Core Insights - TOP TOY, a潮玩 brand under Miniso, is seeking to raise approximately $300 million through an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to enhance its IP matrix, global market presence, brand marketing, and digital capabilities [1] - Despite being a latecomer in the潮玩 industry, TOP TOY has shown significant growth, positioning itself as the "largest and fastest-growing潮玩集合 brand in China" [2][3] Company Overview - Established in 2020, TOP TOY sells products across various categories, including self-owned IP, licensed IP, and third-party IP, with a portfolio of 17 self-owned IPs [2] - The company is projected to achieve a GMV of 2.4 billion yuan in 2024, ranking third among China's top five潮玩 retailers by retail sales [2] Financial Performance - TOP TOY's revenue is expected to grow from 679 million yuan in 2022 to 1.909 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 67.7% [3] - The company turned a profit in 2023, with net profits of 212 million yuan, 297 million yuan, and 180 million yuan for 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025, respectively [3] Market Strategy - TOP TOY leverages Miniso's supply chain and distribution channels to rapidly market products based on globally recognized IPs, achieving significant sales figures [4] - As of June 30, 2025, TOP TOY operates 293 stores globally, with a significant number being franchise stores, indicating aggressive channel expansion [4] Dependency on Miniso - Miniso remains TOP TOY's largest channel and customer, with sales to Miniso accounting for 36.8%, 53.5%, and 48.3% of TOP TOY's revenue in 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively [5] Challenges and Risks - The reliance on licensed IP poses a challenge for TOP TOY's long-term profitability, as competition for IP rights increases and costs rise [6][8] - The company has struggled with developing its own IP, leading to a shift towards a lower-risk model of licensed IP [7] Future Directions - TOP TOY is attempting to enhance its self-owned IP portfolio through acquisitions and collaborations with artists, aiming to create unique products that stand out in the market [10] - The company has seen improvements in profitability, with self-developed products accounting for 49.1% of revenue in 2024, up from less than 40% in 2022 [11] Competitive Landscape - The潮玩 industry is characterized by the need for brands to create emotional connections with consumers, as demonstrated by successful brands like泡泡玛特 [12] - TOP TOY's future success will depend on its ability to establish a distinct brand identity and not solely rely on external IP and Miniso's ecosystem [12]

Core Viewpoint - TOP TOY International Group Limited, a subsidiary of Miniso, has submitted its prospectus for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to independently list its shares [1] Group 1: Business Overview - TOP TOY focuses on trendy toy retail, with a projected GMV of approximately 2.4 billion yuan in 2024, where self-developed products account for nearly 50% of revenue [1] - The company has established a comprehensive IP matrix with 17 proprietary IPs and 43 licensed IPs, collaborating with well-known brands like Sanrio and Disney to enhance product appeal [2][3] - Revenue from self-developed products has increased from below 40% in 2022 to around 50% in 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025 [3] Group 2: Financial Performance - TOP TOY's revenue for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025 was 679 million yuan, 1.461 billion yuan, 1.909 billion yuan, and 1.36 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of -38 million yuan, 212 million yuan, 294 million yuan, and 180 million yuan [1] Group 3: Market Strategy and Expansion - The company operates through various sales channels, including its Tmall flagship store, other major e-commerce platforms, and physical retail locations, with a total of 293 stores as of June 30, 2025 [3] - The majority of TOP TOY's stores are franchise-operated, with 250 out of 293 being partner-operated [3] - The flagship store in Shanghai opened in March 2025, achieving sales of over 1 million yuan on its opening day and exceeding 7 million yuan in sales by August 2025 [3] Group 4: Future Plans and Funding - The net proceeds from the IPO will be used to diversify the IP matrix, enhance IP operational capabilities, deepen global omnichannel strategies, and strengthen supply chain and digital capabilities [4] - Miniso's investment in TOP TOY has led to a post-investment valuation of approximately 10 billion HKD [4]

