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“永久裁员”时代来临,这个行业受冲击最严重
财富FORTUNE· 2025-12-13 13:07
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing trend of "rolling layoffs" in the U.S. job market, highlighting the shift from large-scale layoffs to more frequent, smaller layoffs, which has created a pervasive sense of anxiety among white-collar workers [1][5][15]. Group 1: Layoff Trends - As of November 2025, U.S. companies have announced layoffs affecting 1.1 million workers, marking the sixth time this level has been surpassed since 1993 [1][3]. - The technology sector has been the hardest hit, with over 150,000 layoffs in 2025, while other industries like telecommunications, food, retail, and media have also experienced significant layoffs, some with year-on-year increases exceeding 100% [3][5]. - The cumulative layoffs for the first 11 months of 2025 reached 1.1708 million, a 54% increase compared to the same period in 2024, with November alone seeing 71,300 layoffs, the highest for that month since 2022 [3][4]. Group 2: Economic Signals - The current economic landscape presents contradictory signals, with a "rolling recession" followed by a potential "rolling recovery" starting in April 2025, according to Morgan Stanley analysts [5]. - However, analysts from Goldman Sachs and Bank of America argue that the recovery is primarily financial, with stock prices and profits rising while demand for white-collar jobs continues to decline [5][15]. - The phenomenon of "K-shaped economy" is evident, where the wealthiest 10% contribute nearly half of consumer spending, while lower-income individuals face increasing financial strain [5][15]. Group 3: Employment Market Dynamics - The shift to "permanent layoffs" has seen small-scale layoffs (affecting fewer than 50 employees) rise to over half of all layoffs in 2025, compared to less than half in the mid-2010s [6][8]. - This new model allows companies to adjust workforce sizes continuously without the reputational damage associated with large-scale layoffs, but it leads to chronic internal issues such as increased workloads and diminished job security [6][8]. - Job seekers' bargaining power has decreased, with the "job rejection rate" declining for two consecutive years, forcing many to accept less desirable positions [9][12]. Group 4: Structural Challenges - Recruitment demand has also weakened, with companies planning to hire only 497,200 workers in the first 11 months of 2025, a 35% drop from the previous year, marking the lowest level since 2010 [12]. - The labor market exhibits a "K-shaped structure," where large companies are expanding due to cash flow advantages while small businesses are contracting under cost pressures [12][15]. - The impact of artificial intelligence on job cuts is significant, with over 70,000 positions attributed to AI since 2023, prompting a reevaluation of automation risks and transformation paths in various industries [14][15].
贵州省又有67家非营利组织免税
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-27 17:37
Core Viewpoint - Recently, 27 non-profit organizations, including the Guizhou Provincial Guarantee Industry Association, have been granted tax-exempt status, effective for five years from the year of recognition [1] Group 1: Tax Exemption Qualification - A total of 67 non-profit organizations have been newly recognized for tax-exempt status in Guizhou this year through joint reviews by provincial, municipal, and county financial and tax departments [3] - The tax exemption applies to five categories of income for non-profit organizations, including donations from other units or individuals, government subsidies (excluding those from government service purchases), membership fees as per regulations, interest income from non-taxable and tax-exempt income, and other income as specified by the Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation [3] Group 2: Impact on Charitable Activities - Since 2024, 256 eligible non-profit organizations in Guizhou have collectively received a corporate income tax reduction of 310 million yuan, effectively encouraging social participation in charitable activities and creating a favorable tax environment for the development of charity in the province [3]
7月美国企业裁员超6.2万人:科技业首当其冲,普遍归因于AI、关税
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 08:26
