Core Viewpoint - The company shows strong growth momentum driven by deferred revenue and overseas expansion, maintaining a "buy" rating Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 28.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.7% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 8.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 31.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.2% [1] - The gross margin for Q3 was 64.1%, up 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin reached 31.0%, an increase of 5.4 percentage points year-on-year [1] - As of the end of Q3 2025, the company's contract liabilities amounted to 19.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 15% [1] Group 2: Game and Product Performance - Revenue from games and related value-added services reached 23.3 billion yuan in Q3 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 11.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.3% [2] - The growth in revenue was driven by titles such as "Dream of the Red Chamber" and "Egg Party," as well as new games like "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" [2] - The gross margin for the gaming segment was 69.3%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.5 percentage points [2] - The peak concurrent online users for "Dream of the Red Chamber" reached 3.58 million, setting a new record [2] Group 3: AI and Innovation - Cloud music's revenue in Q3 was 1.96 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8%, but the gross margin improved by 2.6 percentage points to 35.4% [3] - The introduction of "AI Tuning Master" aims to enhance user experience with personalized music [3] - Youdao's revenue in Q3 was 1.63 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.9%, primarily driven by online marketing services [3] - AI-driven subscription service revenue reached approximately 100 million yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of over 40% [3]

一开始，可能还是一些不太热门的，比如《永远的7日之都》什么的，很多人都没注意到。可后来，连《逆水寒》、《光·遇》、《率土之滨》这些国民级的 游戏，也开始陆续发布公告，宣布要和这些渠道说再见了。 （图源：网易） 最近逛游戏社区，总能看到一些有意思的帖子。 起初是在TapTap，有网友发了张截图，说自己OPPO手机的应用商店里，好像搜不到网易的游戏了。底下评论还挺热闹，有人说是Bug，有人说自己还能搜 到，也有人说是不是网易服务器抽风了。 这种事儿嘛，搁平时大家可能吐槽两句就过去了，毕竟应用商店偶尔出点小问题也正常。 但怪就怪在，这阵风好像越刮越大。 没过几天，越来越多的人下场反映，说自己手机里的应用商店也出现了类似情况。而且不只是OPPO，连小米、vivo这些品牌的应用商店，网易的游戏也在 一个接一个地消失。 诶，这就不是小事了。很显然，游戏圈的巨头网易，正在和国内最大的几家安卓手机厂商，进行一场声势浩大的切割。 这感觉就像你家楼下开了十几年的连锁超市，突然之间把可口可乐和百事可乐都下架了，透着一股不寻常的味道。 一场漫长的分手 何为渠道服？ 这可能是很多人，第一次看到这条消息的反应。 所谓的渠道服，其实就是一 ...

Group 1: Overall Strategy and Market Trends - The report highlights a dual-driven strategy where technology and cyclical sectors are rebalancing, with opportunities in the chemical industry emerging under the "anti-involution" trend [7][8] - The A-share market is experiencing accelerated capacity clearance, indicating a turning point for cyclical industries, particularly in chemicals, which show significant advantages over traditional sectors like steel and coal [8][9] - The chemical industry is expected to enter a new prosperity cycle driven by supply-demand recovery and anti-involution policies, with a notable decrease in capital expenditure and a resilient export market [9][10] Group 2: Industry-Specific Insights - The military industry is currently facing high valuations, with a PE-TTM of 67.34, indicating a slight decrease from previous weeks, while geopolitical uncertainties are expected to accelerate military orders [13][14] - The real estate sector shows signs of stabilization, with new home transaction areas increasing month-on-month, supported by government policies aimed at boosting investment and consumption [17][21] - The consumer services sector, particularly in tourism and dining, is witnessing a recovery, with companies like Ctrip and Haidilao reporting strong performance and expansion plans [24][25] Group 3: Company-Specific Developments - Lenovo Group is benefiting from the Windows 11 upgrade cycle, with a projected non-GAAP net profit growth of 21.8% for FY2026, reflecting strong supply chain resilience [29][30] - NetEase is expected to see growth driven by overseas gaming expansion and new game launches, with a projected net profit increase of 31.8% in Q3 2025 [34][35] - Dawi Technology is focusing on AI data centers, with plans to enhance its competitive edge through strategic partnerships and infrastructure development [38][39]

