Core Insights - The Chinese cheese industry is experiencing significant growth, driven by consumer demand for high-quality, nutritious products and supported by favorable policies [2][3][4] - Miaokelan Duo aims to achieve cumulative revenue of 19.9 billion yuan over three years, focusing on product innovation and market penetration to elevate the cheese consumption trend in China [1][6] Group 1: Market Potential - As of 2023, China's retail cheese consumption has reached parity with Japan, yet per capita consumption remains low at 200 grams compared to 2000 grams in Japan, indicating substantial growth potential [2][3] - The cheese market in China is projected to exceed 30 billion yuan by 2025, supported by government initiatives and increasing consumer health awareness [2][3] Group 2: Company Strategy - Miaokelan Duo is implementing a dual-driven strategy (B+C) to enhance brand value and product matrix, aiming to lead the transition from milk consumption to cheese consumption [1][6] - The company has established a comprehensive supply chain and quality management system to ensure product safety and innovation in cheese production [1][5] Group 3: Financial Performance - In 2024, Miaokelan Duo reported revenue of 4.844 billion yuan, with a 6.92% increase in cheese business revenue and a significant net profit growth of 89.16% [6] - The company aims for a cumulative revenue of no less than 19.9 billion yuan and a net profit of at least 990 million yuan from 2025 to 2027 [6][7] Group 4: Industry Trends - The cheese segment is recognized as a rapidly growing and active market within the dairy industry, with retail cheese product sales growing at an annual rate of 21% from 2015 to 2022 [3][4] - The industry is shifting towards high-value, refined processing of dairy products, with a focus on original cheese production and innovative snack products [2][5]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese dairy industry is undergoing a deep adjustment period, with traditional liquid milk consumption growth slowing down, while cheese is emerging as a high-growth segment driven by consumption upgrades and policy support, becoming a new battleground for leading dairy companies [1][2]. Industry Overview - The dairy sector has shown significant differentiation in the capital market, with traditional liquid milk giants like Yili and Mengniu experiencing stock price declines of around 3% to 4%, while companies like China Feihe and Miaokelando in the cheese segment have seen stock price increases of over 5% and 64% respectively, indicating positive market expectations for cheese [1]. - The cheese market in China is still in its early development stage, with a current consumer penetration rate of less than one-third, significantly lower than that of low-temperature yogurt [2][4]. Company Performance - Miaokelando reported a revenue of 1.233 billion yuan in Q1, a year-on-year increase of 6.26%, with a net profit of 82.4 million yuan, marking a substantial year-on-year growth of 114.88% [4]. - The company aims to achieve a cumulative revenue of no less than 19.9 billion yuan and a net profit of no less than 990 million yuan from 2025 to 2027, reflecting confidence in consumer recovery and industry growth [6]. Market Dynamics - The current low price of raw milk presents a rare opportunity for companies to optimize their cost structures, with the average price of fresh milk in major production areas dropping to 3.06 yuan per kilogram, a decrease of 8.4% year-on-year [4][5]. - The dairy industry has entered a phase of oversupply since 2018, primarily due to a lack of product diversity and saturation in overall milk consumption [4]. Strategic Initiatives - Miaokelando is focusing on enhancing its cheese production capabilities, with plans for a new factory in Jilin expected to be operational next year to improve supply chain efficiency and cost competitiveness [2]. - The company is adopting a dual strategy targeting both B-end (industrial catering) and C-end (household consumption) markets, with C-end expected to contribute approximately 65% and B-end around 35% of its business by 2024 [7]. Retail Trends - The retail landscape is undergoing significant changes, with emerging channels like membership stores and snack retailers gaining traction, prompting Miaokelando to adapt its strategies to align with these trends [7]. - The company is committed to deepening its engagement with new retail channels and optimizing traditional e-commerce operations to capture market opportunities [8].