Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in 2024, with significant growth in revenue and net profit, driven by effective operational strategies and business segment performance [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 284.4 billion yuan in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 10.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.2 billion yuan, up 23.5% [1]. - In Q4 2024, revenue reached 77.56 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.8% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 2.55 billion yuan, increasing by 29.6% [1]. Business Segment Performance - The express logistics segment handled 1.326 billion packages, growing by 11.5% year-on-year, with revenue from express services reaching 122.21 billion yuan, a 5.8% increase [2]. - The economic express segment saw a revenue increase of 11.8% year-on-year, with a volume growth of 17.5% [2]. - The freight business experienced over 20% growth in volume, with revenue of 37.64 billion yuan, up 13.8% [2]. - The cold chain and pharmaceutical segments faced a decline in revenue to 9.81 billion yuan, down 4.9% due to adverse weather conditions affecting fresh produce [2]. - The same-city instant delivery service reported a revenue of 8.87 billion yuan, growing by 22.4% year-on-year [2]. Supply Chain and International Business - The company capitalized on opportunities in cross-border e-commerce and international markets, achieving a revenue of 70.49 billion yuan in this segment, up 17.5% [3]. - The company improved operational efficiency, with total operating costs of 244.81 billion yuan, a growth of 8.7%, which was lower than the revenue growth rate [3]. - The gross profit margin increased to 12.93%, up 1.11 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Cost Management and Profitability - The company effectively managed expenses, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios at 1.09%, 6.52%, 0.89%, and 0.65%, respectively, showing a decrease in most categories [3]. - The net profit margin reached 3.58%, an increase of 0.39 percentage points year-on-year, indicating significant improvement in profitability [3]. Investment Outlook - The company announced a cash dividend rate of 40% for 2024, an increase of 5 percentage points, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns [4]. - Projections for 2025-2027 indicate expected revenues of 310.52 billion yuan, 335.96 billion yuan, and 360.08 billion yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 9.2%, 8.2%, and 7.2% [4]. - Net profits for the same period are forecasted to be 11.69 billion yuan, 12.95 billion yuan, and 14.20 billion yuan, with growth rates of 15.0%, 10.8%, and 9.6% respectively [4].

Core Insights - SF Holding achieved record-high operating performance in 2024, with revenue reaching approximately 284.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of over 10%, and net profit surpassing 10 billion yuan for the first time, reaching 10.17 billion yuan, a growth of over 20% [1][3][4] Financial Performance - In 2024, SF Holding's revenue increased by 26.01 billion yuan compared to the previous year, marking a growth rate of 10.07% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 1.93 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 23.51% [3] - The company plans to distribute cash dividends exceeding 8.9 billion yuan, setting a historical high [2] Business Segments - The express delivery business generated 122.21 billion yuan in revenue, up 5.8% year-on-year, with a business volume increase of 11.8% [5] - The economic express segment reported 27.25 billion yuan in revenue, a growth of 8.8%, with a business volume increase of 17.5% [5] - The freight business achieved 37.64 billion yuan in revenue, reflecting a 13.8% increase, with cargo volume growing over 20% [5] - The cold chain and pharmaceutical segment saw a revenue decline of 4.9% to 9.81 billion yuan, primarily due to climate factors affecting seasonal fresh produce [5] - The same-city instant delivery business grew by 22.4%, generating 8.87 billion yuan [5] - Supply chain and international business revenue exceeded 70.49 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 17.5%, indicating a solid second growth curve [5] Cost Management - Structural cost reduction has been a significant factor in the net profit growth, with continuous optimization of the network and a decrease in average operating costs [6] - The comprehensive gross margin and net margin for 2024 were 13.93% and 3.59%, respectively, both showing year-on-year increases [7] Technological Innovation - SF Holding emphasizes technological empowerment, integrating advanced logistics technology to enhance operational efficiency and customer service [8] - The company has developed proprietary models for logistics decision-making and large language models, improving demand forecasting and operational decision-making [8][9] - The application of automation technologies, such as AGV and RPA, has optimized business processes and enhanced network efficiency [8][9] R&D Investment - Since 2020, SF Holding has invested over 3 billion yuan annually in research and development [10] - As of the end of 2024, the company holds 4,180 active and pending patents, with 2,505 software copyrights, of which 61.5% are invention patents [10] - The company aims to accelerate industry transformation by shifting from a "product-selling" model to a "solution-selling" model, expanding its supply chain capabilities [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Strong Buy" (maintained) [1][2]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 10.17 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.5%, with a net profit margin of 3.6%. The outlook for the company's net profit margin is positive, indicating a sustained improvement [1][5]. - The target price is set at 56.3 RMB, with the current