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《特殊商品》日报-20250616
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 03:12
Group 1: Natural Rubber Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View Under the expectation of increasing supply and weak demand, the subsequent rubber price is expected to remain weak. Hold the short position at 14,000 and pay attention to the raw material supply in each producing area and macro - event disturbances [1][2] Summary by Directory - **Spot Price and Basis**: On June 13, the price of Yunnan state - owned full - latex (SCRWF) in Shanghai was 13,900 yuan/ton, up 0.36% from the previous day. The full - milk basis (switched to the 2509 contract) decreased by 90.57% [1] - **Inter - month Spread**: The 9 - 1 spread increased by 2.91% to - 835 yuan/ton; the 1 - 5 spread decreased by 10.00% to - 50 yuan/ton; the 5 - 9 spread decreased by 2.20% to 890 yuan/ton [1] - **Fundamental Data**: In April, Thailand's production decreased by 29.16% to 105,700 tons; Indonesia's production decreased by 7.26% to 194,100 tons; India's production decreased by 14.34% to 45,400 tons; China's production increased by 42,300 tons to 58,100 tons. The weekly开工率 of semi - steel tires was 77.98%, up 4.12 percentage points; the weekly开工率 of full - steel tires was 61.24%, down 2.23 percentage points. In April, domestic tire production decreased by 5.07% to 102.002 million pieces; tire export volume decreased by 7.87% to 57.39 million pieces; natural rubber import volume decreased by 11.93% to 523,200 tons [1] - **Inventory Change**: The bonded area inventory decreased by 0.80% to 614,584 tons; the natural rubber factory - warehouse futures inventory on the SHFE increased by 59.45% to 34,876 tons [1] Group 2: Glass and Soda Ash Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View - **Soda Ash**: The supply is gradually recovering, the surplus pattern is obvious. Although there is still some profit for soda ash plants, the overall demand has not increased significantly. After the maintenance, inventory accumulation may accelerate. Hold the previous short positions [3] - **Glass**: After entering the summer rainy season in June, the demand will slow down again. The glass industry still faces over - supply pressure. Wait for more cold - repair to be realized for a real turnaround in the market. Adopt a short - term bearish strategy [3] Summary by Directory - **Glass - related Prices and Spreads**: On June 13, the North China quotation was 1,140 yuan/ton, down 0.87%; the 05 basis decreased by 8.70% [3] - **Soda Ash - related Prices and Spreads**: The North China quotation remained unchanged at 1,400 yuan/ton; the 05 basis increased by 4.26% [3] - **Supply Volume**: The soda ash production rate increased by 8.06% to 84.90%; the weekly soda ash output increased by 8.04% to 740,100 tons; the float glass daily melting volume decreased by 0.70% to 155,700 tons; the photovoltaic daily melting volume decreased by 1.00% to 98,990 tons [3] - **Inventory**: The glass factory warehouse increased by 2.84% to 69.685 million weight boxes; the soda ash factory warehouse increased by 3.82% to 1.6863 million tons; the soda ash delivery warehouse decreased by 5.87% to 327,100 tons; the glass factory's soda ash inventory days increased by 15.91% to 21 days [3] - **Real Estate Data**: The year - on - year growth rate of new construction area was - 18.13%, an increase of 2.99 percentage points; the construction area decreased by 7.56% to - 33.33%; the completion area increased by 15.67% to - 11.68%; the sales area increased by 12.13% to - 1.55% [3] Group 3: Industrial Silicon Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View Although the demand has recovered to some extent, the supply is still increasing. In June, industrial silicon still faces a weak fundamental situation of oversupply, and the price is under pressure. However, the recent rebound in coal prices provides some support, and the price may fluctuate at a low level [4] Summary by Directory - **Spot Price and Main Contract Basis**: On June 13, the price of East China oxygen - passing S15530 industrial silicon remained unchanged at 8,150 yuan/ton; the basis increased by 17.80% [4] - **Inter - month Spread**: The 2506 - 2507 spread decreased by 29480.00% to - 7345 yuan/ton; the 2507 - 2508 spread increased by 40.00% [4] - **Fundamental Data (Monthly)**: In May, the national industrial silicon output increased by 2.29% to 307,700 tons; the Xinjiang output decreased by 2.60% to 163,100 tons; the Yunnan output decreased by 25.43% to 10,000 tons; the Sichuan output increased by 109.47% to 23,700 tons; the Inner Mongolia output increased by 4.78% to 46,100 tons; the Ningxia output increased by 17.50% to 23,500 tons; the 97 - silicon output decreased by 60.00% to 4,800 tons; the recycled silicon output increased by 3.12% to 16,500 tons; the organic silicon DMC output increased by 6.48% to 184,000 tons; the polysilicon