国货高端美妆龙头渠道调研-反馈 20251114 摘要 毛戈平线上销售额预计年底超 20 亿元，全年增长 30%-40%；线下销 售增长约 25%，下半年延续强劲增长势头，表明公司整体业务扩张稳健。 公司通过成熟的会员体系和运营推动同店增长，上半年同店增速约 18%，预计下半年保持两位数增长，得益于线上引流和会员服务升级。 2025 年毛戈平推出香氛产品，并稳步推进护肤品类发展，香水产品抓 住 00 后市场风口，奢华鱼子面膜和黑霜等新品显现销售潜力。 线上渠道有效拉新，抖音平台吸引大量年轻用户，约 75%已消费， 20%-30%转化为线下消费者，提升品牌年轻化和门店转化率。 未来几年，公司关注经典大单品复购提升，如奢华鱼子面膜、无痕粉底 膏，通过会员服务和线上平台吸引年轻用户。 公司持续观察香氛系列和黑霜等护肤新品的发展趋势，这些新品决定公 司未来几年的持续成长能力，对长期业务扩张至关重要。 Q&A 今年以来，毛戈平在线上和线下渠道的销售情况如何？ 2025 年，毛戈平无论在线上还是线下渠道都维持了快速增长。在线上方面， 尤其是在抖音平台，今年双十一期间实现了 50%以上的增长，预计全年增速在 45%至 50 ...

国货高端美妆龙头渠道调研-反馈 20251114 摘要 毛戈平公司的核心优势在于其成熟的会员体系和会员运营，这对同店增长起到 了重要作用。今年上半年，同店增速约为 18%，预计下半年仍能保持两位数以 上的同比增长。在国内商场业态中，这种同店增速表现优于大部分化妆品品牌 甚至其他类型品牌。这背后有两个核心驱动因素：一是线上渠道拓展带来的新 客流量，通过线上引流到线下消费；二是通过各种会员服务升级来延续老客购 买频次和粘性。例如，美妆沙龙活动不仅巩固高端客户粘性，还能带来显著销 售额。此外，公司还不断升级线下门店，包括位置调整和面积扩张，从而提升 同店业绩。 毛戈平在品类拓展方面有哪些进展？ 在品类拓展方面，2025 年毛戈平推出了香氛产品，并稳步推进护肤品类的发 展。香水产品顺应市场需求变化，特别是 00 后消费者对香水使用频次较高， 有望抓住这一风口。目前公司推出的两个系列香水产品已显示出一定市场接受 度。护肤品类方面，公司最大的单品奢华鱼子面膜表现良好，同时一些新单品 如黑霜也开始显现销售潜力。这些新品虽然目前占比不高，但它们决定了公司 未来几年的持续增长潜力。 毛戈平如何利用线上渠道拉新用户并转化到线下消 ...

Core Insights - MAOGEPING, a domestic beauty brand, successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange after eight years of attempts, raising over HKD 2.1 billion and attracting six cornerstone investors [1][5][27]. Financial Performance - MAOGEPING's comprehensive gross profit margin has consistently exceeded the industry average, reaching RMB 2.448 billion in 2023 [2][14]. - The brand's skincare revenue grew from RMB 469 million in 2021 to RMB 1.16 billion in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate of 57.3% [12][30]. - The overall revenue for MAOGEPING was RMB 2.879 billion in 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 57.8% [30]. Business Model - MAOGEPING employs a dual sales strategy combining high-end department store direct sales and e-commerce, which differentiates it from competitors [3][20]. - The company plans to allocate approximately 25% of its IPO proceeds to expand its sales network and 20% for brand building [6][29]. Market Positioning - MAOGEPING aims to transition from a "makeup brand" to a "high-end beauty brand," aspiring to become a representative of Chinese brands in the international high-end beauty sector [8][34]. - The brand's flagship product line, MAOGEPING, accounted for 99% of total revenue in 2023, indicating a strong reliance on a single brand [15][30]. Challenges and Opportunities - The company has faced significant challenges in its IPO journey, primarily due to external factors, including issues with a major shareholder, which have now been resolved [23][26]. - Despite its successful listing, MAOGEPING must enhance its product development capabilities, as its R&D expenditure has historically been low [34][36]. - The high-end beauty market in China is projected to grow significantly, with expectations of reaching approximately RMB 300 billion by 2027, presenting a substantial opportunity for MAOGEPING [45].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Mao Geping, is leveraging the growing young consumer demographic that values experience and emotional connection in purchasing decisions, leading to a strong performance in the Hong Kong new consumption sector [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Mao Geping achieved total revenue of 2.588 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 31.3%, indicating continuous business expansion [2] - The company's net profit grew by 36.1% to 670 million RMB, with profit growth outpacing revenue growth, reflecting high-quality core business development [2] - The gross profit margin reached 84.2%, driven by high margins in core categories and optimized expenses, with makeup products at 82.7% and skincare products at 87.5% [2] Product Strategy - Mao Geping has established a robust product matrix that avoids reliance on single-hit products, focusing on long-cycle core items and rapid introduction of new products [3] - The makeup segment generated 1.422 billion RMB in revenue, accounting for 55.0% of total revenue, with strong performance from key products [3] - The skincare segment saw a revenue increase of 33.4% to 1.087 billion RMB, highlighting its role as a key growth driver [4] New Product Development - The company launched new skincare products that quickly gained traction, with the luxury caviar mask exceeding 600 million RMB in retail sales [4] - The introduction of fragrance products has opened new growth avenues, with two series generating over 10 million RMB in less than a month [5] Channel Strategy - Mao Geping's online sales reached 1.297 billion RMB, a 39.0% increase, representing 51.4% of total revenue, with high profitability in direct sales [7] - The offline channel generated 1.224 billion RMB, a 26.6% increase, with a focus on high-end retail locations and enhanced customer experience [8] International Expansion - The company has begun international expansion, achieving a 503.1% increase in overseas revenue, indicating a clear growth trend [9] Long-term Value Proposition - Mao Geping aims to redefine the value standards in high-end beauty, positioning itself as a leader in Chinese luxury brands with a focus on "Oriental aesthetics" [11]

