Core Insights - Genuine Parts and S&P Global are highlighted as potential investment opportunities due to their current undervaluation and strong dividend histories, despite recent market challenges [1] Genuine Parts (GPC) - Genuine Parts plans to split into two independent companies by Q1 2027, which is expected to unlock value and enhance long-term performance [1] - The stock is down approximately 4% year-to-date, with a consensus price target of $145.67 per share, indicating a potential upside of about 23% from its recent close near $118 [1] - Following a Q4 earnings miss, where adjusted EPS was $1.55 against estimates of $1.82, the stock dropped roughly 15% [1] - The company forecasts adjusted EPS of $7.50 to $8.00 for 2026, with expected sales growth of 3% to 5.5% [1] - Genuine Parts has maintained a 5% compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) in dividends over the past decade, indicating reliability as an income stock [1] S&P Global (SPGI) - S&P Global shares have declined about 20% year-to-date, with a consensus price target of $566 per share suggesting a potential upside of roughly 35% from its close near $417 [1] - The decline is attributed to fears of AI disruption in the software-as-a-service sector, impacting the company's earnings guidance for 2026 [1] - Despite these concerns, S&P Global's competitive advantages in credit ratings and major indices provide a strong foundation for resilience [1] - Analysts project a 12% CAGR for EPS over the next five years, alongside an 11% dividend CAGR over the last decade, indicating potential for recovery [1]

Moody’s Corporation (NYSE:MCO) is included among the 14 Best Warren Buffett Dividend Stocks to Buy. BMO Capital Cuts Moody’s (MCO) Target as Sector Valuations Compress Photo by Vitaly Taranov on Unsplash On February 9, BMO Capital lowered its price recommendation on Moody’s Corporation (NYSE:MCO) to $480 from $561. It reiterated a Market Perform rating on the stock. The analyst noted that the company delivered stronger-than-expected results, supported by solid debt issuance activity. Even so, the firm r ...

In Moody’s Investors Service (MIS), Fauber said issuance and investment cycles “came together very powerfully” in the fourth quarter, producing the busiest fourth quarter in the company’s history and contributing to record annual revenue. He said Moody’s rated $6.6 trillion of debt in 2025, an all-time high, supporting investment spanning infrastructure, AI-driven data centers, energy transition finance, and private credit.Adjusted diluted earnings per share reached $14.94, up 20% from the prior year, which ...

Moody’s Corporation (NYSE:MCO) shares climbed Wednesday after the ratings and analytics firm delivered a strong quarter, driven by broad-based momentum across its business lines.Investors also focused on management’s upbeat outlook, as demand for decision-support tools and credit-market services held firm.Quarterly MetricsThe company reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $3.64, beating the analyst consensus estimate of $3.42. Quarterly sales of $1.889 billion (up 13% from the prior-year per ...

Achieved record 2025 results driven by the 'busiest fourth quarter' in company history, fueled by massive funding needs in infrastructure, AI data centers, and private credit. Transitioning from standalone software to 'decision-grade contextual intelligence' embedded directly into customer workflows, third-party systems, and AI-enabled interfaces. Private credit revenue surged 60% in 2025, supported by new methodologies and a leadership position in transparent, independent credit assessments for the s ...

