克雷奇默逆流而上的发言，引起轩然大波。在当前西方舆论环境中，他的观点显得有些格格不入。他并 非一时兴起，而是多次在公开场合重申这一主张。最近一次接受采访时，他更是明确表示，一旦停火协 议达成，重启俄罗斯天然气进口必须毫不拖延。他的理由也十分直接：经济交流本身也有助于提升安全 保障。 这番言论一经提出，立即遭到反对党猛烈抨击，就连他所在的基民盟内部，也有不少成员公开表达反对 意见。起初，人们以为他可能会收敛自己的立场，但他非但没有退缩，反而更加坚定。西方对俄的限制 性措施，其中一个核心目标就是切断能源联系，而克雷奇默的主张显然与这种主流政策背道而驰。有评 论认为，他此举是在变相迎合俄罗斯，也有人担心这可能动摇西方对乌克兰支持的统一战线。在这种背 景下，敢于直言这样的话，需要相当的勇气。 克雷奇默之所以敢于逆势而行，并非没有现实依据。德国切断俄罗斯天然气供应后，一些经济问题很快 显现出来。天然气进口价格大幅上涨，这一压力迅速传导到生产和生活的各个方面。普通家庭的能源支 出明显增加，而企业的经营成本也随之攀升。尤其是那些依赖低价能源的行业，例如化工和汽车制造 业，这些都是德国经济的重要支柱。 许多企业原本计划在德国 ...

如果说这些欧洲国家的选择还有隐蔽性，那么匈牙利的情况就完全公开。总理欧尔班跑到白宫后，高调 宣布自己拿到了豁免，可以继续进口俄罗斯石油和天然气。虽然豁免时间只有一年，但这已是巨大差别 待遇。 年初的一场会谈，让土耳其成了众矢之的。美国高层直接对土耳其外长表明立场，希望它立刻停掉从俄 罗斯采购的能源。这个要求对土耳其来说，不仅是外交上的压力，更是实实在在的经济考验。 而就在美国对土耳其施压的时候，欧洲不少国家却在悄悄通过土耳其，把俄罗斯的天然气稳定送进自己 家。斯洛伐克和匈牙利更是加大从"土耳其溪"管道的进口量，有的合同一签就是十几年。 这条跨越黑海的管道，不但绕开了乌克兰战区，还省了不少运输成本。虽然欧盟口头上说要对俄罗斯进 行能源制裁，但在现实利益面前，真要放弃便宜又稳定的俄气，几乎没人愿意动这个念头。 这种表面盟友、背地里还是买方的情况，让土耳其处于进退两难的尴尬位置：送气送得卖力，挣了中转 费，却被指责在制裁上"不够纯"。 为了换来美国的点头，匈牙利同意花费巨额资金购买美国液化天然气，还让美国企业参与本国的核电站 建设。这是一笔典型的利益交换，美国看重的是经济和政治回报，而不是一刀切的制裁原则。 更关键 ...

Group 1 - The remarks by U.S. Ambassador Nicholas Burns emphasize that the U.S. must not fall behind China as the world's second superpower, indicating rising tensions in U.S.-China relations [1] - The discussions between the U.S. and China on October 25-26 covered various topics including tariff reductions and export controls, leading to some consensus, which Burns expressed dissatisfaction with [3] - Burns, representing the Democratic Party, aims to push for a more competitive stance against China, despite advocating against tariff wars [6] Group 2 - The competitive pressure on the U.S. from China has increased in various sectors, including rare earth supplies affecting U.S. manufacturing and agricultural exports facing challenges due to reduced orders from China [7] - During Trump's visit to Japan from October 27-29, agreements were made for Japan to import $8 billion worth of U.S. agricultural products, although actual compliance may be limited due to Japan's domestic political and economic constraints [9] - Japan's agricultural cooperative, which holds significant influence over agricultural policy, may resist large imports of U.S. products, potentially leading to domestic price surges and political backlash [10]

Core Points - Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán stated that despite the postponement of the scheduled meeting between the Russian and American presidents in Budapest, the meeting will eventually take place in the city [1] - Orbán emphasized that ongoing negotiations are still in progress regarding the meeting [1] - He mentioned that if peace is achieved in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, energy prices are expected to decline [1] - Orbán highlighted the importance of continuing to import Russian oil and gas for Hungary [1]

Core Viewpoint - The EU member states have reached a consensus to ban Russian natural gas by the end of 2027 [1] Group 1 - The decision reflects a unified stance among EU countries regarding energy independence from Russia [1] - The timeline set for the ban is by the end of 2027, indicating a strategic long-term approach [1]

