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假期消费向好 人员流动活跃 资金支持有力——高频数据传递经济平稳开局积极信号
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 23:52
新华财经北京2月27日电 春节假期消费热络,增值税发票、支付交易等数据亮眼;春运客流持续攀升, 铁路、民航发送量屡创新高,人员流动活跃度显著提升;资金面表现稳健,社会融资规模、信贷投放保 持合理增长……近期发布的多项高频数据显示,我国经济回升向好态势持续巩固,发展活力与潜力不断 释放。 消费彰显暖意 春节假期,增值税发票、交易支付等消费数据彰显了我国消费市场的暖意。 华创证券研究所联席所长、固收首席分析师周冠南表示,春节假期出行客流量再创新高。正月初一至初 四,单日客流量同比均超过2025年同期,百度迁徙规模指数同比增长在30%以上。 "截至2026年2月22日,全国跨区域人员流动量显著提升,显示2026年春运强度的提升,主要得益于假日 期间出游需求的有力支撑。"兴业证券研究报告显示。 资金流向持续优化 从最新金融数据来看,市场资金流向持续优化,资金规模与结构呈现出积极向好的发展态势。充裕且稳 定的资金支撑,为实体经济发展注入强劲动能。 国家税务总局增值税发票数据显示,2026年春节假期,全国消费相关行业日均销售收入与上年春节假期 相比增长13.7%。其中,政策赋能"焕新",消费产品凸显智能化绿色化,包括扫地 ...
假期消费向好人员流动活跃 高频数据传递经济平稳开局积极信号
春节假期消费热络,增值税发票、支付交易等数据亮眼;春运客流持续攀升,铁路、民航发送量屡创新 高,人员流动活跃度显著提升;资金面表现稳健,社会融资规模、信贷投放保持合理增长……近期发布 的多项高频数据显示,我国经济回升向好态势持续巩固,发展活力与潜力不断释放。 消费彰显暖意 春节假期,增值税发票、交易支付等消费数据彰显了我国消费市场的暖意。 国家税务总局增值税发票数据显示,2026年春节假期,全国消费相关行业日均销售收入与上年春节假期 相比增长13.7%。其中,政策赋能"焕新",消费产品凸显智能化绿色化,包括扫地机器人、投屏电视等 在内的日用家电销售收入增长19%,春节假期机动车充电销售收入大幅增长163.9%。文旅市场火热,旅 游相关服务销售收入增长39.6%,其中海南景区服务销售收入增长70.9%,数字文化服务、艺术表演场 馆销售收入分别增长38.8%、136.6%。 来自多个端口的交易数据也是春节消费暖意的有力证明。人民银行2月24日发布的数据显示,2026年春 节假期(2026年2月15日至2月23日),银联、网联共处理交易393.02亿笔,金额13.12万亿元,日均交易笔 数和金额分别较2025年春节 ...
超50亿人次流动背后的春运之变
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 16:32
(来源:北京商报) 多项数据创纪录 2月2日起至今,为期40天的2026年春运已经过半。数据显示,春运前20天,预计全社会跨区域人员流动 量达50.8亿人次,日均2.5亿人次,创下历史同期新高。 今年春节假期作为史上"最长春节假期"(2月15日—23日),从2月19日(正月初三)开始,已经连续三 日客流规模超过历史同期单日峰值。 北京商报记者统计公开数据发现,9天春节假期,有三分之二的天数(2月18日—23日),当日全社会跨 区域人员流动量都超过了3亿人次。 交通运输部测算,2026年春节假期,全社会跨区域人员流动量预计超28亿人次。据悉,2025年春节假期 (2025年1月28日至2月4日),全社会跨区域人员流动量超23亿人次。 来自综合运输春运工作专班的数据显示,春节假期期间,2月22日全社会跨区域人员流动量最高,达到 3.8亿人次,同比增长12.3%。其中,铁路客运量1827.7万人次,同比增长11.1%;公路人员流动量(包 括高速公路及普通国省道非营业性小客车人员出行量、公路营业性客运量)35776万人次,同比增长 12.3%;民航客运量264.4万人次,同比增长6.8%。 科方得咨询机构负责人张新原 ...
20天超50亿人次,2026年春运全社会跨区域人员流动量创新高
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-02-23 11:39
多项数据创纪录 2月23日,"史上最长春节假期"步入尾声,与此同时,2026年春运历经23天日夜奔赴,创下了前20天全社会跨区域人员流动量超50亿人次的历史纪录。在业 内人士看来,2026年春运多项数据创纪录,本质是经济回暖、交通完善、出行需求集中释放的结果。在城镇化深入推进、家庭结构小型化、团圆观念现代化 共同作用下,"反向春运"持续走热。随着交通系统科技化、个性化发展,"流动中国"已从传统春节刚性迁徙,升级为双向、多元、常态化的活力流动,成为 城乡融合、要素互通的重要载体。 交通运输部测算,2026年春节假期,全社会跨区域人员流动量预计超28亿人次。据悉,2025年春节假期(2025年1月28日至2月4日),全社会跨区域人员流 动量超23亿人次。 来自综合运输春运工作专班的数据显示,春节假期期间,2月22日全社会跨区域人员流动量最高,达到3.8亿人次,同比增长12.3%。其中,铁路客运量 1827.7万人次,同比增长11.1%;公路人员流动量(包括高速公路及普通国省道非营业性小客车人员出行量、公路营业性客运量)35776万人次,同比增长 12.3%;民航客运量264.4万人次,同比增长6.8%。 科方得咨 ...
