Market Overview - Hong Kong stocks faced downward pressure with all three major indices falling over 1%, closing with the Hang Seng Index down 1.12% at 23,710.69 points and a total trading volume of HKD 181.93 billion [1] - Huatai Securities noted that despite rising interest in Chinese assets and a favorable environment for Hong Kong stock expansion, the market's significant decline presents relatively controllable risks, emphasizing the importance of sector rotation [1] - Guotai Junan International suggested that high-quality dividend sectors remain a stabilizing force in investment portfolios in the short term, while technological innovation is seen as a new driving force for economic growth and stock market increases in the medium to long term [1] Blue Chip Performance - Li Auto (02015) led the blue-chip decline, falling 4.14% to HKD 104.1, with a trading volume of HKD 1.561 billion, impacting the Hang Seng Index by 9.84 points [2] - Meituan's CEO Wang Xing reduced his stake in Li Auto, selling 5.737 million shares for over HKD 600 million, decreasing his holding from 20.94% to 20.61% [2] - Other notable blue-chip movements included China Hongqiao (01378) rising 3.39% and contributing 2.44 points to the index, while Alibaba Health (00241) fell 3.18%, impacting the index by 1.53 points [2] Sector Performance - Large technology stocks generally declined, with Alibaba down 2.26% and Tencent down 1.07% [3] - The pharmaceutical sector saw gains, with notable increases in stocks like Ascentage Pharma-B (06855) up 12.04% and Kintor Pharmaceutical-B (02171) up 11.47% [5][6] - Oil and gas stocks surged due to rising oil prices driven by Middle Eastern tensions, with Jixing New Energy (03395) skyrocketing 343.18% [3][4] - Gold stocks also saw afternoon gains, with Tongguan Gold (00340) up 7.47% as geopolitical tensions continued to influence market sentiment [4] Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector continued to face pressure, with companies like R&F Properties (02777) down 4.17% and Xincheng Development (01030) down 5.83% [6][7] - National statistics indicated a 10.7% year-on-year decline in real estate development investment for the first five months of 2025, with new housing sales also down [7] - Guosen Securities highlighted the ongoing weakness in real estate fundamentals, suggesting that future policy measures could provide opportunities for speculation in real estate stocks [7] Notable Stock Movements - Beijing Construction (00925) surged 220% after announcing a privatization offer at a premium of 250% [8] - Lehua Entertainment (02306) rose 16.42% due to market recognition of its new product WAKUKU [9] - SF Express (09699) reached a new high, increasing 4.59% after revising its delivery service agreements to reflect higher demand [10] - Perfect Medical (01830) issued a profit warning, with expected earnings down 33.5% to 35.1% year-on-year due to weak consumer confidence [11]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current trends in the A-share and Hong Kong stock markets, highlighting a shift towards a dividend-focused market as opposed to a financing-driven one, with significant growth in dividend payouts and a decrease in new stock issuances. Market Performance - The overall market is experiencing an upward trend, with the closing rating at 5 stars, close to 4.9 stars [1] - All market caps (large, mid, and small) are rising, with small-cap stocks showing greater elasticity [2] - Growth styles are generally on the rise [3] - Technology and healthcare sectors are leading the gains, particularly innovative pharmaceuticals [4] - The Hong Kong stock market is also seeing overall increases, with technology stocks leading the charge [5] Earnings Recovery - In Q1 of this year, both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks have shown a recovery in earnings growth [6] - Notably, technology and healthcare stocks have experienced significant year-on-year earnings growth, becoming leading sectors post-Spring Festival [7] - Other sectors are expected to enter a phase of earnings recovery as well [8] Tariff Impact - The recent market rise is partially attributed to tariff-related developments, particularly the U.S. federal court's organization of Trump's tariff policy effective April 2 [9] - The increase in tariffs was a major factor leading to a global stock market decline in early April, and the obstruction of these tariffs is beneficial for the global stock market [10] - Recently, the global stock market has largely recovered from the declines experienced in early April [11] - However, Trump remains an unstable factor, with potential for further policy changes [12] Dividend Market Transition - A significant change in A-shares over recent years is the encouragement for listed companies to increase their dividend payout ratios [13] - The dividend payout ratio indicates the percentage of profits distributed as dividends [14] - Historically, A-shares distributed 30-40% of profits as dividends, which has increased to 40-50% in recent years [16][17] - The total dividend payout for A-shares in 2024 is projected to reach a historical high of approximately 2.4 trillion [18] - The frequency of dividends has also increased, with more companies distributing dividends twice a year and some experimenting with quarterly dividends [19] Financing Trends - In previous years, A-shares experienced a surge in new stock issuances, but this has significantly decreased following regulatory changes [20] - The total financing from new IPOs in A-shares for 2024 is expected to be only 67.3 billion [21] - Including convertible bonds and additional financing, the total financing amount is around 288 billion [22] - The opportunities for new stock and bond issuances have diminished considerably in recent years [23] - A-shares have transitioned into a standard dividend market, with total dividends far exceeding total financing [24] Future Projections - For 2025, the dividend payout ratio is expected to continue increasing, with total dividends projected to grow further [25] - New stock issuance is anticipated to remain low in 2025 [26] - The issuance of REITs has increased compared to previous years, but REITs are also high-dividend products, suggesting that over time, REITs will also see dividends surpass financing amounts [27] - It is expected that 2025 will maintain the trend of total dividends exceeding total financing [28] - This shift represents a positive long-term direction for A-shares, moving from a financing market to a dividend market [29] Fund Dividend Trends - The increase in stock dividends has also led to a rise in fund dividends [33] - In previous years, there was debate over whether funds should distribute dividends, but this controversy has diminished [34] - The number and scale of regularly distributing funds have grown significantly, reflecting high investor demand for such funds [36] - From early 2025 to mid-May 2025, the total amount of fund dividends has increased by 40% compared to 2024 [39] - Bond funds and dividend equity funds are the primary contributors to this increase in dividends [40] Valuation Tables - The article includes valuation tables for dividend indices and funds for reference [42] - These tables provide insights into earnings yield, price-to-earnings ratio, and other financial metrics for various indices and funds [42]