Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue and profit growth for the first half of 2025, aligning with previous forecasts, driven by robust sales in the cosmetics and skincare segments [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.59 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 670 million yuan, up 36.1% [1] - Adjusted net profit for H1 2025 was also 670 million yuan, reflecting a 32.0% year-on-year growth [1] - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 84.2%, a slight decrease of 0.7 percentage points compared to the previous year [2] Business Segments - Revenue breakdown for H1 2025 showed cosmetics at 1.42 billion yuan, skincare at 1.01 billion yuan, fragrance at 10 million yuan, and makeup training and sales at 70 million yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of +31.1% and +33.4% for cosmetics and skincare [1] - The gross margins for cosmetics, skincare, fragrance, and makeup training were 82.7%, 87.5%, 77.6%, and 62.9%, with declines in cosmetics and skincare margins of 0.9 and 0.2 percentage points respectively [1] Channel Performance - Online and offline channels generated revenues of 1.30 billion yuan and 1.22 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +39.0% and +26.6% [2] - Online sales accounted for 51.4% of total revenue, while offline sales made up 48.6% [2] - Membership numbers reached 13.4 million online and 5.6 million offline, with online and offline repurchase rates of 24.1% and 30.3%, reflecting increases of 2.6 and 1.6 percentage points year-on-year [2] Product Development - The company launched new products in the cosmetics and skincare segments, with flagship items generating significant sales, including over 200 million yuan for luxury caviar cushion and soft-focus powder [3] - The newly introduced fragrance series "Guo Yun Ning Xiang" and "Wen Dao Dong Fang" expanded the product portfolio [3] Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company is recognized as a rare high-end beauty brand in China, with an upgraded profit forecast for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of 1.20 billion, 1.52 billion, and 1.91 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of +36.6%, +26.7%, and +25.2% [3] - The latest closing price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 35, 28, and 22 for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company has demonstrated strong and rapid growth in its performance, with significant increases in both revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year [1][4]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 2.588 billion with a year-on-year growth of 31.3%, and a net profit of 670 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 36.1% [1]. - Adjusted net profit stood at 672 million, marking a year-on-year growth of 32.0%, with an adjusted net profit margin of 26.0%, up by 0.2 percentage points [1]. Product Category Performance - In the cosmetics segment, revenue reached 1.422 billion, growing by 31.1%, with luxury products like caviar cushion and soft-focus powder both exceeding 200 million in sales [1]. - The skincare segment generated 1.087 billion, up by 33.4%, with key products like caviar masks and black cream achieving sales of 600 million and 200 million respectively [1]. - The newly expanded fragrance category generated 110 million, while the makeup artistry training business saw revenue of 67 million, down by 5.9% due to a deliberate reduction in enrollment [1]. Channel Performance - Online channels generated 1.297 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 39.0%, with direct online sales contributing 1.024 billion, also up by 39.0% [2]. - Offline channels achieved revenue of 1.224 billion, growing by 26.6%, with direct offline sales at 1.094 billion, up by 25.0% [2]. - The company operated 437 counters, adding 28 new ones, with comparable counter average revenue increasing to 2.9 million, a year-on-year growth of 21% [2]. - Member repurchase rates for online and offline channels improved to 24.1% and 30.3%, respectively, with increases of 2.6 percentage points and 1.6 percentage points [2]. Profitability - The company's gross margin and net margin for the first half of 2025 were 84.2% and 25.9%, respectively, with a decrease in gross margin by 0.7 percentage points and an increase in net margin by 0.9 percentage points [3]. - The gross margins for cosmetics and skincare were 82.7% and 87.5%, reflecting declines of 0.9 and 0.2 percentage points, respectively, primarily due to increased product costs and training expenses [3]. - Sales and marketing expense ratio, administrative expenses, and R&D expense ratio were 45.2%, 5.3%, and 0.6%, showing decreases of 2.3 percentage points, 1.5 percentage points, and 0.2 percentage points, respectively [3]. Investment Outlook - The company is expected to maintain strong mid-term performance, with rapid growth in both revenue and profit, supported by its strong brand and continuous product innovation [4]. - The company aims for synergistic development in cosmetics and skincare while expanding into the fragrance category [4]. - Online revenue has surpassed offline for the first time, indicating a shift in the sales strategy [4].

