《梦幻》畅玩版增强玩家活跃度，《燕云》出海欧美市场好评如潮：Q3游戏及相关增值服务收入同比 增长11.8%至233.3 亿元。手游业务得益于《梦幻西游》和《燕云十六声》等新老游戏产品流水新高， 收入同比增长6.6%。其中《燕云》上线欧美市场后玩家好评如潮。端游业务受益暴雪回归带来更丰富 的游戏内容，收入同比增长33.4%。展望2026年，公司将上线冒险RPG 游戏《遗忘之海》。未来储备产 品包括《无主星渊》、《代号无限大》、《归唐》》等。本季度递延收入同比增长25.3%达194.7 亿 元，公司游戏流水的确认周期在3-6 个月，后续两个季度将逐步释放利润。预计2025 年公司游戏及增至 服务收入有望同比增长12.4%达940 亿元。 有道连续五个季度实现盈利，游戏广告收入同比增长超50%：Q3 有道收入16.3 亿元，同比增长3.6%， 学习服务/智能设备/在线营销业务分别同比-16.3%/-22.1%/+51.1%达6.4/2.5/7.4 亿元。经营利润2827 万 元，连续五个季度实现盈利。公司跟网易及其他游戏厂商在广告内容上的合作驱动游戏广告收入同比超 增长50%，海外广告收入增长超100%。 云音乐丰 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating with a target price of $165.00, representing an upside potential of 18.04% for US shares and 18.42% for HK shares [2][4]. Core Insights - The company reported a 25% year-on-year increase in deferred revenue, indicating a strong future product pipeline in gaming [4]. - The gaming and related services revenue grew by 11.8% year-on-year, driven by both new and existing game titles, with mobile gaming revenue increasing by 6.6% [4]. - The company is expected to achieve a revenue CAGR of 12.9% and a Non-GAAP net profit CAGR of 15.5% from 2025 to 2027 [4]. Financial Performance Summary - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, total revenue is projected to reach $16,175 million, reflecting an 8.6% increase from the previous year [3]. - Non-GAAP net profit is forecasted to be $5,408 million for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 13.2% [3]. - The company achieved a GAAP net profit of 87.9 billion RMB in Q3 2025, marking a 31.8% increase year-on-year [4]. Revenue Breakdown - The gaming segment is expected to generate revenue of 940 billion RMB in 2025, representing a 12.4% year-on-year growth [4]. - The report highlights the successful launch of new titles such as "Dreamland" and "Yanyun," which have received positive feedback in international markets [4]. Shareholder Information - Major shareholders include Ding Lei with a 45.78% stake, followed by BlackRock and The Vanguard Group with 3.02% and 2.47% respectively [2].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of $125.00, indicating a potential upside of 23.44% for the US stock and 21.64% for the HK stock [1]. Core Insights - The company's revenue growth is driven by Blizzard games, with a notable increase in PC game revenue, while mobile game revenue is anticipated to improve with new product launches [2][3]. - The forecasted revenue CAGR for the company from 2025 to 2027 is 11.4%, with Non-GAAP net profit CAGR expected at 10.5% [2]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for the fiscal year ending December 31 is projected to grow from $14,232 million in 2023 to $17,966 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.2% [2]. - Non-GAAP net profit is expected to increase from $4,485 million in 2023 to $5,633 million in 2027, with Non-GAAP earnings per ADS rising from $6.9 to $8.5 over the same period [2]. - The company achieved a GAAP net profit of 87.7 billion RMB in Q4 2024, a year-on-year increase of 33.2%, exceeding Bloomberg consensus estimates [2]. Game Segment Performance - The revenue from games and related value-added services grew by 1.5% year-on-year to 212.4 billion RMB, with PC game revenue increasing by 56.6% to 71.3 billion RMB, driven by titles like "World of Warcraft" and "Hearthstone" [2]. - Mobile game revenue, however, declined by 10.5% to 134 billion RMB due to a lack of new product releases, but upcoming titles are expected to boost this segment [2]. Other Business Segments - Youdao is projected to achieve its first profitable year in 2024, with revenue expected to grow by 4.4% to 56.3 billion RMB, driven by AI subscription services [2]. - Cloud Music's revenue for 2024 is forecasted to reach 79.5 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 1.1%, supported by increased subscription revenue and cost control measures [2].