Core Insights - The article highlights the growing influence of young consumers in driving new consumption trends, emphasizing their focus on experience, cost-effectiveness, and emotional value, which has positively impacted the Hong Kong stock market's new consumption sector [1] - The company, Mao Geping, stands out in the high-end domestic beauty market by leveraging "Oriental aesthetics" as its core strategy, focusing on multi-dimensional collaboration across product categories, channels, and profitability to build a sustainable value system [1][10] Financial Performance - Mao Geping reported a total revenue of 2.588 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 31.3%, indicating continuous business expansion [2] - The company's net profit increased by 36.1% to 670 million RMB, with profit growth outpacing revenue growth, reflecting high-quality core business development [2] - The gross profit margin reached 84.2%, driven by high margins in core categories and optimized expenses, with makeup products achieving a gross margin of 82.7% and skincare products at 87.5% [2] Product Strategy - Mao Geping has established a robust product matrix that avoids reliance on single-hit products, instead focusing on a combination of long-cycle core products and rapid introduction of new items [3] - The makeup category remains a stronghold, generating 1.422 billion RMB in revenue, accounting for 55.0% of total revenue, with key products achieving significant sales [3][4] - The skincare segment has seen explosive growth, contributing 1.087 billion RMB in revenue, with key products like the luxury caviar mask and black cream driving sales [4] Channel Strategy - The company has effectively integrated online and offline channels, achieving 1.297 billion RMB in online revenue, a 39.0% increase, and 1.224 billion RMB in offline revenue, a 26.6% increase [7][8] - Online channels account for 51.4% of total revenue, with high profitability maintained across direct sales and distributor channels [7] - The offline strategy focuses on high-end experiences, with over 400 self-operated counters and a strong presence in premium shopping areas, enhancing brand image and customer loyalty [8] International Expansion - Mao Geping has begun international expansion, notably through a partnership with Sephora, resulting in a 503.1% increase in overseas revenue [9] - The establishment of a research center in Hangzhou and plans for further international development aim to position Mao Geping as a representative of high-end Chinese beauty in the global market [9] Long-term Value Proposition - The company is redefining the value standards in high-end beauty by emphasizing potential in product categories, cultural premium, and channel barriers, moving away from being a follower of international brands [10] - Mao Geping's appeal lies in its dual high growth in revenue and profit, alongside a sustainable and replicable long-term value system [10]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue and profit growth for the first half of 2025, aligning with previous forecasts, driven by robust sales in the cosmetics and skincare segments [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.59 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 670 million yuan, up 36.1% [1] - Adjusted net profit for H1 2025 was also 670 million yuan, reflecting a 32.0% year-on-year growth [1] - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 84.2%, a slight decrease of 0.7 percentage points compared to the previous year [2] Business Segments - Revenue breakdown for H1 2025 showed cosmetics at 1.42 billion yuan, skincare at 1.01 billion yuan, fragrance at 10 million yuan, and makeup training and sales at 70 million yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of +31.1% and +33.4% for cosmetics and skincare [1] - The gross margins for cosmetics, skincare, fragrance, and makeup training were 82.7%, 87.5%, 77.6%, and 