Core Insights - The article highlights a significant increase in layoffs in the U.S. during July, particularly in the technology sector, which has exceeded the average levels seen since the pandemic began [1][3] Group 1: Layoff Statistics - In July, U.S. companies announced layoffs totaling 62,075 employees, a substantial increase from 25,900 employees in the same month last year [1] - This figure represents the second-highest total for July in the past decade, only surpassed by the peak during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 [1] Group 2: Reasons for Layoffs - Companies attribute the layoffs primarily to pressures from artificial intelligence advancements and tariffs [3] - Economic uncertainty has negatively impacted the retail sector, leading some businesses to close stores and reduce their workforce [3] Group 3: Sector-Specific Layoffs - Major technology firms have recently announced significant layoffs, with Intel planning to cut 15% of its workforce and Microsoft initiating its second round of layoffs this year, affecting 9,000 employees [3] - The automotive industry has also seen an increase in layoffs, primarily due to tariff-related pressures [3] - Non-profit and healthcare sectors, which rely on government contracts, have experienced rising layoffs due to federal budget cuts [3]
天津:关于公布2025年获得非营利组织免税资格单位名单(第一批)的通知津财税政〔2025〕19号
蓝色柳林财税室· 2025-07-27 08:03
Core Viewpoint - The article announces the first batch of non-profit organizations in Tianjin that have been granted tax-exempt status for 2025, detailing the organizations and their effective dates for tax exemption [1][3][4]. Summary by Sections Tax-Exempt Organizations - A total of 22 organizations have been recognized for tax-exempt status, including the Tianjin TEDA Education Development Foundation and others [1]. - Ten organizations will have their tax-exempt status effective from 2024, while twelve organizations will have it effective from 2025 [1][3]. Tax Exemption Regulations - Non-profit organizations can receive tax-exempt income from various sources, including donations, government subsidies (excluding those from government service purchases), membership fees as per regulations, and interest from non-taxable income [1]. List of Organizations - **Effective from 2024**: 1. Tianjin TEDA Education Development Foundation 2. Tianjin Zhejiang Zhoushan Chamber of Commerce 3. Tianjin Express Association 4. Tianjin Electronics Industry Association 5. Tianjin Commercial Factoring Association 6. Tianjin Industrial Economic Federation 7. Tianjin Hainan Chamber of Commerce 8. Tianjin International Exchange Promotion Association of Civil Organizations 9. Tianjin Yellow River Regional Economic Development Cooperation Promotion Association 10. Tianjin Engineering Management Society [3][4]. - **Effective from 2025**: 1. Tianjin Zhao Yicheng Medical Science Foundation 2. Tianjin Urban Construction University Education Development Foundation 3. Tianjin Ruipu Biological Public Welfare Foundation 4. Tianjin Foreign Languages University Education Development Foundation 5. Tianjin Yizhong Medical Career Development Foundation 6. Tianjin Women and Children Development Foundation 7. Tianjin Tianyi Disabled Public Service Center 8. Tianjin Health Logistics Management Association 9. Tianjin Jilin Chamber of Commerce 10. Tianjin Forestry Society 11. Tianjin Wenzhou Chamber of Commerce 12. Tianjin Agarwood Art Museum [3][4].
美国6月ADP数据爆冷,DOGE的锅?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-03 07:37
Group 1 - The ADP data for June shows a surprising decrease in private sector employment by 33,000 jobs, marking the first negative reading in over two years, contrary to economists' expectations of a 100,000 job increase [1] - The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is expected to cut 288,628 federal government positions within the year, contributing to a slowdown in the labor market at a critical time [1] - Job vacancies in government sectors have decreased by 5% from January to April, while the application rate remains stagnant at 2014 levels, indicating a challenging environment for job seekers [3] Group 2 - There has been a 150% increase in job applications from government employees, particularly in data analysis, marketing, and software development roles, as they seek new opportunities amid fears of layoffs [3] - The search volume for positions such as "policy analyst" and "contract specialist" has surged, with a tenfold increase in searches for "policy analyst" roles among federal employees [3] - The labor market is expected to show complex dynamics, with a total of over 2.47 million layoffs in the second quarter, the highest since the second quarter of 2020, despite a 49% decrease in layoffs from May to June [5] Group 3 - The upcoming non-farm payroll report is anticipated to show only 115,000 new jobs added in June, which would represent the slowest job growth in the first half of the year since the financial crisis, with an expected slight increase in the unemployment rate to 4.3% [4] - The demand for white-collar jobs is significantly higher than for skilled labor jobs, posing a challenge for job seekers entering the labor market [6] - The tech sector is facing hiring difficulties due to sustained high interest rates, which hinder the growth of debt-dependent tech companies, particularly startups, leading to a reduction in hiring [6]