公司4Q25实现净收入人民币275亿元，同比增长3.0%；调整后净利润71亿元。实质经营保持稳健，递延 收入同比大幅增长34.1%，环比增长5.3%至205亿元，创历史新高。这反映出确认周期较长的游戏收入 占比提升，大量现金流水尚未确认为当期收入，将为后续业绩释放带来很好的支撑。 《遗忘之海》计划今年三季度上线，期待新产品释放周期 智通财经APP获悉，浦银国际发布研报称，由于网易-S(09999,NTES.US))已达到转换至香港主要上市的 要求，公司正与港交所沟通推进相关事宜，未来有望吸引南向资金流入。考虑到公司新游预期上线情 况，调整目标价至236港元/151美元，对应FY26E/FY27E 16.8x/15.2xP/E，公司当前估值具备吸引力，维 持"买入"评级。 浦银国际主要观点如下： 递延收入维持强劲，实质经营稳健 公司4Q25游戏收入同比增长3.4%，端游表现亮眼，收入结构持续优化。主要游戏产品中，《梦幻西 游》端游Q4表现强劲，收入创季度和年度历史新高，其手游亦创年度收入新高，显示出极强的长线运 营韧性；《燕云十六声》全球用户数突破8000万；《漫威争锋》获得多个全球奖项。公司游戏产品全球 影响 ...

《遗忘之海》计划今年三季度上线，期待新产品释放周期 公司4Q25游戏收入同比增长3.4%，端游表现亮眼，收入结构持续优化。主要游戏产品中，《梦幻西 游》端游Q4表现强劲，收入创季度和年度历史新高，其手游亦创年度收入新高，显示出极强的长线运 营韧性；《燕云十六声》全球用户数突破8000万；《漫威争锋》获得多个全球奖项。公司游戏产品全球 影响力持续提升，该行预计公司未来海外收入占比将逐步提升，成为重要增量贡献。展望2026年，《遗 忘之海》计划Q3上线，近期测试反馈积极，该行预计有望在暑期档上线；《无限大》1月封测数据符合 预期，产品仍处于打磨阶段，希望实现全球全平台同步上线。随着新产品临近，公司有望在今年下半年 进入新一轮释放周期。 浦银国际发布研报称，由于网易-S(09999,NTES.US))已达到转换至香港主要上市的要求，公司正与港交 所沟通推进相关事宜，未来有望吸引南向资金流入。考虑到公司新游预期上线情况，调整目标价至236 港元/151美元，对应FY26E/FY27E16.8x/15.2xP/E，公司当前估值具备吸引力，维持"买入"评级。 浦银国际主要观点如下： 递延收入维持强劲，实质经营稳健 公司4 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of HKD 236, representing a potential upside of 21% from the current price of HKD 195 [5][26]. Core Insights - The company reported a net revenue of RMB 27.5 billion for Q4 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.0%, which was below market expectations of 4.7%. Adjusted net profit decreased by 26.9% year-on-year, also falling short of market expectations [1]. - Deferred revenue showed strong growth, increasing by 34.1% year-on-year and 5.3% quarter-on-quarter to reach RMB 20.5 billion, indicating a robust operational performance despite revenue pressures [1]. - The upcoming game "Forgotten Sea" is expected to launch in Q3 2026, with positive feedback from recent tests, suggesting a new product release cycle that could enhance future performance [2]. - The company is focusing on integrating AI into its gaming products, which is expected to improve efficiency and commercial value [3]. - The company is in discussions to transition to a primary listing in Hong Kong, which may attract more southbound capital [3]. Financial Summary - For FY26E, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of RMB 120.3 billion, with an adjusted net profit of RMB 39.8 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 6.8% [8]. - The adjusted P/E ratios are forecasted to be 16.8x for FY26E and 15.2x for FY27E, indicating an attractive valuation [3][8]. - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately HKD 596.2 billion, with an average daily trading volume of HKD 1.287 billion over the past three months [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of HKD 236, representing a potential upside of 21% from the current price of HKD 195 [5][26]. Core Insights - The company reported a net revenue of RMB 27.5 billion for Q4 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.0%, which was below market expectations of 4.7%. Adjusted net profit decreased by 26.9% year-on-year, also falling short of market expectations [1]. - Deferred revenue showed strong growth, increasing by 34.1% year-on-year and 5.3% quarter-on-quarter to reach RMB 20.5 billion, indicating a robust operational performance despite revenue pressures [1]. - The upcoming game "Forgotten Sea" is expected to launch in Q3 2026, with positive feedback from recent tests, potentially marking the start of a new product release cycle [2]. - The company is focusing on integrating AI into its gaming products, enhancing production efficiency and commercial value [3]. - The company is in discussions to transition to a primary listing in Hong Kong, which may attract more southbound capital inflow [3]. Financial Summary - For FY26E, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of RMB 120.3 billion, with an adjusted net profit of RMB 39.8 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 6.8% in revenue and 3.4% in net profit [8][9]. - The adjusted target P/E ratios are forecasted at 16.8x for FY26E and 15.2x for FY27E, indicating an attractive valuation [3][8].