price at 42.04 RMB, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 34% [2][5]. - The company has shown resilience in its core express delivery demand, maintaining growth above GDP levels despite macroeconomic pressures. The transition from selling products to providing industry solutions is expected to enhance service penetration [5][10]. - The company has implemented operational changes that have reduced costs and improved efficiency, including a new operational model that has shortened the average distance for delivery personnel by 38% [5][10]. - The international business segment is anticipated to contribute positively to profits, with significant growth in air cargo throughput at Ezhou Airport [5][10]. Financial Summary - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 284.42 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 10.1%. The express logistics segment generated revenue of 205.8 billion RMB, up 7.7% [5][6]. - The company reported a quarterly net profit of 2.55 billion RMB in Q4 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 29.6% [5][9]. - The company plans to distribute a total cash dividend of approximately 4.104 billion RMB for the year, with a payout ratio of 40% [5][10]. - The company’s operating data indicates a total express delivery volume of 13.26 billion pieces in 2024, an increase of 11.5% year-on-year [5][9]. - The company’s financial forecasts for 2025 to 2027 predict a net profit of 11.67 billion RMB, 13.70 billion RMB, and 15.60 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.34, 2.75, and 3.13 RMB [6][11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in domestic business and has opened up opportunities in international markets [2] - The company's profitability and cash flow have maintained high growth, indicating an improvement in profit efficiency and value enhancement [2][3] - The company plans to increase its cash dividend payout ratio, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns [8] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 284.42 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.07%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.17 billion yuan, up 23.51% year-on-year [3][10] - The company's net profit margin for 2024 was approximately 3.58%, an increase of 0.39 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The express delivery and large parcel segment generated revenue of approximately 200.16 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.10%, with a net profit of approximately 10.98 billion yuan, up 29.91% [4] - The instant delivery segment saw revenue of approximately 9.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.24%, with net profit doubling to approximately 132 million yuan [5] - The supply chain and international segment reported revenue of approximately 74.00 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.72%, but a net loss of approximately 1.32 billion yuan [5] Capital Expenditure and Cash Flow - The peak period for capital expenditure has passed, with 2024 capital expenditure at 9.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 27% year-on-year [6] - Operating cash flow for 2024 was 32.2 billion yuan, an increase of 21% year-on-year, and free cash flow rose by 70% to 22.3 billion yuan [7] Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 4.4 yuan per 10 shares for the 2024 fiscal year, with an expected total dividend payout of approximately 4.1 billion yuan, representing a payout ratio of about 40% [8] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 11.91 billion yuan, 14.26 billion yuan, and 16.85 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 17.1%, 19.8%, and 18.1% [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in domestic business and opened up opportunities in international markets [2] - The report highlights that the company's profit and cash flow maintain high growth, indicating an improvement in profitability efficiency [2][3] - The company is expected to have a significant long-term value potential as a leading integrated express logistics provider [9] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 284.42 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.07%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.17 billion yuan, up 23.51% year-on-year [3][10] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a net profit of 2.55 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.61% [3] - The company's net profit margin for 2024 was approximately 3.58%, an increase of 0.39 percentage points year-on-year [3] Segment Performance Summary - The express and freight segment generated revenue of approximately 200.16 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.10%, with a net profit of about 10.98 billion yuan, up 29.91% [4] - The same-city instant delivery segment saw revenue of approximately 9.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.24%, with net profit doubling to 132 million yuan [5] - The supply chain and international segment reported revenue of approximately 74.00 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.72%, but a net loss of 1.32 billion yuan [5] Cash Flow and Capital Expenditure - The peak period of capital expenditure has passed, with 2024 capital expenditure at 9.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 27% year-on-year [6] - Operating cash flow for 2024 was 32.2 billion yuan, an increase of 21% year-on-year, while free cash flow surged by 70% to 22.3 billion yuan [7] Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 4.4 yuan per 10 shares for the end of 2024, with an expected total dividend amount of approximately 4.1 billion yuan, representing a payout ratio of about 40% [8] Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 11.91 billion yuan, 14.26 billion yuan, and 16.85 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 17.1%, 19.8%, and 18.1% [9][10]