Group 1: Performance Overview - The company maintained a "Buy" rating, reporting a robust Q3 performance with revenue of 28.4 billion yuan (up 8.2% YoY, up 1.7% QoQ) and net profit of 8.6 billion yuan (up 31.8% YoY, up 0.2% QoQ) [1] - Gross margin for Q3 was 64.1% (up 1.2 percentage points YoY), and net margin was 31.0% (up 5.4 percentage points YoY), driven by gains from stock investments and lower foreign exchange losses [1] - The company expects net profit for 2025-2027 to be 35.7 billion, 38.3 billion, and 42.9 billion yuan respectively, with current PE ratios of 16.6, 15.5, and 13.8 times [1] Group 2: Gaming and New Releases - Revenue from games and related services reached 23.3 billion yuan (up 11.8% YoY, up 2.3% QoQ), with growth attributed to titles like "Dream of the Red Chamber" and new releases [1] - The peak concurrent online users for "Dream of the Red Chamber" reached 3.58 million, showcasing the company's long-term operational strength [1] - The overseas product lineup is expanding, with "Fate: Stars" topping iOS download charts in multiple regions and "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" achieving over 2 million players in 24 hours [1] Group 3: AI and Revenue Growth - Cloud Music reported Q3 revenue of 1.96 billion yuan, with a gross margin increase of 2.6 percentage points to 35.4%, driven by the launch of "AI Tuning Master" [2] - Youdao's revenue for Q3 was 1.63 billion yuan, primarily from online marketing services, with a YoY growth exceeding 40% [2] - AI-driven subscription service revenue reached approximately 100 million yuan, marking a historical high with over 40% YoY growth [2]

Core Insights - The report suggests that the current market position may be the starting point of a long-term bull market, supported by gradual improvements in fundamentals and industry highlights [3][4] - The report emphasizes the importance of time over space in the current bull market, indicating that the duration of the bull market may be more significant than the magnitude of the increase [3][4] Industry Research Construction Materials - The investment strategy focuses on three main lines: 1) Real estate chain recovery, emphasizing resilient consumer building material leaders like Dongfang Yuhong and Beixin Building Materials, which are expected to have greater profit elasticity amid rising demand for stock updates 2) Overseas growth, targeting companies with established advantages and mature operations abroad, such as Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement 3) Corporate transformation, highlighting construction companies actively restructuring and innovating during industry downturns, like Shanghai Port and Hongrun Construction [10] Machinery Manufacturing - The investment strategy revolves around three major themes: 1) Cycle recovery in engineering machinery, with internationalization, electrification, and intelligentization opening new growth spaces 2) Data center power generation equipment, driven by increased electricity demand 3) Nuclear fusion, entering a phase of capital expenditure expansion with high technical barriers [11] Company Research Aidi Precision (603638.SH) - Aidi Precision reported revenue of 2.37 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.5%, and a net profit of 320 million yuan, up 12.6% year-on-year - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the engineering machinery sector, with continued growth in demand for its hydraulic components and new products like industrial robots and RV reducers [12] NetEase-S (9999.HK) - NetEase's Q3 2025 game revenue fell short of expectations due to the deferral of income recognition - The company maintains revenue forecasts of 114.5 billion yuan for 2025, 123.6 billion yuan for 2026, and 132.2 billion yuan for 2027, with a focus on new game releases expected to contribute significantly in 2026 [13] Yidu Technology (2158.HK) - Yidu Technology has made progress in AI medical innovation, but revenue forecasts for FY26 and FY27 have been reduced by 19.4% and 24.9% respectively - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 0.08 billion yuan in FY28, maintaining a "buy" rating despite the adjustments [14] NVIDIA (NVDA.O) - NVIDIA's FY26 Q3 performance exceeded market expectations, with a projected GAAP net profit of $113.88 billion for FY2026 - The company has raised its FY2027-2028 net profit forecasts by 14.1% and 14.7%, driven by strong demand for AI computing [15] Lenovo Group (0992.HK) - Lenovo reported revenue of $20.452 billion for FY26 Q2, a 15% year-on-year increase, with adjusted net profit rising 25% - AI-related business revenue accounted for 30% of total revenue, up 13 percentage points year-on-year, despite downward adjustments in profit forecasts for FY26 to FY28 [16]

