2025年10月，国内乘用车市场受节日节点偏移与政策调整等因素影响，狭义乘用车市场零售销量达224.8万辆，同比下降0.5%，环比增长0.2%。行业转型步 伐持续加速，自主品牌与新能源板块的强势表现，与合资品牌的承压形成鲜明对比。 各细分市场表现分化明显，SUV是唯一实现同比环比正增长的细分品类，具体销量达到114.2万辆，同比和环比分别上涨0.4%和1.0%；新能源车10月销量 128.1万辆，虽环比小幅下滑1.4%，但仍保持同比增长7.2%，渗透率持续攀升，成为支撑车市的重要力量。MPV销量仅为8.5万辆，是各细分品类中跌幅最大 的板块。 10月全国乘用车市场，自主品牌凭借新能源转型与产品结构升级的双重优势，市场份额持续扩大。而合资品牌与豪华品牌则因转型滞后等问题，面临销量下 滑与份额收缩的双重压力，"自主强、合资弱"的格局愈发清晰。10月自主品牌表现亮眼，零售155万辆，同比增长4%，环比增长3%。零售份额为68.7%，同 比增长3个百分点。 与自主品牌形成鲜明对比的是，合资品牌10月表现持续承压，主流合资品牌零售51万辆，同比下降10%，环比虽然增长3%但未能扭转颓势。分派系来看， 德系品牌零售份额为 ...

智能底盘系统引入道路预瞄与弯道预判技术，配合XYZ融合控制与ADS响应机制，具备双备份转向与 制动冗余设计。电子电气架构由分布式升级为"中央车控+区域控制"，支持大模型部署与端到端演进。 智慧空间方面实现平台化设计，可覆盖轿车、SUV、MPV等多类车型及B-D级尺寸。 赛力斯同时构建覆盖生命保护、车身防护、健康呵护与隐私守护的四大安全体系，通过全场景测试与超 十万测试用例验证产品可靠性。数据显示，问界系列累计用户已突破90万，其中M9与M8分别位居50万 与40万级别市场销量前列，辅助驾驶总里程超44.5亿公里。 平台集成华为乾崑智驾与鸿蒙座舱，支持双卡双通、卫星通信及华为星闪技术，并接入全量鸿蒙生态与 小艺智能体。在能源系统方面，采用800V高压架构与八合一电驱设计，支持5C超充，提供1.5T与2.0T 两种增程动力选择，并配备五层十五重电池安全防护体系。 凤凰网科技讯 11月21日，在广州国际车展上，赛力斯（601127）汽车正式发布魔方技术平台2.0。该平 台以全景智慧为引领，聚焦智能安全、智慧能源、智能底盘、EEA架构与智慧空间五大领域进行技术升 级，定位为"AI驱动的智慧电动汽车平台"。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Seres has shown fluctuations, with a recent increase of 2.00% and a total market capitalization of 237.82 billion yuan, indicating active trading and investor interest [1]. Company Overview - Seres Group Co., Ltd. is primarily engaged in the research, manufacturing, sales, and service of new energy vehicles and core components, with a focus on the AITO series, which includes both electric and traditional fuel vehicles [2]. - The company emphasizes digital user experience and innovative services, such as Starry Night Service and Worry-Free Return, integrating AI into its service model [2]. - The revenue composition of the company is 94.72% from complete vehicles and 5.28% from auto parts and others [2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Seres achieved a revenue of 110.53 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.67%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 31.56% to 5.31 billion yuan [3]. - The company has distributed a total of 3.20 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.59 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [4]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 8.49% to 192,600, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 7.82% to 7,839 shares [3]. - Major institutional shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, with notable reductions in their holdings compared to the previous period [4].

Core Viewpoint - The initial public offering (IPO) of Seres Automotive faced significant challenges, including a sharp decline in stock price on its debut, reflecting a disconnect between market expectations and the company's valuation based on future risks [1][2][6]. Group 1: IPO Performance - Seres Automotive raised 14 billion HKD in its IPO, marking the largest IPO for a car company in Hong Kong this year [1]. - On its first trading day, the stock price dropped nearly 10%, leading to a market capitalization loss of over 20 billion HKD [1]. - Despite a significant oversubscription of 133 times from retail investors, institutional investors showed caution, purchasing only slightly more than half of the planned shares [1][5]. Group 2: Valuation Issues - The IPO pricing was based on a discount to the A-share market price, which was deemed inappropriate by institutional investors who focus on intrinsic value rather than relative pricing [3][4]. - The reliance on a potentially inflated A-share price as a benchmark led to a perception of the IPO price as excessively high [4][6]. - The valuation logic collapsed as the company transitioned from a "story-driven" to a "fundamentals-driven" assessment, revealing a disconnect between market expectations and actual performance [7][11]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Seres reported a mere 3.7% year-on-year revenue growth, signaling a potential peak in growth [12]. - The company's net profit declined by 1.7% in the third quarter, raising concerns about its profitability and operational efficiency [12]. - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 26.5 times at the IPO was significantly higher than the average of 13.6 times for traditional car companies in Hong Kong, leading to skepticism among investors [13][14]. Group 4: Strategic Dependence - Seres' heavy reliance on its partnership with Huawei has created strategic vulnerabilities, as the company has not developed its own core competencies [21][24]. - The shift in market perception from being a unique partner of Huawei to one among many competitors has diminished its valuation appeal [25][28]. - The uncertainty surrounding the future of the partnership with Huawei has led to increased risk premiums in the company's valuation [33]. Group 5: Market Dynamics - The activation of the "green shoe" mechanism by underwriters to stabilize the stock price indicated a lack of confidence in the stock's ability to maintain its initial price without intervention [34][36]. - The Hong Kong market's rationality and focus on performance metrics mean that any slowdown in growth or profitability will be harshly penalized [36][40]. - To regain market confidence, Seres must demonstrate a clear path to reducing its dependence on Huawei and improving its financial performance [38][40].