62.9%, with declines in cosmetics and skincare margins of 0.9 and 0.2 percentage points respectively [1] Channel Performance - Online and offline channels generated revenues of 1.30 billion yuan and 1.22 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +39.0% and +26.6% [2] - Online sales accounted for 51.4% of total revenue, while offline sales made up 48.6% [2] - Membership numbers reached 13.4 million online and 5.6 million offline, with online and offline repurchase rates of 24.1% and 30.3%, reflecting increases of 2.6 and 1.6 percentage points year-on-year [2] Product Development - The company launched new products in the cosmetics and skincare segments, with flagship items generating significant sales, including over 200 million yuan for luxury caviar cushion and soft-focus powder [3] - The newly introduced fragrance series "Guo Yun Ning Xiang" and "Wen Dao Dong Fang" expanded the product portfolio [3] Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company is recognized as a rare high-end beauty brand in China, with an upgraded profit forecast for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of 1.20 billion, 1.52 billion, and 1.91 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of +36.6%, +26.7%, and +25.2% [3] - The latest closing price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 35, 28, and 22 for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the impressive performance of the Chinese beauty brand Mao Geping, showcasing its strong growth in revenue and profit, which significantly outpaces the industry average, marking it as a leading example of domestic brands in the high-end beauty sector [3][4][5]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Mao Geping reported a revenue of 2.588 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 31.3%, and a net profit of 670.4 million RMB, up 36.1%, both exceeding market expectations [5][6]. - The revenue breakdown shows that color cosmetics generated 1.422 billion RMB (55.0% of total revenue), skincare contributed 1.087 billion RMB (42.0%), and fragrance brought in 11.4 million RMB (0.4%) [6][7]. Product Categories - The company maintains a dual-core growth strategy with color cosmetics and skincare as the main revenue drivers, while the newly introduced fragrance category is beginning to establish itself [7][8]. - The average selling price of color cosmetics decreased from 163.8 RMB to 157.0 RMB, while sales volume increased by 36.8%, indicating a strategic price adjustment to maintain market share amid economic challenges [7][10]. Channel Strategy - Online sales surpassed offline for the first time, accounting for 51.4% of total revenue, with a significant year-on-year growth of 39.0% [10][11]. - The offline channel, while slightly declining in proportion, showed improved efficiency with same-store sales increasing by 17.9% [11][12]. Customer Engagement - The overall repurchase rate increased from 24.8% to 26.8%, with offline repurchase rates particularly strong at 30.3% [12][13]. - The company has invested in a large team of over 3,100 beauty consultants to enhance customer experience and loyalty [19][20]. Brand Positioning and Cultural Strategy - Mao Geping emphasizes "Oriental aesthetics" as its core brand philosophy, integrating traditional Chinese cultural elements with modern beauty technology [15][17]. - The brand's cultural narrative is reflected in its product lines, such as the "Guo Yun Ning Xiang" and "Wen Dao Dong Fang" fragrance series, which are designed to resonate with consumers' cultural confidence [15][17]. Future Outlook and Challenges - Despite strong performance, the company faces challenges in R&D investment, international expansion, and increasing market competition [22][23]. - Plans for a self-owned production base and a focus on high-margin skincare products indicate a strategic direction for future growth [22][23].