近年来，中国香氛市场持续火热。以香水产品为例，艾媒咨询发布的《2024—2025年中国香水行业研究 及消费者洞察报告》显示，2023年中国香水市场规模已达到207亿元，同比增长22.5%，预计到2029年 有望达到515亿元。 不过，本土香氛产业在成长过程中仍面临诸多挑战。王春娟表示，本土香氛品牌在调香工艺、原料溯源 体系方面存在一定短板。为解决这一问题，国内香精香料企业可加大对高端香氛原料的研发力度，以抢 抓"嗅觉经济"发展机遇；有能力的香氛品牌则可通过自建供应链、招聘优秀调香师等方式解决产品在香 气上的"卡脖子"难题。 中国民协新质生产力委员会秘书长吴高斌对《证券日报》记者表示，"嗅觉经济"是新消费的重要表现。 中国香氛市场的崛起不仅能推动国内香氛产业链的完善与升级，还能满足消费者的个性化需求，有助于 激发消费潜力，促进消费市场繁荣。 中关村物联网产业联盟副秘书长袁帅则表示，国际香精巨头往往更重视订单量大的香氛品牌，因此本土 香氛品牌可通过提升品牌声量、扩大市场份额等方式，增强与国际原料供应商合作时的话语权，进而提 升自身供应链的稳定性和自主性，为产业高质量发展筑牢根基。 在市场红利的驱动下，各类企业纷纷 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue and profit growth for the first half of 2025, aligning with previous forecasts, driven by robust sales in the cosmetics and skincare segments [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.59 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 670 million yuan, up 36.1% [1] - Adjusted net profit for H1 2025 was also 670 million yuan, reflecting a 32.0% year-on-year growth [1] - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 84.2%, a slight decrease of 0.7 percentage points compared to the previous year [2] Business Segments - Revenue breakdown for H1 2025 showed cosmetics at 1.42 billion yuan, skincare at 1.01 billion yuan, fragrance at 10 million yuan, and makeup training and sales at 70 million yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of +31.1% and +33.4% for cosmetics and skincare [1] - The gross margins for cosmetics, skincare, fragrance, and makeup training were 82.7%, 87.5%, 77.6%, and 62.9%, with declines in cosmetics and skincare margins of 0.9 and 0.2 percentage points respectively [1] Channel Performance - Online and offline channels generated revenues of 1.30 billion yuan and 1.22 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +39.0% and +26.6% [2] - Online sales accounted for 51.4% of total revenue, while offline sales made up 48.6% [2] - Membership numbers reached 13.4 million online and 5.6 million offline, with online and offline repurchase rates of 24.1% and 30.3%, reflecting increases of 2.6 and 1.6 percentage points year-on-year [2] Product Development - The company launched new products in the cosmetics and skincare segments, with flagship items generating significant sales, including over 200 million yuan for luxury caviar cushion and soft-focus powder [3] - The newly introduced fragrance series "Guo Yun Ning Xiang" and "Wen Dao Dong Fang" expanded the product portfolio [3] Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company is recognized as a rare high-end beauty brand in China, with an upgraded profit forecast for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of 1.20 billion, 1.52 billion, and 1.91 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of +36.6%, +26.7%, and +25.2% [3] - The latest closing price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 35, 28, and 22 for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a significant growth in revenue and profit in H1 2025, with total revenue reaching 2.59 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.3%, and net profit attributable to the parent company at 670 million yuan, up 36.1% year-on-year [7] - The product matrix has been upgraded, leading to strong sales growth in both makeup and skincare segments, with makeup and skincare revenues growing by 31.1% and 33.4% respectively [7] - The company is recognized as a rare high-end beauty brand in China, with a unique beauty academy model and a professional makeup artist team enhancing the offline experience [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2023A, 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 2,886 million, 3,885 million, 5,151 million, 6,523 million, and 8,161 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 57.78%, 34.61%, 32.60%, 26.63%, and 25.12% [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 661.93 million, 880.61 million, 1,202.82 million, 1,523.81 million, and 1,908.32 million yuan for the same years, with year-on-year growth rates of 88.00%, 33.04%, 36.59%, 26.69%, and 25.23% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2025E is projected at 2.45 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 34.88, 27.53, and 21.98 for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E respectively [1]