证券研究报告 | 行业专题研究 gszqdatemark 2025 10 10 年 月 日 通信 Robinhood Markets（HOOD.O）：加密资产业务的第二曲线 公司概况：Robinhood Markets, Inc 由两名斯坦福大学毕业生 Vladimir Tenev 和 Baiju Bhatt 于 2013 年创立，总部位于美国，是一家提供股票、 ETF、期权和加密资产交易的金融科技公司。公司致力于推动"金融民主 化"，通过降低普通人参与投资的门槛，缩小散户投资者与机构投资者的 交易费用差距，使更多人能够参与股票投资活动。 加密资产业务发展历程：2018 年，公司推出比特币、以太坊与狗狗币交易 业务；2022 年，公司推出 Web3 钱包 Robinhood Wallet，允许用户将加 密资产自由转入或转出钱包，支持以太坊、Polygon、Arbitrum、Optimism 和 Base 等网络；2025 年 5 月，公司从立陶宛中央银行获得经纪许可证， 该许可允许其在整个欧盟范围内提供股票交易和其他投资服务，并使其能 够符合欧盟加密市场监管框架（MiCA）；2025 年 6 月 2 日，公司 ...

9月12日(上周五)，加密资产交易所Gemini正式登陆纳斯达克。首日一度上涨超过60%。 值得关注的是，为进一步布局加密资产交易领域，纳斯达克已入股该交易所。 Gemini上市暴涨创始人继续看涨比特币 Gemini Space Station(GEMI.US)首次公开募股(IPO)定价为每股28美元，较此前预计的每股24—26美元的 发行价有所提高，并通过发行约1520万股股票筹集4.25亿美元。公司上周五上市后暴涨超45%，并触及 熔断，盘中最高涨幅超过60%。截至收盘，公司股价上涨14.29%，市值为38.01亿美元。 Gemini成功上市，成为继Bullish和Coinbase之后，第三家在美国上市的加密货币交易所。其中， Coinbase是首家纳入标普500指数的加密货币交易所。 Gemini成立于2014年，总部位于美国纽约州纽约市，全职雇员700人，是一家加密货币交易所和托管公 司，由亿万富翁双胞胎卡梅隆.文克莱沃斯(Cameron Winklevoss)和泰勒.文克莱沃斯(Tyler Winklevoss)创 立。 值得关注的是，Gemini已率先在欧洲市场推出部分股票的代币化产品，并强调"传 ...

Group 1 - The core challenge for the Federal Reserve is to precisely manage interest rate expectations, as signaling rate cuts can lead to long-term easing expectations and undermine policy effectiveness [1] - The Federal Reserve employs a strategy of ambiguity and data dependence to retain operational flexibility, with decision-making driven not only by inflation and employment data but also by deeper considerations such as maintaining the dollar's status and ensuring the stability of U.S. Treasury bonds [1][3] - The shift in focus towards stablecoins as a significant aspect of global financial policy is driven by policy forces rather than mere technological evolution, indicating a structural pivot in regulatory discussions [3][8] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's primary goal in reshaping monetary governance logic revolves around maintaining the dollar's status and ensuring the stability of U.S. Treasury bonds, which are crucial to the global financial system [3] - The total scale of U.S. Treasury bonds is projected to approach $39 trillion by early 2025, with over one-third held by foreign institutions, highlighting the importance of bond price stability to avoid increasing domestic financing costs and destabilizing the dollar's credit system [3] - The Federal Reserve's tolerance for market volatility has significantly decreased, prioritizing the stabilization of long-term yields over merely addressing inflation, creating a unique market environment for trading safe-haven assets on decentralized exchanges like XBIT [3][5] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve's decision-making shows a clear bias towards preventing financial risks from asset price declines while viewing the decline in purchasing power of low-income groups as a normal economic adjustment [5] - The XBIT decentralized exchange platform offers significant advantages by allowing users to participate in compliant asset trading without the need for KYC, ensuring continuous and free asset transactions while maintaining user control over their assets [5] - Starting at the end of 2024, the Federal Reserve will implement a "dual-track operation" strategy, maintaining nominal interest rates while secretly adjusting the market through balance sheet expansion, which has involved purchasing over $200 billion in Treasury bonds in the past six months [5][8] Group 4 - Major economies are advancing compliance frameworks for stablecoins, with Hong Kong establishing a timeline for related regulations and the EU's MiCA regulation set to take effect in 2024, covering comprehensive crypto asset regulation [7][8] - The passage of the GENIUS Act in the U.S. signifies a regulatory easing in the stablecoin sector and marks a shift towards allowing the private sector to issue compliant digital dollars, which may serve as a global regulatory reference model [8] - The Federal Reserve is transitioning from a traditional dual mandate focused on inflation and employment to a multifaceted role that includes maintaining dollar credit, ensuring financial stability, and managing expectations, reflecting a significant evolution in its decision-making logic [8]

