Core Insights - Since the "14th Five-Year Plan," China's foreign exchange market has shown resilience and stability, with significant growth in cross-border capital flows and the international influence of the Renminbi [1][2][3] Group 1: Foreign Exchange Market Performance - The foreign exchange market's trading volume is projected to reach $41 trillion by 2024, a 37.4% increase from 2020 [1] - The scale of cross-border receipts and payments is expected to be $14 trillion by 2024, reflecting a 64% growth compared to 2020 [1] - The net inflow of foreign investment into China from 2021 to mid-2025 is over $740 billion [2] Group 2: International Balance of Payments - China's international balance of payments has maintained basic equilibrium, with steady increases in foreign financial assets and liabilities [2] - The average annual scale of goods trade imports and exports from 2021 to 2024 is nearly $6 trillion, a 43% increase compared to the "13th Five-Year Plan" [2] - The net foreign assets of China stand at $3.8 trillion, ranking third globally [2] Group 3: Resilience and Risk Management - The resilience of the foreign exchange market has improved, enhancing its ability to withstand external shocks [3] - The percentage of enterprises using foreign exchange hedging has increased from 17% in 2020 to around 30% [3] - The share of Renminbi in cross-border trade has risen from 16% to nearly 30% [3] Group 4: Efficient Allocation of Foreign Exchange Resources - The foreign exchange market has developed a comprehensive product system, including spot, forward, swap, and options [4] - By mid-2023, 703 banks and 115 non-bank institutions, including 296 foreign institutions, participated in the interbank foreign exchange market [4] - The Renminbi has maintained its position as the fifth most traded currency globally, with a market share of 8.5%, an increase of 1.5 percentage points from 2022 [4] Group 5: Policy Enhancements for Enterprises - The foreign exchange management authority has focused on optimizing policies to benefit enterprises and the public [5] - Since 2021, policies for facilitating high-quality enterprises have been upgraded, with approximately $4.7 trillion in facilitation transactions processed by September 2025 [6] - The implementation of a "one-stop" service for trade foreign exchange business has streamlined processes for enterprises [6] Group 6: Future Directions - The foreign exchange management authority aims to balance trade facilitation and risk prevention, enhancing public awareness of policy benefits [7]

Core Insights - The foreign exchange market in China is projected to reach a trading volume of $41 trillion in 2024, representing a 37.4% increase from 2020 [1] - The scale of cross-border receipts and payments is expected to be $14 trillion in 2024, marking a 64% growth compared to 2020 [1] - From 2021 to mid-2025, net foreign investment inflow into China is anticipated to exceed $740 billion [1] Group 1: International Balance of Payments - China's international balance of payments has maintained basic equilibrium, which is crucial for promoting internal and external economic balance [2] - The average annual scale of goods trade imports and exports from 2021 to 2024 is nearly $6 trillion, a 43% increase compared to the average during the 13th Five-Year Plan [2] - The net foreign investment inflow into China from 2021 to mid-2025 is over $740 billion, with external financial assets exceeding $11 trillion and liabilities over $7.2 trillion by mid-2025 [2] Group 2: Resilience of the Foreign Exchange Market - The resilience of the foreign exchange market has improved, enhancing its ability to withstand external shocks [3] - The percentage of enterprises using foreign exchange hedging has increased from 17% in 2020 to approximately 30% [3] - The share of the renminbi in cross-border trade has risen from 16% to nearly 30%, significantly reducing foreign exchange risk exposure for enterprises [3] Group 3: Efficient Allocation of Foreign Exchange Resources - The foreign exchange market has become more complete and deeper, with a variety of products available, including spot, forward, swap, and options [4] - As of mid-2023, 703 banks and 115 non-bank institutions are participating in the interbank foreign exchange market, including 296 foreign institutions [4] - The renminbi has maintained its position as the fifth most traded currency globally, with a global trading share of 8.5%, an increase of 1.5 percentage points since 2022 [4] Group 4: Benefits for Enterprises and Citizens - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange has focused on optimizing policy supply to enhance convenience for enterprises and citizens during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [5] - By September 2025, approximately $4.7 trillion in convenience-related transactions have been processed nationwide [6] - The introduction of a "one-stop" service for trade foreign exchange business management aims to reduce the administrative burden on enterprises [6]

Core Insights - The overall international balance of payments in China has remained stable, with a reasonable current account surplus and active cross-border investment and financing [1][2][3] Group 1: International Balance of Payments - The maintenance of a balanced international payment is crucial for macroeconomic stability, especially in the context of complex external environments [2] - Since the beginning of the 14th Five-Year Plan, China's international balance of payments has remained fundamentally balanced, with foreign financial assets and liabilities steadily increasing [2][4] - As of now, China's foreign exchange reserves are maintained at over $3.2 trillion [2] Group 2: Cross-Border Trade and Investment - Cross-border trade has shown strong resilience, with the current account surplus remaining within a reasonable range [3] - From 2021 to 2024, the average annual scale of goods trade imports and exports is close to $6 trillion, representing a nearly 43% increase compared to the previous five years [3] - Foreign direct investment in China has netted over $740 billion from 2021 to mid-2025, while domestic entities' outbound investments have also increased [4] Group 3: Foreign Exchange Market Development - The resilience of the foreign exchange market has improved, enhancing the ability to withstand external shocks [5] - The proportion of enterprises using foreign exchange hedging has increased from 17% in 2020 to around 30% [5] - The trading volume of China's foreign exchange market reached $41 trillion in 2024, a 37.4% increase from 2020 [6][7] Group 4: Statistical Improvements - The transparency of international balance of payments statistics has been steadily improved, with expanded data dimensions and historical data availability [8][9] - A new statistical framework has been established to enhance the quality and comprehensiveness of data collection and reporting [9][10] - China has actively participated in the formulation of global statistical rules, contributing to international financial governance [10]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange are revising the interim regulations on the interbank foreign exchange market to enhance regulation and support the real economy, with a draft open for public consultation until September 21, 2025 [1][3]. Summary by Sections Regulation Enhancement - The new regulations aim to strengthen oversight of the interbank foreign exchange market, with comprehensive management requirements and penalties for various market participants [4][5]. Comprehensive Market Supervision - A full-chain market supervision system will be established, covering operational management, trader management, legal agreements, market maker management, information exchange, disclosure, data services, and self-regulation [4][5]. Infrastructure Management - The regulations will clarify the responsibilities and cooperation mechanisms of the foreign exchange market infrastructure, including transaction and clearing qualifications and supervision duties [4]. Business Boundaries for Participants - The regulations will define the market entry scope, basic conditions, and business principles for financial institutions, allowing them to independently decide on risk mitigation services [4][6]. Forward-looking Management - The regulations reflect a proactive approach to market trends, aiming to enhance the management of the foreign exchange market by utilizing modern technologies for data analysis and risk detection [6].