Company Recommendation - BYD Electronics (0285) is recommended for purchase with a target price of HKD 38.50, indicating a potential upside of 16.7% from the current price of HKD 33.95 [2][10] - The catalysts for growth include the lifting of the EDA ban in the US and the completion of the US-Vietnam trade agreement, which is expected to ease concerns regarding upstream supply chain pricing and gross margin pressures [2][10] - The company is diversifying into AI servers, liquid cooling, and Autonomous Mobile Robots (AMR), with a strong partnership with NVIDIA, which is anticipated to drive new growth momentum [2][10] Valuation - The current price corresponds to a forecasted P/E ratio of 13.2x for FY25E and 11.2x for FY26E, with FY26E valuation being 29% lower than the 5-year average [2][10] - The expected revenue and net profit compound annual growth rates for FY24-FY27E are 11.6% and 22.4%, respectively [2][10] Market Review - The Hang Seng Index is facing resistance at 24,700 points, influenced by US-China trade negotiations and limited progress in economic stimulus from mainland China [2][4] - The market is experiencing a slowdown in capital inflow from Northbound trading, with corporate earnings showing limited improvement [2][4] Industry Insights - The automotive sector in China is showing resilience, with a 22.2% year-on-year increase in vehicle exports in June, and production and sales also reflecting positive growth [11] - The construction and real estate sectors are seeing increased land sale revenues, particularly in first and second-tier cities, with a 40% increase in land sale amounts [11] - The gaming industry in Macau is expected to benefit from strong summer season revenues, with June's gaming income exceeding expectations [5]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is facing resistance at 24,700 points, with a projected P/E ratio of 11 times over the next 12 months [2] - The recent US-China trade talks have led to a reduction in tariffs, with US tariffs on Chinese imports dropping from 145% to 30%, and Chinese tariffs on US imports decreasing from 125% to 10% [2] - The inflow of capital from mainland investors has slowed, and corporate earnings improvements are limited [2] Economic Indicators - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has mandated that cash transactions over 100,000 RMB for gold and diamonds must be reported starting August [4] - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has completed the allocation of 800 billion RMB for construction projects this year [4] - Hong Kong's retail sales rose by 2.4% in May, ending a 14-month decline [4][10] Corporate News - Luxshare Precision is planning to raise 1 billion USD through an H-share listing in Hong Kong [5][11] - Alibaba repurchased approximately 56 million shares for 805 million USD in the last quarter [11] - Xiaomi is prioritizing domestic delivery issues for its new car model YU7, with plans to expand production [11] - Geely is set to launch its brand of cars in the UK, starting with the electric SUV EX5 [11] IPO Market - PwC forecasts that Hong Kong's IPO fundraising will exceed 200 billion RMB this year, potentially making it the top global market [9] - The first half of the year saw Hong Kong's IPO market raise 107.1 billion RMB, a sevenfold increase from the previous year [9] Sector Focus - The biotech sector is expected to benefit from new government measures supporting high-quality development [8] - Macau's gaming revenue in June increased by 19% year-on-year, surpassing expectations [8] - The textile sector anticipates improved orders following Nike's performance [8] Banking Sector - KPMG reported that Hong Kong's banking sector showed resilient growth, with total assets increasing by 4.5% to 24 trillion RMB [10] - The non-performing loan ratio rose from 1.65% to 2.15%, primarily due to challenges in the commercial real estate sector [10]