东吴证券8月19日发布研报称，给予蔚蓝锂芯（002245.SZ，最新价：18.49元）买入评级，目标价格为 26元。评级理由主要包括：1）中报业绩符合市场预期；2）Q2出货近1.8亿颗，环增30%，单颗盈利升 至0.6元；3）新领域布局放量在即，推出半固态圆柱新品；4）LED业务盈利亮眼，金属物流保持稳 健；5）25年Q2费用率环比下滑，经营现金流同比转正。风险提示：下游需求不及预期，原材料价格波 动，市场竞争加剧。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Macro Strategy - The "Great Beautiful Act" has been quickly implemented, but its distribution effects and the tightening fiscal impact from excluding extended and expanded tax cuts limit its growth stimulus for the US economy [1][24] - The act's characteristic of "increasing deficits first, reducing deficits later" implies a risk of a "fiscal cliff" around 2028 [1][24] - In the short term, concerns about the impact of US Treasury issuance on market liquidity and yield premiums are not excessive; however, the long-term path dependency of unsustainable US government debt makes it difficult for Treasury yield premiums to decrease [1][24] Fixed Income - The "stock-bond seesaw" effect is evident as the stock market stabilizes, influencing bond yields; the 10-year government bond yield rose from 1.641% to 1.666% during the week [3][5] - The bond market's reaction to Trump's threats of additional tariffs on BRICS countries was muted, indicating a limited impact on bond yields [3][5] - The bond yield's upward trend is expected to continue, influenced by stock market performance, but the extent of the increase is likely to be limited [5] Industry Insights - Wanda Film's diversified layout in esports and concert live streaming is expected to create new growth points, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 1.0 billion, 1.24 billion, and 1.44 billion yuan, respectively [8] - Lianlian Digital is projected to achieve a reasonable P/S valuation of 8.0x and 7.0x for 2025 and 2026, respectively, as it continues to expand its business [10] - Youyou Foods has revised its profit forecast upwards, expecting net profits of 232 million, 285 million, and 329 million yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting a growth rate of 47.2%, 23.2%, and 15.3% [11] - Siyi Electric's net profit for the first half of 2025 is expected to be 1.293 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 46%, driven by strong overseas orders [14][15] - The energy sector, represented by Furan Energy, anticipates stable growth in natural gas supply and a steady increase in new energy business, with net profit forecasts of 872 million, 922 million, and 976 million yuan for 2025-2027 [12] - The lithium battery sector, represented by Weilan Lithium Core, has revised its profit expectations upwards, forecasting net profits of 750 million, 1 billion, and 1.31 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting significant growth [13] - The pharmaceutical sector, represented by Lianbang Pharmaceutical, is expected to see revenue growth driven by innovative drug development, with net profits projected at 3.11 billion, 3.10 billion, and 3.38 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [21]

LED 业务盈利亮眼，金属物流保持稳健。公司LED 业务25Q2 贡献利润超5 千万元，环增15%，盈利表 现亮眼，随着下游需求持续回暖，高端产品占比提升，我们预计全年贡献利润1.5-2.0 亿元，同增 35%+，此外公司已推出CSP 芯片级封装产品，26-27 年有望贡献增长点；公司金属物流业务25Q2 贡献 利润4 千万元，环比微增，我们预计25 年有望贡献利润1.7 亿元+，持续贡献稳定现金流。 盈利预测与投资评级：考虑到公司业绩超预期，我们上修25-27 年归母净利预期7.5/10.0/13.1 亿元（此 前预期6.5/8.2/10.5 亿元），同比+55%/+33%/+31%，对应PE 为21x/16x/12x，给予25 年30x PE，对应目 标价20 元，维持"买入"评级。 风险提示：下游需求不及预期，原材料价格波动，市场竞争加剧。 公司Q2 业绩超市场预期。公司H1 实现归母净利3.0-3.6 亿元，同增79%~115%，扣非净利3.2-3.8 亿元， 同增156%~204%；其中Q2 实现归母净利1.6-2.2 亿元，同增63%~125%，环增11%~54%，扣非净利1.7- 2.3 亿元， ...