Core Insights - The article highlights the successful IPO of Seres Group, raising a net amount of 14.016 billion HKD, marking it as the largest IPO for a Chinese car company to date and the largest globally since 2025 [1][2] - Seres aims to establish itself as a leader in the luxury electric vehicle market, emphasizing its brand positioning of "redefining luxury through intelligence" [1] - The company has delivered over 800,000 units of its AITO brand, with the M9 model being the best-selling vehicle in its price segment in China for 19 consecutive months [1] Funding Allocation - Approximately 70% of the funds raised from the IPO will be allocated to research and development, while 20% will be used for diversifying new marketing channels, overseas sales, and charging network services [2] - The focus on "high-end" and "globalization" includes global product development, marketing services, and necessary production capacity [2] Global Expansion - Seres has expanded its global footprint to cover multiple countries across Europe, the Middle East, the Americas, and Africa, with significant presence in key European markets such as Norway, Germany, the UK, and Switzerland [2] - The company is exploring the integration of artificial intelligence in its products, aiming to transform into a technology-driven enterprise [2] Investor Support - The IPO saw overwhelming interest, with a subscription rate exceeding 133 times and total financing subscriptions surpassing 170 billion HKD, attracting 22 cornerstone investors [2] - The company expresses gratitude for investor support and aims to leverage Hong Kong's financial hub advantages to enhance its global competitiveness [3]

Core Viewpoint - The initial public offering (IPO) of Seres (09927.HK) on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange faced challenges, with a significant oversubscription of 133 times but a first-day drop in share price, indicating a disconnect between market enthusiasm and actual performance [2][5]. Group 1: IPO Performance - Seres experienced a first-day decline of 1.98% at opening, with intraday losses exceeding 10%, ultimately closing at HKD 131.5, equal to its issue price [2][4]. - The overall trend in the Hong Kong IPO market shows that over 20% of new listings in the past year have faced first-day declines, with more than half trading below their issue price within 20 days [2][9]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Investor Behavior - High subscription rates reflect abundant market liquidity and speculative sentiment, but do not necessarily indicate the true value of the companies [3][11]. - Investors are increasingly facing uncertainty, as many anticipated "risk-free" returns are not materializing, leading to losses for some who engaged in leveraged investments [11]. Group 3: Financial Performance of Seres - For the first three quarters of the year, Seres reported revenues of HKD 110.53 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.67%, and a net profit of HKD 5.31 billion, up 31.56% [5]. Group 4: Broader Market Trends - The Hong Kong IPO market has seen 68 new listings in the first three quarters, raising a total of HKD 182.45 billion, with 98% of these new stocks being oversubscribed [7]. - Despite the high subscription rates, several popular new stocks have also faced first-day declines, indicating a trend where investor enthusiasm does not always translate into sustained market performance [8][10].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the phenomenon of high subscription rates for IPOs in the Hong Kong market, exemplified by the case of Saisir, which experienced a significant drop in share price on its first trading day despite a 133 times oversubscription, indicating a disconnect between market enthusiasm and actual stock performance [3][4][8]. Group 1: IPO Performance - Saisir's stock opened down 1.98% on its first day and hit a low of 118 HKD, ultimately closing at 131.5 HKD, equal to its issue price [3][7]. - In the first three quarters of the year, 98% of new Hong Kong IPOs were oversubscribed, but over 20% of these stocks experienced a drop on their first trading day [3][10]. - The overall IPO market in Hong Kong raised 182.45 billion HKD in the first three quarters, with 68 new stocks listed [10]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Investor Behavior - High subscription rates reflect ample market liquidity and speculative sentiment, but do not necessarily correlate with the intrinsic value of the companies [4][8]. - Investors are increasingly facing uncertainty, as many are experiencing losses despite the high demand for new shares [11][12]. - The phenomenon of "leveraged IPO investing" is contributing to investor losses, as individuals incur costs regardless of whether they receive shares [13]. Group 3: Company-Specific Concerns - Saisir's revenue structure is heavily reliant on a single brand, with the "Wen Jie" series accounting for over 90% of total revenue, raising concerns about its business model [8]. - The company's financial performance showed a revenue of 110.53 billion CNY in the first three quarters, with a net profit increase of 31.56% to 5.31 billion CNY [7]. Group 4: Historical Context - The current IPO failure rate is at a historical low, with only 24% of new stocks experiencing a drop on their first day, the lowest since 2017 [13]. - Despite the high subscription rates, the market has seen a significant number of stocks drop below their issue price within 20 trading days [12][13].

