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申万宏源证券晨会报告-20260114
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-01-14 00:45
| 指数 | 收盘 | | 涨跌(%) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | (点) | 1 日 | 5 日 | 1 月 | | 上证指数 | 4139 | -0.64 | 6.41 | 1.35 | | 深证综指 | 2676 | -1.42 | 8.19 | 2.23 | | 风格指数 (%) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 大盘指数 | -0.67 | 3.31 | 18.67 | | 中盘指数 | -1.16 | 11.37 | 33.83 | | 小盘指数 | -1.84 | 12.18 | 30.49 | | 涨幅居前 行业(%) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 医疗服务Ⅱ | 4.31 | 18.07 | 27.38 | | 油服工程 | 3.09 | 10.35 | 11.46 | | 贵金属 | 2.93 | 14.92 | 50.4 | | 电网设备 | 2.59 | 10.08 | 47.67 ...
“资金洞察”系列报告(三):居民跑步入市了吗?
Western Securities· 2025-08-14 04:35
Group 1 - High-net-worth investors are actively entering the market, with significant inflows from private equity, leveraged funds, and speculative trading [1][11][14] - Private equity has seen a notable increase in institutional account openings, while individual account growth remains limited [14] - Leveraged funds have averaged daily inflows of 5.5 billion since July, with the current financing balance exceeding 2 trillion, a record high since 2015 [14][16] - Speculative trading has become active, with net inflows ranking just below the levels seen in 2015 [14][16] Group 2 - Resident funds have not significantly entered the market through public funds, with limited expansion in actively managed equity fund issuance and net subscriptions [2][18] - The issuance of actively managed equity funds remains at historical lows since the market shift in September 2022 [18] - Passive index funds are experiencing outflows, contrasting with the previous market conditions where funds flowed into equity ETFs [19][21] Group 3 - Retail investor participation is low, with current engagement levels not matching those of previous bull markets [3][27] - Retail fund inflows are limited, significantly weaker than the previous market conditions in September 2022 and February 2023 [27] - Recent data indicates a marginal decline in the balance of bank-to-securities transfers, suggesting that retail investors have not significantly entered the market [27][28] Group 4 - There is a growing trend of residents seeking higher returns through bank wealth management products due to excess savings and declining deposit rates [4][12][33] - The one-year fixed deposit rate has fallen below 1%, and the yield on popular wealth management products is only 1.05%, prompting a shift towards wealth management and fixed-income funds [4][33][34] - The combination of abundant funds and a scarcity of attractive assets is expected to accelerate the flow of resident funds into wealth management products, indirectly entering the equity market [4][12][34] Group 5 - Recent data shows a net outflow of 8.591 billion from foreign investments, particularly in financial, non-essential consumer goods, and industrial sectors [37][38] - Speculative trading saw a net inflow of 4.831 billion, primarily into the pharmaceutical, electronics, and machinery sectors [43][46] - Leveraged funds recorded a net inflow of 31.563 billion, focusing on electronics, machinery, and pharmaceuticals [48][53]