云音乐用户粘性提升，看好AI教育/营销需求持续驱动有道业务增长 智通财经APP获悉，开源证券发布研报称，截至Q4末，网易-S(09999)合同负债环比+5%至205亿元，增 长动能强劲。基于新游上线时间预期，当前股价对应PE分别为14.1/12.5/11.6倍，看好老游戏长线运营、 新游上线、AI赋能深化共驱成长，维持"买入"评级。 开源证券主要观点如下： 长线运营激发经典游戏活力，《燕云十六声》反映出海实力，在研产品丰富 2025Q4游戏及相关增值服务实现收入220亿元（同比+3.4%）；毛利率为70.5%，同比+3.8pct。《梦幻西 游》端游Q4及2025全年营收创新高；《天下》连续五年收入增长，2025.12升级三端互通后，PCU、付 费用户数等创新高；该行看好公司通过优化美术、玩法等激发经典游戏活力。《燕云十六声》国服Q4 推出周年庆版本后日活与营收创新高，登顶内地iOS游戏畅销榜，海外于2025.11上线后最高位列Steam 全球畅销榜第二，截至2026.2.11全球玩家数超8000万。该行认为《燕云十六声》海外成功或反映公司已 具备"讲好中国故事"能力，看好《归唐》等"国风"大作出海表现。《遗忘 ...

Core Insights - NetEase has several key events to watch in 2026, focusing on new product launches, globalization efforts, and potential market liquidity changes [1] Business Progress - NetEase plans to launch several major games in 2026, including the ocean adventure RPG "Forgotten Sea" expected to release in Q3, and the open-world game "Infinite" which has completed closed testing and is set for a full-platform release. These new products may further strengthen the company's competitive position in the gaming market [2] - The global promotion of "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" will continue, with the game surpassing 80 million global users by the end of 2025. Future content updates and localized operations may enhance its influence [2] Financial Situation - If NetEase is included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect in 2026, it could attract southbound capital inflows, potentially driving valuation recovery. Institutions like JPMorgan have noted that current valuations are low, and this event could act as a liquidity catalyst [3] Company Status - AI technology has been systematically integrated into the entire game development process, with efficiency improvements exceeding 300% in certain areas. This may enhance product innovation through AI-native gameplay [4] - The company continues its dividend policy, with a payout of $0.232 per share in Q4 2025, and has extended its share buyback plan until 2029, with a buyback amount of approximately $2 billion by the end of 2025 [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report emphasizes optimism regarding the company's growth driven by new game launches, overseas expansion, and AI empowerment [5] - The company achieved revenue of 27.5 billion yuan in Q4 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 3.0% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.9% [5] - The report highlights a strong growth momentum in contract liabilities, which increased by 5% to 20.5 billion yuan by the end of Q4 [5] - The company is expected to benefit from the long-term operation of classic games and the launch of new titles, with adjusted net profit forecasts for 2026-2028 being 37.2 billion, 41.9 billion, and 45.1 billion yuan respectively [5] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 105.3 billion yuan for 2024, 112.6 billion yuan for 2025, 119.6 billion yuan for 2026, 129.9 billion yuan for 2027, and 136.1 billion yuan for 2028, with year-on-year growth rates of 1.8%, 7.0%, 6.2%, 8.7%, and 4.7% respectively [6] - Net profit estimates are 29.7 billion yuan for 2024, 33.8 billion yuan for 2025, 37.2 billion yuan for 2026, 41.9 billion yuan for 2027, and 45.1 billion yuan for 2028, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 1.0%, 13.7%, 10.2%, 12.6%, and 7.6% [6] - The projected P/E ratios for 2026, 2027, and 2028 are 14.1, 12.5, and 11.6 respectively [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][5] Core Views - The report emphasizes the company's strong growth potential driven by new game launches, the revitalization of existing games, and the integration of AI technology [5] - The company achieved a revenue of 27.5 billion yuan in Q4 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.0% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.9% [5] - The report highlights the successful performance of the game "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds," which topped the iOS sales chart in mainland China and achieved over 80 million global players [5] - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory