上 市 公 司 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 深 度 市场数据： 2025 年 12 月 29 日 收盘价（港币） 189.00 恒生中国企业指数 8891.71 52 周最高/最低（港币） 191.00/86.25 H 股市值（亿港币） 4,282.20 流通 H 股（百万股） 2,265.71 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势： -6% 194% 12/30 01/30 02/28 03/31 04/30 05/31 06/30 07/31 08/31 09/30 10/31 11/30 HSCEI 渣打集团 资料来源：Bloomberg 证券分析师 郑庆明 A0230519090001 zhengqm@swsresearch.com 林颖颖 A0230522070004 linyy@swsresearch.com 冯思远 A0230522090005 fengsy@swsresearch.com 李禹昊 A0230525070004 liyh2@swsresearch.com 联系人 李禹昊 A0230525070004 liyh2@swsresearch.com 2025 年 12 月 30 日 渣打集团 ...

2025年12月28日，徽商银行迎来成立二十周年的重要日子。二十年风雨兼程，二十年春华秋实。自成立 以来，徽商银行始终坚守"金融为民"初心，深入践行金融工作的政治性与人民性，坚持党建引领，突出 主责主业，充分发挥自身禀赋优势，以改革为笔、以创新为墨，用真情和汗水谱写了一部与地方经济共 生共荣、与社会民生温暖同行的奋斗华章。 廿载征程：与时代同频，铸就卓越品牌 2005年12月，徽商银行在全国城商行改革大潮中应运而生，成为全国首家由城商行和城信社联合组建的 银行业金融机构。从此，一颗金融新星在江淮大地冉冉升起。 经过二十年砥砺奋进，徽商银行已然成为安徽金融主力先锋，主要经营指标稳居头部城商行第一梯队， 逐步发展成为具有全国影响力的优秀地方主流银行，在中国金融发展史上留下了浓墨重彩的徽商印记。 经过五年发展，分行品牌影响力不断提升，获聘为"深圳市龙华区招商顾问机构"，荣获"深圳市龙华区 服务业百强企业""深圳市普惠金融高质量发展优异贡献奖""中小银行机构党建促进日常经营管理奖""纳 税信用等级A级纳税人""2021年深圳市反假货币知识与技能竞赛团体三等奖""深圳市公安局治安保卫工 作成绩突出集体""金融风云榜品牌 ...

Summary of Standard Chartered Conference Call Company Overview - The conference call focused on Standard Chartered, with CEO Bill Winters providing insights into the company's performance and strategic direction [1][4]. Key Points Financial Performance - Standard Chartered reported a strong year with good earnings progression and strategic positioning [4]. - Flow income in the financial markets business continues to grow year-on-year, with Q3 showing particularly strong growth [5]. - The global banking sector has seen good momentum, with growing pipelines and execution [5]. - Wealth management is also showing strong momentum, although Q4 may see a slight slowdown due to market volatility [6]. Affluent Business Strategy - Standard Chartered aims to increase relationship managers (RMs) by 50% over five years, with significant progress made in the past year [7][11]. - The company has invested $1.5 billion over five years in this affluent strategy, which is on track [11]. - Customer satisfaction has improved significantly, contributing to net new money and client flows [10]. - The affluent business is expected to grow at a structural high single-digit to low double-digit rate, with potential for additional market share [18]. Risks and Compliance - The company is focused on maintaining high compliance standards to avoid regulatory issues, especially concerning offshore wealth from China and India [26][28]. - Three main risks identified: conduct and compliance, market sensitivity, and the source of future business [29][31]. - Standard Chartered has a strong track record in compliance and is diligent in vetting RMs [28]. Corporate and Investment Banking (CIB) - Clients are diversifying supply chains, particularly post-COVID, with India emerging as a key destination [36][38]. - The company is well-positioned to support clients in their supply chain reconfigurations, providing financing and local currency needs [43]. - The financial institution business is growing, with a focus on correspondent banking and asset managers [49][50]. Market Dynamics - The markets business has a consistent flow income, driven by day-to-day hedging activities and transaction banking [56][58]. - The episodic income is growing but at a slower pace, with a focus on capturing market share in core operational services [59][62]. Digital Assets and Technology - Standard Chartered has been proactive in developing digital asset infrastructure, positioning itself well against peers [63]. - The bank aims to leverage its network and technology to capture market share and provide solutions to clients [70][72]. Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about growth opportunities, betting on the ability to adapt and respond to market changes [73]. - Standard Chartered is focused on organic growth, with no immediate need for inorganic strategies to accelerate growth [19]. Additional Insights - The transfer of $40 billion in assets from the custody business is expected to generate significant revenue, although the timeline for full investment remains medium-term [21][23]. - The company emphasizes the importance of maintaining a diversified earnings stream to mitigate market risks [31]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and strategic directions discussed during the conference call, highlighting Standard Chartered's performance, growth strategies, and risk management approaches.

