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交银国际:9月新能源车渗透率升至57.8% 看好第四季销量冲刺提振车市表现
智通财经网· 2025-10-14 03:33
智通财经APP获悉,交银国际发布研报称,给予内地汽车行业领先的投资评级。9月新能源车渗透率升 至57.8%,该行看好第四季度销量冲刺提振车市表现。 该行指,2026年新能源购置税减免政策调整有望刺激消费者在年底前集中购车,加上"金九银十"旺季和 年末车企冲量,该行看好第四季度车市销售表现。但第四季度销量冲刺后车市将进入消费淡季,加上购 置税减免政策调整,建议投资者保持审慎,密切关注板块股价表现波动。建议关注:小鹏汽车(09868) 全新P7/增程车型陆续上市,带动销量和毛利率提升;吉利汽车(00175)私有化极氪后推动内部资源整合; 赛力斯问界系列进一步拓展高端市场并提升盈利水平。 报告指,得益于厂家优惠政策陆续推出,加上以旧换新政策,9月全国乘用车市场零售224.1万辆,同比 增6.3%,环比增11%;2025年1-9月乘用车零售累计1700.5万辆,同比增9.2%。 ...
交银国际每日晨报-20251014
BOCOM International· 2025-10-14 01:36
Global Macro - The report indicates that the likelihood of the proposed large-scale tariff increases by the US on China is low, despite recent announcements by President Trump regarding a 100% tariff increase on certain exports starting November 1, 2025 [3][4] - It is expected that both parties will likely reach a de-escalation arrangement during the upcoming summit, which would stabilize trade relations and create conditions for further economic stability [3][4] - Short-term fluctuations in Chinese assets are anticipated, but these should not alter the medium-term bullish trend, presenting potential buying opportunities [4] Automotive Industry - In September 2025, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 57.8%, with retail sales of passenger vehicles hitting a record high of 2.241 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.3% [5][7] - The export of passenger vehicles, including NEVs, maintained a strong growth momentum, with total exports reaching 528,000 units in September, a year-on-year increase of 20.7% [5][7] - The report suggests that the upcoming adjustment of the new energy vehicle purchase tax policy in 2026 is likely to stimulate consumer purchases before the end of the year, particularly during the peak sales season [7] - Investors are advised to remain cautious as the market may enter a consumption lull after the fourth quarter sales surge, with specific attention to stock price fluctuations in the sector [7]