Core Viewpoint - The recent withdrawal of NetEase games from OPPO's app store highlights a growing tension between game developers and traditional Android distribution channels, primarily due to high revenue sharing models that limit profit margins for developers [1][4][15]. Group 1: Game Withdrawal from OPPO - NetEase games, including popular titles like "Onmyoji: Yokai House" and "Fantasy Westward Journey," will cease operations on OPPO channels starting from November 2024, with a complete withdrawal expected by October 2025 [1]. - This trend of withdrawing from OPPO channels began last year and reflects a broader industry shift away from traditional Android distribution methods [1][4]. Group 2: Revenue Sharing Issues - The high revenue sharing model, often referred to as "Android tax," has become a critical issue for game developers, with reports indicating that Android channels take up to 50% of revenue, significantly higher than the 30% typically charged by platforms like Apple's App Store [6][15]. - The "hardcore alliance" established by major Android manufacturers in 2014 set a standard revenue share of 50% for game developers, which has persisted in the industry [8]. Group 3: Alternative Distribution Models - Developers are increasingly exploring alternative distribution methods, such as using platforms like TapTap, which do not charge revenue shares, allowing for greater profitability [10][12]. - Successful titles like "Genshin Impact" and "Awakening of Nations" have demonstrated that it is possible to achieve significant revenue without relying on traditional Android channels [12][14]. Group 4: Industry Evolution - The gaming industry is transitioning from a "traffic-driven" model to a "content-driven" model, where the quality of the game itself becomes the primary factor in attracting users [14]. - Despite the shift, the costs associated with customer acquisition through alternative channels have increased, as seen in NetEase's substantial advertising expenditures [14][15].

本报（chinatimes.net.cn）记者于玉金 北京报道 长青游戏成为本季度驱动网易营收增长的主要力量。网易11月20日晚间发布财报，2025年Q3，公司实 现净收入284亿元，同比增长8.2%；非公认会计准则下，归属于公司股东的净利润为95亿元，同比增长 33.3%。 而在丁磊重回一线后，其工作室的调整持续进行，同时也不断有人员流动。对此，丁磊在11月20日晚间 的财报电话会议上表示，人员流动属正常组织调整，是在不影响公司日常游戏运营的前提下进行的，目 的是让整个组织变得更加专注、高效，从而集中力量打造长青和精品的网易游戏。 《梦幻西游》在线人数创新高 网易2025年Q3净收入为284亿元，上一季度和去年同期分别为279亿元和262亿元。 2025年Q3游戏及相关增值服务净收入为233亿元，上一季度和去年同期分别为228亿元和209亿元。本季 度，来自在线游戏的净收入约占该分部净收入的97.6%，上一季度和去年同期该占比分别为97.1%和 96.8%。 网易在财报中表示，今年Q3在线游戏净收入环比增长来自于《梦幻西游》电脑版、《逆水寒》手游等 自研游戏及若干代理游戏净收入增加。其同比增加来自《梦幻西游 ...