据报道，加藤胜信在会后被记者问及有关问题时没有给出明确答复，仅称日本将继续在乌克兰问题上与其他七国集团成员国合作。 近期，特朗普政府连番威胁要对印度购买俄罗斯石油的贸易行为施加制裁。特朗普当地时间10月15日告诉记者，他已收到莫迪的保证，印度将"在短时间 内"停止购买俄罗斯石油，"这是一大步"。针对特朗普言论，印度政府发言人表示，与美国政府的讨论"正在进行"，美国政府"对深化与印度能源合作表现出 兴趣"，与此同时，印方在能源领域将优先考虑印度消费者的利益。 报道称，俄乌冲突爆发后，日本仍在进口俄罗斯天然气。美国财政部在双方官员会见结束后发表声明称，贝森特与加藤讨论了与美日经济相关的重要问题， 包括全球安全及七国集团承诺加大对俄经济施压的重要性。贝森特在社交媒体上发文进一步表示，他要求日方停止从俄罗斯购买能源产品。 【环球网报道】据日本朝日电视台报道，美国财政部长贝森特当地时间10月15日在华盛顿会见到访的日本财务大臣加藤胜信。贝森特在会见结束后表示，他 已向日方提出，停止进口俄罗斯能源。面对记者提问，日方对此没有给出明确答复。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Turkey's Energy Minister Alparslan Bayraktar stated that purchasing Russian oil is a commercial decision made by refining companies, indicating Turkey's reluctance to comply with U.S. President Trump's calls to sever energy ties with Russia [1][3]. Group 1: Turkey's Energy Strategy - The decision to import Russian oil is described as both a technical necessity and a commercial choice, given that Turkish refineries were originally built to process crude oil from neighboring regions [3]. - As winter approaches, Turkey aims to ensure gas supply from various sources without discrimination, including Russia, Azerbaijan, Iran, and Turkmenistan [3]. Group 2: U.S. Pressure and Responses - The U.S. is intensifying pressure on allies to reduce energy trade with Russia, with Trump urging Turkey to stop purchasing Russian oil during a meeting with President Erdogan [3][4]. - Hungary's Prime Minister Orban expressed concerns that abandoning Russian oil and gas would lead to economic disaster for landlocked countries like Hungary, reflecting a broader resistance among certain nations to U.S. demands [3]. Group 3: Trade Relations - Turkey is the fourth-largest trading partner of Russia, with bilateral trade reaching $52 billion last year, highlighting the economic ties that complicate the energy trade situation [4].

欧尔班指出，作为内陆国家，匈牙利没有海岸线，能源无法通过航运抵达，唯有通过管道运输。在谈及与美国总统特朗普通电话时，欧尔班表示，美国和匈 牙利都是主权国家，双方没有必要接受对方的观点。此前，特朗普在会见乌克兰总统泽连斯基时，曾提到匈牙利应结束对俄罗斯能源的依赖。（总台记者 卜卫军） 匈牙利总理欧尔班当地时间9月26日在布达佩斯接受采访时表示，根据国际货币基金组织的数据，如果没有俄罗斯天然气和石油，匈牙利经济将损失4%，数 十万家庭将破产。 ...

Group 1 - Trump did not emphasize pressuring the Kremlin to end the war during his meeting with Zelensky and at the UN, only mentioning a potential discussion with Hungarian Prime Minister Orban about halting Russian oil purchases [1] - Hungary has repeatedly stated it will continue to buy Russian oil for energy security, even if Trump requests otherwise, with the Foreign Minister labeling Western officials as "fanatics" [1] - Slovakia shares a similar stance, with its Economy Minister stating that it will not take action until a reliable alternative to Russian oil is found, as hasty actions could severely harm the economy [3] Group 2 - The EU is considering imposing tariffs on Russian oil imported through the Druzhba pipeline if Hungary and Slovakia continue their purchases, which could be passed with a majority vote rather than unanimous consent [5] - Currently, only Hungary and Slovakia are purchasing Russian oil, while several countries still buy Russian natural gas; the EU has committed to halting natural gas imports by 2027 and is making efforts to reduce purchases [5] - In July, the EU purchased €338 million worth of Russian pipeline gas, the lowest level since autumn 1999 [5] Group 3 - Trump is advocating for the EU to impose 100% tariffs on countries like India that purchase Russian oil, but the EU has rejected this proposal, stating it will act based on its own interests [8] - The EU has acknowledged past mistakes and is taking time to adjust economically; Zelensky admitted Ukraine's past reliance on cheap Russian energy was a significant error [10] - Hungary's economic growth is projected at only 0.8% this year, with per capita income at $48,600, lower than Russia's $49,300, and the government debt is 75% of GDP, necessitating 5% of GDP for interest payments [10][12] Group 4 - Orban's economic model is failing, increasing Hungary's reliance on cheap Russian energy, and he has sought economic support from Trump, who has not provided substantial assistance since returning to power [12] - Orban's party may lose the upcoming April election, with current support at 36.6%, while the opposition party led by Peter Magyar has a support rate of 45.9% [12]

Group 1 - The import volume of Russian natural gas to Europe has reached a nearly seven-month high, with daily supply increasing to 51.2 million cubic meters in September, the highest since February's peak of 54.6 million cubic meters per day [1][3] - The only operational pipeline remaining for Russian gas to Europe is the "TurkStream," which has been less affected by Ukrainian attacks due to its location primarily in third countries [3] - The increase in Russian gas exports in September is mainly driven by Greece, which has seen an 80% rise in imports since August, reaching 9 million cubic meters per day, while the volume of Russian liquefied natural gas has decreased by one-third to 6 million cubic meters per day [3] Group 2 - The dependency of European countries on Russian natural gas is highlighted, as reducing liquefied natural gas imports necessitates an increase in pipeline gas purchases, making it challenging to sever ties with Russian energy supplies [3] - As winter approaches, the demand for natural gas in Europe is expected to significantly increase, indicating that if energy ties with Russia were not severed during summer, it would be nearly impossible to do so in winter [3]