with projected net profits of 37.2 billion yuan in 2026, 41.9 billion yuan in 2027, and 45.1 billion yuan in 2028 [5][6] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 105.3 billion yuan in 2024, 112.6 billion yuan in 2025, 119.6 billion yuan in 2026, 129.9 billion yuan in 2027, and 136.1 billion yuan in 2028 [6] - The net profit is projected to grow from 29.7 billion yuan in 2024 to 45.1 billion yuan in 2028, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 1.0%, 13.7%, 10.2%, 12.6%, and 7.6% [6] - The report indicates a projected P/E ratio of 14.1 for 2026, 12.5 for 2027, and 11.6 for 2028, suggesting a favorable valuation outlook [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - NetEase reported Q4 2025 revenue of 27.5 billion yuan (yoy +3.0%, qoq -3.2%) and adjusted net profit of 7.1 billion yuan (yoy -26.9%, qoq -25.3%). For the full year, total revenue reached 112.6 billion yuan (yoy +6.9%) and net profit was 33.8 billion yuan (yoy +13.7%), indicating stable annual growth. The product pipeline for 2026 is robust, featuring major titles like "Infinite" and "A Glimpse of the Sea," which will drive future growth. The company has deeply integrated AI across its gaming, music, and education sectors, establishing an industry-leading AI industrialization barrier [1]. Main Business - Revenue from games and related value-added services was 22.0 billion yuan (yoy +3.8%, qoq -5.7%), with a gross margin increase to 70.5%. - Youdao generated revenue of 1.6 billion yuan (yoy +16.8%), primarily driven by increases in online marketing and learning service revenues. - NetEase Cloud Music reported revenue of 2.0 billion yuan (yoy +4.7%), with gross margin improving by 2.8 percentage points to 34.7%, indicating ongoing profitability enhancement. - Innovative and other businesses generated revenue of 2.0 billion yuan (yoy -10.4%). - Q4 gross profit was 17.7 billion yuan (yoy +8.7%), with an overall gross margin of 64.2% (yoy +3.4 percentage points, qoq +0.7 percentage points). - Operating expenses for Q4 totaled 9.4 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase. R&D investment for 2025 reached 17.7 billion yuan, marking the sixth consecutive year exceeding 10 billion yuan. The company has integrated AI throughout its business chain, achieving efficiency improvements of up to 300% in certain production processes [2]. Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 119.4 billion yuan and 127.0 billion yuan in 2026 and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 6.1% and 6.4%. - Projected net profits for the same years are 36.6 billion yuan and 39.9 billion yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][23] Core Insights - The company's revenue increased by 3% year-on-year in Q4 2025, reaching 27.5 billion yuan, while the Non-GAAP net profit decreased by 11% to 7.07 billion yuan due to investment losses of 1.7 billion yuan [10][11] - The deferred revenue grew by 34% year-on-year, indicating a healthy cash flow status and reflecting changes in the game structure [2][15] - The company continues to expand its global presence, with successful launches of mobile games like "逆水寒" and "燕云十六声," which have attracted over 80 million players globally [2][18] Revenue and Profitability - In Q4 2025, the online gaming business generated 21.3 billion yuan, a 4% increase year-on-year, while the overall gross margin improved to 64.2%, up 3 percentage points [10][11] - The total operating expense ratio was 34%, with a sales expense ratio of 14%, reflecting a 4% year-on-year increase [11] Game Development and AI Impact - The company is focusing on integrating AI tools to enhance creative content, with a shift in the core barriers to entry for commercial games towards integration capabilities [3][18] - Upcoming game releases include "遗忘之海" and "无限大," which are expected to contribute to future revenue growth [23] Financial Forecast - The adjusted net profit estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 40.6 billion, 44.7 billion, and 48 billion yuan respectively, with slight downward adjustments of 5%, 4%, and 0% [23][28]