网易发布2025年Q3财报：营收净利增长但均不及预期，游戏业务仍在硬扛起网易业绩 11月20日，网易（Nasdaq: NTES；HKEX: 9999）发布截至2025年第三季度未经审计财报。数据显示，公司实现净营收284亿 元人民币，同比增长8.2%；归属于公司股东的净利润为86亿元，与上一季度持平，较上年同期的65亿元显著增长；Non- GAAP净利润达95亿元，同比提升26.7%。 据新浪科技报道，在随后的财报电话会议上，管理层就产品运营与全球战略作出详细阐释。针对《梦幻西游》"畅玩服"成功 原因，CEO丁磊表示，其通过取消时间收费、简化系统、降低门槛，有效吸引回流用户与新玩家，同时反哺收费服生态。 关于出海战略，丁磊指出，网易是"国内唯一将纯中国武侠题材成功推向海外的大型游戏公司"，《燕云十六声》《永劫无 间》《逆水寒》手游等均获海外市场积极反响。备受期待的新作《无限大》（ANANTA）在东京电玩展斩获"未来期待奖"， 目前研发进度符合预期，将于2026年上线。 面对分析师关于新品节奏放缓的提问，丁磊明确回应：公司将更聚焦已有成功产品，"避免精力分散在把握不大的项目上"， 坚持"少而精"的精品化路线。对 ...

"高抽成"模式走向终结 撰文/ 孟会缘 编辑/ 陈邓新 排版/ Annalee 近日，苹果和腾讯自2024年开始的"抽成之争"迎来终局——苹果将对腾讯APP内小游戏的内购项目抽成15%，低于苹果App Store通常实行的30%比例。 要知道在达成这项协议之前，腾讯正通过微信生态的特性设计支付跳转路径，以此绕开苹果iOS平台的内购抽成政策。即说，如"游戏公司给手机厂商打 工"之类的论调，有望得到较大程度地缓解。 当然，这一消息对于不少游戏开发者而言，更大意义在于它释放了一个相当积极的信号。 长期以来，高额的抽成比例一直是压在游戏公司心头的一块大石，不论是iOS端30%的抽成，还是华为、OPPO等安卓渠道50%的抽成，都让游戏开发者在 盈利之路上步履维艰。 如今这15%的新抽成比例方案横空出世，终于为游戏行业带来一丝转机与希望。因为这不仅意味着游戏公司在收益分配上将获得更大的自主权，更预示着 整个行业生态都将迎来全面的优化与重塑。 其实在苹果和腾讯的"抽成之战"止戈之前，或许有人也关注到了游戏圈的另一件大事：部分网易游戏在OPPO渠道停服，原因是与网易的合作终止。 网易和OPPO之间的拉锯进程也不短，据相关报道 ...

Economic Indicators - The U.S. non-farm payrolls report for September showed an increase of 119,000 jobs, exceeding expectations, but the unemployment rate rose to 4.44%, the highest in nearly four years[5] - The unemployment rate has increased for three consecutive months, raising concerns about the labor market ahead of the Federal Reserve's December meeting[5] - The market anticipates a 40% chance of a 25 basis points rate cut in December due to the mixed signals from the employment data[29] Market Performance - U.S. stock indices experienced significant volatility, with the Nasdaq dropping 2.2%, the S&P 500 down 1.6%, and the Dow Jones falling 0.8% after an initial surge[8] - European markets rebounded after five consecutive days of decline, with the Stoxx 600 index rising 0.4% and the DAX increasing by 0.5%[8] - The A-share market continued to decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.4% and over 3,800 stocks declining overall[15] Sector Analysis - In the U.S., the technology sector faced significant losses, with semiconductor ETFs down 4.22% and tech ETFs down 3.14%[8] - In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index saw a slight rebound of 0.02%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.58%[10] - The financial sector in A-shares showed strength, with major banks like Bank of China rising by 4%[15] Commodity and Bond Markets - International oil prices fell, with WTI crude oil down 0.5% to $59.14 per barrel, and gold prices decreased by 0.56% to $4,060 per ounce[26] - U.S. Treasury yields declined by 3-6 basis points, reflecting increased risk aversion in the market[29] - The spread on Asian bonds narrowed by 1-3 basis points, indicating a slight recovery in investor sentiment[29]