output increased by 0.73% to 96,100 tons; the recycled aluminum alloy output decreased by 0.66% to 606,000 tons; the industrial silicon export volume in April increased by 1.64% to 60,500 tons [4] - **Inventory Change**: The Xinjiang factory warehouse inventory decreased by 2.15% to 186,700 tons; the Yunnan factory warehouse inventory increased by 2.79% to 25,800 tons; the social inventory decreased by 2.56% to 572,000 tons; the warehouse inventory decreased by 0.77% to 289,600 tons; the non - warehouse inventory decreased by 4.32% to 282,400 tons [4] Group 4: Polysilicon Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View Last week, the polysilicon price was under pressure due to increased supply and falling spot prices. Although the production of polysilicon and silicon wafers has increased this week, the growth rate of polysilicon production is greater, leading to inventory accumulation and price - falling pressure. Hold short positions cautiously and pay attention to the spread structure and polysilicon production. If the polysilicon production increases, it is beneficial for the arbitrage of buying industrial silicon and shorting polysilicon [5] Summary by Directory - **Spot Price and Basis**: On June 13, the average price of N - type re -投料 decreased by 1.39% to 35,500 yuan/ton; the N - type material basis (average price) decreased by 25.26% [5] - **Futures Prices and Inter - month Spreads**: The PS2506 contract price increased by 0.33% to 33,695; the PS2506 - PS2507 spread decreased by 22.38% [5] - **Fundamental Data (Weekly)**: The silicon wafer production increased by 0.46% to 13.1 GW; the polysilicon production increased by 8.18% to 23,800 tons [5] - **Fundamental Data (Monthly)**: In May, the polysilicon production increased by 0.73% to 96,100 tons; the polysilicon import volume in April decreased by 7.10% to 2,900 tons; the polysilicon export volume in April decreased by 10.40% to 2,000 tons; the polysilicon net export volume remained unchanged at - 900 tons; the silicon wafer production in May decreased by 0.50% to 58.06 GW; the silicon wafer import volume in April decreased by 32.03% to 600 tons; the silicon wafer export volume in April increased by 28.29% to 5,900 tons; the silicon wafer net export volume in April increased by 42.57% to 5,300 tons; the silicon wafer demand in May decreased by 8.10% to 60.61 GW [5] - **Inventory Change**: The polysilicon inventory increased by 2.23% to 275,000 tons; the silicon wafer inventory decreased by 3.40% to 19.34 GW [5]
《特殊商品》日报-20250613
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-13 03:10
交产业期规则目报 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年6月13日 色素吉明 Z0021810 寇帝斯 | 品种 | 6月12日 | 6月11日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 云南国富全乱胶(SCRWF):下海 | 13850 | 13750 | 100 | 0.73% | | | 全乳基差 (切换至2509合约) | ટ્ટર | -140 | 405 | 289.29% | 元/吨 | | 泰标混合胶报价 | 13600 | 13850 | -250 | -1.81% | | | 非标价差 | 15 | -40 | રેર | 137.50% | | | 杯胶:国际市场:FOB中间价 | 46.55 | 46.65 | -0.10 | -0.21% | 泰铢/公斤 | | 胶水:国际市场:FOB中间价 | 56.75 | 56.50 | 0.25 | 0.44% | | | 天然橡胶:胶块:西双版纳州 | 12200 | 12200 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 天然橡胶:胶水:西双版纳州 | ...
泰瑞Tederic携三大演示方案亮相土耳其Plast Eurasia Istanbul
Sou Hu Wang· 2025-05-15 06:20
Core Insights - The 34th Plast Eurasia Istanbul exhibition will take place from December 4 to 7, 2024, attracting over 1,400 exhibitors and nearly 70,000 professional visitors, showcasing the latest technologies and solutions in the plastic molding sector [1] Industry Overview - Turkey's plastic industry has an annual production capacity exceeding 10 million tons, with a total output value close to $37 billion, making it a leader in Europe [5] - The Turkish government is supporting green transformation and digital manufacturing, prompting local companies to upgrade injection molding equipment towards smart and low-carbon solutions [6] Company Highlights - Tederic showcased its NEO·T toggle injection molding machine and NEO·E electric injection molding machine, focusing on efficient solutions for the packaging and automotive sectors, receiving widespread attention and high praise [3] - The NEO·T machine features advanced dual-layer linear rail structure, providing stable injection performance with a product quality repeatability of ≤0.5%, suitable for automotive production [8] - The NEO·E machine offers a green injection production environment with a repeatability precision of 0.01 mm and a product quality repeatability of 0.1%, ensuring high compliance rates and dimensional stability [8] - Tederic has established a strong presence in the Turkish market, particularly in the 4,500-ton large injection molding machine sector, gaining a good reputation across multiple industries [13] - Tederic's equipment has excelled in the logistics and packaging sectors, with a strong sales record in large and heavy machines, supported by stable supply capabilities and professional technical support [15]