中金研究 展望2026年，我们判断机械行业中科技创新板块仍具备显著投资机会；其次，出口端虽面临不确定性，但随着国际化进程推进，叠加美联储降息落地 等，我们认为外需存结构性机遇；内需层面，下游短期难见大范围产能扩张，但随着产能出清和通用企业向成长行业转型，股价有望反弹。 点击小程序查看报告原文 Abstract AI基建：高景气资本开支和高频技术迭代带来机械发展新机遇。 1）海外算力资本开支超预期，行业扩产带动PCB设备和AIDC设备需求持续高增，全球 供给紧张，钻孔设备、柴油发动机、燃气轮机等有望迎来国产替代机会。2）AI算力升级催生设备及耗材新需求，下一代芯片Rubin在PCB、散热等架构上 创新，提高了PCB耗材和冷板、快接头等结构件的加工要求，并带动微通道液冷等新技术方案，设备及耗材价值量有望进一步提升。 人形机器人：2026年 产业 进度加速，关注头部扩产。 国产企业如宇树、智元等公司有望陆续上市，国产人形机器人性能快速迭代，应用场景合作生态加 速打开。重视软硬件技术发展，关注汽车、消费电子零部件跨界切入。 专用设备：关注景气拐点和技术变革的子赛道。 供给出清+技术创新趋势，看好：1）存在技术变革或技 ...

Core Viewpoint - The mechanical industry is expected to have significant investment opportunities in the technology innovation sector by 2026, with structural opportunities arising from both domestic demand recovery and high export demand [2][5]. Group 1: Technology Innovation and AI Infrastructure - The AI infrastructure is expected to benefit from high capital expenditure and rapid technological iterations, leading to new opportunities in the mechanical sector. Overseas capital expenditure for computing power is exceeding expectations, driving demand for PCB equipment and AIDC [2][5]. - The next generation of chips, such as Rubin, may increase processing requirements for PCB, cold plates, and quick connectors, while also promoting new technologies like micro-channel liquid cooling, enhancing the value of equipment and consumables [2][5]. Group 2: Humanoid Robots - The humanoid robot industry is anticipated to accelerate by 2026, with a focus on leading companies expanding production. The period from 2022 to 2025 is seen as a transition from prototype to small-scale engineering, with 2026 potentially marking the year of mass production for Tesla [7]. - Attention should be given to the performance upgrades of domestic humanoid robots and the rapid development of application scenarios [7]. Group 3: Export Chain - The export chain should focus on sectors with global competitiveness, such as engineering machinery, hardware tools, motorcycles, and oil service equipment, which are expected to benefit from internationalization and reforms [3][12]. - The engineering machinery sector is seeing significant growth in exports, particularly in the U.S. due to the recent interest rate cuts, which are likely to boost demand [11]. Group 4: Specialized Equipment - Specialized equipment sectors are expected to experience turning points and technological changes, with a focus on areas like solid-state batteries and nuclear fusion, as well as segments like 3C equipment and coal machinery that are showing signs of recovery [3][15]. - The lithium battery equipment sector is projected to see a growth spurt, with domestic capital expenditure expected to maintain a growth rate of around 20% [16]. Group 5: General Cyclical Opportunities - The general cyclical sector is expected to see a bottoming out, with structural opportunities emerging in areas like machine tools, injection molding machines, and industrial gases, as demand recovers [13][14]. - The demand for industrial gases is expected to improve, although there may still be pressure on gas prices [14]. Group 6: 3C Automation Equipment - The 3C automation equipment sector is anticipated to enter a hardware innovation phase in 2026, driven by new product trends such as foldable screens and AI glasses [17].

Core Viewpoint - Zhongchuang Zhiling (00564) experienced a stock price increase of over 6% following the release of its semi-annual report for 2025, indicating positive market reception to its financial performance [1] Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 19.97 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.42% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.515 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year growth of 16.36% [1] - Basic earnings per share stood at 1.427 RMB [1] Market Conditions - The domestic coal market in the first half of 2025 exhibited a relaxed supply-demand situation, with coal prices experiencing a downward trend [1] - There was increased pressure on the coal machinery equipment market due to declining demand [1] Strategic Initiatives - In response to the challenging market conditions, the company focused on user demand, innovation, and differentiation in technology, products, and services to enhance market competitiveness [1] - The company accelerated its international expansion efforts, achieving significant recognition in major coal-producing countries [1] Coal Machinery Segment - The coal machinery segment generated a revenue of 10.149 billion RMB, with stable profit growth year-on-year, continuing to serve as a stabilizing force for the group [1] - The order volume from overseas markets reached 775 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 137%, indicating a trend of high-quality development [1]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongchuang Zhiling (601717) reported a revenue increase of 5.42% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, despite challenges in the coal machinery market due to price declines and increased competition [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 19.97 billion RMB for the first half of 2025 [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 2.515 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.36% [1] - Basic earnings per share were reported at 1.427 RMB [1] Market Conditions - The domestic coal market experienced a loose supply-demand situation, leading to a downward trend in coal prices [1] - The coal machinery equipment market faced increased pressure on demand [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on innovation and differentiation in technology, products, and services to enhance market competitiveness [1] - There is an accelerated effort to expand into overseas markets, with significant recognition achieved in major coal-producing countries [1] Segment Performance - The coal machinery segment generated revenue of 10.149 billion RMB, with stable profit growth [1] - The overseas market order volume reached 775 million RMB, marking a year-on-year increase of 137% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongchuang Zhiling (601717) reported a revenue of 19.97 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.42%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.515 billion RMB, up 16.36% year-on-year, indicating resilience in a challenging coal market [1][1][1] Company Performance - The coal machinery segment achieved a revenue of 10.149 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, with profits showing stable year-on-year growth, continuing to serve as a stabilizing force for the group [1][1] - Basic earnings per share were reported at 1.427 RMB, showcasing the company's profitability amidst market challenges [1][1] Market Conditions - The domestic coal market in the first half of 2025 experienced a loose supply-demand situation, with coal prices showing a downward trend and increased pressure on the demand for coal machinery [1][1] - Despite the downturn in the coal market and intensified competition, the company is focusing on innovation and differentiation in technology, products, and services to enhance market competitiveness [1][1] International Expansion - The company is accelerating its international expansion efforts, achieving an overseas order volume of 0.775 billion RMB, which represents a significant year-on-year increase of 137%, indicating a strong recognition in major coal-producing countries [1][1]