Core Viewpoint - TOP TOY, which opened its first store in 2020, is now aiming for an IPO within five years, positioning itself as a platform for various products and IPs, contrasting with Bubble Mart's closed ecosystem approach [2][14]. Market Valuation - As of July 2025, TOP TOY completed a Series A funding round of approximately $60 million, resulting in a post-money valuation of $1.3 billion (approximately HKD 10.2 billion) [2]. - In comparison, Bubble Mart's market capitalization exceeds HKD 350 billion, making it 35 times larger than TOP TOY [2]. Financial Performance - TOP TOY's revenue for 2022, 2023, and 2024 was CNY 679 million, CNY 1.461 billion, and CNY 1.909 billion, respectively, with net profits of -CNY 38.38 million, CNY 212 million, and CNY 294 million [2]. - In the first half of 2025, TOP TOY reported revenue of CNY 1.36 billion and a profit of CNY 180 million, reflecting year-on-year growth of 58.5% and 26.8%, respectively [2][7]. Comparison with Bubble Mart - Bubble Mart's revenue for the first half of 2025 was CNY 13.88 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 204.4%, and a net profit of CNY 4.57 billion, showing a growth of 396.5% [3]. - Bubble Mart's revenue and profit are 10 times and 25 times that of TOP TOY, respectively [3]. Membership and Store Count - As of mid-2025, Bubble Mart had 59.12 million registered members, while TOP TOY had over 10 million [3]. - Bubble Mart operates 571 stores globally, with 443 in China and 128 overseas, in addition to 2,597 vending machines [3]. - TOP TOY has 299 stores, with 15 located overseas, covering markets such as Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Japan [4]. Revenue Sources - TOP TOY's revenue is primarily generated from franchisees and distributors, accounting for 74.3% of its income in the first half of 2025 [4]. - In contrast, Bubble Mart's revenue is mainly from direct sales [4]. Profitability Metrics - For the first half of 2025, Bubble Mart's gross margin exceeded 70%, and net margin surpassed 30%, while TOP TOY's gross margin was 32% and net margin only 13% [6]. - TOP TOY's self-developed IP products generated CNY 6.1 million in revenue in the first half of 2025, accounting for less than 1% of total revenue [12]. IP Strategy - TOP TOY has 17 proprietary IPs and 43 licensed IPs, while Bubble Mart's proprietary products accounted for 99.1% of its total revenue in the first half of 2025 [8][10]. - The scarcity of Bubble Mart's IPs allows for higher pricing power compared to TOP TOY's broader but less impactful IP portfolio [8][10].

Core Insights - TOP TOY, a潮玩 brand under Miniso, has submitted its prospectus for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking a significant step in Miniso's dual-brand strategy following its dual listing in 2022 [1] - The company has shown impressive revenue growth, with projected revenues of 679 million, 1.461 billion, and 1.909 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 67.7% [1] - TOP TOY achieved profitability in 2023, with net profits of 212 million and 294 million yuan for 2023 and 2024, respectively [1] Revenue and Profitability - TOP TOY's revenue for the first half of 2023 increased by 58.5% to 1.36 billion yuan compared to the same period in 2024 [1] - The company's gross profit margins have improved, with figures of 19.9%, 31.4%, and 32.7% from 2022 to 2024, and 32.4% for the first half of 2023 [1] Market Position and Growth - Established in December 2020, TOP TOY has become the largest and fastest-growing潮玩 brand in China, with a projected GMV of 2.4 billion yuan in 2024 [2] - As of September 2025, TOP TOY operates 299 stores in China and 15 overseas, covering markets such as Thailand, Malaysia, and Japan [2] - The brand has over 10 million registered members, with a customer demographic primarily consisting of women aged 18-30 [2] Strategic Development - TOP TOY's growth strategy includes a dual approach of self-owned IP and licensed IP, with 30% of its products being self-owned IP, which has a gross margin of 65% [4] - The brand's product matrix includes a diverse range of items, such as figurines and 3D models, and it has successfully built a multi-layered IP matrix [4][5] Competitive Landscape - TOP TOY and Pop Mart represent two distinct business models in the潮玩 market, with TOP TOY focusing on an open platform strategy leveraging licensed IP, while Pop Mart emphasizes a closed ecosystem centered around self-owned IP [8] - The strategic differences between the two companies influence their growth paths and profitability, with TOP TOY rapidly expanding through a "borrowed" strategy while Pop Mart focuses on long-term IP value [9] Future Plans - The funds raised from the IPO will be used to enhance the IP matrix, improve global channel layouts, strengthen brand building, and enhance supply chain capabilities [9]