证券研究报告·海外公司点评·美容护理 毛戈平（01318.HK） 2025 年半年报点评：25H1 归母净利同比 +36.1%，产品矩阵推新升级带动增长 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 2,886 | 3,885 | 5,151 | 6,523 | 8,161 | | 同比(%) | 57.78 | 34.61 | 32.60 | 26.63 | 25.12 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 661.93 | 880.61 | 1,202.82 | 1,523.81 | 1,908.32 | | 同比(%) | 88.00 | 33.04 | 36.59 | 26.69 | 25.23 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.35 | 1.80 | 2.45 | 3.11 | 3.89 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 63.38 | 47.64 | 34.88 | 27.53 | 21. ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Mao Geping, reported a strong revenue growth of 31.3% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, but the growth rate has slowed compared to over 40% in the same period of 2024 [1][4]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 2.588 billion yuan, with a net profit of 670 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 36.1% [1]. - The overall gross margin was 84.2%, showing a slight decline compared to the same period last year [1]. - Product sales remained the core driver of performance, generating 2.521 billion yuan in revenue, a 32.7% increase year-on-year, accounting for 97.4% of total revenue [4]. Market Expansion - The company has entered the fragrance market, launching two high-end perfume series, which achieved sales of 35,000 units in just over a month, contributing 11.41 million yuan to total sales [6]. - International sales saw a significant increase of 503.1% year-on-year, although they still represent a small portion of total revenue at only 0.05% [4]. Sales Channels - Online and offline sales were relatively balanced, with cosmetic sales of 1.224 billion yuan online and 1.297 billion yuan offline, reflecting year-on-year growth of 26.6% and 39.0%, respectively [5]. - The company has established over 405 self-operated counters and 32 distributor counters across more than 120 cities in China [5]. Industry Context - The overall growth of the Chinese beauty market is slowing, with high-end and differentiated products becoming the focus of competition [7]. - The fragrance market is seen as a key growth area, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 15% from 2018 to 2023, indicating significant potential for expansion [6][7]. - The company aims to develop a second growth curve through its fragrance and international market strategies, which are crucial for its future development [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 2.588 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 31.3%, while net profit increased by 36.1% to 670 million yuan, indicating a slowdown compared to over 40% growth in the same period of 2024 [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 2.588 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 31.3% [1]. - Net profit for the same period was 670 million yuan, up 36.1% year-on-year [1]. - The overall gross margin was 84.2%, showing a slight decline compared to the previous year [1]. - Product sales revenue was 2.521 billion yuan, a 32.7% increase, accounting for 97.4% of total revenue [5]. - The skincare segment also saw significant growth, with revenue increasing by over 30% [5]. Market Expansion - The company has entered the fragrance market, launching two high-end perfume series, which achieved sales of 35,000 units in just over a month, contributing 11.41 million yuan to total sales [7]. - International sales revenue surged by 503.1% year-on-year, although it still represents a small portion of total sales at only 0.05% [6]. - The company plans to strategically expand into overseas markets through department store counters and online stores [6]. Stock Performance - The company's stock price fell to 94.05 HKD per share on August 28, 2025, a decrease of 2.49%, resulting in a market capitalization of 46.1 billion HKD, down over 16 billion HKD from its peak in June [2]. Industry Context - The overall growth of the Chinese beauty market is slowing, with high-end and differentiated products becoming the focus of competition [8]. - The fragrance market is seen as a key growth area, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 15% from 2018 to 2023, and expected to exceed 44 billion yuan by 2028 [7][8]. - The company aims to maintain high market valuation by continuously exploring new growth avenues beyond makeup and skincare [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2025, but the growth rate has slowed compared to the previous year, prompting a search for new growth avenues, particularly in the fragrance market [2][3][7]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 2.588 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.3% - Net profit was 670 million yuan, up 36.1% year-on-year - Overall gross margin stood at 84.2%, slightly down from the same period last year [2][3]. Product Sales - Product sales remain the core driver of the company's performance, with sales revenue of 2.521 billion yuan, a 32.7% increase year-on-year, accounting for 97.4% of total revenue - Makeup products contributed 55% of sales, while skincare products also saw over 30% growth, with key products generating significant retail revenue [3][4]. International Expansion - The company is strategically entering overseas markets, planning to establish department store counters and online stores to increase visibility - International sales revenue surged by 503.1% year-on-year, although it still represents a small portion of total sales at only 0.05% [4][6]. Fragrance Market Entry - The company launched two high-end fragrance series, "Guo Yun Ning Xiang" and "Wen Dao Dong Fang," marking its entry into the fragrance market - In just over a month, the fragrance products sold 35,000 units, generating revenue of 11.413 million yuan, which is 0.4% of total sales [5][6]. Industry Context - The overall growth of the Chinese beauty market is slowing, with high-end and differentiated products becoming competitive focal points - The company aims to maintain high market valuation by exploring new growth avenues, particularly in the fragrance sector and international markets [7].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2025, but the growth rate has slowed compared to the previous year, prompting a search for new growth avenues, particularly in the fragrance market and international expansion [1][2][6]. Financial Performance - The company achieved revenue of 2.588 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.3%, and a net profit of 670 million yuan, up 36.1% [1]. - The overall gross margin was 84.2%, showing a slight decline compared to the same period last year [1]. - Product sales revenue reached 2.521 billion yuan, a 32.7% increase, accounting for 97.4% of total revenue [2]. Market Expansion - The company is strategically entering overseas markets by establishing department store counters and online stores, and is working on partnerships with global high-end department stores [3]. - International sales saw a significant increase of 503.1% year-on-year, although they still represent a small portion of total sales at only 0.05% [2][3]. Product Development - The company launched two high-end fragrance series, "Guo Yun Ning Xiang" and "Wen Dao Dong Fang," with initial sales of 35,000 units in just over a month, contributing 11.41 million yuan to total sales [4]. - The average selling price of the fragrances was 322.3 yuan per unit, with a gross margin of 77.6% [4]. Industry Context - The Chinese beauty market is experiencing a slowdown in overall growth, with high-end and differentiated products becoming the focus of competition [6]. - The fragrance market is seen as a key growth area, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 15% from 2018 to 2023, and expected to exceed 44 billion yuan by 2028 [4][6].