交通运输部:2月22日全社会跨区域人员流动量38035.2万人次 环比增长5.8%
智通财经网· 2026-02-23 08:08
Core Insights - The overall inter-regional mobility of people reached 38,035.2 million trips on February 22, 2026, marking a month-on-month increase of 5.8% and a year-on-year increase of 12.3% compared to the same day in 2025 [1] Transportation Modes Summary - Railway passenger volume was 18.27 million trips, with a month-on-month increase of 6.3% and a year-on-year increase of 11.1% compared to 2025 [1] - Road mobility, including both commercial and non-commercial passenger trips, totaled 35,776 million trips, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 5.8% and a year-on-year increase of 12.3% compared to 2025 [1] - Commercial road passenger volume was 33.35 million trips, with a month-on-month increase of 8% and a year-on-year increase of 1.4% [1] - Non-commercial passenger trips on highways and regular national and provincial roads reached 32,441 million trips, with a month-on-month increase of 5.6% and a year-on-year increase of 13.5% [1] - Waterway passenger volume was 1.672 million trips, showing a month-on-month decrease of 8% but a year-on-year increase of 36.1% compared to 2025 [1] - Civil aviation passenger volume reached 2.644 million trips, with a month-on-month increase of 1.4% and a year-on-year increase of 6.8% compared to 2025 [1]
债市基本面点评报告:最长的假期,最热的出行
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2026-02-23 07:55
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report This year's Spring Festival holiday had unique advantages, including the longest duration in history and a consumption - stimulating activity. It showed excellent performance in multiple dimensions, especially in travel and consumption. The real - estate market showed signs of hitting the bottom, while the film market was dismal. Overseas capital markets had various trends due to factors like Fed's FOMC meeting minutes, geopolitical conflicts, and AI industry development [2][8]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Travel - The Spring Festival travel rush saw a continuous increase in long - distance travel. The total cross - regional passenger flow from February 2nd to 21st this year increased by 5.4% compared to the same period in 2025 and 26.3% compared to 2019, reaching a record high. The number of passengers in various transportation modes increased by about 5% - 6%. The self - driving travel enthusiasm was significantly boosted, with the national population migration scale index from the 15th day of the twelfth lunar month to the fifth day of the first lunar month increasing by 22.2% this year compared to 2025 [3][9][12]. - The difference in growth rates between the data from the Ministry of Transport and Baidu Migration was likely due to statistical methods. The non - operational passenger volume on roads accounted for 81.3% of the total cross - regional passenger flow, indicating that self - driving was the main mode of travel during the Spring Festival [16][17]. Consumption - Retail, catering, and service consumption were active. The average daily sales of key retail and catering enterprises in the first four days of the holiday increased by 8.6% compared to the same period in 2025, higher than the growth rates during the May Day and National Day holidays in 2025. The consumption of domestic tourism on key platforms increased by 4.5% in the first three days of the holiday. The rental car order volume on key platforms increased by 26%, and the north - south cross - region orders increased by 196% [4][19][22]. - The "trade - in" policy continued to release consumer demand. By February 19th, the trade - in of consumer goods benefited 28.88 million people, driving sales of 198.02 billion yuan. Smart devices maintained high growth, and Hainan's duty - free sales increased rapidly [22]. Film Market The film market continued its dismal performance since 2025, hitting a new low in the Spring Festival season in the past 7 years. As of the afternoon of the sixth day of the first lunar month, the cumulative box office of this year's Spring Festival season was 4.91 billion yuan, and it was unlikely to exceed 6 billion yuan. The number of screenings reached a new high, but the number of movie - goers hit a new low, mainly due to the lack of high - quality works [25]. Real - Estate Market The real - estate market showed a weak rebound at the bottom, with first - tier cities having a stronger rebound than second - and third - tier cities. From the first to the fifth day of the first lunar month, the average daily sales volume of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities was 1.04 million square meters, a 24.9% increase compared to the same period last year. The transaction and listing prices of second - hand houses in January also showed signs of stabilization. If the trend in the past 1 - 2 months continues, the real - estate sales may have hit the bottom [5][29]. Overseas Capital Markets - Most overseas bond yields declined. The 10 - year US Treasury yield adjusted upwards due to the hawkish FOMC meeting minutes and tariff policy fluctuations. European bond markets generally strengthened under the expectation of easing. The 10 - year Japanese government bond yield declined by 10.9bp, while the 10 - year Indian government bond yield increased by 4.8bp [6][32]. - The US dollar index strengthened, and the copper - gold ratio fluctuated weakly. Most overseas commodities rose, with oil and coal prices rising by more than 5%. Precious metals and some agricultural products also had varying degrees of increase [35][37]. - European and American stock markets rose collectively, while Asian stock markets were divided. The US stock market rebounded strongly, and European stock markets followed suit. The South Korean stock market hit a record high, while the Hong Kong and Japanese stock markets were weak. The FTSE A50 index rose 0.3% during the holiday [40].