Group 1 - The UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has seized seven cryptocurrency ATMs and arrested two individuals for allegedly operating an illegal cryptocurrency exchange [1] - This action highlights the ongoing regulatory scrutiny and enforcement actions against unregulated cryptocurrency activities in the UK [1] - The FCA's efforts aim to protect consumers and ensure compliance with financial regulations in the rapidly evolving cryptocurrency sector [1]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the future of tokenization in the U.S. stock market, particularly focusing on Real World Assets (RWA) and the role of platforms like Robinhood in this emerging market [1][3][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - The RWA market is projected to reach $186 billion in 2024, with stablecoins accounting for approximately 94% of this market [1][7]. - The equity token market, while currently small at under $400 million, shows significant growth potential driven by platforms like Robinhood [3][7]. - Robinhood's innovative business model includes "payment for order flow," allowing it to sell customer orders to market makers for execution, generating revenue from rebates [22][24]. - The company aims to become a "one-stop investment platform," offering a diverse range of products including traditional stocks, options, cryptocurrencies, and equity tokens [3][19]. Robinhood's Product Offerings - Recently, Robinhood launched equity token products covering over 200 U.S. stocks and ETFs, allowing for 24/5 trading [6][19]. - The platform has introduced perpetual contracts and staking products, expanding its offerings in the cryptocurrency space [1][18]. - Robinhood's equity tokens reflect stock prices but do not confer shareholder rights, functioning as derivative contracts [12][14]. Market Dynamics and Competition - Other platforms supporting equity token trading include Kraken, Coinbase, and Back Finance, each with different operational models and regulatory statuses [9][10]. - The global RWA market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 53%, reaching $18.9 trillion by 2033 [7][18]. Regulatory Environment - The regulatory landscape for equity tokenization is evolving, with Robinhood seeking approval from the SEC to expand its offerings in the U.S. market [16][21]. - Hong Kong is actively promoting digital asset development, having issued its first government green bond and planning further digital bond issuances [5][17]. Financial Performance and Growth Strategy - In Q1, Robinhood's revenue structure showed that trading income accounted for 63% of total revenue, with cryptocurrency trading contributing 27% [22][23]. - The company aims to dominate the active trader market by offering a wider range of derivative products and enhancing user experience on mobile and web platforms [28]. - Robinhood's long-term vision includes building a global financial ecosystem targeting younger investors, particularly millennials and Gen Z [30]. Additional Insights - The company plans to allow users to migrate assets to personal wallets or other DeFi protocols in the future, enhancing the flexibility of its offerings [13][20]. - Robinhood's stock price has seen significant fluctuations, with a notable rebound in 2024, driven by increased trading activity in both the stock and cryptocurrency markets [25][26].

Core Insights - The rise of XBIT decentralized exchange platform signifies a shift in the financial landscape, leveraging USDC for enhanced liquidity and redefining trust in financial transactions [1][5][6] Group 1: XBIT's Unique Features - XBIT allows users to access up to 10x leverage through deep integration with Circle USDC, addressing the issue of liquidity fragmentation seen in traditional exchanges [3] - The platform implements a zero-fee policy for Maker orders and a Taker fee of only 0.03%, which is one-tenth of the fees charged by centralized exchanges [3] - All transactions on XBIT are executed via smart contracts, eliminating the need for trust in custodial institutions, as users only need to trust the code [3] Group 2: Market Position and Growth - XBIT's ambition extends beyond just trading Bitcoin; it enables users to indirectly hold traditional assets like US stocks and gold through synthetic assets, creating a "chain-based ETF with leverage" [5] - The platform has achieved an average daily trading volume exceeding $5 billion, with over 60% of this volume coming from USDC leveraged trading, which is growing at a rate of 20% weekly [5] Group 3: Future Implications - The emergence of XBIT indicates a potential redefinition of financial participation, making finance accessible to everyone through code, rather than being exclusive to Wall Street [5][6] - The rapid growth of XBIT in just 14 months, compared to the 1.4 years it took for IBIT to enter the top 25 ETFs, highlights the changing dynamics in the financial sector [6]