector is focusing on smart logistics, with Haichen Co. recommended for its growth potential [3]. Aviation and Airports - The average daily flights decreased by 9.19% year-on-year, but ticket prices are expected to rise due to supply constraints. Recommendations include Air China and China Southern Airlines [4][59]. Shipping - The container shipping index showed a slight decline, with the CCFI at 1208.75 points, down 0.1% week-on-week and down 22.4% year-on-year. However, oil transport rates are increasing, with the BDTI index rising by 12.5% week-on-week [5][41]. Road and Rail - The national highway freight traffic saw a slight increase of 1.87% week-on-week, while the railway passenger volume increased by 8.52% year-on-year [81].

Group 1: Express Delivery Industry - The express delivery business volume is expected to grow by 13.7% year-on-year by 2025, with some companies benefiting from price increases amid reduced competition [2] - During the week of January 5-11, the total collection volume of postal express reached approximately 4.107 billion pieces, a week-on-week increase of 7.1% and a year-on-year increase of 4.1% [2] - The total delivery volume for the same week was about 4.16 billion pieces, with a week-on-week increase of 6.0% and a year-on-year increase of 9.0% [2] - By 2025, the express delivery industry in China is projected to achieve a revenue of 1.5 trillion yuan and a business volume of 199 billion pieces, representing year-on-year growth of 6.5% and 13.7% respectively [2] - The report recommends investing in SF Holding (002352) due to valuation, operational resilience, and improved shareholder returns, while also being optimistic about Zhongtong Express [2] Group 2: Logistics Industry - The chemical product price index (CCPI) in China is at 4024 points, showing a year-on-year decrease of 7.7% but a month-on-month increase of 1.1% [3] - The domestic sea freight price for liquid chemicals is 169 yuan/ton, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 8.98% [3] - Shanghai has launched a plan to promote high-level autonomous driving, aiming to enhance the competitiveness of smart connected technologies and expand the application of L3 autonomous vehicles [3] - The report recommends Hai Chen Co., Ltd. (300873) due to improved demand in the logistics sector [3] Group 3: Aviation Industry - The average daily number of flights in China has decreased by 5.66% year-on-year, with domestic flights down by 6.18% and international flights down by 2.58% [4] - The Brent crude oil futures price is at $64.13 per barrel, showing a month-on-month increase of 1.25% and a year-on-year decrease of 19.76% [4] - The report recommends investing in the aviation sector, specifically China National Aviation (601111) and China Southern Airlines (600029), due to expected profit elasticity from supply-demand optimization [4] Group 4: Shipping Industry - The China Container Freight Index (CCFI) is at 1209.85 points, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 1.3% but a year-on-year decrease of 22.5% [5] - The Shanghai Container Freight Index (SCFI) is at 1574.12 points, showing a month-on-month decrease of 4.4% and a year-on-year decrease of 31.3% [5] - The report indicates that the dry bulk freight index (BDI) is at 1586.4 points, with a year-on-year increase of 51.2% [5] - The report highlights that the highway freight traffic has decreased year-on-year by 2.02%, with a total of 55.089 million trucks passing through highways during the week of January 5-11 [5]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an overall investment rating for the transportation sector Core Views - The express delivery sector is experiencing a 5% year-on-year growth in business volume, with some companies benefiting from price increases due to reduced competition. The report recommends SF Express for its valuation and operational resilience, while also being optimistic about ZTO Express due to its increasing market share in the low-price segment [2] - In logistics, the chemical transportation prices remain stable, and the report recommends Haicheng Co. for its focus on smart logistics and improved demand [3] - The aviation sector is seeing a significant increase in passenger flow, with over 200 million people traveling during the New Year holiday, and the report recommends China Southern Airlines and Air China due to expected profit growth from optimized supply and demand [4] - The shipping sector shows a slight increase in container shipping indices, with potential benefits from geopolitical events affecting oil transportation. The report notes a 42.5% year-on-year increase in the crude oil transportation index [5] - The road and rail sector shows stable performance, with a slight decrease in truck traffic on highways but overall competitive dividend yields compared to government bonds [6] Summary by Sections Transportation Market Review - The transportation index fell by 0.7% during the week, underperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 0.1%, with the aviation sector showing the highest increase at +4.8% and logistics experiencing the largest decline at -3.4% [1][13] Industry Fundamentals Tracking Shipping and Ports - Container shipping is stabilizing, with a slight increase in freight rates supported by seasonal demand. The report anticipates pressure on rates in mid-January due to expected capacity growth [21] - The export container shipping index (CCFI) was 1146.67 points, up 2.0% week-on-week but down 24.3% year-on-year [22] Aviation and Airports - The civil aviation sector saw a 6% year-on-year increase in passenger volume in November, with domestic routes growing by 5% and international routes by 19% [54] - The report highlights that major airlines are expected to see significant profit increases due to high load factors and rising ticket prices [54][75] Rail and Road - The rail sector reported a year-on-year increase in passenger volume of 8.94% and freight volume of 1.16% in November, indicating a positive trend in transportation demand [78] - The road sector experienced a slight decline in passenger traffic but an increase in freight volume, with competitive dividend yields noted for major road operators [83]