交通运输部:截至2月22日当周国家铁路运输货物6568.7万吨 环比下降10.72%
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 05:24
新华财经北京2月23日电交通运输部发布2月16日—2月22日全国物流保通保畅运行数据: 民航保障航班13.1万班(其中货运航班2169班,包括国际货运航班2015班,国内货运航班154班),环 比下降5.77%; 邮政快递揽收量约8.06亿件,环比下降64.7%;投递量约6.3亿件,环比下降81.07%。 (文章来源:新华财经) 国家铁路运输货物6568.7万吨,环比下降10.72%; 全国高速公路货车通行992.4万辆,环比下降70.59%; 监测港口完成货物吞吐量18760.6万吨,环比下降21.75%,完成集装箱吞吐量559.3万标箱,环比下降 13.61%; ...
2026年春运时间过半 交通出行人数累计超50亿人次
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-02-23 00:17
Core Insights - The Spring Festival travel period for 2026 has reached its halfway point, with a total of 5.08 billion people moving across regions in the first 20 days [1] Transportation Sector Summary - Road transport accounted for the majority of the movement, with 4.755 billion people traveling by road [1] - Rail transport saw a cumulative passenger volume of 258 million, highlighting its importance during the Spring Festival [1] - Waterway transport recorded 1.992 million passengers, while civil aviation carried 47.516 million passengers [1] Railway Operations Summary - The railway sector is actively responding to the peak return travel demand by increasing capacity on popular routes [1] - Measures to ensure passenger safety and comfort are being implemented by local railway departments [1] - As of February 22, 3.25 billion train tickets have been sold for the Spring Festival travel period [1]
春运前20天,全社会跨区域人员流动量累计50.8亿人次
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2026-02-22 03:56
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the significant increase in cross-regional personnel flow during the Spring Festival travel season, with a total of 5.08 billion trips expected in the first 20 days, averaging 250 million trips per day, marking a 5.6% increase compared to the same period in 2025, and setting a historical high for this timeframe [1] - On February 21, the total cross-regional personnel flow is expected to exceed 360 million trips, indicating a rise in return travel [1] - The national railway is projected to send 16.8 million passengers on February 21, with measures such as increasing the frequency of special trains and night high-speed trains to accommodate the surge in travelers [1] Group 2 - The road transport is expected to see a personnel flow of over 33.9 million trips on February 21, reflecting a 12% increase compared to the same period in 2025 [1] - Waterway passenger transport is anticipated to reach 1.81 million trips, which is a 27.6% increase compared to 2025 [1] - Civil aviation passenger volume is expected to be 2.63 million, showing an 8.3% increase compared to 2025 [1]
正月初四中国跨区域人员流动量预计超3.5亿人次
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-20 11:26
Core Insights - The overall inter-regional personnel flow in China is expected to reach 35,209 million trips on February 20, marking a 3.7% increase from the previous day and a 12.0% increase compared to the same period in 2025 [1] - Railway passenger volume is projected at 15 million trips, reflecting a 10.8% increase from the previous day and a 12.1% increase compared to 2025 [1] - Road transport is expected to account for 33,259 million trips, with a 3.4% increase from the previous day and a 12.0% increase compared to 2025 [1] - Waterway passenger volume is anticipated to be 193 million trips, showing a 5.5% increase from the previous day and a significant 31.4% increase compared to 2025 [1] - Civil aviation passenger volume is expected to reach 257 million trips, with a 1.9% increase from the previous day and an 8.0% increase compared to 2025 [1] Summary by Category Railway - Projected railway passenger volume for February 20 is 15 million trips, a 10.8% increase from February 19 and a 12.1% increase compared to 2025 [1] - On February 19, railway passenger volume was 13.54 million trips, reflecting a 25.4% increase from the previous day and a 14.4% increase compared to 2025 [1] Road - Expected road transport volume is 33,259 million trips, with a 3.4% increase from February 19 and a 12.0% increase compared to 2025 [1] - Within road transport, the expected volume for commercial passenger transport is 2,829 million trips, while non-commercial passenger trips on highways and regular national and provincial roads are projected at 30,430 million trips [1] Waterway - Anticipated waterway passenger volume is 193 million trips, a 5.5% increase from February 19 and a 31.4% increase compared to 2025 [1] Civil Aviation - Expected civil aviation passenger volume is 257 million trips, reflecting a 1.9% increase from February 19 and an 8.0% increase compared to 2025 [1]