Core Insights - The competition among banks for corporate clients and corporate finance business is intensifying, with transaction banking departments taking on significant responsibilities [1] - The demand for financial services is at its peak, driven by the increasing complexity and frequency of corporate financial needs [1][2] - The traditional transaction banking model is being transformed by digitalization, with a focus on data connectivity throughout the entire lifecycle of enterprises [2] Group 1: Trends in Transaction Banking - Transaction banking is evolving into an external extension of enterprises' "digital intelligence hub," providing real-time, visible, and automated data support [2][3] - Financial technology is becoming a primary battleground for transaction banking, with innovations driven by technology integration into customer interfaces [2] - The restructuring of industrial ecosystems is creating new opportunities for financial connections, as industries accelerate their digital transformation [3] Group 2: Collaboration and Ecosystem Building - The banking sector is not the only player in the digital age; various institutions hold vast data assets and are entering the transaction banking space [4] - Collaboration among banks and other entities is essential to meet the diverse needs of private and small to medium-sized enterprises in cross-border and supply chain financing [4] - The core advantages of banks include stable low-cost funding, mature risk control systems, and comprehensive product matrices, while technology companies excel in real-time data-driven risk management and agile online services for small enterprises [4]

Core Viewpoints - After excluding the significant impact of the impairment from the Bank of Communications, HSBC's Q2 revenue and profit significantly exceeded expectations, indicating a robust underlying trend [1][2][17] - The impairment is a one-time disturbance and will not affect dividend amounts or capital [1][4][17] Financial Performance - HSBC's Q2 2025 revenue, after excluding significant items, was $17.657 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.7%, surpassing market expectations [1][3] - The net profit after tax for Q2 2025 was $7.707 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.8%, also exceeding market consensus [1][3][4] - The non-performing loan ratio decreased by 5 basis points to 2.41% in Q2 2025 [1] Income Breakdown - Net interest income was $10.714 billion, a year-on-year decline of 2%, but the decline is narrowing and exceeded market expectations [3][9] - Non-interest income continued to grow strongly, with a year-on-year increase of 20%, surpassing market expectations by 12 percentage points [3][8] - Wealth management and transaction banking non-interest income grew by 23% and 6% respectively [3][8] Cost Management - Credit costs slightly increased but remain manageable, with a guidance adjustment to 40 basis points due to pressures in Hong Kong's commercial real estate [4][13] - Operating costs were controlled effectively, with a year-on-year increase of 1.9% after excluding significant items, which is lower than revenue growth [4][15] Future Outlook - HSBC maintains its guidance for 2025 net interest income at $42 billion, with expectations for stable loan growth and limited impact from Hibor fluctuations [5][9] - The bank's return on tangible equity (ROTE) is expected to remain around 15%, supported by strong non-interest income and effective cost management [6][17] - The bank plans to continue its strategy of divesting non-core businesses to enhance focus on global transaction banking and wealth management [15][17] Dividend and Share Buyback - HSBC declared a dividend of $0.10 per share for Q2 2025, with a total cash return of $0.22 per share [1][6] - The bank announced a $3 billion share buyback, maintaining its commitment to shareholder returns [6][16] Strategic Positioning - HSBC is positioned as a key beneficiary of the restructuring of international supply chains and the global allocation of wealth by affluent Asian residents [1][18] - The bank's strong ROTE and high dividend yield present significant investment value [1][18]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 137.46 [8] Core Views - The company demonstrates growth potential, stable operational capabilities, and excellent shareholder returns, supported by its extensive network and licensing advantages in emerging markets [16][19] - The restructuring of global supply chains and the rising demand for cross-border wealth management are expected to provide significant growth opportunities for the company's transaction banking and wealth management businesses [4][18] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The company has a strong presence in emerging markets, with over 75% of its global branches overlapping with "Belt and Road" markets, enhancing its cross-border business foundation [16][19] - The company has shifted its operational strategy since 2015, reducing loan exposure and focusing on lower-risk sectors, resulting in a robust asset quality with a local real estate exposure of less than 1% of total loans [4][19] Business Growth Drivers - The demand for cross-border asset allocation is increasing, with the company positioned to benefit from the growth of wealth management in high-growth centers like Hong Kong, Singapore, and the UAE [3][18] - The company reported a 28% year-on-year increase in wealth management income in Q1 2025, with a significant inflow of new affluent clients [3][18] Financial Projections - The forecasted net profit for the company is USD 3.83 billion in 2025, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of double digits for wealth management income from 2025 to 2029 [5][18] - The company aims for a target price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.85 for 2025, with a target price of HKD 137.46, reflecting its growth potential despite short-term interest margin fluctuations [5][8] Risk Management - The company has effectively managed its existing risks, with a non-performing loan ratio projected to remain stable around 2.13% in the coming years [7][19] - The company’s diversified global network is expected to mitigate the impact of tariff uncertainties on its cross-border business [17][33]