Core Insights - Moody's reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $3.64 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.46, with a year-over-year growth of 39% [1][8] - The company's revenues improved significantly, driven by strong demand for analytics and robust performance in the Moody's Investors Service segment [1][5] - Moody's liquidity position remained strong, although a modest increase in operating expenses presented a challenge [1] Financial Performance - Net income attributable to Moody's was $610 million or $3.41 per share, up from $395 million or $2.17 per share in the prior-year quarter [2] - For 2025, adjusted earnings per share reached $14.94, a 20% increase, surpassing the consensus estimate of $14.78 [2] - Quarterly revenues were $1.89 billion, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.88 billion, with a year-over-year increase of 13% [3] - Total expenses rose to $1.12 billion, an increase of almost 1% year over year [3] Segment Performance - Moody's Investors Service revenues increased by 17% year over year to $946 million, driven by strong performance across various finance categories [5] - Moody's Analytics revenues rose by 9% year over year to $943 million, supported by growth in Decision Solutions, Research and Insights, and Data & Information [5] Balance Sheet and Share Repurchase - As of December 31, 2025, Moody's had total cash and short-term investments of $2.45 billion, down from $2.97 billion a year earlier [6] - The company had $7 billion in outstanding debt and $1.25 billion in additional borrowing capacity [6] - In the quarter, Moody's repurchased 0.9 million shares at an average price of $485.55, with $4 billion of share repurchase authorization still available [7][9] 2026 Guidance - Moody's expects adjusted earnings in the range of $16.40-$17.00 per share and GAAP earnings between $15.00-$15.60 per share for 2026 [10] - Revenue growth is projected to be in the high-single-digit percent range, with operating expenses expected to increase in the mid-single-digit range [10]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Moody's total revenue for 2025 exceeded $7.7 billion, representing a 9% year-over-year increase [5][6] - Adjusted diluted EPS reached a record $14.94, up 20% year-over-year, indicating a 70% earnings growth over the past three years [7] - Adjusted operating margin expanded to 51.1%, an increase of 300 basis points [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ratings revenue grew by 9%, with $6.6 trillion of debt rated in 2025, marking an all-time high [8] - Private credit revenue in MIS grew by nearly 60% in 2025, reflecting strong demand [9] - Moody's Analytics revenue grew by 9%, with an adjusted operating margin improvement of 240 basis points to 33.1% [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The fourth quarter of 2025 was the busiest in Moody's history, with significant issuance from major companies related to AI investments [8] - KYC solutions experienced 15% ARR growth, driven by deeper penetration with existing banking customers and expansion into non-financial sectors [30] - Insurance solutions saw a 7% ARR growth, supported by demand for sophisticated models and cloud-based platforms [34] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Moody's is focusing on embedding decision-grade contextual intelligence into customer workflows and expanding its AI capabilities [5][20] - The company is strategically investing in areas aligned with global funding needs, including infrastructure, AI investment, and digital finance [21][22] - Moody's plans to enhance its product offerings in lending, KYC, and insurance, with a focus on AI integration and customer experience [23][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the durability of the business model and the ability to generate strong cash flow while investing in high-return areas [20] - The outlook for 2026 includes expectations for revenue growth in the high single-digit percent range and an adjusted operating margin expansion of 150 basis points [42] - Management noted that the demand for trusted data and analytics will continue to grow as AI becomes more prevalent [20][68] Other Important Information - Moody's divested its learning solutions business, which is expected to improve revenue growth profiles going forward [78] - The company anticipates a notable increase in capital expenditures for the build-out of new headquarters [43] - Moody's plans to repurchase approximately $2 billion in shares and increase its quarterly dividend by 10% [43] Q&A Session Summary Question: Portfolio perspective for MA - Management feels confident about the current assets and capabilities, emphasizing the importance of trusted data for AI [45][46] Question: AI contribution to ARR revenue - Management indicated that while AI engagement is strong, it has not yet fully translated into ARR revenue, with growth expected to trickle through the customer base over time [50][54] Question: Issuance trajectory for ratings - Management expects issuance activity to be more heavily weighted towards the first half of the year, with a growth forecast in the high single-digit range for the first half of 2026 [58][60] Question: Impact of divestitures on MA revenue guide - The divestiture of learning solutions is expected to have a one percentage point headwind to MCO revenue growth and a two percentage point headwind to MA revenue growth [77][78] Question: MIS margin guidance - Management noted that the MIS margin guidance is better than expected due to strong operating leverage and disciplined capital allocation [82]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Moody's total revenue for 2025 exceeded $7.7 billion, representing a 9% year-over-year increase [5][6] - Adjusted operating margin expanded to 51.1%, up 300 basis points from the previous year [6] - Adjusted diluted EPS reached a record $14.94, up 20% year-over-year, indicating a 70% earnings growth over the past three years [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In ratings, Moody's rated $6.6 trillion of debt in 2025, marking an all-time high, with significant contributions from infrastructure and AI-driven investments [8] - Private credit revenue in MIS grew nearly 60% in 2025, reflecting strong demand in the sector [9] - Moody's Analytics achieved a 9% revenue growth for the year, with an adjusted operating margin improvement of 240 basis points to 33.1% [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The fourth quarter of 2025 was the busiest in Moody's history, with over $70 billion of issuance rated for major companies [8] - KYC solutions experienced 15% ARR growth, driven by deeper penetration with existing banking customers and expansion into non-financial sectors [29] - Insurance solutions saw a 7% ARR growth, supported by demand for sophisticated models and cloud-based platforms [33] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Moody's is focusing on embedding decision-grade contextual intelligence into customer workflows and expanding its AI capabilities [5][20] - The company is strategically investing in areas aligned with global funding needs, including infrastructure, AI investment, and digital finance [21][22] - Moody's plans to enhance its product offerings in lending, KYC, and insurance, leveraging AI to drive efficiency and scale [23][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the business model's durability and the ability to generate strong cash flow while investing in high-return areas [20] - The outlook for 2026 includes expectations for continued revenue growth across all quarters, with a projected operating margin increase [38][39] - Management highlighted the importance of proprietary data in driving AI adoption and maintaining competitive advantages [66][67] Other Important Information - Moody's expects to repurchase approximately $2 billion in shares and announced a 10% increase in its quarterly dividend for 2026 [41] - The company anticipates free cash flow in the range of $2.8 billion to $3 billion, reflecting a 13% growth at the midpoint [40] Q&A Session Summary Question: Portfolio perspective for MA - Management feels confident about the current assets and capabilities, emphasizing the importance of trusted data for AI [44][45] Question: AI contribution to ARR revenue - Management noted that while AI engagement is strong among large accounts, the overall ARR growth was consistent with previous quarters, with some headwinds in specific areas [51][52] Question: Issuance trajectory for ratings - Management expects issuance activity to be front-loaded in the first half of 2026, with a growth forecast in the high single-digit range [58][59] Question: Impact of divestitures on MA revenue guide - The divestiture of the learning solutions business is expected to create a 1 percentage point headwind to MCO revenue growth and a 2 percentage point headwind to MA revenue growth [76][77]

Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Call February 18,,2026 Shivani Kak HEAD OF INVESTOR RELATIONS Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 - Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this document are forward-looking statements and are based on future expectations, plans and prospects for Moody's business and operations that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Such statements involve estimates, projections, goals, forecasts, assumptions and uncertainties that could cause actual res ...

Core Viewpoint - Moody's reported increased profit and revenue in the fourth quarter, attributing this success to the effective implementation of new technologies across its business [1] Financial Performance - The company experienced higher profit and revenue in the fourth quarter, indicating a positive financial trend [1]