Core Viewpoint - The recent IPO of Seres (09927.HK) faced significant market volatility, with a high subscription rate of 133 times but a first-day drop in share price, indicating a disconnect between investor enthusiasm and actual market performance [1][2][3] Company Performance - Seres achieved a revenue of 110.53 billion yuan in the first three quarters of the year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.67%, while net profit surged by 31.56% to 5.31 billion yuan [2] - The company's revenue structure is heavily reliant on its "Wenjie" series, which accounted for over 90% of total revenue by mid-2025, raising concerns about its business model sustainability [3] Market Trends - The Hong Kong IPO market has seen a surge in new listings, with 68 new stocks raising a total of 182.45 billion HKD in the first three quarters of the year, and 98% of these stocks were oversubscribed [4] - Despite the high subscription rates, over 20% of newly listed stocks experienced a first-day drop, and more than half fell below their issue price within 20 trading days [6][7] Investor Behavior - Many investors, despite the high demand for new shares, are facing losses due to the phenomenon of "IPO breaking," where stocks drop below their issue price shortly after listing [5][6] - The use of leverage in IPO investments has exacerbated losses for some investors, as they incur costs regardless of whether they receive shares or not [7]

Core Viewpoint - The IPO of Seres in the Hong Kong market faced significant challenges, including high valuation concerns, weak market demand, and diminishing influence from its partnership with Huawei, leading to a precarious first-day trading performance [1][11]. Valuation and Pricing - Seres' IPO was priced at HKD 131.50 per share, reflecting a 22.7% discount compared to its A-share closing price of RMB 155.19, which is significantly higher than the typical discount for similar A to H projects [2][5]. - The high discount did not translate into strong market demand, as evidenced by the underutilization of the issuance adjustment rights, with only 56% of the additional shares being sold [4][6]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Seres reported a revenue of RMB 110.5 billion, a modest year-on-year growth of 3.7%, while net profit was RMB 5.3 billion, showing a 31.6% increase [7]. - However, the third quarter saw a decline in net profit by 1.7%, indicating pressure on profitability despite a revenue increase of 15.8% [7][10]. - The company is projected to achieve a total revenue of RMB 178.2 billion and a net profit of RMB 10 billion for the full year 2025, but it has only completed 60% of its revenue target and 53% of its net profit target by the end of the third quarter [7][10]. Market Competition and Positioning - The competitive landscape in the electric vehicle market is intensifying, with major players like BYD and others increasing production and market presence, which has negatively impacted Seres' sales, which fell by 4.3% year-on-year [8][11]. - Seres' reliance on Huawei for its market positioning has diminished as other manufacturers have also partnered with Huawei, leading to a dilution of its unique value proposition [11]. Investor Sentiment and Market Reaction - The first-day trading volatility reflected a divided sentiment among institutional investors, with major foreign brokerages like Morgan Stanley and UBS net selling shares, indicating a lack of confidence in Seres' valuation and performance [12][14]. - The use of green shoe funds by CICC to stabilize the stock price on the first day did not signify market endorsement but rather highlighted the absence of sustained buying support [14][15]. Future Outlook - For Seres to stabilize its stock price and improve market perception, it must reduce its dependency on Huawei, enhance its independent R&D capabilities, and meet its financial targets to demonstrate its intrinsic value [15].

Core Viewpoint - The IPO of Seres in the Hong Kong market faced significant challenges, including high valuation concerns, performance pressures, and diminishing influence from its partnership with Huawei, leading to a precarious debut on November 5, 2025, where the stock nearly fell below its issue price [1][10]. Valuation and Market Demand - Seres' IPO was priced at HKD 131.50 per share, reflecting a 22.7% discount compared to its A-share closing price of RMB 155.19, which raised questions about its valuation [3][4]. - Despite a high subscription rate of 8.6 times, the actual exercise of the issuance adjustment right was only about 56%, indicating weak institutional demand [5][12]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Seres reported revenue of RMB 110.5 billion, a modest year-on-year growth of 3.7%, while net profit was RMB 5.3 billion, showing a decline of 1.7% in the third quarter [6][9]. - The company is projected to achieve a total revenue of RMB 178.2 billion for 2025, but as of the third quarter, it had only completed 60% of this target [6][9]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive environment in the electric vehicle market is intensifying, with Seres experiencing a 4.3% decline in cumulative sales in the first ten months of 2025 [7][10]. - Compared to competitors like BYD and others, Seres' valuation remains high, with a projected PE ratio of 44.8 for 2024, significantly above the industry average [8][10]. Market Sentiment and Investor Behavior - The first-day trading volatility reflected a divided sentiment among institutional investors, with major foreign brokerages like Morgan Stanley and UBS net selling shares, indicating a lack of confidence in Seres' valuation and performance [11][12]. - The reliance on Huawei for competitive advantage is seen as a risk, as the market favors companies with independent capabilities and profitability [10][13].