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a significant growth in revenue and profit in H1 2025, with total revenue reaching 2.59 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.3%, and net profit attributable to the parent company at 670 million yuan, up 36.1% year-on-year [7] - The product matrix has been upgraded, leading to strong sales growth in both makeup and skincare segments, with makeup and skincare revenues growing by 31.1% and 33.4% respectively [7] - The company is recognized as a rare high-end beauty brand in China, with a unique beauty academy model and a professional makeup artist team enhancing the offline experience [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2023A, 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 2,886 million, 3,885 million, 5,151 million, 6,523 million, and 8,161 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 57.78%, 34.61%, 32.60%, 26.63%, and 25.12% [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 661.93 million, 880.61 million, 1,202.82 million, 1,523.81 million, and 1,908.32 million yuan for the same years, with year-on-year growth rates of 88.00%, 33.04%, 36.59%, 26.69%, and 25.23% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2025E is projected at 2.45 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 34.88, 27.53, and 21.98 for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E respectively [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Mao Geping, reported a strong revenue growth of 31.3% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, but the growth rate has slowed compared to over 40% in the same period of 2024 [1][4]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 2.588 billion yuan, with a net profit of 670 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 36.1% [1]. - The overall gross margin was 84.2%, showing a slight decline compared to the same period last year [1]. - Product sales remained the core driver of performance, generating 2.521 billion yuan in revenue, a 32.7% increase year-on-year, accounting for 97.4% of total revenue [4]. Market Expansion - The company has entered the fragrance market, launching two high-end perfume series, which achieved sales of 35,000 units in just over a month, contributing 11.41 million yuan to total sales [6]. - International sales saw a significant increase of 503.1% year-on-year, although they still represent a small portion of total revenue at only 0.05% [4]. Sales Channels - Online and offline sales were relatively balanced, with cosmetic sales of 1.224 billion yuan online and 1.297 billion yuan offline, reflecting year-on-year growth of 26.6% and 39.0%, respectively [5]. - The company has established over 405 self-operated counters and 32 distributor counters across more than 120 cities in China [5]. Industry Context - The overall growth of the Chinese beauty market is slowing, with high-end and differentiated products becoming the focus of competition [7]. - The fragrance market is seen as a key growth area, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 15% from 2018 to 2023, indicating significant potential for expansion [6][7]. - The company aims to develop a second growth curve through its fragrance and international market strategies, which are crucial for its future development [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 2.588 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 31.3%, while net profit increased by 36.1% to 670 million yuan, indicating a slowdown compared to over 40% growth in the same period of 2024 [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 2.588 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 31.3% [1]. - Net profit for the same period was 670 million yuan, up 36.1% year-on-year [1]. - The overall gross margin was 84.2%, showing a slight decline compared to the previous year [1]. - Product sales revenue was 2.521 billion yuan, a 32.7% increase, accounting for 97.4% of total revenue [5]. - The skincare segment also saw significant growth, with revenue increasing by over 30% [5]. Market Expansion - The company has entered the fragrance market, launching two high-end perfume series, which achieved sales of 35,000 units in just over a month, contributing 11.41 million yuan to total sales [7]. - International sales revenue surged by 503.1% year-on-year, although it still represents a small portion of total sales at only 0.05% [6]. - The company plans to strategically expand into overseas markets through department store counters and online stores [6]. Stock Performance - The company's stock price fell to 94.05 HKD per share on August 28, 2025, a decrease of 2.49%, resulting in a market capitalization of 46.1 billion HKD, down over 16 billion HKD from its peak in June [2]. Industry Context - The overall growth of the Chinese beauty market is slowing, with high-end and differentiated products becoming the focus of competition [8]. - The fragrance market is seen as a key growth area, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 15% from 2018 to 2023, and expected to exceed 44 billion yuan by 2028 [7][8]. - The company aims to maintain high market valuation by continuously exploring new growth avenues beyond makeup and skincare [8].